Cosmo Energy Holdings (5021) Stock Overview
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the petroleum business in Japan and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 6/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 4/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 5/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
5021 Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | JP¥3,703.00 |
| 52 Week High | JP¥5,034.00 |
| 52 Week Low | JP¥3,020.50 |
| Beta | -0.063 |
| 1 Month Change | -7.08% |
| 3 Month Change | -23.13% |
| 1 Year Change | 19.55% |
| 3 Year Change | 87.49% |
| 5 Year Change | 201.30% |
| Change since IPO | -7.43% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 23
5021: Share Repurchases And Earnings Outlook Will Support Higher Future Pricing
Analysts have kept the Cosmo Energy Holdings fair value estimate steady at ¥4,845 while updating key model inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin outlook and future P/E. This refreshed mix of expectations underpins the latest price target view.Narrative Update • May 03
5021: Share Repurchase Framework Will Support Future Fair Value Reassessment
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Cosmo Energy Holdings from ¥5,001 to ¥4,845, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that shift their overall valuation view. What's in the News The Board of Directors met on February 6, 2026 to consider a change of Representative Director and the repurchase of the company's own shares (Key Developments).Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 23
5021: Share Repurchases And Earnings Outlook Will Support Higher Future Pricing
Analysts have kept the Cosmo Energy Holdings fair value estimate steady at ¥4,845 while updating key model inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin outlook and future P/E. This refreshed mix of expectations underpins the latest price target view.Narrative Update • May 03
5021: Share Repurchase Framework Will Support Future Fair Value Reassessment
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Cosmo Energy Holdings from ¥5,001 to ¥4,845, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that shift their overall valuation view. What's in the News The Board of Directors met on February 6, 2026 to consider a change of Representative Director and the repurchase of the company's own shares (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Apr 19
5021: Share Repurchases And Leadership Changes Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target on Cosmo Energy Holdings from ¥5,700 to ¥5,800, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, a slightly lower discount rate, and a higher future P/E of 11.86x. What's in the News Board meeting on February 6, 2026, covered a planned change of representative director and consideration of a share repurchase of the company's own shares (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 05
5021: Buyback Program And ESG Focus Will Support Fair Value
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Cosmo Energy Holdings from ¥4,494 to ¥5,001. This revision reflects updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins, and expected future P/E levels.Analysis Article • Mar 25
Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:5021) Revenue Forecasts By 10%
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:5021 ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making...
Narrative Update • Mar 22
5021: Buybacks And Lower Margin Outlook Will Likely Fail To Support Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Cosmo Energy Holdings slightly, to ¥3,530 from ¥3,578, citing updated assumptions that include a lower revenue decline rate, a modestly reduced profit margin, and a slightly lower forward P/E multiple. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase plan on February 6, 2026, allowing Cosmo Energy Holdings to buy back up to 6,250,000 shares, or 3.79% of outstanding shares, for up to ¥25,000 million, with the program running until March 31, 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 07
5021: Share Repurchases And Higher P/E Will Likely Fail To Support Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on Cosmo Energy Holdings from ¥3,400 to about ¥3,578, citing updates to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions in their models. What's in the News Board meeting on February 6, 2026 to consider a change of representative director and a proposal to repurchase the company’s own shares (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 21
5021: Share Buybacks Will Likely Fail To Offset Earnings Multiple Compression
Analysts have maintained their price target for Cosmo Energy Holdings at ¥3,400, citing slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E that support an unchanged view on fair value. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share buyback plan on February 6, 2026, signaling an intention to repurchase shares over time (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 06
5021: Upcoming Board Decisions On Leadership And Buybacks Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Cosmo Energy Holdings from ¥9,500 to ¥5,700, citing updates to discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations, profit margin forecasts, and the future P/E multiple used in their models. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for February 6, 2026, to consider a change of representative director and a potential share repurchase program (Board Meeting agenda).Analysis Article • Feb 06
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021)
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...Narrative Update • Jan 23
5021: Future Earnings Multiple Will Likely Compress As Revenue Outlook Weakens
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Cosmo Energy Holdings steady at ¥3,400, with only marginal tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin and future P/E guiding this unchanged price target. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for December 23, 2025, to approve an absorption-type merger of wholly owned subsidiary Cosmo Business Associates Co., Ltd., with effect from April 1, 2026 (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Jan 21
Calculating The Fair Value Of Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:5021)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Cosmo Energy Holdings fair value estimate is JP¥4,520 Current...Narrative Update • Jan 08
5021: ESG Focus And Merger Integration Will Support Fair Value
Narrative Update on Cosmo Energy Holdings Analysts have lifted their price target on Cosmo Energy Holdings to ¥4,494 from ¥4,327. They cite updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E expectations that slightly adjust their overall valuation view.Narrative Update • Dec 23
5021: Future Earnings Multiple Will Likely Compress Amid Weaker Revenue Outlook
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Cosmo Energy Holdings from ¥6,800 to ¥3,400, citing slightly weaker projected revenue growth, a modestly improved profit margin outlook, and a lower discount rate that together support a more conservative price target multiple. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for December 23, 2025, to approve an absorption-type merger of wholly owned subsidiary Cosmo Business Associates Co., Ltd., effective April 1, 2026 (company filing) FY2025 ESG presentation planned as an analyst and investor day event, signaling continued emphasis on sustainability and governance disclosures (company event) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was reduced significantly from ¥6,800 to ¥3,400, implying a materially lower intrinsic value assessment.Narrative Update • Dec 09
5021: ESG Updates And Margin Outlook Will Support Fair Value
Analysts have raised their price target on Cosmo Energy Holdings by approximately ¥230, driven by slightly lower assumed discount rates, a modestly improved long term revenue trajectory, and higher expected profit margins despite a marginally lower future P E multiple. What's in the News Hosted an Analyst and Investor Day focused on its FY2025 ESG Presentation.Narrative Update • Nov 25
5021: Discount Rate Reduction Will Support Fair Value in Coming Months
Narrative Update on Cosmo Energy Holdings Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Cosmo Energy Holdings from ¥4,096 to ¥4,094, citing modest adjustments in projected revenue growth and profit margin expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has decreased marginally from ¥4,096.43 to ¥4,094.17.Analysis Article • Nov 20
Cosmo Energy Holdings' (TSE:5021) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:5021 ), despite the...Narrative Update • Nov 10
5021: Discount Rate Reduction Will Support Fair Value in Coming Months
Analysts have raised their price target for Cosmo Energy Holdings to ¥4,096, citing adjustments to discount rates and future PE expectations as key factors in the revision. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Remains unchanged at ¥4,096.Analysis Article • Nov 02
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021)
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...Narrative Update • Oct 27
Future Returns Will Reflect Earnings Guidance And Planned Share Split Measures
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Cosmo Energy Holdings, increasing it from ¥4,092.86 to ¥4,096.43. They cite marginal shifts in discount rate and valuation metrics as justification for the update.Narrative Update • Oct 13
Future Earnings Will Benefit From Sustainable Aviation Fuel And Wind Power Projects
Narrative Update on Cosmo Energy Holdings Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Cosmo Energy Holdings at ¥4,092.86, citing minimal changes in discount rates, revenue growth projections, and profitability assumptions. What's in the News Issued consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2026, forecasting net sales of JPY 2,580,000 million, operating profit of JPY 123,000 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of JPY 53,000 million, and net income per share of JPY 323.76 (Company guidance).Narrative Update • Sep 29
Future Earnings Will Benefit From Sustainable Aviation Fuel And Wind Power Projects
Cosmo Energy Holdings' fair value has been sharply revised downward to ¥4093 as stagnating revenue outlooks and a slight uptick in future P/E signal weaker growth prospects. What's in the News Dividend guidance maintained at JPY 150 per share for Q2, and increased to JPY 180 per share for year-end, with a 2-for-1 stock split effective October 1; annual dividend forecast not disclosed due to split, but would be JPY 330/share without split.Analysis Article • Sep 27
Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥150.00
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:5021 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥150.00 per share on the 15th...Analysis Article • Sep 06
Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥150.00
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:5021 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥150.00 per share on the 15th...Narrative Update • Aug 27
Future Earnings Will Benefit From Sustainable Aviation Fuel And Wind Power Projects
The upward revision in Cosmo Energy Holdings’ price target primarily reflects improved consensus revenue growth forecasts, with the fair value increasing from ¥7,933 to ¥8,100. What's in the News Issued earnings guidance for FY ending March 31, 2026: net sales JPY 2,580,000 million, operating profit JPY 123,000 million, net income JPY 53,000 million, and EPS JPY 323.76.Analysis Article • Jul 24
Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • May 21
Investors Can Find Comfort In Cosmo Energy Holdings' (TSE:5021) Earnings Quality
Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.'s ( TSE:5021 ) shareholders over the last week...Analysis Article • Apr 09
Is Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Mar 01
Cosmo Energy Holdings' (TSE:5021) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...
New Narrative • Feb 23
Future Earnings Will Benefit From Sustainable Aviation Fuel And Wind Power Projects
New sustainable aviation fuel facility and wind projects aim to enhance revenue streams and improve margins through cleaner energy initiatives.Analysis Article • Feb 06
Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥150.00
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.'s ( TSE:5021 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥150.00 per share on 23rd of...Analysis Article • Dec 14
Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥150.00
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:5021 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥150.00 per share on the 23rd...Analysis Article • Dec 05
Sentiment Still Eluding Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:5021)
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.2x in the Oil and Gas industry in Japan, you could be...Analysis Article • Nov 20
Why Cosmo Energy Holdings' (TSE:5021) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem
The market seemed underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:5021 ) recently...Analysis Article • Nov 07
Is Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:5021) Trading At A 48% Discount?
Key Insights Cosmo Energy Holdings' estimated fair value is JP¥14,194 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Cosmo...Analysis Article • Aug 12
Does Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Jul 27
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:5021) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.'s ( TSE:5021 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.2x might make it look like a buy...Analysis Article • Jul 11
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:5021) Shares Could Be 22% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights The projected fair value for Cosmo Energy Holdings is JP¥10,305 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analysis Article • May 12
Is Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Apr 09
Investors Holding Back On Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:5021)
It's not a stretch to say that Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd.'s ( TSE:5021 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of...Analysis Article • Mar 13
Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥150.00
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:5021 ) will pay a dividend of ¥150.00 on the 24th of June. This will take the...Analysis Article • Feb 28
Cosmo Energy Holdings' (TSE:5021) Dividend Will Be ¥150.00
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:5021 ) will pay a dividend of ¥150.00 on the 24th of June. This takes the...Shareholder Returns
| 5021 | JP Oil and Gas | JP Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.08% | -4.3% | 3.6% |
| 1Y | 19.5% | 71.4% | 41.3% |
Return vs Industry: 5021 underperformed the JP Oil and Gas industry which returned 71.4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: 5021 underperformed the JP Market which returned 41.3% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| 5021 volatility | |
|---|---|
| 5021 Average Weekly Movement | 4.9% |
| Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement | 6.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 4.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in JP Market | 9.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in JP Market | 2.4% |
Stable Share Price: 5021 has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the JP market.
Volatility Over Time: 5021's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 | 6,487 | Shigeru Yamada | www.cosmo-energy.co.jp |
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the petroleum business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Petroleum, Petrochemical, Oil Exploration and Production, and Renewable Energy. The Petroleum segment produces and sells gasoline, naphtha, kerosene, diesel, fuel oil, crude oil, lubricating oil, liquefied petroleum gas, and asphalt.
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Fundamentals Summary
| 5021 fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | JP¥569.94b |
| Earnings (TTM) | JP¥74.02b |
| Revenue (TTM) | JP¥2.68t |
7.7x
P/E Ratio0.2x
P/S RatioIs 5021 overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| 5021 income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | JP¥2.68t |
| Cost of Revenue | JP¥2.34t |
| Gross Profit | JP¥336.02b |
| Other Expenses | JP¥262.00b |
| Earnings | JP¥74.02b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 478.60 |
| Gross Margin | 12.55% |
| Net Profit Margin | 2.76% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 81.1% |
How did 5021 perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
4.5%
Current Dividend Yield55%
Payout RatioDoes 5021 pay a reliable dividends?
See 5021 dividend history and benchmarks| Cosmo Energy Holdings dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | Mar 30 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | Jun 26 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 60 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 28 days |
Does 5021 pay a reliable dividends?
See 5021 dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/28 16:29 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/28 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Cosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. is covered by 14 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Takashi Enomoto | BofA Global Research |
| Takashi Miyazaki | Citigroup Inc |
| Syusaku Nishikawa | Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. |