Ternium (TX) Stock Overview
Manufactures and distributes steel products in Mexico, Southern Region, Brazil, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
TX Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 56 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Materials opportunity
ST
Fair Value from
CA$5.0768.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
An Undervalued 3.3Moz Gold Project in Canada
Key takeaways Upside Gold is developing the Kena Gold Project, near the town of Nelson in the Kootenays region of southern British Columbia. Kena hosts a historical gold resource of 3.33 million ounces (561,000 ounces Indicated and 2.77 million ounces Inferred) across a 10,200-hectare land package.
Read full narrativeTernium S.A. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$44.11 |
| 52 Week High | US$45.57 |
| 52 Week Low | US$27.12 |
| Beta | 1.19 |
| 1 Month Change | 10.77% |
| 3 Month Change | 1.59% |
| 1 Year Change | 50.09% |
| 3 Year Change | 13.66% |
| 5 Year Change | 7.90% |
| Change since IPO | 88.75% |
Recent News & Updates
TX: Dividend Reset And Stronger Margins Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Ternium to $43.46 from $40.19, citing updates to discount rate assumptions, expectations for revenue growth, the profit margin outlook, and future P/E estimates. What's in the News Ternium's Board revised its dividend proposal for fiscal year 2025 to a total payout of $2.20 per ADS ($0.22 per share), or $432 million, compared with the previously announced $2.70 per ADS.Ternium: Retest Of $45+ Likely As We Approach Q1 Earnings Release (Rating Upgrade) (Technical Analysis)
Apr 23
TX: Higher Discount Rate And Thinner Margins Will Likely Limit Future Upside
Analysts are keeping Ternium's price target steady at $33.00, highlighting updated assumptions for a higher discount rate, lower revenue growth and profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers behind the revised view. Valuation Changes Fair Value: $33.00 is unchanged, indicating no shift in the central value estimate.
TX: Stronger Margin Outlook And Lower P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their Ternium price target steady at $50.00, with the unchanged fair value reflecting updated views on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that broadly offset each other in their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value remains steady at $50.00, indicating no change in the headline valuation output.Recent updates
TX: Dividend Reset And Stronger Margins Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Ternium to $43.46 from $40.19, citing updates to discount rate assumptions, expectations for revenue growth, the profit margin outlook, and future P/E estimates. What's in the News Ternium's Board revised its dividend proposal for fiscal year 2025 to a total payout of $2.20 per ADS ($0.22 per share), or $432 million, compared with the previously announced $2.70 per ADS.Ternium: Retest Of $45+ Likely As We Approach Q1 Earnings Release (Rating Upgrade) (Technical Analysis)
Apr 23TX: Higher Discount Rate And Thinner Margins Will Likely Limit Future Upside
Analysts are keeping Ternium's price target steady at $33.00, highlighting updated assumptions for a higher discount rate, lower revenue growth and profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers behind the revised view. Valuation Changes Fair Value: $33.00 is unchanged, indicating no shift in the central value estimate.TX: Stronger Margin Outlook And Lower P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their Ternium price target steady at $50.00, with the unchanged fair value reflecting updated views on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that broadly offset each other in their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value remains steady at $50.00, indicating no change in the headline valuation output.TX: Higher Required Return And Richer P/E Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target on Ternium slightly higher to about $40.19 from roughly $39.88, reflecting updated views on discount rates, modestly adjusted revenue growth expectations, and a small change in assumed profit margins and future price-to-earnings ratios. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Ternium's estimated fair value is now $40.19, compared with the prior figure of $39.88, indicating only a small adjustment.TX: Higher Future P/E Assumption Will Support Stronger Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target on Ternium from $43.00 to $50.00. This change reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple.TX: Higher Required Return And Earnings Multiple Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts now see Ternium's fair value at about $39.88 per share, up from roughly $36.81. This reflects updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.TX: Higher Discount Rate And Modest Margins Will Likely Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Ternium slightly higher to around $33 per share, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, while keeping overall fair value broadly in line with prior views. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at around $33.00 per share, keeping the central valuation view steady.TX: Higher Future P/E Will Likely Constrain Returns Despite Slight Margin Tweaks
Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium from US$30.00 to US$33.00, citing updated assumptions in their models for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Adjusted from US$30.00 to US$33.00, representing a modest upward revision in the estimated share value.TX: Future P/E And Softer Margins Will Likely Pressure Returns
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Ternium, keeping fair value at $30.00 while fine tuning underlying assumptions such as a slightly lower discount rate, a higher revenue growth outlook, a marginally softer profit margin, and a slightly higher future P/E. Together, these changes refine rather than overhaul their view of the stock.TX: Future Earnings Multiple Will Likely Compress From Current Levels
Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium from 26.00 dollars to 30.00 dollars, citing higher anticipated revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a lower expected future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased moderately from 26.0 dollars to 30.0 dollars per share.TX: Slightly Higher Required Return Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Ternium to bring it more in line with their fair value estimate of approximately $36.81 per share. This adjustment reflects slightly higher assumed discount rates while keeping expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples broadly unchanged.Returns On Capital At Ternium (NYSE:TX) Paint A Concerning Picture
Dec 03
TX: Subtle Shifts In Margin Outlook Will Influence Fair Value Ahead
Narrative Update on Ternium: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Ternium from $35.96 to $36.81, citing subtle adjustments in growth projections and profit expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value has risen slightly from $35.96 to $36.81.TX: Revenue Strength And Margin Pressure Will Shape Fair Valuation Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Ternium from $35.65 to $35.96. They cite improved revenue growth forecasts, even though a slightly lower profit margin is anticipated.Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ternium (NYSE:TX)
Nov 05Ternium S.A. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Nov 01Pesqueria Center Investment And Nearshoring Will Fuel Steel Demand
Analysts have raised their price target for Ternium from $35.31 to $35.65. They cite incremental improvements in key financial metrics as the basis for this modest increase.Pesqueria Center Investment And Nearshoring Will Fuel Steel Demand
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Ternium, increasing it from $34.62 to $35.31. This change is based on improved profit margin projections and adjustments for modest changes in revenue growth expectations.The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Ternium S.A.'s (NYSE:TX) Revenues Yet
Oct 03Here's Why Ternium (NYSE:TX) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Jul 23Ternium (NYSE:TX) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
Jun 27Potential Upside For Ternium S.A. (NYSE:TX) Not Without Risk
May 31Ternium: Appealing And Risky At The Same Time
Jan 31
Nearshoring And New Facilities Will Expand Steel Production Capacity By 2026
Increasing production capacity with new facilities in Pesqueria will drive future revenue growth by meeting steel demand in key industries.Ternium: Don't Judge A Book By Its Cover
Nov 14Ternium: Still Not A Buy As Near-Term Growth Prospects Remain Unfavorable
Sep 19Ternium: Patience Should Pay Off, But Near-Term Conditions Are Weak
Aug 02Ternium: Expected Margin Contraction Makes Me Avoid This Stock Despite A Cheap Valuation
May 04Ternium: Trading At Less Than 3 Times EBITDA
Mar 07Ternium: Outlook Solid After Boosting Stake In Brazilian Steelmaker (Reiterate Buy)
Dec 13Shareholder Returns
| TX | US Metals and Mining | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.6% | -0.4% | 1.8% |
| 1Y | 50.1% | 82.1% | 29.8% |
Return vs Industry: TX underperformed the US Metals and Mining industry which returned 82.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: TX exceeded the US Market which returned 28.4% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| TX volatility | |
|---|---|
| TX Average Weekly Movement | 4.0% |
| Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement | 10.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: TX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: TX's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1961 | 33,949 | Maximo Vedoya | www.ternium.com |
Ternium S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes steel products in Mexico, Southern Region, Brazil, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Steel and Mining. The Steel segment offers slabs, heavy plates, hot and cold rolled products, coated products, stamped steel parts for the automotive industry, roll-formed and tubular products, billets, bars, and other products, including sales of energy.
Ternium S.A. Fundamentals Summary
| TX fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$8.39b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$425.23m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$15.61b |
20.4x
P/E Ratio0.6x
P/S RatioIs TX overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| TX income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$15.61b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$13.27b |
| Gross Profit | US$2.34b |
| Other Expenses | US$1.92b |
| Earnings | US$425.23m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
May 06, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 2.17 |
| Gross Margin | 15.00% |
| Net Profit Margin | 2.72% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 15.0% |
How did TX perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
6.1%
Current Dividend Yield125%
Payout RatioDoes TX pay a reliable dividends?
See TX dividend history and benchmarks| Ternium dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | May 14 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | May 20 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 8 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 14 days |
Does TX pay a reliable dividends?
See TX dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/05 04:55 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/05 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Ternium S.A. is covered by 18 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Correa | Barclays |
| Alessandro Abate | Berenberg |
| Caio Ribeiro | BofA Global Research |