Vivid Seats (SEAT) Stock Overview
Operates as an online ticket marketplace in the United States, Canada, and Japan. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 0/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 1/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
SEAT Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 10 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Vivid Seats Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$9.96 |
| 52 Week High | US$41.20 |
| 52 Week Low | US$5.06 |
| Beta | 1.03 |
| 1 Month Change | 23.88% |
| 3 Month Change | 47.77% |
| 1 Year Change | -74.06% |
| 3 Year Change | -93.68% |
| 5 Year Change | -95.01% |
| Change since IPO | -95.02% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Apr 30
SEAT: High Operating Leverage And App Momentum Will Drive Earnings Recovery
Narrative update on Vivid Seats Analysts have reset Vivid Seats' targets into a lower $5.65 to $15 range, trimming prior goals such as $18, $12, $10 and $9. They are weighing ongoing GOV and revenue pressure, competitive uncertainty, and mixed quarterly results against early signs of customer momentum, app traction, and potential benefits from operating leverage and possible consolidation.Narrative Update • Apr 16
SEAT: Execution Improvements And New CFO Hire Will Drive Earnings Recovery
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Vivid Seats from $11.88 to $9.58, reflecting a mix of lowered price targets in the $5.65 to $15 range as they balance ongoing GOV pressure and competitive risks against early signs of operational momentum and stabilization. Analyst Commentary Street research on Vivid Seats clusters around a common theme of pressure on gross order volume, profitability, and competitive positioning, paired with some cautiously constructive views on execution and potential upside if recent operational changes start to play through.
Narrative Update • Apr 01
SEAT: Future App Traction And Competitive Pressure Will Shape Risk Reward Balance
Narrative Update on Vivid Seats The analyst price target for Vivid Seats has moved from $7 to $5.65 as analysts weigh early signs of traction in app engagement and operating leverage against continued declines in gross order value (GOV), competitive pressures, and recent mixed quarterly results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Vivid Seats points to a split view, with some highlighting upside tied to operating and financial leverage, while a growing group of bearish analysts is trimming price targets and stressing execution risks.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 30
SEAT: High Operating Leverage And App Momentum Will Drive Earnings Recovery
Narrative update on Vivid Seats Analysts have reset Vivid Seats' targets into a lower $5.65 to $15 range, trimming prior goals such as $18, $12, $10 and $9. They are weighing ongoing GOV and revenue pressure, competitive uncertainty, and mixed quarterly results against early signs of customer momentum, app traction, and potential benefits from operating leverage and possible consolidation.Narrative Update • Apr 16
SEAT: Execution Improvements And New CFO Hire Will Drive Earnings Recovery
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Vivid Seats from $11.88 to $9.58, reflecting a mix of lowered price targets in the $5.65 to $15 range as they balance ongoing GOV pressure and competitive risks against early signs of operational momentum and stabilization. Analyst Commentary Street research on Vivid Seats clusters around a common theme of pressure on gross order volume, profitability, and competitive positioning, paired with some cautiously constructive views on execution and potential upside if recent operational changes start to play through.Narrative Update • Apr 01
SEAT: Future App Traction And Competitive Pressure Will Shape Risk Reward Balance
Narrative Update on Vivid Seats The analyst price target for Vivid Seats has moved from $7 to $5.65 as analysts weigh early signs of traction in app engagement and operating leverage against continued declines in gross order value (GOV), competitive pressures, and recent mixed quarterly results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Vivid Seats points to a split view, with some highlighting upside tied to operating and financial leverage, while a growing group of bearish analysts is trimming price targets and stressing execution risks.Narrative Update • Mar 18
SEAT: Future Competitive Pressure And GOV Declines Will Drive Downside Risk
Analysts have trimmed the Vivid Seats price target to $5.65 from $7. This reflects softer recent quarters, ongoing competitive pressure and mixed views on how quickly operational improvements and customer traction can translate into more durable profitability.Narrative Update • Mar 04
SEAT: Earnings Execution And New CFO Appointment Will Support Recovery
Analysts have raised their Vivid Seats fair value estimate from $11.38 to $11.88, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E as the basis for this revised price target. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Vivid Seats reflects a mix of optimism on execution and caution on valuation and risk, even as fair value estimates are adjusted.
