Vital Farms, Inc.

NasdaqGM:VITL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$909.4m

Vital Farms Valuation

Is VITL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of VITL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: VITL ($20.01) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($105.84)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: VITL is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VITL?

Key metric: As VITL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VITL. This is calculated by dividing VITL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VITL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.5x
EarningsUS$66.28m
Market CapUS$909.38m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VITL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VITL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average48.3x
AVO Mission Produce
26.9x10.21%US$1.0b
JBSS John B. Sanfilippo & Son
13.2x16.82%US$937.9m
MAMA Mama's Creations
142.5x58.06%US$671.6m
SENE.A Seneca Foods
10.5xn/aUS$926.2m
VITL Vital Farms
13.5x8.10%US$909.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VITL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the peer average (48.3x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VITL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.05xn/aUS$30.00m
HERB Humanoid
0.5xn/aUS$4.09m
GCEH.Q Global Clean Energy Holdings
n/an/aUS$50.00
GLGL.F GLG Life Tech
0.000005xn/aUS$38.00
No more companies available in this PE range
VITL 13.5xIndustry Avg. 23.8xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VITL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the US Food industry average (23.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VITL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VITL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.5x
Fair PE Ratio13.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VITL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VITL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$20.01
US$36.50
+82.41%
18.55%US$47.00US$24.00n/a10
Feb ’27US$28.45
US$49.45
+73.83%
9.22%US$60.00US$44.00n/a11
Jan ’27US$31.94
US$49.45
+54.84%
9.22%US$60.00US$44.00n/a11
Dec ’26US$32.92
US$53.20
+61.60%
8.89%US$60.00US$48.00n/a10
Nov ’26US$32.85
US$53.70
+63.47%
8.20%US$60.00US$48.00n/a10
Oct ’26US$40.66
US$53.70
+32.07%
8.20%US$60.00US$48.00n/a10
Sep ’26US$51.09
US$51.60
+1.00%
6.94%US$60.00US$48.00n/a10
Aug ’26US$35.27
US$45.90
+30.14%
7.12%US$51.00US$41.00n/a10
Jul ’26US$39.42
US$45.00
+14.16%
7.41%US$50.00US$39.00n/a9
Jun ’26US$31.84
US$45.00
+41.33%
7.41%US$50.00US$39.00n/a9
May ’26US$35.07
US$45.75
+30.45%
9.32%US$52.00US$39.00n/a8
Apr ’26US$30.95
US$45.75
+47.82%
9.13%US$52.00US$40.00n/a8
Mar ’26US$33.11
US$47.33
+42.96%
7.58%US$52.00US$42.00US$21.096
Feb ’26US$43.88
US$47.86
+9.08%
6.16%US$52.00US$44.00US$28.457
Jan ’26US$37.69
US$44.17
+17.18%
12.57%US$50.00US$34.00US$31.946
Dec ’25US$33.20
US$42.00
+26.51%
12.33%US$50.00US$34.00US$32.925
Nov ’25US$34.56
US$44.60
+29.05%
12.49%US$50.00US$34.00US$32.855
Oct ’25US$36.18
US$41.83
+15.63%
11.91%US$50.00US$34.00US$40.666
Sep ’25US$31.45
US$41.83
+33.02%
11.91%US$50.00US$34.00US$51.096
Aug ’25US$36.51
US$45.33
+24.17%
11.22%US$54.00US$38.00US$35.276
Jul ’25US$45.48
US$43.50
-4.35%
14.94%US$54.00US$36.00US$39.426
Jun ’25US$41.38
US$38.86
-6.10%
18.12%US$45.00US$24.00US$31.847
May ’25US$27.33
US$25.14
-8.00%
19.53%US$32.00US$18.00US$35.077
Apr ’25US$23.64
US$23.14
-2.10%
14.69%US$28.00US$18.00US$30.957
Mar ’25US$18.26
US$18.43
+0.92%
11.91%US$22.00US$16.00US$33.117
US$36.5
Fair Value
45.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/04 23:43
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/04 00:00
Earnings2025/12/28
Annual Earnings2025/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Vital Farms, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin KlieveBenchmark Company
Benjamin MayhewBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Eric Des LauriersCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC