Champion Iron Limited

ASX:CIA Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$2.8b

Champion Iron Valuation

Is CIA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of CIA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: CIA (A$4.98) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (A$20.09)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: CIA is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CIA?

Key metric: As CIA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CIA. This is calculated by dividing CIA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CIA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15x
EarningsCA$184.69m
Market CapCA$2.77b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CIA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CIA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.7x
DRR Deterra Royalties
13.8x-8.98%AU$2.5b
VSL Vulcan Steel
67.3x38.59%AU$814.7m
BSL BlueScope Steel
46.6x21.39%AU$13.4b
BIS Bisalloy Steel Group
11.1x2.49%AU$213.8m
CIA Champion Iron
14.9x29.42%AU$2.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (34.7x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CIA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EUR European Lithium
0.7x-159.66%US$526.63m
KSN Kingston Resources
2.1xn/aUS$53.10m
CZR CZR Resources
1.1xn/aUS$42.05m
RDM Red Metal
2.7xn/aUS$35.74m
CIA 15.0xIndustry Avg. 13.2xNo. of Companies16PE01224364860+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (13.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CIA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CIA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CIA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$4.98
AU$5.69
+14.16%
11.99%AU$6.60AU$4.83n/a6
May ’27AU$4.85
AU$5.81
+19.86%
12.19%AU$6.50AU$4.90n/a6
Apr ’27AU$5.45
AU$6.30
+15.62%
12.59%AU$7.29AU$5.48n/a6
Mar ’27AU$5.37
AU$6.30
+17.26%
12.53%AU$7.37AU$5.54n/a6
Feb ’27AU$5.88
AU$6.21
+5.62%
13.36%AU$7.39AU$5.55n/a6
Jan ’27AU$6.07
AU$5.96
-1.75%
12.68%AU$7.38AU$5.06n/a6
Dec ’26AU$5.82
AU$5.91
+1.51%
14.65%AU$7.49AU$4.99n/a6
Nov ’26AU$5.54
AU$5.86
+5.73%
12.50%AU$7.06AU$4.99n/a6
Oct ’26AU$4.70
AU$5.46
+16.11%
14.31%AU$6.87AU$4.55n/a7
Sep ’26AU$4.51
AU$5.57
+23.41%
14.65%AU$7.04AU$4.66n/a7
Aug ’26AU$4.22
AU$5.69
+34.93%
15.61%AU$7.10AU$4.70n/a7
Jul ’26AU$4.20
AU$6.04
+43.83%
15.09%AU$7.44AU$4.28n/a7
Jun ’26AU$4.33
AU$6.32
+46.00%
17.21%AU$7.99AU$4.30n/a7
May ’26AU$4.59
AU$6.32
+37.74%
16.62%AU$7.70AU$4.31AU$4.857
Apr ’26AU$4.90
AU$7.24
+47.70%
6.52%AU$7.83AU$6.25AU$5.457
Mar ’26AU$5.43
AU$7.34
+35.11%
5.30%AU$7.83AU$6.68AU$5.377
Feb ’26AU$5.57
AU$7.34
+31.71%
5.30%AU$7.83AU$6.68AU$5.887
Jan ’26AU$5.75
AU$7.72
+34.28%
8.92%AU$8.80AU$7.04AU$6.077
Dec ’25AU$5.73
AU$7.47
+30.34%
10.16%AU$8.64AU$6.80AU$5.827
Nov ’25AU$6.14
AU$7.49
+21.91%
9.82%AU$8.64AU$6.81AU$5.547
Oct ’25AU$7.17
AU$7.52
+4.83%
9.64%AU$9.20AU$6.87AU$4.707
Sep ’25AU$6.27
AU$7.81
+24.52%
11.18%AU$9.72AU$7.19AU$4.516
Aug ’25AU$6.40
AU$8.09
+26.41%
10.42%AU$9.89AU$7.46AU$4.226
Jul ’25AU$6.51
AU$8.49
+30.40%
9.73%AU$9.83AU$7.47AU$4.206
Jun ’25AU$7.02
AU$8.48
+20.84%
10.81%AU$9.92AU$7.18AU$4.336
May ’25AU$6.89
AU$8.34
+21.06%
12.02%AU$9.89AU$7.20AU$4.596
AU$5.69
Fair Value
12.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/26 15:16
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/26 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Champion Iron Limited is covered by 30 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stefan IoannouATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)
Stuart HoweBell Potter
David CoatesBell Potter