Constellation Brands, Inc.

NYSE:STZ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$27.1b

Constellation Brands Valuation

Is STZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of STZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: STZ ($156.41) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($321.34)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: STZ is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STZ?

Key metric: As STZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for STZ. This is calculated by dividing STZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is STZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.4x
EarningsUS$1.11b
Market CapUS$27.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does STZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for STZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.2x
BF.B Brown-Forman
17.2x4.38%US$14.0b
KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA. de
17.2x6.28%US$23.8b
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper
25.4x20.61%US$40.1b
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated
21.3xn/aUS$12.1b
STZ Constellation Brands
24.4x13.42%US$27.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the peer average (20.2x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Beverage Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
STZ 24.4xIndustry Avg. 17.8xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.4x
Fair PE Ratio23.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: STZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$156.41
US$170.73
+9.15%
14.58%US$220.00US$120.00n/a22
Feb ’27US$156.70
US$170.73
+8.95%
14.58%US$220.00US$120.00n/a22
Jan ’27US$137.96
US$170.48
+23.57%
16.41%US$220.00US$118.00n/a23
Dec ’26US$137.87
US$171.22
+24.19%
16.27%US$220.00US$118.00n/a23
Nov ’26US$131.38
US$172.61
+31.38%
15.26%US$220.00US$118.00n/a23
Oct ’26US$138.95
US$176.22
+26.82%
14.84%US$225.00US$123.00n/a23
Sep ’26US$161.94
US$203.26
+25.52%
11.68%US$247.00US$150.00n/a23
Aug ’26US$166.18
US$204.78
+23.23%
10.53%US$247.00US$170.00n/a23
Jul ’26US$166.42
US$210.29
+26.36%
15.07%US$300.00US$170.00n/a25
Jun ’26US$178.29
US$216.33
+21.34%
14.13%US$300.00US$165.00n/a25
May ’26US$185.44
US$216.09
+16.53%
14.64%US$300.00US$165.00n/a25
Apr ’26US$184.81
US$229.24
+24.04%
15.78%US$300.00US$180.00n/a25
Mar ’26US$175.50
US$241.36
+37.53%
14.48%US$300.00US$190.00n/a25
Feb ’26US$180.80
US$243.88
+34.89%
13.62%US$300.00US$190.00US$156.7025
Jan ’26US$221.00
US$289.20
+30.86%
6.21%US$325.00US$255.00US$137.9625
Dec ’25US$240.95
US$290.47
+20.55%
6.21%US$325.00US$255.00US$137.8724
Nov ’25US$232.77
US$291.97
+25.43%
5.95%US$325.00US$255.00US$131.3823
Oct ’25US$257.68
US$297.40
+15.42%
5.22%US$325.00US$256.00US$138.9523
Sep ’25US$240.71
US$298.93
+24.19%
5.58%US$330.00US$259.00US$161.9423
Aug ’25US$245.37
US$300.14
+22.32%
5.30%US$330.00US$262.00US$166.1823
Jul ’25US$256.29
US$299.68
+16.93%
4.79%US$330.00US$262.00US$166.4224
Jun ’25US$250.23
US$299.93
+19.86%
4.90%US$330.00US$264.00US$178.2924
May ’25US$253.95
US$300.13
+18.19%
4.81%US$330.00US$264.00US$185.4425
Apr ’25US$266.00
US$293.32
+10.27%
5.59%US$325.00US$250.00US$184.8125
Mar ’25US$250.00
US$292.21
+16.88%
5.71%US$325.00US$250.00US$175.5024
Feb ’25US$252.68
US$292.21
+15.64%
5.71%US$325.00US$250.00US$180.8024
US$170.73
Fair Value
8.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/22 15:14
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/20 00:00
Earnings2025/11/30
Annual Earnings2025/02/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Constellation Brands, Inc. is covered by 46 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Lauren LiebermanBarclays
Michael BrancaBarclays