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Patria Investments LimitedNasdaqGS:PAX Stock Report

Market Cap US$1.7b
Updated 1h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-26.6%
7D-4.7%
1D-1.2%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Patria Investments Limited

NasdaqGS:PAX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.7b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Patria Investments (PAX) Stock Overview

Operates as a private market investment firm. More details

PAX fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation1/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Price-To-Earnings ratio (24.6x) is below the Capital Markets industry average (39.7x)

Earnings are forecast to grow 41.17% per year

Risk Analysis

Large one-off items impacting financial results

Dividend of 6.12% is not well covered by earnings


PAX Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 59 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
31.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

Global Capital Shifts Will Expand Alternative Asset Markets

290
0
35
AN
AnalystHighTarget
46.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•4mo ago

Brazilian Private Credit And REIT Expansion Will Transform This Alternatives Platform

31
0
0
AN
AnalystLowTarget
6.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•2d ago

Private Markets Expansion Will Support Stable Fees But Credit And Integration Risks Will Persist

24
0
1

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
31.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

Global Capital Shifts Will Expand Alternative Asset Markets

290
0
35
AN
AnalystHighTarget
46.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•4mo ago

Brazilian Private Credit And REIT Expansion Will Transform This Alternatives Platform

31
0
0
AN
AnalystLowTarget
6.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•2d ago

Private Markets Expansion Will Support Stable Fees But Credit And Integration Risks Will Persist

24
0
1
View all narratives

Patria Investments Limited Competitors

Capital Southwest

Symbol: NasdaqGS:CSWC
Market cap: US$1.5b

Trinity Capital

Symbol: NYSE:TRIN
Market cap: US$1.7b

General American Investors Company

Symbol: NYSE:GAM
Market cap: US$1.6b

GCM Grosvenor

Symbol: NasdaqGM:GCMG
Market cap: US$2.6b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Patria Investments
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$10.62
52 Week HighUS$17.80
52 Week LowUS$10.55
Beta0.75
1 Month Change-4.41%
3 Month Change-8.05%
1 Year Change-26.61%
3 Year Change-29.29%
5 Year Change-39.52%
Change since IPO-46.63%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 09

PAX: Brazil Macro Risks And Higher Margins Will Shape A More Measured Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Patria Investments to $10 from $12, citing updated expectations for slower organic growth, higher discount rates, and changing macro conditions in Brazil that feed into more conservative revenue and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Patria Investments highlights a more cautious stance on the stock.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 05

Patria Investments: Still Too Cheap After Another Outstanding Quarter

Summary Patria Investments Limited remains a Strong Buy, with valuation implying a significant discount to fair value despite robust growth. In Q2, PAX delivered a 31% YoY increase in Distributable Earnings, strong fundraising, and 28% AUM growth, supporting confidence in 2027 FRE targets despite a modest potential miss in 2026. Macro headwinds and high yields continue to pressure LATAM equities, but PAX’s growth and resilient balance sheet position it for future inflows. My DCF yields an intrinsic value of $17.86 per share, far above the current $11.61, indicating clear undervaluation even under conservative assumptions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 09

PAX: Brazil Macro Risks And Higher Margins Will Shape A More Measured Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Patria Investments to $10 from $12, citing updated expectations for slower organic growth, higher discount rates, and changing macro conditions in Brazil that feed into more conservative revenue and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Patria Investments highlights a more cautious stance on the stock.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 05

Patria Investments: Still Too Cheap After Another Outstanding Quarter

Summary Patria Investments Limited remains a Strong Buy, with valuation implying a significant discount to fair value despite robust growth. In Q2, PAX delivered a 31% YoY increase in Distributable Earnings, strong fundraising, and 28% AUM growth, supporting confidence in 2027 FRE targets despite a modest potential miss in 2026. Macro headwinds and high yields continue to pressure LATAM equities, but PAX’s growth and resilient balance sheet position it for future inflows. My DCF yields an intrinsic value of $17.86 per share, far above the current $11.61, indicating clear undervaluation even under conservative assumptions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 10