Narrative Update • Feb 18
SEAT: Reset GOV Assumptions And New CFO Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have reduced their $18.00 fair value target for Vivid Seats, citing slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a small uptick in future P/E expectations, in line with a recent price target cut to $11 by Deutsche Bank. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the revised $18.00 fair value as still supportive of upside from recent trading levels, even after aligning assumptions with the reduced $11 price target referenced in recent research.Analysis Article • Feb 11
Health Check: How Prudently Does Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT) Use Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Narrative Update • Feb 04
SEAT: Loyalty Partnership And 2026 GOV Outlook Will Support Recovery
Narrative Update: Vivid Seats Analysts have reduced their price target on Vivid Seats from about US$12.60 to roughly US$11.38. This reflects updated expectations for slightly softer revenue trends, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a lower future P/E multiple in light of recently lowered Street targets following increased competition and pressure on growth metrics.Narrative Update • Jan 21
SEAT: Future GOV And Competition Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward
Analysts have cut their fair value estimate for Vivid Seats from US$18.00 to US$7.00, reflecting recent price target reductions on the stock and updated views on slower revenue contraction, slightly higher discount rates, improved profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a clear reset in expectations around Vivid Seats, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets sharply and pointing to execution and growth risks that could weigh on the stock's valuation.Narrative Update • Jan 06
SEAT: Management Outlook And Loyalty Partnership Will Support GOV Recovery
Narrative Update: Vivid Seats The analyst fair value estimate for Vivid Seats has moved from about $13.33 to $12.60, reflecting analysts' lower price targets. These include cuts tied to recent Q3 competition impacts, contracting GOV, and reduced GOV and revenue estimates for Q4 and the 2026 outlook.Narrative Update • Dec 22
SEAT: Medium Term GOV Reset Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have cut their price target on Vivid Seats roughly in half to $18, reflecting reduced fair value expectations amid intensified competitive pressures, lower projected gross order volume, and a reset growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Despite the sharp reset in official price targets, bullish analysts highlight that the revised ranges continue to imply upside from current trading levels.Analysis Article • Dec 20
Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 25%
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Vivid Seats Inc. ( NASDAQ:SEAT ) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last...Narrative Update • Dec 08
SEAT: Management Outlook Will Support Recovery Despite 29% Gross Order Volume Slide
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Vivid Seats to about $12, down sharply from previous expectations near the mid-$20s. They cite intensified competitive pressure, weaker gross order volume trends, and lower projected marketplace take rates that weigh on the company’s medium term growth outlook.Narrative Update • Nov 24
SEAT: Management Outlook Will Support Recovery Despite 29% Order Value Decline
Analysts have significantly reduced their price targets for Vivid Seats, lowering the fair value estimate from approximately $23 to around $13 per share. They cite ongoing competitive pressures, weaker growth expectations, and revised management guidance impacting future revenue and profitability forecasts.Narrative Update • Nov 07
SEAT: Competitive Pressures Will Ease As New Partnerships Drive Rebound
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Vivid Seats from $26.33 to $23.11. They cite a more conservative revenue outlook and ongoing competitive pressures in the ticketing marketplace as the main reasons for this adjustment.Analysis Article • Oct 31
Little Excitement Around Vivid Seats Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SEAT) Revenues As Shares Take 27% Pounding
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Vivid Seats Inc. ( NASDAQ:SEAT ) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last...Analysis Article • Sep 06
Investors Don't See Light At End Of Vivid Seats Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SEAT) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 38%
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Vivid Seats Inc. ( NASDAQ:SEAT ) shares are down a considerable 38% in the last...Narrative Update • Aug 06
International Expansion And Efficiency Will Unlock Future Value
The significant upward revision in Vivid Seats’ fair value is primarily driven by improved revenue growth expectations and a markedly lower future P/E multiple, leading to a consensus analyst price target increase from $2.72 to $8.82. What's in the News Vivid Seats approved an amendment allowing a reverse stock split of its Class A and Class B common stock, at a ratio between 1-for-5 and 1-for-30, with the specific ratio to be set by the Board.Analysis Article • Jul 03
Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) Stock Catapults 27% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry
Those holding Vivid Seats Inc. ( NASDAQ:SEAT ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the...Analysis Article • Jun 25
Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...Seeking Alpha • Jun 12
Vivid Seats: Contrarian Upside Through Take-Rate Resilience And Global Expansion
Summary We rate Vivid Seats a Strong Buy with a $5 PT, citing resilient take-rate and underappreciated international/resale segment growth as key upside drivers. The market is too focused on near-term GMV declines, missing SEAT’s ability to defend a 16.3–16.8% take-rate and achieve above-consensus revenue growth. International expansion and SkyBox reseller adoption will add $15–$31mn incremental revenue by FY26E, diversifying growth and supporting margin resilience. Despite regulatory and volume risks, SEAT’s fee discipline and segment mix create a rare asymmetric risk/reward; we recommend accumulating shares ahead of a likely re-rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • May 30
Why Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) Could Be Worth Watching
Vivid Seats Inc. ( NASDAQ:SEAT ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during...Analysis Article • May 08
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Vivid Seats Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SEAT) 29% Share Price Plunge
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Vivid Seats Inc. ( NASDAQ:SEAT ) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last...Analysis Article • Apr 07
Is Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) Trading At A 37% Discount?
