National Fuel Gas Company

NYSE:NFG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.2b

National Fuel Gas Valuation

Is NFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of NFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: NFG ($85.77) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($96.66)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: NFG is trading below future cash flow value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NFG?

Key metric: As NFG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NFG. This is calculated by dividing NFG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NFG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.4x
EarningsUS$655.16m
Market CapUS$8.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.2x
UGI UGI
13.3x9.41%US$8.0b
SWX Southwest Gas Holdings
25.2x9.09%US$6.0b
SR Spire
18.8x5.94%US$5.1b
OGS ONE Gas
19.4x8.26%US$4.9b
NFG National Fuel Gas
12.4x7.08%US$8.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (19.2x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Gas Utilities Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NFG 12.4xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies18PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the Global Gas Utilities industry average (14.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.4x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$85.77
US$98.33
+14.65%
2.54%US$101.00US$95.00n/a3
Feb ’27US$83.75
US$98.33
+17.41%
2.54%US$101.00US$95.00n/a3
Jan ’27US$80.06
US$101.33
+26.57%
4.06%US$106.00US$96.00n/a3
Dec ’26US$82.21
US$101.00
+22.86%
4.50%US$106.00US$95.00n/a3
Nov ’26US$78.91
US$101.33
+28.42%
5.83%US$106.00US$93.00n/a3
Oct ’26US$92.46
US$98.00
+5.99%
7.11%US$107.00US$89.00n/a4
Sep ’26US$86.74
US$98.00
+12.98%
7.11%US$107.00US$89.00n/a4
Aug ’26US$86.65
US$95.00
+9.64%
8.65%US$107.00US$86.00n/a4
Jul ’26US$83.96
US$86.25
+2.73%
1.51%US$88.00US$85.00n/a4
Jun ’26US$82.54
US$84.50
+2.37%
3.40%US$88.00US$80.00n/a4
May ’26US$79.20
US$82.50
+4.17%
4.89%US$88.00US$77.00n/a4
Apr ’26US$79.80
US$80.75
+1.19%
3.65%US$84.00US$76.00n/a4
Mar ’26US$75.20
US$76.75
+2.06%
10.15%US$84.00US$64.00n/a4
Feb ’26US$70.03
US$74.75
+6.74%
8.84%US$82.00US$64.00US$83.754
Jan ’26US$60.68
US$71.25
+17.42%
10.61%US$83.00US$62.00US$80.064
Dec ’25US$63.97
US$68.00
+6.30%
12.78%US$83.00US$62.00US$82.214
Nov ’25US$59.47
US$68.25
+14.76%
12.58%US$83.00US$62.00US$78.914
Oct ’25US$60.26
US$70.00
+16.16%
11.13%US$81.00US$64.00US$92.463
Sep ’25US$59.76
US$69.00
+15.46%
12.35%US$81.00US$62.00US$86.743
Aug ’25US$59.19
US$68.67
+16.01%
11.73%US$80.00US$62.00US$86.653
Jul ’25US$54.21
US$66.00
+21.75%
9.82%US$75.00US$60.00US$83.963
Jun ’25US$57.16
US$66.00
+15.47%
9.82%US$75.00US$60.00US$82.543
May ’25US$52.94
US$62.00
+17.11%
11.48%US$72.00US$56.00US$79.203
Apr ’25US$53.35
US$58.25
+9.18%
8.87%US$67.00US$54.00US$79.804
Mar ’25US$48.76
US$58.25
+19.46%
8.87%US$67.00US$54.00US$75.204
Feb ’25US$47.50
US$58.75
+23.68%
8.71%US$67.00US$54.00US$70.034
US$98.33
Fair Value
12.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/08 15:26
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/06 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

National Fuel Gas Company is covered by 19 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Jim HarmonBarclays
Carl KirstBMO Capital Markets Equity Research