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Amcor plcNYSE:AMCR Stock Report

Market Cap US$17.4b
Share Price
US$40.21
US$50.22
19.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-11.7%
7D7.7%
Portfolio Value
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Amcor plc

NYSE:AMCR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$17.4b

AMCR Community Fair Values

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See what 65 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

Top Community Narratives

[Andy Chopra's Analysis] Cheap on assets but expensive on earnings. Avoid.

Business Model – Company value: Strong; Buffett’s preferred: Simple and understandable; Status: ✅; Explanation: Global packaging leader where the merger with Berry Global consolidates market share in essential consumer sectors. Economic Moat – Company value: Strong; Buffett’s preferred: Strong and durable advantages; Status: ✅; Explanation: Significant economies of scale and proprietary know‑how, with the announced 1‑for‑5 reverse stock split signaling continued restructuring of the combined entity.​ Management Quality – Company value: Moderate; Buffett’s preferred: Shareholder‑friendly; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: Dividend commitment and high yield support income investors, but recent complex M&A and dilution weigh on capital allocation quality.​ Return on Equity – 10‑year average: 23.5%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 15%; Status: ✅; Explanation: Long‑term average ROE remains excellent, though the larger equity base post‑merger will likely dilute future ROE levels.​ Return on Equity – Current: 4.2%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 15%; Status: ❌; Explanation: TTM ROE has dropped sharply to about 4.2% because of merger‑related expenses and the much higher reported equity balance around 11.7 billion dollars.​ Operating Margin – 10‑year average: 11.2%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 12%; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: Historical operating margins average roughly 11%, slightly below Buffett’s preferred threshold for high‑quality manufacturers.​ Operating Margin – Current: 9.8%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 12%; Status: ❌; Explanation: Current operating margin is under pressure around 10% due to integration costs and softer volumes.​ Debt to Equity Ratio – Company value: 1.27; Buffett’s preferred: Below 0.5; Status: ❌; Explanation: Financial leverage is high, with total debt estimated near 14.9 billion dollars versus equity of about 11.7 billion dollars.​ Net Debt to EBITDA – Company value: 3.4x; Buffett’s preferred: Below 2.0x; Status: ❌; Explanation: Net leverage of roughly 3.4 times EBITDA is elevated and implies cash flow must prioritize deleveraging over shareholder returns.​ Current Ratio – Company value: 1.20; Buffett’s preferred: Above 1.5; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: Liquidity is somewhat tight at about 1.2 times current liabilities, leaving limited buffer despite steady operating cash flow.​ Free Cash Flow – 5‑year average: 815 million dollars (described as volatile); Buffett’s preferred: Consistent and growing; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: Five‑year average FCF is solid but TTM free cash flow of roughly 725 million dollars is depressed by integration and transaction costs.​ Earnings Growth – 10‑year CAGR: 2.8%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 10%; Status: ❌; Explanation: Over the past decade earnings have grown in the low single digits, reflecting a mature, slow‑growing packaging market.​ Dividend Yield – Current: 6.29%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 4%; Status: ✅; Explanation: The stock offers an attractive yield above 6%, though the GAAP payout ratio currently exceeds 100% of reported earnings.​ Dividend Growth Streak – Company value: 25+ years; Buffett’s preferred: At least 10 years; Status: ✅; Explanation: Including the Bemis legacy record, Amcor has raised its dividend for more than 25 consecutive years and is recognized among dividend growth names.​ Price to Earnings Ratio – Current TTM: 27.53; Buffett’s preferred: Below 15; Status: ❌; Explanation: Using GAAP EPS of 0.30 dollars, the shares trade at about 27.5 times earnings, which is expensive against Buffett’s value threshold.​ Intrinsic Value (DCF) per share – Estimate: 4.85 dollars; Buffett’s preferred: Not applicable; Status: —; Explanation: A discounted cash flow model using TTM FCF of about 725 million dollars, 0% growth, 9% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth yields intrinsic value around 4.85 dollars per share.​ Intrinsic Value (P/E) per share – Estimate: 9.60 dollars; Buffett’s preferred: Not applicable; Status: —; Explanation: Applying a 10‑year median P/E of about 18 times to normalized EPS of 0.53 dollars implies fair value near 9.60 dollars per share.​ Intrinsic Value (P/B) per share – Estimate: 12.73 dollars; Buffett’s preferred: Not applicable; Status: —; Explanation: Using an industry median price to book near 2.5 times and current book value of roughly 5.09 dollars per share yields intrinsic value around 12.73 dollars.​ Current Stock Price – Company value: 8.26 dollars; Buffett’s preferred: Not applicable; Status: —; Explanation: The latest close on December 24, 2025 shows Amcor trading at about 8.26 dollars per share.​ Margin of Safety – Range: minus 70% to plus 35%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 25%; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: Relative to the three valuation methods, the stock looks overvalued versus DCF but undervalued versus P/B, producing a wide margin‑of‑safety range from negative 70% to positive 35%.​ Final Recommendation – Company value: HOLD; Buffett’s preferred: Not applicable; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: The shares offer a high yield and appear cheap on asset and normalized earnings metrics, but weak current ROE and high leverage suggest caution until merger synergies clearly lift EPS.
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US$5
FV
704.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
4.19%
Revenue growth p.a.
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Amcor plc Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Amcor
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$40.21
52 Week HighUS$50.94
52 Week LowUS$36.67
Beta0.63
1 Month Change1.00%
3 Month Change-14.04%
1 Year Change-11.72%
3 Year Change-22.60%
5 Year Change-33.81%
Change since IPO-28.07%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Amcor: The Market Is Still Mispricing This High-Yield Dividend Aristocrat

