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Burford Capital LimitedAIM:BUR Stock Report

Market Cap UK£730.5m
Share Price
UK£3.42
UK£6.44
46.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-57.9%
7D4.9%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Burford Capital Limited

AIM:BUR Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£730.5m

BUR Community Fair Values

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See what 7 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Burford Capital Limited Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Burford Capital
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$3.42
52 Week HighUS$11.13
52 Week LowUS$2.80
Beta1.06
1 Month Change2.64%
3 Month Change-43.36%
1 Year Change-57.88%
3 Year Change-65.69%
5 Year Change-56.66%
Change since IPO218.51%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update Jun 06

BUR: Future Upside Will Rely On YPF Windfall And Litigation Outcomes

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Burford Capital by £0.44 to reflect updated assumptions for fair value, discount rates and future profitability, while still highlighting differing views on upside potential after recent target moves and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mixed but engaged analyst backdrop around Burford Capital, with several firms adjusting targets and ratings in quick succession.

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 06

BUR: Future Upside Will Rely On YPF Windfall And Litigation Outcomes

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Burford Capital by £0.44 to reflect updated assumptions for fair value, discount rates and future profitability, while still highlighting differing views on upside potential after recent target moves and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mixed but engaged analyst backdrop around Burford Capital, with several firms adjusting targets and ratings in quick succession.
Narrative Update Apr 22

BUR: Future Upside Will Rely On YPF Windfall And Litigation Cash RoTE

Burford Capital's average analyst price target has been reduced by about £10.50 to around £15, as analysts weigh recent rating changes and updated views on case outcomes, funding deployment, and the timing of potential YPF related cash flows. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates give you a mixed but useful snapshot of how the market is thinking about Burford Capital, with some focusing on upside linked to its differentiated business model and others dialing back expectations around specific case outcomes and valuation.
Narrative Update Apr 07

BUR: Future Upside Will Rely On YPF Windfall And Litigation Cash RoTE

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Burford Capital has been reduced by £5.87. Analysts attribute the change to higher perceived risk, lower assumed profit margins at 29.4%, and a more conservative future P/E of 10.3x.
Narrative Update Mar 24

BUR: Future Returns Will Hinge On YPF Windfall And Litigation Cash RoTE

Narrative Update on Burford Capital The Street wide price targets for Burford Capital have edged lower, with Deutsche Bank trimming its view to £15 and Wedbush setting a £14 target. Analysts point to Burford's pure play litigation finance model, perceived cash generation and potential upside from the YPF dispute as key factors in their updated assessments.
Narrative Update Mar 09

BUR: Future Returns Will Hinge On YPF Windfall And Litigation Cash RoTE

The latest analyst price targets for Burford Capital point to a modest recalibration, with fair value estimates edging from £12.90 to £12.61 as analysts balance higher assumed revenue growth and a slightly richer future P/E with lower profit margin expectations and a reduced discount rate, informed by recent target moves from £16 to £15 and fresh coverage in the £10.62 to £14 range. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Burford Capital focuses on its position as a pure-play litigation finance company, its current valuation against book value, and the potential impact of case outcomes such as the YPF dispute.
Narrative Update Feb 22

BUR: Future Returns Will Hinge On YPF Windfall And Cash RoTE

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Burford Capital to about £12.90 from roughly £14.17, reflecting updated assumptions for slower revenue growth and lower profit margins, while continuing to highlight the stock as a unique pure-play in litigation finance with potential upside from case outcomes such as the YPF dispute. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts frame Burford as a rare pure-play in litigation finance, arguing that its niche positioning could justify a premium to more diversified financials if execution remains consistent.
Narrative Update Feb 07

BUR: Future Upside Will Depend On Argentina Appeal Judgment Outcome

Analysts have nudged their price target for Burford Capital higher, with fair value moving from US$13.74 to US$14.17 as they refine assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: nudged higher from US$13.74 to US$14.17, reflecting a modest uplift in the valuation estimate.
Narrative Update Jan 23

BUR: Future Upside Will Depend On Argentina Appeal Judgment Outcome

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Burford Capital to about US$13.74 from roughly US$14.20. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly lower fair value and profit margin, alongside marginally higher expected revenue growth and a modestly lower forward P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Jan 08

BUR: Future Returns Will Hinge On Argentina Appeal Judgment Outcome

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Burford Capital to US$14.20 from US$13.89, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that slightly reshape their overall price target framework. What's in the News Burford Capital shares moved sharply during a U.S. appeals court hearing on Argentina's challenge to a US$16b judgment that plaintiffs backed by Burford had won, with two of three judges raising skeptical questions about whether the case belonged in U.S. courts (Bloomberg).
Narrative Update Dec 11

BUR: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Argentina Appeal Judgment Outcome

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Burford Capital to approximately $13.89, up from about $13.58. They cite a slightly higher fair value estimate supported by stable revenue growth assumptions, resilient profit margins, and a marginally higher future earnings multiple, despite a small uptick in the discount rate.
Narrative Update Nov 27

