Country Garden Holdings Company Limited

SEHK:2007 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$9.2b

Country Garden Holdings Valuation

Is 2007 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of 2007 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: 2007 (HK$0.2) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (HK$2.92)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: 2007 is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2007?

Key metric: As 2007 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2007. This is calculated by dividing 2007's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2007's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio2.4x
EarningsCN¥3.26b
Market CapCN¥7.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2007's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2007 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average63.4x
1030 Seazen Group
23.3x43.74%HK$10.6b
81 China Overseas Grand Oceans Group
24.5x19.95%HK$8.6b
1396 Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech
178.2xn/aHK$15.1b
817 China Jinmao Holdings Group
27.4x26.82%HK$18.8b
2007 Country Garden Holdings
2.4x-38.52%HK$9.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2007 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (63.4x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2007's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.9.9x18.9%
2007 Country Garden Holdings
 2.4x-38.52%US$1.17b
618 Peking University Resources (Holdings)
1.2xn/aUS$143.21m
813 Shimao Group Holdings
0.05x-52.05%US$102.59m
2007 2.4xIndustry Avg. 9.9xNo. of Companies16PE01020304050+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.9.9x18.9%
2007 Country Garden Holdings
 2.4x-38.52%US$1.17b
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2007 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.4x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (9.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2007's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2007 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio2.4x
Fair PE Ratio3.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2007 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2007 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$0.20
HK$0.29
+44.96%
25.35%HK$0.40HK$0.20n/a4
Jun ’27HK$0.24
HK$0.29
+22.23%
25.35%HK$0.40HK$0.20n/a4
May ’27HK$0.29
HK$0.30
+3.63%
24.77%HK$0.41HK$0.20n/a4
Apr ’27HK$0.32
HK$0.35
+8.83%
32.39%HK$0.50HK$0.20n/a4
Mar ’27HK$0.35
HK$0.35
-1.90%
32.39%HK$0.50HK$0.20n/a4
Feb ’27HK$0.29
HK$0.35
+18.06%
32.39%HK$0.50HK$0.20n/a4
Jan ’27HK$0.41
HK$0.40
-3.06%
19.22%HK$0.51HK$0.29n/a4
Dec ’26HK$0.51
HK$0.40
-22.21%
18.77%HK$0.50HK$0.29n/a4
Nov ’26HK$0.57
HK$0.40
-30.40%
18.77%HK$0.50HK$0.29n/a4
Oct ’26HK$0.60
HK$0.40
-33.88%
18.77%HK$0.50HK$0.29n/a4
Sep ’26HK$0.45
HK$0.37
-16.22%
12.87%HK$0.40HK$0.29n/a4
Aug ’26HK$0.47
HK$0.38
-19.11%
12.26%HK$0.41HK$0.30n/a4
Jul ’26HK$0.38
HK$0.42
+9.33%
20.17%HK$0.56HK$0.30n/a5
Jun ’26HK$0.39
HK$0.41
+6.53%
20.01%HK$0.55HK$0.29HK$0.245
May ’26HK$0.42
HK$0.41
-2.77%
20.49%HK$0.55HK$0.29HK$0.295
Apr ’26HK$0.47
HK$0.41
-11.55%
19.89%HK$0.55HK$0.30HK$0.325
Mar ’26HK$0.50
HK$0.43
-13.20%
24.24%HK$0.59HK$0.30HK$0.358
Feb ’26HK$0.43
HK$0.49
+12.12%
32.72%HK$0.81HK$0.30HK$0.298
Jan ’26n/a
HK$0.53
0%
24.04%HK$0.80HK$0.39HK$0.417
Dec ’25n/a
HK$0.61
0%
30.54%HK$1.00HK$0.39HK$0.519
Nov ’25n/a
HK$0.62
0%
30.51%HK$1.03HK$0.40HK$0.579
Oct ’25n/a
HK$0.62
0%
30.28%HK$1.02HK$0.41HK$0.609
Sep ’25n/a
HK$0.62
0%
30.33%HK$1.02HK$0.41HK$0.459
Aug ’25n/a
HK$0.60
0%
30.64%HK$1.00HK$0.40HK$0.479
Jul ’25n/a
HK$0.57
0%
21.55%HK$0.80HK$0.40HK$0.3810
Jun ’25n/a
HK$0.58
0%
19.30%HK$0.80HK$0.40HK$0.3910
HK$0.29
Fair Value
31.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/21 17:44
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/18 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Country Garden Holdings Company Limited is covered by 30 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yunting LuoBarclays
Katrina FuBernstein
Karl ChoiBofA Global Research