Greencore Group plc

LSE:GNC Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.6b

Greencore Group Valuation

Is GNC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of GNC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: GNC (£2.01) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (£16.63)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: GNC is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GNC?

Key metric: As GNC is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GNC. This is calculated by dividing GNC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GNC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.7x
SalesUK£2.34b
Market CapUK£1.60b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GNC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GNC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
PFD Premier Foods
1.5x2.93%UK£1.8b
TATE Tate & Lyle
1.2x2.98%UK£2.5b
CWK Cranswick
1x5.62%UK£3.0b
PRN Princes Group
0.4x4.07%UK£767.1m
GNC Greencore Group
0.7x13.67%UK£1.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GNC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GNC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Food Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HFG Hilton Food Group
0.1x2.78%US$633.91m
WYN Wynnstay Group
0.1x3.25%US$106.20m
DKL Dekel Agri-Vision
0.1x8.39%US$5.99m
UKR Ukrproduct Group
0.07xn/aUS$3.70m
GNC 0.7xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies5PS00.61.21.82.43+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GNC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the European Food industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GNC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GNC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ratio1.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GNC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GNC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£2.01
UK£3.13
+55.54%
12.93%UK£3.60UK£2.20n/a8
Jun ’27UK£1.96
UK£3.13
+60.15%
12.93%UK£3.60UK£2.20n/a8
May ’27UK£2.47
UK£2.93
+18.62%
19.62%UK£3.51UK£1.85n/a8
Apr ’27UK£2.43
UK£2.93
+20.58%
19.62%UK£3.51UK£1.85n/a8
Mar ’27UK£2.70
UK£2.93
+8.52%
19.62%UK£3.51UK£1.85n/a8
Feb ’27UK£2.90
UK£3.08
+6.54%
14.04%UK£3.51UK£2.08n/a7
Jan ’27UK£2.54
UK£2.58
+1.71%
20.13%UK£3.00UK£1.85n/a3
Dec ’26UK£2.42
UK£2.58
+6.97%
20.13%UK£3.00UK£1.85n/a3
Nov ’26UK£2.39
UK£2.58
+8.32%
20.13%UK£3.00UK£1.85n/a3
Oct ’26UK£2.24
UK£2.58
+15.59%
20.13%UK£3.00UK£1.85n/a3
Sep ’26UK£2.48
UK£2.58
+4.38%
20.13%UK£3.00UK£1.85n/a3
Aug ’26UK£2.54
UK£2.56
+1.08%
17.64%UK£3.00UK£1.85n/a4
Jul ’26UK£2.34
UK£2.46
+5.24%
15.55%UK£2.90UK£1.85n/a4
Jun ’26UK£2.24
UK£2.38
+6.49%
12.22%UK£2.65UK£1.85UK£1.965
May ’26UK£1.85
UK£2.40
+29.73%
13.42%UK£2.65UK£1.85UK£2.474
Apr ’26UK£1.79
UK£2.28
+27.85%
13.83%UK£2.65UK£1.85UK£2.436
Mar ’26UK£1.94
UK£2.17
+11.68%
13.97%UK£2.65UK£1.85UK£2.708
Feb ’26UK£1.94
UK£2.11
+8.78%
13.27%UK£2.50UK£1.85UK£2.908
Jan ’26UK£1.94
UK£1.97
+1.72%
12.34%UK£2.50UK£1.65UK£2.547
Dec ’25UK£1.98
UK£1.97
-0.72%
12.36%UK£2.50UK£1.65UK£2.427
Nov ’25UK£2.04
UK£1.97
-3.63%
12.36%UK£2.50UK£1.65UK£2.397
Oct ’25UK£1.80
UK£1.69
-5.85%
13.80%UK£2.00UK£1.30UK£2.247
Sep ’25UK£1.87
UK£1.69
-9.38%
13.80%UK£2.00UK£1.30UK£2.487
Aug ’25UK£1.80
UK£1.69
-5.95%
13.80%UK£2.00UK£1.30UK£2.547
Jul ’25UK£1.70
UK£1.58
-7.14%
18.54%UK£2.00UK£1.10UK£2.347
Jun ’25UK£1.75
UK£1.51
-14.07%
15.70%UK£1.90UK£1.10UK£2.247
UK£3.13
Fair Value
35.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/10 05:20
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/27
Annual Earnings2025/09/26

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Greencore Group plc is covered by 17 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Karl BurnsBerenberg
Fintan RyanBerenberg
Gary MartinDavy