BUR: Future Earnings Will Be Driven by Outcome of Argentina Appeal

Analysts have revised Burford Capital's fair value estimate downward from $14.13 to $13.58 per share. They cite modest adjustments to their discount rate and earnings projections as reasons for this change.
Narrative Update Nov 12

BUR: Future Earnings Will Reflect Impact of Argentina Appeal Outcome

Analysts have revised Burford Capital’s fair value estimate downward from $15.50 to $14.13, citing updated assumptions regarding discount rates, revenue growth, and projected profitability. What's in the News Shares of Burford Capital dropped 10% to $10.01 as an appeal hearing took place regarding Argentina's challenge of the $16 billion U.S. court judgment.
Narrative Update Oct 27

Buybacks And Index Inclusion Will Support Litigation Finance Expansion Ahead

Burford Capital's analyst price target has increased from $14.49 to $15.50, as analysts cite improving fair value estimates, along with modest adjustments to the discount rate and future P/E ratio, as key factors in their updated outlook. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for September 26, 2025, to consider an interim dividend of USD 6.25 cents per ordinary share for the year ending December 31, 2025 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Oct 09

Robust Portfolio Recovery And Litigation Finance Will Drive Future Opportunities

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Burford Capital from $14.85 to $14.49, citing subtle changes in discount rate assumptions and updated future earnings multiples. What's in the News Burford Capital's board will meet on September 26, 2025 to consider an interim dividend of USD 6.25 cents per ordinary share for the year ending December 31, 2025 (Board Meeting).
Narrative Update Sep 20

Robust Portfolio Recovery And Litigation Finance Will Drive Future Opportunities

With Burford Capital’s Future P/E ratio rising modestly, indicating slightly higher growth or profit expectations, the consensus analyst price target has been revised upward from £14.50 to £14.85. What's in the News Completed a share buyback of 29,227 shares for £0.38 million under a program announced in June 2025.
Narrative Update Aug 27

Robust Portfolio Recovery And Litigation Finance Will Drive Future Opportunities

Despite a sharp increase in revenue growth forecasts, a notable decline in net profit margin has led to a slight reduction in Burford Capital’s consensus analyst price target from £14.84 to £14.50. What's in the News Burford Capital added to multiple Russell growth indices, including the Russell 2000, 2500, 3000, Small Cap Comp, and 3000E Growth indices.
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New Narrative Feb 09

Active Teams In EMEA And Asia Pacific Will Create New Opportunities In Future Cases

Strong portfolio performance and liquidity enable future revenue growth through active case management and strategic global expansion.
Analysis Article Sep 08

Do Burford Capital's (LON:BUR) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analysis Article Aug 12

Burford Capital Limited's (LON:BUR) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Burford Capital Limited's ( LON:BUR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.9x might make it look like a strong buy...
Analysis Article May 22

What Does The Future Hold For Burford Capital Limited (LON:BUR)? These Analysts Have Been Cutting Their Estimates

One thing we could say about the analysts on Burford Capital Limited ( LON:BUR ) - they aren't optimistic, having just...
Analysis Article May 08

Here's Why We Think Burford Capital (LON:BUR) Is Well Worth Watching

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Analysis Article Nov 12

With EPS Growth And More, Burford Capital (LON:BUR) Makes An Interesting Case

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...

Shareholder Returns

BURGB Diversified FinancialGB Market
7D4.9%3.7%2.4%
1Y-57.9%-4.9%18.2%

Return vs Industry: BUR underperformed the UK Diversified Financial industry which returned -4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: BUR underperformed the UK Market which returned 18.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is BUR's price volatile compared to industry and market?
BUR volatility
BUR Average Weekly Movement14.8%
Diversified Financial Industry Average Movement4.6%
Market Average Movement5.6%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market11.2%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: BUR's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the UK market.

Volatility Over Time: BUR's weekly volatility has increased from 9% to 15% over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2009172Christopher Bogartwww.burfordcapital.com

Burford Capital Limited provides legal finance products and services worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Principal Finance, and Asset Management and Other Services. The Principal Finance segment provides capital against the underlying value of high-value single or multiple litigation and arbitration matters at any stage of the process from before filing to after a final judgment has been entered; and to a law firm that has agreed to take a case on a contingent fee or alternative fee basis, as well as directly to the client.

Burford Capital Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Burford Capital's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
BUR fundamental statistics
Market capUK£730.51m
Earnings (TTM)-UK£1.20b
Revenue (TTM)n/a
-0.7x
P/S Ratio
-0.6x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
BUR income statement (TTM)
Revenue-US$1.45b
Cost of Revenue-US$32.28m
Gross Profit-US$1.42b
Other ExpensesUS$185.04m
Earnings-US$1.60b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-7.31
Gross Margin97.77%
Net Profit Margin110.55%
Debt/Equity Ratio158.7%

How did BUR perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.8%
Current Dividend Yield
-2%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/17 03:53
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/17 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Burford Capital Limited is covered by 11 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robert ChantryBerenberg
James AllenBerenberg
Alexander BowersBerenberg