Autodesk, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ADSK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$56.2b

Autodesk Valuation

Is ADSK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of ADSK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Fair Value: ADSK ($265.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($315.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADSK is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADSK?

Key metric: As ADSK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADSK. This is calculated by dividing ADSK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADSK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio50.6x
EarningsUS$1.11b
Market CapUS$56.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADSK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADSK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.3x
WDAY Workday
76.5x32.03%US$49.1b
ROP Roper Technologies
28.5x11.32%US$44.8b
MSTR Strategy
7x51.75%US$54.1b
FICO Fair Isaac
57.1x18.09%US$37.2b
ADSK Autodesk
50.6x19.06%US$56.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the peer average (42.3x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADSK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MARA MARA Holdings
4.6x-97.65%US$4.30b
EXOD Exodus Movement
4.5x-32.20%US$486.12m
XNET Xunlei
0.4xn/aUS$480.99m
TONX TON Strategy
2.3xn/aUS$169.59m
ADSK 50.6xIndustry Avg. 31.6xNo. of Companies14PE020406080100+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the US Software industry average (31.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADSK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADSK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio50.6x
Fair PE Ratio37.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADSK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$265.69
US$365.58
+37.60%
9.30%US$460.00US$275.00n/a31
Jan ’27US$296.01
US$366.13
+23.69%
9.39%US$460.00US$275.00n/a30
Dec ’26US$305.12
US$365.14
+19.67%
8.91%US$430.00US$275.00n/a29
Nov ’26US$301.34
US$363.71
+20.70%
7.66%US$430.00US$300.00n/a28
Oct ’26US$315.73
US$360.52
+14.18%
8.93%US$430.00US$270.97n/a29
Sep ’26US$314.70
US$358.96
+14.07%
8.89%US$430.00US$270.97n/a29
Aug ’26US$297.02
US$341.72
+15.05%
9.69%US$430.00US$270.97n/a29
Jul ’26US$311.67
US$337.80
+8.38%
10.03%US$430.00US$270.97n/a29
Jun ’26US$296.12
US$336.87
+13.76%
9.82%US$430.00US$270.97n/a30
May ’26US$273.49
US$320.15
+17.06%
11.14%US$430.00US$265.00n/a30
Apr ’26US$264.61
US$335.29
+26.71%
10.43%US$430.00US$275.00n/a30
Mar ’26US$274.21
US$337.58
+23.11%
10.06%US$430.00US$285.00n/a30
Feb ’26US$311.34
US$330.15
+6.04%
9.95%US$400.00US$275.00n/a29
Jan ’26US$295.57
US$327.01
+10.64%
9.09%US$380.00US$275.00US$296.0129
Dec ’25US$291.90
US$319.38
+9.41%
10.02%US$375.00US$245.00US$305.1227
Nov ’25US$286.57
US$296.85
+3.59%
8.42%US$340.00US$245.00US$301.3426
Oct ’25US$267.47
US$292.52
+9.37%
7.56%US$325.00US$245.00US$315.7325
Sep ’25US$258.40
US$287.41
+11.23%
9.31%US$325.00US$225.00US$314.7024
Aug ’25US$241.78
US$270.56
+11.90%
8.95%US$310.00US$225.00US$297.0223
Jul ’25US$245.83
US$269.69
+9.71%
9.11%US$310.00US$225.00US$311.6723
Jun ’25US$201.60
US$278.74
+38.26%
8.14%US$310.00US$230.00US$296.1224
May ’25US$210.71
US$287.11
+36.26%
8.73%US$320.00US$230.00US$273.4925
Apr ’25US$259.44
US$287.11
+10.67%
8.73%US$320.00US$230.00US$264.6125
Mar ’25US$264.74
US$282.85
+6.84%
10.15%US$320.00US$230.00US$274.2123
Feb ’25US$255.07
US$247.03
-3.15%
10.06%US$285.00US$180.00US$311.3424
Jan ’25US$243.48
US$237.94
-2.27%
8.64%US$285.00US$180.00US$295.5725
US$365.58
Fair Value
27.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
31
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/18 23:35
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/16 00:00
Earnings2025/10/31
Annual Earnings2025/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Autodesk, Inc. is covered by 60 analysts. 30 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Adam ShepherdArete Research Services LLP
Joseph BonnerArgus Research Company
Joseph VruwinkBaird