Comfort Systems USA, Inc.

NYSE:FIX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$39.7b

Comfort Systems USA Valuation

Is FIX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of FIX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: FIX ($1160.38) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($1464.79)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: FIX is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FIX?

Key metric: As FIX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FIX. This is calculated by dividing FIX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FIX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio48.8x
EarningsUS$837.62m
Market CapUS$39.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FIX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FIX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average68.1x
EME EMCOR Group
28.4x8.65%US$31.6b
PWR Quanta Services
70.2x17.81%US$70.2b
MTZ MasTec
58.3x21.24%US$19.0b
APG APi Group
115.7x48.63%US$18.3b
FIX Comfort Systems USA
48.8x18.54%US$39.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FIX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.8x) compared to the peer average (68.1x).


Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FIX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Construction Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FLR Fluor
2.2x-64.27%US$7.36b
AGRZ Agroz
4.2xn/aUS$8.89m
No more companies available in this PE range
FIX 48.8xIndustry Avg. 37.7xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FIX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.8x) compared to the US Construction industry average (37.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FIX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FIX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio48.8x
Fair PE Ratio41x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FIX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FIX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1,160.38
US$1,158.20
-0.19%
3.21%US$1,200.00US$1,100.00n/a5
Jan ’27US$933.29
US$1,150.00
+23.22%
2.79%US$1,200.00US$1,100.00n/a5
Dec ’26US$961.20
US$1,132.80
+17.85%
3.99%US$1,200.00US$1,069.00n/a5
Nov ’26US$965.58
US$1,132.80
+17.32%
3.99%US$1,200.00US$1,069.00n/a5
Oct ’26US$834.33
US$800.20
-4.09%
5.39%US$875.00US$746.00n/a5
Sep ’26US$703.38
US$767.20
+9.07%
4.66%US$810.00US$710.00n/a5
Aug ’26US$695.30
US$767.20
+10.34%
4.66%US$810.00US$710.00n/a5
Jul ’26US$521.66
US$531.68
+1.92%
9.22%US$630.00US$471.79n/a7
Jun ’26US$478.23
US$514.17
+7.51%
6.23%US$563.00US$465.00n/a6
May ’26US$418.05
US$500.67
+19.76%
6.35%US$563.00US$465.00n/a6
Apr ’26US$330.00
US$493.00
+49.39%
6.87%US$552.00US$440.00n/a6
Mar ’26US$363.33
US$493.00
+35.69%
6.87%US$552.00US$440.00n/a6
Feb ’26US$436.75
US$545.00
+24.79%
10.42%US$600.00US$440.00n/a5
Jan ’26US$424.06
US$534.40
+26.02%
10.24%US$600.00US$440.00US$933.295
Dec ’25US$493.27
US$503.80
+2.13%
12.44%US$600.00US$430.00US$961.205
Nov ’25US$392.31
US$422.00
+7.57%
4.46%US$440.00US$396.00US$965.583
Oct ’25US$389.58
US$361.00
-7.34%
2.30%US$370.00US$350.00US$834.333
Sep ’25US$353.52
US$361.00
+2.12%
2.30%US$370.00US$350.00US$703.383
Aug ’25US$326.67
US$361.00
+10.51%
2.30%US$370.00US$350.00US$695.303
Jul ’25US$294.76
US$331.33
+12.41%
6.36%US$360.00US$310.00US$521.663
Jun ’25US$327.34
US$331.33
+1.22%
6.36%US$360.00US$310.00US$478.233
May ’25US$301.94
US$329.75
+9.21%
5.59%US$360.00US$310.00US$418.054
Apr ’25US$319.49
US$312.75
-2.11%
8.60%US$350.00US$280.00US$330.004
Mar ’25US$314.43
US$308.67
-1.83%
9.70%US$350.00US$280.00US$363.333
Feb ’25US$225.00
US$204.33
-9.19%
1.61%US$208.00US$200.00US$436.753
Jan ’25US$205.67
US$198.33
-3.57%
3.14%US$205.00US$190.00US$424.063
US$1.16k
Fair Value
0.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/27 15:15
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/27 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brent ThielmanD.A. Davidson & Co.
Sophie KarpGuggenheim Securities, LLC
Alexander DwyerKeyBanc Capital Markets Inc.