PAX: Secondary Fund Commitments And Fee-Paying AUM Plan Will Support Upside

Analysts have reduced their average price target on Patria Investments from about $17 to roughly $15.57, citing updated models that reflect recent revisions to growth, profitability and valuation assumptions, including cuts to targets such as $16 to $15 and a further $2 reduction from other coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Patria Investments gives you a mixed picture, with updated models leading to lower price targets but not wholesale changes in fundamental views.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 26

PAX: Revised Outlook Balances Reduced Price Expectations With Higher Margin Assumptions

Patria Investments' analyst price target is updated from $13.50 to $12.00 as analysts adjust their models to reflect revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E multiples, informed by recent sector research and price target changes from major banks. Analyst Commentary on Patria Investments Recent research commentary on Patria Investments highlights a series of price target cuts that line up with the updated US$12.00 analyst target, reinforcing a more cautious stance on the stock's risk and reward profile.
User avatar
New Narrative • May 09

Brazilian Private Credit And REIT Expansion Will Transform This Alternatives Platform

Catalysts About Patria Investments Patria Investments is an alternative asset manager focused on private markets across Latin America and selected global geographies. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
New Narrative • Apr 14

Private Markets Expansion Will Support Stable Fees But Credit And Integration Risks Will Persist

Catalysts About Patria Investments Patria Investments is an alternative asset manager focused on private markets strategies across infrastructure, credit, real estate, private equity and multi-manager solutions, with a large portion of assets in long duration and permanent capital vehicles. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 08

PAX: Acquisition Pipeline And Fee-Paying AUM Plan Will Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Patria Investments by $1 to reflect slightly lower fair value assumptions and a modestly reduced future P/E, while keeping core growth and margin expectations essentially unchanged. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts who recently lifted their price target highlight confidence that Patria can support higher valuation multiples over time, even with current fair value tweaks elsewhere in the coverage.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 07

Patria Investments Limited – Completion of WP Global Partners Acquisition Strengthens U.S. Private Equity Platform

Author: Qudus Adebara (Founder of Wane Investment House) Patria Investments Limited has confirmed the completion of its acquisition of WP Global Partners , marking a significant milestone in the firm’s global expansion strategy and strengthening its foothold in the U.S. middle-market private equity segment. Transaction Overview Acquirer: Patria Investments Limited Target: WP Global Partners Sector: Private Equity Solutions (Lower-Middle Market) Geography: United States (New York & Chicago) Transaction Status: Completed Integration Plan: Full integration into Patria’s platform Strategic Platform Expansion The acquisition enhances Patria’s Global Private Markets Solutions (GPMS) division by: Expanding U.S. middle-market exposure Strengthening co-investment and primary fund capabilities Broadening General Partner (GP) relationships Deepening client reach across institutional investors Financial Impact Pro-forma GPMS FEAUM (4Q25): > $13.6 billion U.S. Exposure: ~40% of total investments This reflects a material scale-up in Patria’s global private equity solutions platform and reinforces its positioning as a diversified global alternatives manager.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 25

PAX: Acquisition Pipeline And AUM Deals Will Support Longer Term Upside Potential

Analysts now see a modestly higher blended price target for Patria Investments, shaped by recent moves that included a $1 trim from BofA and a $2 lift from Goldman Sachs. The updated view is anchored by relatively steady fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 11

PAX: Acquisition Pipeline And CFO Transition Will Support Longer Term Upside Potential

Analysts have recently adjusted their price targets on Patria Investments in a mixed way, with one cut of $1 and another increase of $2. These changes reflect updated views on the stock while keeping key assumptions, such as fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, essentially unchanged.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 23

PAX: Acquisition Plans And CFO Transition Will Shape Bullish Longer Term Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Patria Investments by about $0.43 as they factor in slightly lower fair value estimates, modestly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a somewhat higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Patria Investments point to a mixed but generally engaged view from the analyst community, with one firm trimming its target and another lifting it.
Analysis Article • Feb 06

Patria Investments (NASDAQ:PAX) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.15

Patria Investments Limited ( NASDAQ:PAX ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.15 per share on the 12th of...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 06

PAX: Updated Earnings Framework And CFO Transition Will Support Bullish Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Patria Investments to approximately US$17.71 from about US$17.14, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower expected P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher price target, now near US$17.71, as reflecting more confidence in Patria Investments' ability to execute on its updated revenue and margin assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 22

PAX: Future CFO Transition And Refined Assumptions Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts now estimate fair value for Patria Investments at approximately US$17.14 per share, up from about US$16.57, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple that together support a modestly higher price target. What's in the News Patria Investments Limited plans a CFO transition, with partner and CFO of Portfolio Management Raphael Denadai set to become Chief Financial Officer in April 2026, moving from his current role overseeing finance functions across Private Equity and Infrastructure portfolios (Key Developments).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 08

PAX: Future CFO Transition And Stable Earnings Multiple Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Patria Investments at approximately US$16.57 per share. They explained that only very small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions did not justify a change in the price target.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 25

PAX: Future Leadership Transition And Earnings Multiple Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Patria Investments to reflect slightly lower perceived risk and a richer future earnings multiple, lifting the implied fair value by approximately $0.00 per share. What's in the News Patria Investments announced that Partner and CFO of Portfolio Management, Raphael Denadai, will become the company’s Chief Financial Officer effective April 2026, adding him to the Management Committee and placing him in a direct reporting line to CEO Nikitas Psyllakis (Key Developments).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 10

PAX: Future Profit Margins And Earnings Multiples Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Patria Investments to approximately $16.57 from $16.17, citing higher projected revenue growth, a sharply improved profit margin profile, a slightly lower discount rate, and a normalization of future valuation multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly from $16.17 to $16.57 per share, reflecting a modest upward revision in intrinsic valuation.
Analysis Article • Sep 24

Patria Investments Limited's (NASDAQ:PAX) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 20

Global Capital Shifts Will Expand Alternative Asset Markets

With both the discount rate and future P/E showing only marginal movements, Patria Investments’ consensus analyst price target was maintained at $16.17, reflecting no material change in valuation outlook. What's in the News Patria Investments authorized a buyback program for up to 3,000,000 Class A common shares, to continue until the repurchase is completed or August 2026.
Analysis Article • Apr 07

Patria Investments Limited (NASDAQ:PAX) Not Flying Under The Radar

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.5x Patria Investments Limited ( NASDAQ:PAX ) may be sending bearish...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 21

Patria Investments: A Taste Of Latin America In Your Portfolio, With Sizzling Profit Margins

Summary Patria Investments gets a strong buy rating today, agreeing with the Seeking Alpha analyst consensus, but disagreeing with the quant system. The firm has seen new client money inflows recently and a major business acquisition, which could continue driving growth of its fee-driven diversified Latin America portfolio. Some macro forecasts for the LatAm region are favorable, and the firm has proven itself in above-average profit margins and cashflow growth. The above average dividend yield topping 5%, and share price trending near 5-year lows, could appeal to some dividend investors. A potential risk is regional overconcentration, and actual future economic outcomes for the LatAm region vs positive forecasts. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 16

Patria Investments: Don't Miss Out Here

Summary We deem Patria Investments Limited a "buy-the-dip" opportunity on the basis of resilient AUM growth, a well-balanced fund structure, margin expansion potential, and telling valuation metrics. The company's Latin America-centric approach can provide valuable diversification and growth benefits to investors. Despite being concerned by its recent earnings misses, we see tremendous value in Patria, which is echoed by its relative value and 4%+ forward dividend yield. Key risks include geopolitical instability in Latin America and the integration challenges surrounding the GPMS acquisition. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 02

Patria Investments: I'm Loving This 'Dirt Cheap' Latin American Version Of Blackstone

Summary Blackstone has been an exceptional investment, returning 880% since 2014, but its shares are now extremely rich, prompting consideration of trimming the position. Patria Investments offers similar growth potential as Blackstone, with a projected 2025 EPS growth higher than U.S. peers and a cheaper valuation. PAX's diversified asset management in Latin America presents currency and political risks, but it has shown strong performance and growth in AUM across various asset classes. Considering PAX's attractive valuation and 6.8% dividend yield, I’m contemplating reallocating funds from Blackstone to PAX, pending a management meeting in early 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 13

Patria Investments' Q3: Strong Fundraising And Attractive Valuation

Summary Patria Investments has heavily underperformed global peers in the private capital industry, dropping -20.25% YTD. Q3 demonstrated strong organic fundraising of $2 billion, with most coming from their global segment, which had a substantial part of those inflows arriving from Brazilian investors wanting to invest abroad. Although the company had a yearly margin reduction based on fee-related earnings, at a 12x price-to-FRE, the stock valuation looks too attractive to ignore. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 14

Patria Investments: The Alternatives King Of Latin America

Summary Alternative investment firms like Blackstone, Brookfield, Apollo, and KKR excel by managing third-party funds, creating billionaire founders. Patria Investments is emerging as a leader in South America, rapidly growing AUM through M&A and fundraising. Despite impressive growth, Patria's share price has declined since its 2021 IPO, which is unwarranted given its flourishing business. PAX is a strong buy due to its robust business model and market position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
New Narrative • Sep 12

Tactical Acquisitions And Share Repurchase Program Set To Elevate Earnings And Shareholder Value

Strategic shifts, including share repurchases and capital management updates, aim to enhance shareholder value and support EPS growth.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 10

My Favorite Dividend Stock: Patria Investments

Summary Patria is replicating Blackstone's business model, but it's far cheaper. It has recently also become the largest REIT asset manager in Brazil. High yield, high growth, and significant upside. What's not to like? Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Aug 04

Patria Investments Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

It's been a sad week for Patria Investments Limited ( NASDAQ:PAX ), who've watched their investment drop 12% to...
Seeking Alpha • May 29

Patria Investments: Stock Multiples At Historic Lows, Potential 7.87% Yield

Summary Patria has conducted a series of acquisitions that has more than doubled its AUM over the last three years at $32 billion. Weak stock price performance has resulted in a -16% YTD stock decline, bringing PAX stock price and PE multiple to a previous support level. Given its solid product offering and reputation within LATAM, buying this asset manager at its lows makes sense, especially since the elevated dividend could serve as to cover stock drops. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 06

Patria Investments: How To Play The Drop On Q1 Earnings

Summary Patria Investments is a 'best in class' Asset Manager with a leadership position in Latin America. PAX has grown quickly and profitably - more to come. PAX offered value before earnings, but a post earnings drop creates opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

PAXUS Capital MarketsUS Market
7D-4.7%-4.5%-2.2%
1Y-26.6%-0.03%13.1%

Return vs Industry: PAX underperformed the US Capital Markets industry which returned -0% over the past year.

Return vs Market: PAX underperformed the US Market which returned 13.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is PAX's price volatile compared to industry and market?
PAX volatility
PAX Average Weekly Movement3.7%
Capital Markets Industry Average Movement3.3%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: PAX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: PAX's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1994548Alexandre de Assumpcao Saighwww.patria.com

Patria Investments Limited operates as a private market investment firm. It specializes in investments in private equity, secondary direct and indirect and venture capital with focus in middle market, buyout and growth capital investments. It seeks to be sector agnostic with focus on agribusiness, power & energy, healthcare, logistics & transportations, food & beverage, agricultural products, packaged foods and meats, education services, outsourced business services, and digital & tech services.

Patria Investments Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Patria Investments's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
PAX fundamental statistics
Market capUS$1.73b
Earnings (TTM)US$69.81m
Revenue (TTM)US$428.01m
24.6x
P/E Ratio
4.0x
P/S Ratio

Is PAX overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
PAX income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$428.01m
Cost of RevenueUS$184.82m
Gross ProfitUS$243.19m
Other ExpensesUS$173.39m
EarningsUS$69.81m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)0.43
Gross Margin56.82%
Net Profit Margin16.31%
Debt/Equity Ratio57.3%

How did PAX perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

6.1%
Current Dividend Yield
142%
Payout Ratio

Does PAX pay a reliable dividends?

See PAX dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy PAX by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Patria Investments dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateAug 10 2026
Dividend Pay DateSep 14 2026
Days until Ex dividend33 days
Days until Dividend pay date2 days

Does PAX pay a reliable dividends?

See PAX dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 22:08
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Patria Investments Limited is covered by 9 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nicolas VaysselierBNP Paribas
Arnaud Maurice GiblatBNP Paribas
Craig SiegenthalerBofA Global Research

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