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Tesco PLCLSE:TSCO Stock Report

Market Cap UK£30.6b
Share Price
UK£4.81
UK£5.1
5.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y29.6%
7D-2.0%
Portfolio Value
View

Tesco PLC

LSE:TSCO Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£30.6b

Tesco (TSCO) Stock Overview

Operates as a grocery retailer in the United Kingdom, Republic of Ireland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary. More details

TSCO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance4/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends3/6

TSCO Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 145 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Tesco PLC Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Tesco
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUK£4.81
52 Week HighUK£5.08
52 Week LowUK£3.58
Beta0.61
1 Month Change1.53%
3 Month Change13.06%
1 Year Change29.58%
3 Year Change69.88%
5 Year Change111.32%
Change since IPO390.78%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

TSCO: Future Returns Will Depend On Margins And Share Repurchase Discipline

Analysts have raised the Tesco price target to reflect a fair value estimate of £5.10, supported by slightly firmer profit margin assumptions, a marginally lower discount rate, and a small adjustment to future P/E expectations, even as projected revenue growth is set at a more modest level. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesco reflects a mix of confidence in the current setup and attention to execution risks, with several large banks revisiting their fair value assumptions and price targets.

The Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO) Full-Year Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

Apr 19
The Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO) Full-Year Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

TSCO: Future Returns Will Depend On Margins And Modest Multiple Expectations

Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to Tesco's price target, reflecting slightly higher fair value estimates around £4.89, a small change to assumed discount rates and growth, and a marginally lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Tesco highlight a mix of optimism around fair value and some caution on execution and near term risks.

TSCO: Execution On Margins And P E Assumptions Will Guide Future Returns

Tesco's analyst price target has been adjusted to £4.86 from £4.81. Analysts cite updated fair value estimates, a slightly higher assumed P/E multiple, and refined views on revenue growth and profit margin as drivers of the change.

TSCO: Store Partnerships And Execution Will Shape Fairly Valued Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their Tesco price target to £4.80 from £5.00, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Tesco focuses on how the adjusted £4.80 price target lines up with expectations on valuation, execution and growth.

TSCO: Execution On Store Partnerships And Margins Will Shape Future Returns

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their Tesco price target to £4.80 from £5.00, reflecting slightly lower discount rate and future P/E assumptions while keeping their broader positive stance on the shares intact. Analyst Commentary Bullish and bearish analysts are reacting to the revised £4.80 price target with a focus on how Tesco can execute against its current valuation, rather than a wholesale change in view on the company.

TSCO: Higher Discount Rate Assumptions And Retail Execution Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Tesco to £4.80 from £5.00, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions and only marginal tweaks to growth and margin inputs in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Tesco centres on how small model adjustments feed through to valuation, with the average price target easing to £4.80.

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO)

Feb 03
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO)

TSCO: Higher Risk Assumptions And Retail Execution Will Shape Future Upside

The latest analyst narrative on Tesco reflects a small reduction in the implied fair value, in line with JPMorgan trimming its price target to £4.80 from £5.00. Analysts are factoring in slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a marginally higher discount rate, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple.

Tesco (LON:TSCO) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Jan 19
Tesco (LON:TSCO) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

TSCO: Higher Risk Assumptions And Stable Margins Will Shape Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their Tesco fair value estimate slightly to £4.80 from about £4.84. They cite a modest reset in discount rate assumptions alongside steady expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels.

TSCO: Modest Margin Inflection And Consumer Headwinds Will Shape Near-Term Performance

Analysts have modestly raised their Tesco price target, reflecting a slightly higher fair value estimate of approximately $4.84, up from about $4.70, supported by incremental improvements in revenue growth, profit margin and expected future valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Analyst opinion on Tesco remains cautiously constructive, with recent price target adjustments reflecting incremental confidence in the group’s ability to execute on its strategy while navigating a still fragile consumer backdrop.

Is There An Opportunity With Tesco PLC's (LON:TSCO) 30% Undervaluation?

Dec 04
Is There An Opportunity With Tesco PLC's (LON:TSCO) 30% Undervaluation?

TSCO: Earnings Outlook And Upcoming Report Will Define Near-Term Momentum

Tesco’s analyst price target was raised from 400 GBp to 450 GBp, as analysts cited improved earnings forecasts and the company’s placement on a positive catalyst watch in advance of its upcoming results. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on Tesco has become increasingly positive following recent revisions to earnings estimates and a notable upgrade in the company's price target.

TSCO: Upgraded Outlook May Drive Momentum Ahead Of Earnings Update

Analysts have increased their price target for Tesco to £4.50 from £4.00, citing stronger than expected earnings estimates and an improved profit outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have raised their price targets for Tesco, reflecting increased confidence in the company's outlook.

These 4 Measures Indicate That Tesco (LON:TSCO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Nov 04
These 4 Measures Indicate That Tesco (LON:TSCO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

TSCO: Upcoming Earnings And Dividend Will Shape Outlook Amid Mixed Sentiment

Tesco's analyst price target has increased from 400 GBp to 450 GBp. Analysts cite stronger earnings estimates and the company being placed on a "Positive Catalyst Watch" ahead of upcoming results. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts raised Tesco’s price target to 450 GBp, reflecting increased confidence in the company’s growth trajectory and financial performance.

Tesco PLC's (LON:TSCO) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Oct 20
Tesco PLC's (LON:TSCO) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Digital Investments And Clubcard Offers Will Transform Retail Experiences

Tesco’s analyst price target has been raised, increasing from £4.56 to approximately £4.70 per share. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected earnings forecasts and improved profit margin expectations as their rationale for the update.

Digital Investments And Clubcard Offers Will Transform Retail Experiences

Tesco's price target has been raised from 400 GBp to 450 GBp as analysts cite improved earnings forecasts. Estimates are now set well above company guidance.

Digital Investments And Clubcard Offers Will Transform Retail Experiences

Tesco’s analyst price target has been raised from £4.29 to £4.40 as analysts express increased confidence driven by stronger earnings forecasts, anticipated positive catalysts, and sustained operational momentum. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are anticipating strong upcoming earnings, with first half and full year estimates raised significantly, placing forecasts comfortably above current guidance.

Digital Investments And Clubcard Offers Will Transform Retail Experiences

Tesco’s fair value estimate was marginally revised upward to £4.29, primarily reflecting a modest increase in its future P/E multiple while revenue growth forecasts remained steady. What's in the News Tractor Supply is expanding its final-mile delivery network by hiring drivers and renting vehicles to serve rural customers more effectively, aiming to boost digital and B2B sales (WSJ).

Estimating The Fair Value Of Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO)

Aug 26
Estimating The Fair Value Of Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO)

Does Tesco (LON:TSCO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Aug 05
Does Tesco (LON:TSCO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

What Tesco PLC's (LON:TSCO) P/E Is Not Telling You

Jul 18
What Tesco PLC's (LON:TSCO) P/E Is Not Telling You

Tesco's (LON:TSCO) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

May 11
Tesco's (LON:TSCO) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
User avatar

Unleashing Digital Innovation And Premium Products To Outperform In Competitive Markets

Tesco's digital investment and omnichannel expansion are set to drive revenue growth by enhancing convenience and product variety for customers.

Shareholder Returns

TSCOGB Consumer RetailingGB Market
7D-2.0%-2.7%-0.2%
1Y29.6%17.7%19.7%

Return vs Industry: TSCO exceeded the UK Consumer Retailing industry which returned 17.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: TSCO exceeded the UK Market which returned 19.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is TSCO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
TSCO volatility
TSCO Average Weekly Movement3.5%
Consumer Retailing Industry Average Movement3.5%
Market Average Movement5.6%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market11.5%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: TSCO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the UK market.

Volatility Over Time: TSCO's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1919340,000Ken Murphywww.tescoplc.com

Tesco PLC, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a grocery retailer in the United Kingdom, Republic of Ireland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary. It offers grocery products through its stores, as well as online. The company is also involved in the food and drink wholesaling activities.

Tesco PLC Fundamentals Summary

How do Tesco's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
TSCO fundamental statistics
Market capUK£30.60b
Earnings (TTM)UK£1.79b
Revenue (TTM)UK£73.71b
17.1x
P/E Ratio
0.4x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
TSCO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUK£73.71b
Cost of RevenueUK£67.28b
Gross ProfitUK£5.62b
Other ExpensesUK£3.83b
EarningsUK£1.79b

Last Reported Earnings

Feb 28, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Oct 08, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)0.28
Gross Margin7.63%
Net Profit Margin2.42%
Debt/Equity Ratio62.8%

How did TSCO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.0%
Current Dividend Yield
53%
Payout Ratio

Does TSCO pay a reliable dividends?

See TSCO dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy TSCO by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Tesco dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateMay 14 2026
Dividend Pay DateJun 26 2026
Days until Ex dividend12 days
Days until Dividend pay date55 days

Does TSCO pay a reliable dividends?

See TSCO dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/01 02:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2026/02/28
Annual Earnings2026/02/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tesco PLC is covered by 29 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Timothy AttenboroughBanco Santander
James AnsteadBarclays
Matthew ClementsBarclays