TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Overview
Designs, produces, and supplies aircraft components in the United States and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 0/6 |
| Dividends | 2/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
TDG Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 61 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Capital Goods opportunity
CE
Fair Value from
CA$5.257.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
When GPS fails: this small cap is fixing a $54B drone problem
Key Points: Sparc AI (CSE:SPAI) is tackling a growing global problem: drones and aircraft failing when GPS is jammed or spoofed, a problem already driving massive government losses globally. Its Overwatch platform is a software solution to the hardware problem, using AI and existing sensors making it highly scalable across fleets.
Read full narrativeTransDigm Group Incorporated Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$1,241.98 |
| 52 Week High | US$1,623.83 |
| 52 Week Low | US$1,123.61 |
| Beta | 0.88 |
| 1 Month Change | 6.19% |
| 3 Month Change | -3.39% |
| 1 Year Change | -10.33% |
| 3 Year Change | 55.86% |
| 5 Year Change | 111.74% |
| Change since IPO | 5,053.44% |
Recent News & Updates
Analysis Article • 10h
Results: TransDigm Group Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
TransDigm Group Incorporated ( NYSE:TDG ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers...
Narrative Update • Apr 29
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And M&A Discipline Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for TransDigm edges lower by about $15, as analysts factor in higher required returns and slightly softer margin assumptions while keeping revenue growth and P/E expectations broadly in line. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TransDigm highlights a mix of caution and support, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets in response to updated assumptions on required returns, margins, and execution risk after the latest quarterly report.Recent updates
Analysis Article • 10h
Results: TransDigm Group Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
TransDigm Group Incorporated ( NYSE:TDG ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers...Narrative Update • Apr 29
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And M&A Discipline Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for TransDigm edges lower by about $15, as analysts factor in higher required returns and slightly softer margin assumptions while keeping revenue growth and P/E expectations broadly in line. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TransDigm highlights a mix of caution and support, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets in response to updated assumptions on required returns, margins, and execution risk after the latest quarterly report.Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
TransDigm: Commercial Exposure Drives Sell-Off, But Valuation Now Attractive
Summary TransDigm (TDG) shares have declined over 10%, but I maintain a buy rating with a $1,537 price target, implying 32% upside. Commercial aftermarket exposure presents risk from geopolitical tensions and cost inflation, but earnings estimates have held up relatively well. TDG is expected to deliver 10.5% annual sales growth and nearly 20% annual free cash flow growth through 2028, with margins dipping slightly before recovering. Despite demand risks, current valuation is oversold versus historical and peer multiples, and M&A opportunities could further enhance value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 10
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And M&A Discipline Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for TransDigm Group to about $1,552 from roughly $1,591, reflecting a mix of reduced price targets following recent downgrades and initiations, alongside some upward revisions from firms that remain constructive on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split field, with some firms trimming price targets or downgrading, while others are still raising their valuation work for TransDigm Group.Narrative Update • Mar 27
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And Buybacks Will Drive Future Returns
TransDigm Group's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly higher to $1,591.25, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a mix of recent target hikes and cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TransDigm Group shows a split between bullish analysts lifting price targets and more cautious voices lowering targets or moving to neutral stances.Narrative Update • Dec 27
TDG: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Aftermarket Cash Flows And Buyback Capacity
The analyst derived fair value estimate for TransDigm Group has inched higher to approximately $1,586 from about $1,581, as analysts modestly raise price targets on the back of Q3 and Q4 earnings beats, resilient aftermarket profitability, and expectations for continued 20% multi year EPS growth, despite some deceleration in aftermarket growth rates and conservative forward guidance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts remain broadly constructive on TransDigm, highlighting continued earnings outperformance, resilient margins, and a compelling relative valuation profile even as growth normalizes from post pandemic highs.Narrative Update • Dec 13
TDG: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Aftermarket Margins And M&A Optionality
Our revised fair value estimate for TransDigm Group edges up to $1,581 from $1,578, reflecting analysts' slightly higher price targets supported by continued earnings outperformance, resilient aftermarket fundamentals, and the optionality from future large scale M&A. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on TransDigm, with most recent actions involving higher price targets and reaffirmed positive ratings, even where those targets have been modestly trimmed.Narrative Update • Nov 27
TDG: Multi-Year Earnings Expansion Will Rely On Margin Strength And M&A Capacity
TransDigm Group's fair value estimate has been increased by analysts to $1,577.65 from $1,557.89. This change reflects continued conviction in strong organic growth, robust earnings performance, and expectations for future margin resilience despite a mixed outlook for certain market segments.Narrative Update • Nov 05
TDG: Aftermarket Demand And Acquisition Capacity Will Drive Shares Higher
Analysts have reduced their price targets for TransDigm Group. Recent estimates have moved from a range of about $1,730 to $1,385 per share, citing factors including compressed valuation multiples, shifting after-market demand, and a more uncertain outlook for large acquisitions.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Adjust TransDigm Group Outlook Amid Aftermarket Strength and Softer OEM Demand
Analysts have revised TransDigm Group's price target lower, reducing the fair value from $1,586 to $1,558. This adjustment is attributed to factors such as softening commercial OEM demand, compressed EBITDA multiples, and a more cautious outlook on large acquisitions.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Air Travel Demand And OEM Backlogs Will Sustain Future Upside
TransDigm Group's analyst price target has been lowered slightly from approximately $1,608 to $1,586. Analysts cite concerns around compressed EBITDA multiples and reduced Commercial OEM expectations, despite ongoing acquisition capacity and robust after-market fundamentals.Analysis Article • Sep 21
