Patria Investments Limited

NasdaqGS:PAX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.7b

Patria Investments Valuation

Is PAX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PAX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: PAX ($10.62) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value ($10.5)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: PAX is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PAX?

Key metric: As PAX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PAX. This is calculated by dividing PAX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PAX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.6x
EarningsUS$69.81m
Market CapUS$1.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PAX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PAX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12x
CSWC Capital Southwest
14.1x24.03%US$1.5b
TRIN Trinity Capital
12x20.82%US$1.7b
GAM General American Investors Company
4.3xn/aUS$1.6b
GCMG GCM Grosvenor
17.6x14.71%US$2.6b
PAX Patria Investments
24.6x41.17%US$1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PAX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x) compared to the peer average (12x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PAX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

21 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GAM General American Investors Company
4.3xn/aUS$1.56b
ASA ASA Gold and Precious Metals
1.5xn/aUS$1.11b
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
CRRC.F Cohn Robbins Holdings
4.3xn/aUS$283.01m
PAX 24.6xIndustry Avg. 39.7xNo. of Companies67PE020406080100+
21 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PAX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (39.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PAX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PAX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.6x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PAX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PAX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$10.62
US$14.71
+38.55%
21.71%US$20.00US$10.00n/a7
Sep ’27US$11.25
US$15.57
+38.41%
15.68%US$20.00US$12.00n/a7
Aug ’27US$10.82
US$15.43
+42.59%
15.04%US$20.00US$12.00n/a7
Jul ’27US$11.00
US$15.57
+41.56%
14.91%US$20.00US$12.00n/a7
Jun ’27US$11.65
US$15.57
+33.66%
14.91%US$20.00US$12.00n/a7
May ’27US$12.69
US$16.36
+28.90%
11.86%US$20.00US$13.50n/a7
Apr ’27US$12.64
US$17.29
+36.75%
10.58%US$20.00US$15.00n/a7
Mar ’27US$13.12
US$17.29
+31.75%
10.58%US$20.00US$15.00n/a7
Feb ’27US$14.61
US$17.43
+19.29%
11.42%US$20.00US$14.00n/a7
Jan ’27US$15.89
US$16.57
+4.29%
7.81%US$18.00US$14.00n/a7
Dec ’26US$15.06
US$16.43
+9.09%
7.87%US$18.00US$14.00n/a7
Nov ’26US$14.57
US$16.14
+10.80%
9.02%US$18.00US$14.00n/a7
Oct ’26US$14.28
US$16.00
+12.08%
8.18%US$18.00US$14.00n/a7
Sep ’26US$13.54
US$16.17
+19.40%
8.31%US$18.00US$14.00US$11.256
Aug ’26US$13.34
US$15.25
+14.32%
9.61%US$18.00US$13.50US$10.826
Jul ’26US$14.18
US$14.92
+5.20%
9.95%US$18.00US$13.50US$11.006
Jun ’26US$12.74
US$14.92
+17.09%
9.95%US$18.00US$13.50US$11.656
May ’26US$10.68
US$14.75
+38.11%
10.31%US$18.00US$13.50US$12.696
Apr ’26US$11.41
US$14.83
+30.00%
10.60%US$18.00US$13.00US$12.646
Mar ’26US$11.33
US$14.83
+30.92%
10.60%US$18.00US$13.00US$13.126
Feb ’26US$11.89
US$15.17
+27.56%
10.37%US$18.00US$13.00US$14.616
Jan ’26US$11.63
US$16.00
+37.58%
20.41%US$23.00US$13.00US$15.896
Dec ’25US$11.96
US$15.67
+30.99%
22.01%US$23.00US$13.00US$15.066
Nov ’25US$11.66
US$15.50
+32.93%
22.89%US$23.00US$12.00US$14.576
Oct ’25US$11.09
US$16.17
+45.78%
19.70%US$23.00US$14.00US$14.286
Sep ’25US$11.52
US$17.36
+50.71%
20.04%US$23.00US$14.00US$13.546
US$14.71
Fair Value
27.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 02:42
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Patria Investments Limited is covered by 9 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nicolas VaysselierBNP Paribas
Arnaud Maurice GiblatBNP Paribas
Craig SiegenthalerBofA Global Research