May 06

AMCR: Future Returns Will Hinge On Malaysia Healthcare Packaging Expansion

Amcor's updated analyst price target has eased from about $51.66 to $50.22, as analysts weigh recent target cuts and downgrades against fresh bullish coverage that assumes a slightly higher revenue growth outlook and a modestly lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor reflects a mix of optimism about execution and growth, alongside fresh caution on valuation and risk, which explains the modest pullback in the average price target.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Hinge On Post Reverse Split Multiple Re Rating

Amcor's updated analyst price target edges lower to $51.66 from $52.54 as analysts balance tempered valuation assumptions, including a slightly lower future P/E, against modestly higher modeled revenue growth and profit margins following recent mixed research calls. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor reflects a split view, with some analysts turning more constructive while others are growing more cautious.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Depend On Berry Integration Synergies After Reverse Split

Amcor's updated analyst price target has moved slightly lower to $52.54 from $53.49, as analysts factor in a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer margin and P/E assumptions following a mix of recent upgrades, downgrades and revised target prices. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor points to a mixed but useful set of signals for you as an investor, with analysts split between constructive views on earnings potential and caution around valuation, volume trends and integration risk.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Hinge On Berry Synergies And Volume Resilience

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price targets on Amcor, with recent changes ranging from a $4 uplift to a $0.60 reduction, as they balance expectations for earnings growth, synergy potential from the Berry Global deal, and some caution around longer term volume trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture, with some analysts highlighting upside from the Berry Global acquisition and others flagging execution and volume risks that could influence where the shares trade relative to their price targets.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Weigh Berry Synergies Against Execution And Volume Risks

Narrative Update on Amcor The updated analyst price targets for Amcor, with moves such as BofA's shift to $9.70 and Truist's increase to $12, reflect a mixed but generally constructive view as analysts weigh potential earnings synergies from the Berry Global deal against more cautious assumptions embedded in slightly revised discount rate and future P/E inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor gives you a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms updating ratings and price targets around the proposed Berry Global acquisition and the outlook for packaging demand.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Reflect Berry Synergies Deleveraging And Mixed Rating Shifts

Analysts have raised their average price target on Amcor by $1.57, supported by updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent mixed rating and target moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with multiple firms revisiting price targets alongside fresh views on earnings power, integration of the Berry Global acquisition, and sector demand trends.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Berry Synergies And Deleveraging

Analysts have trimmed their blended fair value estimate for Amcor from about $54.80 to roughly $51.92, reflecting mixed Street price targets and updated assumptions for revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples tied to views on the Berry deal, packaging demand and potential earnings synergies. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the Berry Global acquisition as value creating, with synergy guidance that they view as potentially conservative.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Be Led By Berry Synergies And Deleveraging

Narrative Update on Amcor The analyst price target for Amcor has been updated to US$54.80, reflecting analysts' focus on potential earnings benefits tied to Berry Global synergies, debt reduction and expectations for packaging demand trends into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor highlights a mix of optimism around earnings potential and synergy capture, alongside some caution on volume trends and longer term growth assumptions.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Berry Synergies And Free Cash Flow

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Amcor to $10.00 from $11.10, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and a modestly lower future P/E multiple, while still pointing to improving margins, robust free cash flow and sizable Berry Global synergy potential as support for long term value. Analyst Commentary Street research on Amcor reflects a mix of optimism about long term value creation from the Berry Global acquisition and caution around near term operational and balance sheet risks.

AMCR: Future Earnings Will Benefit From Berry Global Acquisition Synergies

Analysts have revised Amcor's average price target downward by $0.02, citing lowered revenue growth expectations and ongoing challenges in packaging volumes. However, they note that synergy gains from the Berry Global acquisition may help offset near-term pressures.

