Vital Farms, Inc.

NasdaqGM:VITL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$392.9m

Vital Farms Valuation

Is VITL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of VITL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: Insufficient data to calculate VITL's future cash flow value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: Insufficient data to calculate VITL's future cash flow value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VITL?

Key metric: As VITL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VITL. This is calculated by dividing VITL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VITL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.4x
EarningsUS$47.86m
Market CapUS$392.92m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VITL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VITL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average48.8x
LWAY Lifeway Foods
26x21.86%US$385.1m
MAMA Mama's Creations
118.8x39.93%US$625.3m
AMNF Armanino Foods of Distinction
18.6x5.51%US$315.4m
UCFI CN Healthy Food Tech Group
31.6xn/aUS$287.8m
VITL Vital Farms
8.4x-18.09%US$392.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VITL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (48.8x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VITL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BYND Beyond Meat
1.9x-112.00%US$390.27m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.05xn/aUS$30.00m
HERB Humanoid
0.6xn/aUS$4.87m
GCEH.Q Global Clean Energy Holdings
n/an/aUS$50.00
VITL 8.4xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VITL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the US Food industry average (18.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VITL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VITL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ratio9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VITL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VITL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.43
US$12.50
+32.56%
24.85%US$20.00US$10.00n/a10
May ’27US$14.18
US$26.60
+87.59%
38.89%US$47.00US$15.00n/a10
Apr ’27US$13.40
US$31.90
+138.06%
30.63%US$47.00US$18.00n/a10
Mar ’27US$21.09
US$37.50
+77.81%
19.20%US$47.00US$24.00n/a10
Feb ’27US$28.45
US$49.45
+73.83%
9.22%US$60.00US$44.00n/a11
Jan ’27US$31.94
US$49.45
+54.84%
9.22%US$60.00US$44.00n/a11
Dec ’26US$32.92
US$53.20
+61.60%
8.89%US$60.00US$48.00n/a10
Nov ’26US$32.85
US$53.70
+63.47%
8.20%US$60.00US$48.00n/a10
Oct ’26US$40.66
US$53.70
+32.07%
8.20%US$60.00US$48.00n/a10
Sep ’26US$51.09
US$51.60
+1.00%
6.94%US$60.00US$48.00n/a10
Aug ’26US$35.27
US$45.90
+30.14%
7.12%US$51.00US$41.00n/a10
Jul ’26US$39.42
US$45.00
+14.16%
7.41%US$50.00US$39.00n/a9
Jun ’26US$31.84
US$45.00
+41.33%
7.41%US$50.00US$39.00n/a9
May ’26US$35.07
US$45.75
+30.45%
9.32%US$52.00US$39.00US$14.188
Apr ’26US$30.95
US$45.75
+47.82%
9.13%US$52.00US$40.00US$13.408
Mar ’26US$33.11
US$47.33
+42.96%
7.58%US$52.00US$42.00US$21.096
Feb ’26US$43.88
US$47.86
+9.08%
6.16%US$52.00US$44.00US$28.457
Jan ’26US$37.69
US$44.17
+17.18%
12.57%US$50.00US$34.00US$31.946
Dec ’25US$33.20
US$42.00
+26.51%
12.33%US$50.00US$34.00US$32.925
Nov ’25US$34.56
US$44.60
+29.05%
12.49%US$50.00US$34.00US$32.855
Oct ’25US$36.18
US$41.83
+15.63%
11.91%US$50.00US$34.00US$40.666
Sep ’25US$31.45
US$41.83
+33.02%
11.91%US$50.00US$34.00US$51.096
Aug ’25US$36.51
US$45.33
+24.17%
11.22%US$54.00US$38.00US$35.276
Jul ’25US$45.48
US$43.50
-4.35%
14.94%US$54.00US$36.00US$39.426
Jun ’25US$41.38
US$38.86
-6.10%
18.12%US$45.00US$24.00US$31.847
May ’25US$27.33
US$25.14
-8.00%
19.53%US$32.00US$18.00US$35.077
US$12.5
Fair Value
24.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/20 04:17
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/20 00:00
Earnings2026/03/29
Annual Earnings2025/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Vital Farms, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin KlieveBenchmark Company
Benjamin MayhewBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital Markets Equity Research