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Mondelez International, Inc.NasdaqGS:MDLZ Stock Report

Market Cap US$77.6b
Share Price
US$61.64
US$66.36
7.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-8.0%
7D-1.6%
Portfolio Value
View

Mondelez International, Inc.

NasdaqGS:MDLZ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$77.6b

Mondelez International (MDLZ) Stock Overview

Through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and sells snack food and beverage products in Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. More details

MDLZ fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends3/6

MDLZ Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 151 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Mondelez International, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Mondelez International
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$60.44
52 Week HighUS$71.15
52 Week LowUS$51.20
Beta0.40
1 Month Change5.57%
3 Month Change0.97%
1 Year Change-8.03%
3 Year Change-20.34%
5 Year Change-5.09%
Change since IPO93.41%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update Apr 20

MDLZ: Cocoa Cost Reset From 2026 Will Support Earnings Recovery

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Mondelez International slightly higher to $66.36 from $66.08, citing a mix of refreshed price targets across the Street and expectations that factors like cocoa costs and earnings normalization are being recalibrated in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Mondelez International reflects an active debate around how much earnings power to assign to the business as input costs reset and category growth expectations are reassessed.
Seeking Alpha Apr 14

Mondelez: Durable Snacking With Volume And Price Tailwinds Entering FY2026 - Reiterate Buy

Summary MDLZ's FY2026 is likely a trough year, due to their legacy high-cost cocoa contracts, but double-digit adj EPS recovery is expected from FY2027 onward as input costs ease. The management also expects improved volume/mix in FY2026 through adjusted pricing, price pack architecture, increased focus on affordability, and brand marketing efforts. MDLZ trades at a discounted FWD P/E of 19.48x, while offering a forward dividend yield of 3.39% and an excellent upside potential to my long-term price target of $70.30. Investors should monitor their volume/mix trends, balance sheet leverage, and execution on margin recovery, as management navigates near-term headwinds. MDLZ remains a Great Buy entering FQ1'26, as they offer a well balanced capital appreciation and dividend income over their multi-year margin recovery prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Narrative Update Apr 20

MDLZ: Cocoa Cost Reset From 2026 Will Support Earnings Recovery

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Mondelez International slightly higher to $66.36 from $66.08, citing a mix of refreshed price targets across the Street and expectations that factors like cocoa costs and earnings normalization are being recalibrated in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Mondelez International reflects an active debate around how much earnings power to assign to the business as input costs reset and category growth expectations are reassessed.
Seeking Alpha Apr 14

Mondelez: Durable Snacking With Volume And Price Tailwinds Entering FY2026 - Reiterate Buy

Summary MDLZ's FY2026 is likely a trough year, due to their legacy high-cost cocoa contracts, but double-digit adj EPS recovery is expected from FY2027 onward as input costs ease. The management also expects improved volume/mix in FY2026 through adjusted pricing, price pack architecture, increased focus on affordability, and brand marketing efforts. MDLZ trades at a discounted FWD P/E of 19.48x, while offering a forward dividend yield of 3.39% and an excellent upside potential to my long-term price target of $70.30. Investors should monitor their volume/mix trends, balance sheet leverage, and execution on margin recovery, as management navigates near-term headwinds. MDLZ remains a Great Buy entering FQ1'26, as they offer a well balanced capital appreciation and dividend income over their multi-year margin recovery prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 05

MDLZ: Cocoa Cost Normalization And Steady Guidance Will Support Earnings Recovery

The analyst price target for Mondelez International has been reduced by about $1 as analysts factor in slightly lower fair value, revenue growth, and profit margin assumptions, while still highlighting supportive commentary from several firms regarding cocoa cost normalization and resilient earnings expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Mondelez International shows a split between bullish and cautious views, with price target changes clustering around updated expectations for cocoa costs, category growth, and valuation across large consumer staples peers.
Narrative Update Mar 22

MDLZ: Cocoa Cost Normalization And Steady Guidance Will Support Future Re Rating

Mondelez International's analyst fair value estimate has edged up from $66.88 to $67.13 as analysts factor in steadier long term revenue growth assumptions, a higher projected profit margin, and slightly lower future P/E expectations alongside recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Mondelez highlights a split view, with some analysts tightening their positive stance while others are more restrained as they reset expectations for the broader packaged food group heading into 2026.
Narrative Update Mar 08

MDLZ: Consistent Guidance And Buybacks Will Support Future Re Rating

Analysts have made a small adjustment to their view on Mondelez International, trimming the average price target by $1 to $73 while highlighting steady guidance through the 2026 CAGNY conference and mixed sentiment across U.S. food peers. Analyst Commentary Recent research around the 2026 CAGNY conference shows that views on Mondelez are split, with some firms trimming price targets and others lifting them, while ratings generally stay positive.
Narrative Update Feb 22