Amcor (NYSE:AMCR) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.13

Nov 17
Amcor (NYSE:AMCR) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.13

Amcor's (NYSE:AMCR) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Nov 13
Amcor's (NYSE:AMCR) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

AMCR: Cost Synergies From Berry Deal Will Drive Medium-Term Upside

Amcor's analyst price target has been revised downward from $11.10 to $10, as analysts cite ongoing volume pressures, debt concerns, and cautious optimism about prospective cost synergies from the Berry Global acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent street research offers a mixed outlook on Amcor in light of the company’s ongoing strategic moves, shifting market conditions, and the planned Berry Global acquisition.

Berry Integration And Portfolio Optimization Will Fuel Eco-Friendly Packaging

Amcor's analyst price target has been revised downward from $10.59 to $10.43, a change of $0.16 per share. Analysts are weighing ongoing volume pressures, debt concerns, and evolving synergy expectations from the Berry Global acquisition.

Berry Integration And Portfolio Optimization Will Fuel Eco-Friendly Packaging

Analysts have revised Amcor's price target downward from $10.80 to $10.59, citing persistent headwinds in packaging volumes and debt concerns. However, expectations for synergy realization from recent acquisitions continue to support the company's long-term value outlook.

Berry Integration And Portfolio Optimization Will Fuel Eco-Friendly Packaging

Amcor’s consensus price target edged down from $10.91 to $10.80 as analysts balanced optimism over Berry Global synergies and free cash flow improvements against persistent integration concerns and weak demand volumes. Analyst Commentary Anticipated cost synergies and free cash flow improvements stemming from the Berry Global acquisition are seen as significant positives for medium-term growth.

Berry Integration And Portfolio Optimization Will Fuel Eco-Friendly Packaging

Amcor’s consensus price target was lowered to $10.79 due to analyst concerns over ongoing volume weakness and lowered revenue expectations, though some see improved valuation upside, reflecting a mixed market outlook. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts point to continued volume weakness as a primary drag on Amcor’s near-term outlook.

Amcor (NYSE:AMCR) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.1275

Aug 18
Amcor (NYSE:AMCR) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.1275

Earnings Miss: Amcor plc Missed EPS By 46% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Aug 16
Earnings Miss: Amcor plc Missed EPS By 46% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Amcor: Dividend Aristocrat Executing A Major Acquisition

Apr 08

Amcor: Rare Buying Opportunity With Strong Yield And Potential Massive Growth

Mar 20

Amcor Investors Await Berry Global's Buyout, As Dip-Buying Opportunity Arises

Jan 29

Amcor: Creating A Consumer Packaging Giant With Berry Global Group

Nov 19

Amcor: Adds To My Belief That This Is A Trader's Market (Technical Analysis)

Sep 12
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Harnessing Safety, Efficiency, And Strategic Growth To Propel Market Presence And Revenue Streams

Amcor's commitment to operational efficiency and safety measures is set to improve its operational margins through ongoing initiatives.

Shareholder Returns

AMCRUS PackagingUS Market
7D7.7%3.6%3.2%
1Y-11.7%-3.1%31.0%

Return vs Industry: AMCR underperformed the US Packaging industry which returned -3.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AMCR underperformed the US Market which returned 31% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AMCR's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AMCR volatility
AMCR Average Weekly Movement5.4%
Packaging Industry Average Movement5.3%
Market Average Movement7.1%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: AMCR has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: AMCR's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
192677,000Peter Koniecznywww.amcor.com

Amcor plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of packaging products in Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates in two segments, Global Flexible Packaging Solutions and Global Rigid Packaging Solutions. The Global Flexible Packaging Solutions segment develops and supplies flexible packaging products, including polymer resin, aluminum, and fiber based flexible packaging products to the food and beverage, medical and pharmaceutical, fresh produce, snack food, personal care, and other industries.

Amcor plc Fundamentals Summary

How do Amcor's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AMCR fundamental statistics
Market capUS$17.40b
Earnings (TTM)US$677.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$22.19b
27.4x
P/E Ratio
0.8x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
AMCR income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$22.19b
Cost of RevenueUS$17.94b
Gross ProfitUS$4.25b
Other ExpensesUS$3.57b
EarningsUS$677.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.46
Gross Margin19.14%
Net Profit Margin3.05%
Debt/Equity Ratio135.9%

How did AMCR perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

6.5%
Current Dividend Yield
42%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/06 04:29
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/06 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Amcor plc is covered by 39 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ghansham PanjabiBaird
Brook Campbell-CrawfordBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Benjamin BrayshawBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited