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Ithaca Energy plcLSE:ITH Stock Report

Market Cap UK£4.2b
Share Price
UK£2.62
UK£2.24
17.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y87.0%
7D-1.4%
Portfolio Value
View

Ithaca Energy plc

LSE:ITH Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£4.2b

Ithaca Energy (ITH) Stock Overview

Engages in the development and production of oil and gas in the North Sea. More details

ITH fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends3/6

ITH Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 40 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Ithaca Energy plc Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Ithaca Energy
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUK£2.62
52 Week HighUK£2.89
52 Week LowUK£1.26
Beta0.35
1 Month Change8.35%
3 Month Change42.19%
1 Year Change87.02%
3 Year Change68.94%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO14.00%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 04

ITH: Dividend Payout Will Support Returns While Future Earnings Multiple Compresses

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Ithaca Energy to reflect updated views on revenue trends, profitability and a lower future P/E assumption. The revised target is £1.51 per share, unchanged from the previous £1.51.
Narrative Update Apr 20

ITH: Future Returns Will Balance Dividend Payouts And Production Execution Risks

The analyst price target for Ithaca Energy has been adjusted slightly higher to £2.24 from £2.21. Analysts cite updated fair value estimates, along with changes in revenue growth, profit margin expectations and future P/E assumptions, as key drivers of the move.
Narrative Update Apr 05

ITH: Future Profit Pressures Will Limit Upside Despite Dividend Support

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Ithaca Energy to £1.70 from £1.80, citing a fair value estimate that now points to a smaller valuation gap, as well as updated assumptions for lower revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, a higher future P/E multiple and a modestly reduced discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a more balanced stance on Ithaca Energy, with the revised £1.70 price target reflecting a view that the share price is now closer to analysts’ estimates of fair value.
Narrative Update Mar 22

ITH: Overvaluation Concerns Will Persist As Dividend And Output Execution Risks Loom

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Ithaca Energy from £1.83 to £2.21 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on growth, profitability and the recent shift in Street views that now see a more balanced risk and reward profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the upgrade to Neutral from Sell as a sign that execution risks now look more balanced against potential rewards after the recent share price underperformance.

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 04

ITH: Dividend Payout Will Support Returns While Future Earnings Multiple Compresses

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Ithaca Energy to reflect updated views on revenue trends, profitability and a lower future P/E assumption. The revised target is £1.51 per share, unchanged from the previous £1.51.
Narrative Update Apr 20

ITH: Future Returns Will Balance Dividend Payouts And Production Execution Risks

The analyst price target for Ithaca Energy has been adjusted slightly higher to £2.24 from £2.21. Analysts cite updated fair value estimates, along with changes in revenue growth, profit margin expectations and future P/E assumptions, as key drivers of the move.
Narrative Update Apr 05

ITH: Future Profit Pressures Will Limit Upside Despite Dividend Support

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Ithaca Energy to £1.70 from £1.80, citing a fair value estimate that now points to a smaller valuation gap, as well as updated assumptions for lower revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, a higher future P/E multiple and a modestly reduced discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a more balanced stance on Ithaca Energy, with the revised £1.70 price target reflecting a view that the share price is now closer to analysts’ estimates of fair value.
Narrative Update Mar 22

ITH: Overvaluation Concerns Will Persist As Dividend And Output Execution Risks Loom

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Ithaca Energy from £1.83 to £2.21 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on growth, profitability and the recent shift in Street views that now see a more balanced risk and reward profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the upgrade to Neutral from Sell as a sign that execution risks now look more balanced against potential rewards after the recent share price underperformance.
Narrative Update Mar 08

ITH: Reset Expectations And Legal Resolution Will Shape Future Cash Generation

Analysts have reduced Ithaca Energy's price target from £1.80 to £1.70, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. They now view these assumptions as supporting a more balanced risk and reward profile for the shares.
Narrative Update Feb 21

ITH: Reset Expectations And Balanced Risk Reward Will Support Future Cash Generation

Ithaca Energy's analyst price target has been trimmed by £0.10 to £1.70 per share, as analysts now see a more balanced risk and reward profile after the recent share price underperformance and modest tweaks to fair value, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin expectations and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ithaca Energy points to a more balanced view, with some bullish analysts seeing the current share price as better aligned with their assessment of value.
Narrative Update Feb 07

ITH: Reset Tax And Hedging Expectations Will Support Future Cash Generation

Our new analyst price target for Ithaca Energy moves modestly higher to about £2.62 from £2.55 per share. This reflects analysts' view that the recent upgrade to Neutral and reset to a 170 GBp target signal a more balanced risk and reward profile after the stock's recent underperformance.
Analysis Article Feb 03

Is Ithaca Energy (LON:ITH) Using Too Much Debt?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Narrative Update Jan 24

ITH: Fair Rating Will Rely On Execution Under Tougher U.K. Tax Regime

Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Ithaca Energy, alongside lowering the average price target to £1.70 from £1.80. This adjustment reflects updated expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, and suggests a more balanced view of risk and reward following the recent share pullback.
Narrative Update Jan 09

