United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGS:UAL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$35.1b

United Airlines Holdings Valuation

Is UAL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of UAL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: UAL ($110.96) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($390.94)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: UAL is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UAL?

Key metric: As UAL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UAL. This is calculated by dividing UAL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UAL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.7x
EarningsUS$3.35b
Market CapUS$35.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UAL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UAL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.5x
DAL Delta Air Lines
8.9x-0.62%US$43.8b
LUV Southwest Airlines
58.5x37.15%US$21.9b
AAL American Airlines Group
16.6x35.21%US$9.8b
ALK Alaska Air Group
37.9x57.26%US$5.5b
UAL United Airlines Holdings
10.7x3.85%US$35.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the peer average (30.5x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UAL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UAL 10.7xIndustry Avg. 9.5xNo. of Companies9PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UAL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (9.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UAL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UAL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.7x
Fair PE Ratio15x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UAL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$110.96
US$132.29
+19.22%
13.89%US$156.00US$62.00n/a24
Jan ’27US$111.82
US$125.17
+11.94%
13.60%US$156.00US$62.00n/a23
Dec ’26US$101.12
US$122.15
+20.80%
14.39%US$156.00US$62.00n/a20
Nov ’26US$94.04
US$123.20
+31.01%
14.53%US$156.00US$62.00n/a20
Oct ’26US$93.15
US$115.20
+23.67%
17.78%US$149.00US$43.00n/a20
Sep ’26US$105.00
US$108.90
+3.71%
15.99%US$130.00US$43.00n/a20
Aug ’26US$84.57
US$107.65
+27.29%
15.75%US$130.00US$43.00n/a20
Jul ’26US$80.05
US$95.36
+19.13%
20.58%US$130.00US$42.00n/a23
Jun ’26US$79.45
US$93.71
+17.96%
21.57%US$130.00US$42.00n/a23
May ’26US$69.16
US$90.84
+31.35%
22.47%US$130.00US$42.00n/a23
Apr ’26US$68.20
US$118.93
+74.38%
19.60%US$150.00US$39.00n/a23
Mar ’26US$93.81
US$130.36
+38.97%
17.33%US$165.00US$39.00n/a23
Feb ’26US$105.84
US$129.50
+22.35%
17.52%US$165.00US$39.00n/a23
Jan ’26US$97.10
US$110.96
+14.27%
22.47%US$150.00US$36.00US$111.8223
Dec ’25US$96.83
US$98.96
+2.20%
24.09%US$150.00US$36.00US$101.1223
Nov ’25US$80.46
US$86.91
+8.02%
17.49%US$108.00US$36.00US$94.0421
Oct ’25US$56.13
US$69.59
+23.99%
18.06%US$100.00US$36.00US$93.1521
Sep ’25US$44.04
US$69.59
+58.02%
18.64%US$100.00US$36.00US$105.0021
Aug ’25US$42.38
US$69.78
+64.66%
19.05%US$100.00US$36.00US$84.5721
Jul ’25US$48.33
US$68.19
+41.10%
19.02%US$98.00US$35.00US$80.0521
Jun ’25US$52.99
US$67.67
+27.70%
20.18%US$98.00US$35.00US$79.4521
May ’25US$50.67
US$65.96
+30.18%
19.75%US$98.00US$35.00US$69.1619
Apr ’25US$47.35
US$62.59
+32.18%
19.48%US$98.00US$38.00US$68.2020
Mar ’25US$44.84
US$61.57
+37.30%
19.09%US$98.00US$38.00US$93.8120
Feb ’25US$41.50
US$61.47
+48.11%
18.80%US$98.00US$38.00US$105.8420
Jan ’25US$41.26
US$58.05
+40.69%
24.03%US$98.00US$35.00US$97.1020
US$132.29
Fair Value
16.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/21 11:51
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/21 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. is covered by 42 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
David FintzenBarclays