Key Insights Vivid Seats' estimated fair value is US$4.10 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Vivid Seats is...Analysis Article • Mar 13
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Vivid Seats Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SEAT) 34% Price Drop
Vivid Seats Inc. ( NASDAQ:SEAT ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...Analysis Article • Mar 12
Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jan 31
Is It Time To Consider Buying Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT)?
While Vivid Seats Inc. ( NASDAQ:SEAT ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a significant share price...Seeking Alpha • Dec 28
Vivid Seats: GOV Slowdown Clouds Growth
Summary Vivid Seats has faced a marketplace GOV slowdown due to slower industry activity in 2024, tracking competitor Live Nation's similar decline. FTC is aiming to ban hidden fees in the purchase process, which could hurt Vivid Seats' industry. The potential ban's effects on Vivid Seats remain uncertain, though. Given a mid-term recovery with better industry activity, SEAT stock remains valued incredibly attractively. I estimate 76% upside to a fair value of $6.58. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 27
An Intrinsic Calculation For Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) Suggests It's 49% Undervalued
Key Insights Vivid Seats' estimated fair value is US$7.53 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Vivid Seats is...Analysis Article • Nov 09
Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
New Narrative • Sep 16
SkyBox Drive And Tactical Expansions Set To Boost Profitability And Market Share
Expansion into international markets and strategic acquisitions aim to drive revenue growth and enhance inventory synergization without proportionally raising sales expenses.Seeking Alpha • Aug 01
Vivid Seats: Growth Momentum Is Severely Undervalued Due To Margin Concerns (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Vivid Seats has continued reporting good revenue growth momentum after the prior acquisitions, with the company anticipating years of double-digit growth. Cost control has been worse in recent quarters, pushing earnings down and acting as a considerable risk. Extensive share repurchases should drive great shareholder value. The stock's valuation seems to price in too high risks, making Vivid Seats severely undervalued in my base scenario. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jul 25
Investors Will Want Vivid Seats' (NASDAQ:SEAT) Growth In ROCE To Persist
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...Analysis Article • May 31
What Is Vivid Seats Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SEAT) Share Price Doing?
Vivid Seats Inc. ( NASDAQ:SEAT ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement...Shareholder Returns
| SEAT | US Entertainment | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 17.0% | 1.1% | -0.3% |
| 1Y | -74.1% | -13.8% | 24.1% |
Return vs Industry: SEAT underperformed the US Entertainment industry which returned -13.8% over the past year.
Return vs Market: SEAT underperformed the US Market which returned 24.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| SEAT volatility | |
|---|---|
| SEAT Average Weekly Movement | 15.1% |
| Entertainment Industry Average Movement | 8.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: SEAT's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: SEAT's weekly volatility (15%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 561 | Larry Fey | www.vividseats.com |
Vivid Seats Inc. operates as an online ticket marketplace in the United States, Canada, and Japan. It operates in two segments, Marketplace and Resale. The Marketplace segment acts as an intermediary between event ticket buyers and sellers through its website and mobile applications, including Vivid Seats; Vegas.com, an online ticket marketplace for shows, attractions, tours, flights, and hotels in Las Vegas; Wavedash, an online ticket marketplace in Tokyo, Japan; and Vivid Picks, a real-money daily fantasy sports mobile application with social and gamification features.
Vivid Seats Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| SEAT fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$109.43m |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$437.99m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$532.54m |
0.2x
P/S Ratio-0.2x
P/E RatioIs SEAT overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| SEAT income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$532.54m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$168.11m |
| Gross Profit | US$364.43m |
| Other Expenses | US$802.42m |
| Earnings | -US$437.99m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -39.86 |
| Gross Margin | 68.43% |
| Net Profit Margin | -82.25% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | -405.2% |
How did SEAT perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/18 08:36 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Vivid Seats Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Daniel Kurnos | Benchmark Company |
| Steven McDermott | BofA Global Research |
| Maria Ripps | Canaccord Genuity |