ITH: Premium Rating Will Rely On Execution Under Tougher U.K. Tax Regime

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Ithaca Energy to about £1.85 per share from roughly £1.93, citing the recent downgrade to Sell, the premium valuation in a tougher U.K. tax regime, relatively lower cash returns versus peers, and limited gas hedging from 2027. Analyst Commentary Recent research has put a spotlight on how Ithaca Energy is priced versus its risk profile, especially under the current U.K. tax regime and its evolving hedging strategy.
Narrative Update Dec 16

ITH: Cygnus Acquisition Will Support Cash Generation Despite Tough Tax Backdrop

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Ithaca Energy to 180 GBp from 200 GBp, citing the shares trading at a premium despite the U.K. tax regime, moderating cash returns relative to peers, and concerns about limited gas hedging beyond 2026. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge that Ithaca Energy faces structural challenges in the U.K. tax environment and a less favorable hedging profile beyond 2026, yet they still see selective reasons for optimism around execution and cash generation.
Analysis Article Dec 12

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Ithaca Energy plc's (LON:ITH) 30% Price Drop

Ithaca Energy plc ( LON:ITH ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
Narrative Update Dec 02

ITH: Mixed Outlook As Tax Risks Offset Recent Operational Progress

Analysts have raised their price target for Ithaca Energy from £1.84 to £1.93. This change reflects underlying shifts in profitability and cash flow expectations, despite concerns over its premium valuation and the evolving U.K. tax environment.
Narrative Update Nov 18

ITH: Lower Discount Rate Will Fail To Justify Recent Share Offering

Analysts have raised their price target for Ithaca Energy from £1.73 to £1.84, citing a slightly lower discount rate in addition to a modest adjustment to revenue growth and profit margin forecasts. What's in the News Ithaca Energy has completed the acquisition of an additional 46.25% interest in the Cygnus gas field, increasing its operated stake to 85%.
Narrative Update Nov 03

ITH: Incremental Changes In Discount Rate Will Limit Share Upside

Analysts have modestly revised their price target for Ithaca Energy, adjusting the fair value estimate from £1.73 to £1.73 per share. They cite incremental changes in the company’s discount rate and future P/E outlook as underlying factors for the update.
Analysis Article Oct 28

Why We're Not Concerned About Ithaca Energy plc's (LON:ITH) Share Price

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.8x in the Oil and Gas industry in the United Kingdom, you...
Narrative Update Oct 20

North Sea Projects Will Shape The Future Despite Energy Transition

Analysts have raised their price target for Ithaca Energy from £1.60 to £1.73 per share. They cite improved revenue growth projections and a stronger profit margin outlook as the reasons for this adjustment.
Narrative Update Aug 27

Rosebank And Captain EOR Risks Will Undermine Oil Operations

Despite a sharp downgrade in revenue growth expectations, Ithaca Energy’s future P/E has dropped substantially, improving valuation and likely driving the consensus price target up from £1.54 to £1.61. What's in the News Upgraded FY2025 production guidance to 119–125 kboe/d from prior 109–119 kboe/d, reflecting strong core asset performance.
Analysis Article Aug 11

Here's Why Ithaca Energy (LON:ITH) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

LSE:ITH 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Ithaca Energy's Fair Values from the Community and select yours David...
Analysis Article Jun 19

Ithaca Energy plc (LON:ITH) Stock Rockets 28% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

The Ithaca Energy plc ( LON:ITH ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28...
Analysis Article May 21

Is Ithaca Energy plc (LON:ITH) Trading At A 49% Discount?

Key Insights The projected fair value for Ithaca Energy is UK£2.54 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Ithaca...
User avatar
New Narrative Feb 12

Rosebank Delays And High Capital Expenditures Will Strain Cash Flow In 2024

Heavy capital investment and ongoing projects may strain cash flow and impact future revenue due to potential delays and cost overruns.

Shareholder Returns

ITHGB Oil and GasGB Market
7D-1.4%-5.9%-0.8%
1Y87.0%36.0%19.7%

Return vs Industry: ITH exceeded the UK Oil and Gas industry which returned 44.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: ITH exceeded the UK Market which returned 21.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is ITH's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ITH volatility
ITH Average Weekly Movement8.0%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement8.5%
Market Average Movement5.6%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market11.6%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: ITH has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the UK market.

Volatility Over Time: ITH's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2004658Luciano Vasqueswww.ithacaenergy.com

Ithaca Energy plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and production of oil and gas in the North Sea. It owns a portfolio of assets located in the Northern, Central, and Southern North Sea, as well as West of Shetland and the Moray Firth areas of the UK Continental Shelf. The company was formerly known as Delek North Sea Limited and changed its name to Ithaca Energy plc in October 2022.

Ithaca Energy plc Fundamentals Summary

How do Ithaca Energy's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
ITH fundamental statistics
Market capUK£4.18b
Earnings (TTM)-UK£61.82m
Revenue (TTM)UK£2.17b
2.0x
P/S Ratio
-70.0x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
ITH income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.95b
Cost of RevenueUS$1.71b
Gross ProfitUS$1.24b
Other ExpensesUS$1.32b
Earnings-US$84.10m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.051
Gross Margin42.09%
Net Profit Margin-2.85%
Debt/Equity Ratio55.3%

How did ITH perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

8.5%
Current Dividend Yield
-593%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/08 21:58
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/08 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ithaca Energy plc is covered by 20 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matthew CooperBarclays
Lydia RainforthBarclays
James HosieBarclays