MDLZ: Steady Guidance And Buybacks Will Support Margins And Future Re Rating

The analyst price target for Mondelez International edges slightly higher to $66.92, as analysts keep estimates broadly steady and point to relatively unchanged guidance at the recent CAGNY conference while adjusting expectations across the wider U.S. food group. Analyst Commentary Recent research around the 2026 CAGNY conference paints a mixed but generally constructive picture for Mondelez, with most commentary focused on how resilient its guidance looks compared with other large U.S. food names and how that feeds into valuation resets across the group.
Narrative Update Feb 07

MDLZ: Cocoa Relief And Pricing Discipline Will Support Margins But Limit Re Rating

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Mondelez International by about $0.46 to $66.69 as they factor in slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, marginally lower profit margins, a modestly higher discount rate, and a small adjustment to future P/E expectations, set against a mix of recent target hikes and cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research around Mondelez International has been active, with a mix of target hikes and trims clustered around the mid US$60s.
Narrative Update Jan 23

MDLZ: Cocoa Cost Relief And AI Marketing Efficiencies Will Support Margins

Mondelez International's analyst price target has been trimmed by a few dollars, with analysts generally citing mixed consumer staples demand expectations into 2026, muted pricing, cocoa cost assumptions, and slightly lower valuation multiples as key reasons for the reset. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Mondelez points to a more cautious stance on valuation into 2026, even as views diverge on how much upside the company can create from cocoa costs, pricing, and reinvestment plans.
Narrative Update Jan 09

MDLZ: AI Marketing Efficiencies Will Support Margins Despite 2026 Demand Concerns

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Mondelez International from US$68.85 to about US$67.48. This reflects a wave of lower price targets as they factor in muted volume growth for large consumer staples, tighter valuation multiples, and ongoing questions around cocoa costs, competitive pressure, and the broader 2026 earnings setup.
Narrative Update Dec 14

MDLZ: AI Cost Cuts Will Support Future Margin Expansion Despite Demand Headwinds

Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets on Mondelez International, trimming the equity fair value estimate by about $0.17 per share to reflect slightly lower long term growth and earnings expectations amid softer consumer demand and a recalibration of valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a generally cautious but still constructive stance on Mondelez, with most firms trimming price targets while maintaining ratings that range from Neutral to positive.
Narrative Update Nov 28

MDLZ: AI-Driven Cost Cuts Will Support Margin Expansion Amid Commodity Relief

Mondelez International's fair value estimate has been modestly reduced to $69.02 per share. Analysts cite softer Q3 results, evolving market dynamics, and tempered near-term earnings forecasts as key reasons for recent price target adjustments across the Street.
Narrative Update Nov 14

MDLZ: AI-Driven Marketing Will Improve Margins and Unlock Cost Savings

Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Mondelez International to $69.07 from $69.61. This change reflects recent price target downgrades that cite ongoing challenges in sales growth and evolving market dynamics for consumer staples.
Narrative Update Oct 31

MDLZ: Lower Cocoa Costs And Supply Chain Upgrades Will Drive Efficiency

Analysts have lowered their average price target for Mondelez International by approximately $3 to about $69.60. This change reflects a subdued sales growth outlook, recent margin pressures, and more cautious earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026.
Narrative Update Oct 17

Robust Pricing And Brand Collaborations Will Unlock Global Potential

Analysts have slightly reduced their average fair value estimate for Mondelez International by approximately $1 to $72.71. This decision reflects expectations for softer organic sales growth and recent adjustments to sales and earnings forecasts.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Robust Pricing And Brand Collaborations Will Unlock Global Potential

Mondelez International's analyst fair value estimate saw a slight decrease of approximately $0.75 as analysts cite ongoing headwinds from price sensitivity in Europe and modest adjustments to future growth forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from street analysts presents a nuanced picture of Mondelez International's outlook, reflecting both optimism about its long-term positioning and caution regarding near-term challenges.
Analysis Article Aug 07

We Think That There Are More Issues For Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

NasdaqGS:MDLZ 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Mondelez International's Fair Values from the Community and...
Analysis Article Jul 21

Here's What To Make Of Mondelez International's (NASDAQ:MDLZ) Decelerating Rates Of Return

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...
Analysis Article Jun 21

Mondelez International, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MDLZ) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Mondelez International, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:MDLZ ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.6x might make it look like a...
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Mondelez: Bitter Times Still Not Priced In

Summary Mondelez faces challenges from high cocoa prices and inflation but has hedged costs and is implementing price increases and cost savings to protect margins. Despite market pressures, Mondelez's strong brands and international exposure drive steady growth, with organic sales up 4.3% and adjusted earnings per share rising 13%. Mondelez's shareholder-friendly policies include a $9 billion share buyback program and a 10.4% average annual dividend increase, enhancing long-term investment appeal. Given current uncertainties around cocoa prices, I rate Mondelez "On hold" but see potential for buying if prices correct and cocoa costs stabilize. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 13

Mondelez International: Recently Announced Share Buyback Plan Raises Questions

Summary Initiating coverage of Mondelez with a sell rating due to underperformance, overvaluation, and lack of a viable growth plan. The recent $9 billion share buyback and failed Hershey acquisition appear desperate, with limited pricing power and struggling core brand growth. Fourth-quarter earnings showed cost struggles, disappointing revenue, and declining profit margins, with concerning overreliance on price increases. High cocoa prices and ineffective hedging further challenge Mondelez, projecting minimal growth and potentially increased shareholder debt from buybacks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 01

Mondelez: Cocoa Prices And Tariffs Weigh On Strong Business Performance

Summary Mondelez share price is already pricing-in future risks even as underlying business performance continues to improve. Even though margins are likely to come under pressure, the long-term impact of tariffs and high cocoa prices is likely to be muted. Nonetheless, the stock is priced on the assumption that margins would fall permanently, which in my view, makes MDLZ a buy even in the face of ongoing risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 08

Mondelez's Earnings: Turning Cocoa Challenges Into Sweet Dividends

Summary Mondelez faces unprecedented challenges due to cocoa inflation. The company's recent earnings report shows Mondelez's strong pricing power and unveils its strategy to counter high cocoa prices. After issuing positive 2025 guidance, Mondelez gave us a clearer picture of what to expect down the road. In this article, I explain why the stock may be a compelling dividend opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 27

Mondelez International: Reliable Dividend Growth Stock With Formidable Brand Power

Summary Mondelez International, an American multinational confectionery, snack food, and beverage company, is now a $77 billion (by market cap) confectionary and snack might. Although risks are rising, the stock’s selloff seems to be pricing in more than what’s necessary. MDLZ increased its dividend for 13 consecutive years, with a 10-year dividend growth rate of 11.6%. Mondelez advanced its revenue from $34.2 billion in FY 2014 to $36 billion in FY 2023, a compound annual growth rate of 0.6%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 13

Cocoa Volatility And Inflation Are Pressuring Mondelez Down To Intrinsic Value

Summary Cocoa supply shortages and adverse conditions are pressuring companies like Hershey and Mondelez, leading to increased costs and potential profitability hits. I estimate Mondelez's forward shareholder return is around 7.2% driven by $2.5B in dividends and $3B in annualized buybacks. I project 2025 to be a stagnating year for Mondelez with a net income of $3.7B, but expect growth recovery in 2026. Despite short-term challenges, I estimate Mondelez's stock to bottom out at $69B in 2025, with a recovery to $88B by year-end. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 09

Mondelez: Excellent Buying Opportunity At 52-Week Low

Summary Mondelez, trading at a 52-week low, offers a compelling buy-the-drop opportunity with a 3.0% dividend yield and solid financials. The company's strong Q3 performance, driven by pricing, cost controls, and robust sales growth, showcases its resilience and strategic execution. Mondelez's diversified portfolio and expansion into high-growth categories like cakes and pastries bolster its long-term growth potential. Despite risks like cocoa price volatility and geopolitical tensions, Mondelez's steady cash flow and dividend growth make it attractive for long-term returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 26

MondelēZ International: Solid Execution Adding Continued Sweetness To Growth

Summary Mondelez International Inc. has strong growth prospects, driven by price increases, volume growth in chocolates and biscuits, and distribution expansion in emerging markets. Margins are expected to improve due to price increases, cost-saving initiatives, and effective cocoa hedging, despite current volatility in cocoa prices. The stock is trading at a discount to historical averages and its peer Hershey, offering an attractive dividend yield of 2.92%. Given favorable valuation, strong long-term growth prospects, and effective management strategies, I maintain a buy rating on Mondelez International Inc. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

MDLZUS FoodUS Market
7D-1.6%-2.4%-0.3%
1Y-8.0%-7.7%24.1%

Return vs Industry: MDLZ exceeded the US Food industry which returned -7.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MDLZ underperformed the US Market which returned 24.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is MDLZ's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MDLZ volatility
MDLZ Average Weekly Movement3.5%
Food Industry Average Movement5.2%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: MDLZ has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: MDLZ's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
200091,000Dirk Van de Putwww.mondelezinternational.com

Mondelez International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and sells snack food and beverage products in Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company provides biscuits and baked snacks, including cookies, crackers, salted snacks, snack bars, and cakes and pastries; chocolates; and gums and candies, as well as various cheese, grocery, and powdered beverage products. Its brand portfolio includes Oreo, Ritz, LU, CLIF Bar, Tate’s Bake Shop biscuits and baked snacks, Cadbury Dairy Milk, Milka, and Toblerone chocolate.

Mondelez International, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Mondelez International's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
MDLZ fundamental statistics
Market capUS$77.58b
Earnings (TTM)US$2.61b
Revenue (TTM)US$39.30b
29.7x
P/E Ratio
2.0x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
MDLZ income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$39.30b
Cost of RevenueUS$28.00b
Gross ProfitUS$11.31b
Other ExpensesUS$8.70b
EarningsUS$2.61b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)2.03
Gross Margin28.77%
Net Profit Margin6.64%
Debt/Equity Ratio81.5%

How did MDLZ perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.3%
Current Dividend Yield
97%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 18:26
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/15 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mondelez International, Inc. is covered by 50 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Andrew LazarBarclays
Matthew AbrahamBerenberg