CME Group (CME) Stock Overview
Operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 0/6 |
| Past Performance | 4/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
CME Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 81 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
CME Group Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$288.34 |
| 52 Week High | US$329.16 |
| 52 Week Low | US$257.17 |
| Beta | 0.26 |
| 1 Month Change | -6.56% |
| 3 Month Change | -3.04% |
| 1 Year Change | 1.24% |
| 3 Year Change | 55.60% |
| 5 Year Change | 34.69% |
| Change since IPO | 3,260.61% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Apr 27
CME: Volatile Street Views And New Futures Will Shape Trading Mix
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for CME Group down to $308.20 from $311.67, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth assumptions and a higher discount rate, partly balanced by a higher projected profit margin and a modestly lower future P/E, in line with the mix of recent price target trims and increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CME Group has been active on both sides, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings in different directions.Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
CME Group Q1 Earnings Show Strength, But The Stock Still Looks Expensive
Summary CME Group delivered record Q1 volumes and revenue but missed consensus EPS and revenue estimates by narrow margins. CME remains a hold; the stock’s premium valuation already prices in strong volumes, steady cash flows, and its competitive moat. Growth is driven by diverse product expansion, including commodities, crypto, and cross-margining, but near-term upside is limited absent a volatility or trading surge. Key risks are volume normalization, regulatory changes, and tech disruptions; current price fairly reflects both strengths and risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 27
CME: Volatile Street Views And New Futures Will Shape Trading Mix
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for CME Group down to $308.20 from $311.67, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth assumptions and a higher discount rate, partly balanced by a higher projected profit margin and a modestly lower future P/E, in line with the mix of recent price target trims and increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CME Group has been active on both sides, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings in different directions.Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
CME Group Q1 Earnings Show Strength, But The Stock Still Looks Expensive
Summary CME Group delivered record Q1 volumes and revenue but missed consensus EPS and revenue estimates by narrow margins. CME remains a hold; the stock’s premium valuation already prices in strong volumes, steady cash flows, and its competitive moat. Growth is driven by diverse product expansion, including commodities, crypto, and cross-margining, but near-term upside is limited absent a volatility or trading surge. Key risks are volume normalization, regulatory changes, and tech disruptions; current price fairly reflects both strengths and risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 11
CME: Volatility And New Contracts Will Shape Rare Earths And Crypto Volumes
The updated analyst price target for CME Group has moved higher by about $5 to $311.67. This change reflects analysts' use of a slightly lower discount rate, a modestly higher assumed revenue growth rate, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple, even as they factor in a small trim to projected profit margins.Narrative Update • Mar 26
CME: Volatility And New Contracts Will Shape Rare Earths And Volume Mix
Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to the CME Group fair value estimate to about $307 from roughly $305, reflecting slightly revised assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E following a mix of recent rating changes and price target tweaks across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CME Group reflects a mixed but generally balanced backdrop, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets in different directions.Narrative Update • Mar 11
CME: Volatility And New Contracts Will Shape Rare Earths And Clearing Outlook
Our analyst price target for CME Group has moved modestly higher to $305.21 from $299.29, as analysts factor in slightly stronger modeled revenue growth and profitability. This is partially offset by a more conservative future P/E assumption and mixed views on volume drivers across product lines.Narrative Update • Feb 25
CME: Volatility And New Contracts Will Shape Futures And Clearing Outlook
The analyst price target for CME Group edges higher to $232, with recent updates reflecting analysts' focus on firmer commodities volumes, as well as a more expense conscious outlook in their refreshed earnings models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CME Group reflects a mix of optimism on volumes and earnings power, alongside caution on valuation and the cost base.Narrative Update • Feb 10
CME: Volatility And Prediction Markets Will Guide Futures And Clearing Expansion Outlook
The updated analyst price target for CME Group edges higher to about US$297 from roughly US$290, reflecting analysts' use of a slightly lower discount rate, a modestly higher assumed revenue growth rate, and a similar future P/E multiple despite a slightly lower profit margin input. Analyst Commentary Street research on CME Group in recent sessions centers on a cluster of revised price targets and at least one rating change, with several bullish analysts lifting their targets by varying dollar amounts and one major bank fine tuning its view in both directions over a short time frame.Narrative Update • Jan 27
CME: Volatility And Prediction Markets Will Shape Futures Activity Outlook
The analyst price target for CME Group is now US$290.40, a move of about US$2 from the prior US$288.33, as analysts factor in slightly different assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following mixed recent research that includes both a modest target cut and an upgrade linked to a tilt toward volatility. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CME Group reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with one firm trimming its price target slightly and another upgrading the stock on what it sees as a better setup for volatility related trading activity.Narrative Update • Jan 12
CME: Fee Moat And Prediction Markets Will Shape Futures Activity Outlook
Narrative Update: CME Group CME Group's fair value estimate has edged up by about $1 to roughly $288 per share, as analysts cite the company's strong futures and options moat, a higher price target range of up to $314, and interest in its role within prediction markets as key supports for the updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has been generally constructive on CME Group, with several bullish analysts adjusting their price targets higher and highlighting the company's futures and options franchise as a key support for valuation.Narrative Update • Dec 27
CME: Fee Resilience And Prediction Markets Will Balance Lower Volatility Risks
Analysts have nudged their average price target on CME Group modestly higher, to approximately $287 from about $286, citing the company’s resilient fee-based revenue mix, strong competitive moat in futures and options, and supportive demand signals from prediction market partnerships despite some conflicting views on near term volume volatility. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed but generally constructive view on CME Group, with upward moves in price targets tempered by concerns around volume sensitivity and valuation risk if volatility normalizes.Narrative Update • Dec 13
CME: Fee Resilience And New Prediction Markets Will Help Navigate Volatility
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for CME Group by about $1 to roughly $286 per share, citing the company’s resilient clearing and transaction fee driven revenue base, modestly higher long term growth expectations, and a reinforced competitive moat highlighted in recent target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on CME Group reflects a wide range of views on valuation and execution, with recent target changes clustering around expectations for resilient fee income but diverging on the sustainability of growth and the impact of lower volatility.Narrative Update • Nov 16
CME: Revenue Resilience And New Ventures Will Balance Volatility Risks Ahead
The average analyst price target for CME Group was raised by approximately $3 to $285, as analysts point to the firm's resilient revenue streams and strong market position amid continued macroeconomic uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity reflects a mix of optimism and caution regarding CME Group's performance and outlook, particularly as the firm navigates shifting macroeconomic and market conditions.Seeking Alpha • Apr 27
CME: More Market Volatility Equals More Demands - Initiating With Strong Buy
Summary Initiating a 'Strong Buy' rating for CME with a fair value of $301 per share due to increased demand for hedging amid economic uncertainty and market volatility. CME's diverse product offerings and strong trading volume growth, particularly in interest rate options/futures, equity, FX, energy, and commodities, support its robust business model. CME's high operating margin, capex-light business model, and strategic use of Google Cloud enhance profitability and operational efficiency. Key risks include potential pushback on market data price increases and competition from FMX Futures Exchange in the US treasury market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 27
CME Group At A New All-Time High - Valuation Concerns Justified?
Summary CME shares have delivered market-beating returns over the past two years, prompting the question of whether it's time to lock in profits. In this update, I discuss whether the rally appears sustainable against the backdrop of the 2024 results published in mid-February. The analysis focuses on average contract volumes and rates, signs of potential underinvestment given the surprisingly strong free cash flow, and includes an update on debt and leverage. I explain why I do not intend to sell my CME stock position despite the elevated valuation, and why I am not even considering a covered call strategy at this time. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 18
CME Group: High Quality With Good Dividend Yield
Summary CME Group's near-monopoly in futures and options trading, with extraordinary 60% FCF margins, makes it a high-quality, capital-light business despite regulatory costs. Significant acquisitions like CBOT, NYMEX, and KCBT have solidified CME's market dominance, though future focus will be on dividends and smaller acquisitions. CME is slightly undervalued with a 4% dividend yield, making it a strong hold for dividend-focused investors seeking a high-quality business model. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 30
CME Group: Exchanges And Data Will Keep Growing, And So Could Its Dividend
Summary CME Group gets upgraded to buy, from my prior hold rating over a year ago, with renewed confidence in its future top and bottom-line growth potential. The firm could be driven by increased trading volume, but also growing demand for data analytics solutions. The dividend case is strong: a +4% yield, proven dividend growth, and a safe payout ratio. This firm has investment-grade credit ratings with low leverage. The stock, despite trading above average, remains reasonably valued vs peers in terms of fwd P/E and P/B ratios. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| CME | US Capital Markets | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% |
| 1Y | 1.2% | 16.7% | 31.0% |
Return vs Industry: CME underperformed the US Capital Markets industry which returned 16.8% over the past year.
Return vs Market: CME underperformed the US Market which returned 29.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| CME volatility | |
|---|---|
| CME Average Weekly Movement | 3.2% |
| Capital Markets Industry Average Movement | 3.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: CME has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: CME's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1898 | 3,875 | Terry Duffy | www.cmegroup.com |
CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, and foreign exchange; and agricultural, energy, and metals commodities, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. The company provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges.
CME Group Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| CME fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$103.93b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$4.24b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$6.74b |
24.6x
P/E Ratio15.5x
P/S RatioIs CME overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| CME income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$6.74b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$0 |
| Gross Profit | US$6.74b |
| Other Expenses | US$2.50b |
| Earnings | US$4.24b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 11.71 |
| Gross Margin | 100.00% |
| Net Profit Margin | 62.95% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 12.9% |
How did CME perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
3.9%
Current Dividend Yield43%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/06 11:24 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
CME Group Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Stephen Biggar | Argus Research Company |
| Benjamin Budish | Barclays |
| Roger Freeman | Barclays |