TransDigm Group (NYSE:TDG) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...Narrative Update • Sep 04
Air Travel Demand And OEM Backlogs Will Sustain Future Upside
TransDigm Group’s price target remains steady at $1621 as weaker commercial OEM sales expectations are offset by bullish confidence in ongoing aerospace and defense strength, sector tailwinds, and the company’s resilient fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent reduction in price target reflects lowered sales guidance due to weaker Commercial OEM end-market expectations, driven by slower build rates and inventory destocking in the supply chain.Analysis Article • Jun 29
Why TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE:TDG) Could Be Worth Watching
Let's talk about the popular TransDigm Group Incorporated ( NYSE:TDG ). The company's shares received a lot of...Analysis Article • Jun 11
Does TransDigm Group (NYSE:TDG) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analysis Article • May 24
Investors Should Be Encouraged By TransDigm Group's (NYSE:TDG) Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Seeking Alpha • Mar 14
TransDigm: Still A Buy Despite The Leverage And The Premium Valuation
Summary TransDigm holds a dominant market position, leveraging its pricing power to maintain high FCF margins and return capital to shareholders despite potential 2025 headwinds. 90% of its revenue comes from selling proprietary parts, ensuring FAA-certified exclusivity and pricing power. During the Q1 2025 earnings, the company showed commitment to returning capital to its shareholders with special dividend payments and share repurchases. Even though we are seeing growth in the commercial OEM segment of the business, that will be circumvented by the growth in defense spending. DOGE fears are exaggerated due to the fact that the DoD contributes less than 1% of TransDigm's revenue. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 21
TransDigm Group: Balanced Growth Outlook But Negative Near-Term Sentiment (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I recommend a hold rating for TransDigm stock due to near-term sentiment headwinds, despite strong structural tailwinds from aftermarket demand and increasing defense budgets. TDG benefits from robust air travel demand and supply chain disruptions, driving high demand for maintenance, repair, and overhaul services. TDG's defense segment is growing, supported by rising global defense spending, but regulatory scrutiny and growth deceleration pose risks. TDG trades at a premium multiple, making it less attractive now; investors should revisit once uncertainties subside or valuation improves. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 18
TransDigm: Expect Muted Upside With Balance Sheet And Regulatory Headwinds
Summary TransDigm's Q4'24 results show strong performance with a 19% EBITDA increase, driven by robust growth in Commercial OEM and Aftermarket sales. The company continues its aggressive M&A strategy, acquiring SEI Industries, an electron device business, and Raptor Scientific, adding significant high-margin revenue streams. Elevated debt levels and potential regulatory scrutiny pose risks, potentially limiting M&A flexibility and impacting future growth. Despite high-quality operations, TransDigm's valuation appears fully priced, suggesting limited near-term upside; I remain cautious and will avoid buying for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Sep 24
Skyrocketing Through Challenges, A Future Of Growth And Strategic Wins In Aerospace
Strong aftermarket demand and favorable aerospace market trends suggest potential for significant revenue and earnings growth.Seeking Alpha • Sep 09
TransDigm -- A Stock Every Investor Should Know
Summary TransDigm Group Incorporated excels with proprietary products and aftermarket sales, driving high margins and consistent cash flow, benefiting from growing and aging fleets. The private-equity-style model and 92 acquisitions since 1993 have generated substantial shareholder value and positioned TransDigm Group as a key aerospace supplier. Despite a high P/E ratio of 39.3x, TransDigm Group's strong growth outlook and special dividend approach make it a compelling investment. Regulatory risks and economic cycles are concerns, but TransDigm's pricing power and strategic acquisitions ensure a bright future in the aerospace industry. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| TDG | US Aerospace & Defense | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| 1Y | -10.3% | 37.0% | 31.0% |
Return vs Industry: TDG underperformed the US Aerospace & Defense industry which returned 37% over the past year.
Return vs Market: TDG underperformed the US Market which returned 31% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| TDG volatility | |
|---|---|
| TDG Average Weekly Movement | 4.3% |
| Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement | 8.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: TDG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: TDG's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1993 | 16,500 | Mike Lisman | www.transdigm.com |
TransDigm Group Incorporated designs, produces, and supplies aircraft components in the United States and internationally. The Power & Control segment offers mechanical/electro-mechanical actuators and controls, ignition systems and engine technology, specialized pumps and valves, power conditioning devices, specialized AC/DC electric motors and generators, batteries and chargers, databus and power controls, sensor products, switches and relay panels, hoists, winches and lifting devices, cargo loading and handling systems, delivery systems, and electronic components. Its Airframe segment provides engineered latching and locking devices, engineered rods, engineered connectors and elastomer sealing solutions, cockpit security components and systems, cockpit displays, lavatory components, seat belts and safety restraints, engineered and customized interior surfaces and related components, thermal protection and insulation products, lighting and control technology, parachutes, specialized flight, wind tunnel and jet engine testing services and equipment, and testing and instrumentation solutions, as well as engineered audio, radio, and antenna systems.
TransDigm Group Incorporated Fundamentals Summary
| TDG fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$68.99b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$1.86b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$9.50b |
37.3x
P/E Ratio7.3x
P/S RatioIs TDG overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| TDG income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$9.50b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$3.83b |
| Gross Profit | US$5.68b |
| Other Expenses | US$3.81b |
| Earnings | US$1.86b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 28, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 33.33 |
| Gross Margin | 59.72% |
| Net Profit Margin | 19.61% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | -337.4% |
How did TDG perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
7.2%
Current Dividend Yieldn/a
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 23:31 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/28 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
TransDigm Group Incorporated is covered by 39 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| David Strauss | Barclays |
| Carter Copeland | Barclays |