AGNC Investment (AGNC) Stock Overview
Provides private capital to housing market in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 5/6 |
| Financial Health | 1/6 |
| Dividends | 2/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
AGNC Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 152 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
AGNC Investment Corp. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$10.34 |
| 52 Week High | US$12.19 |
| 52 Week Low | US$8.65 |
| Beta | 1.34 |
| 1 Month Change | -5.14% |
| 3 Month Change | -8.98% |
| 1 Year Change | 12.64% |
| 3 Year Change | 12.27% |
| 5 Year Change | -44.11% |
| Change since IPO | -46.56% |
Recent News & Updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 03
AGNC Is Yielding 13%, And Top Rated: We Predict A Dividend Hike In 2027
Summary The Rodeo Strategy: Stop predicting the daily news; focus on owning +42 high-yield revenue sources to absorb market swings. Book Value Bounce: Despite a March blip, AGNC's book value recovered 5% in April, proving price volatility is temporary. Earnings Smash: Q1 earnings of $0.42 easily cover the $0.36 dividend, creating a significant cash-flow cushion. Dividend Raise Potential: With earnings trending in the "high 30s to low 40s," a payout hike is on the horizon. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Apr 17
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC): The Yield Sentinel and the Q1 Spread Compression Test
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) , the premier sovereign of the Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) market, approaches Friday, April 17, 2026 , as the ultimate litmus test for income-oriented investors.
Narrative Update • Oct 29
Fed's Accommodative Policy Will Improve Predictability Of Agency MBS Returns
Analysts have raised their price target for AGNC Investment from $5.29 to $9.83, citing improving mortgage market trends, tighter agency spreads, and a substantial increase in mortgage applications as key drivers behind their more optimistic outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes reflect heightened optimism around AGNC Investment, with multiple analysts increasing their price targets amid signs of an improving mortgage market environment.Seeking Alpha • Apr 29
AGNC Investment: Why I Am Greedy For This 16% Yield
Summary AGNC Investment reported decent Q1 results, with significant growth in net interest income and a positive net interest spread. The REIT's yield has surged to 16% amid the recent market sell-off, and it is well-positioned to benefit from potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. AGNC is trading at book value, presenting a compelling value proposition amid market uncertainty and potential rate cuts. Risks include potential interest rate volatility; however, the current environment suggests a favorable outlook for AGNC Investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 22
AGNC: Volatility May Rock This Portfolio
Summary AGNC Investment Corp. offers a high dividend yield of over 17%, driven by a recent major dip in stock price. AGNC is a cyclical investment influenced by interest rate movements and management's portfolio positioning, rather than a stable income play. The company primarily invests in Agency securities and enhances the yield with short-term financing. With recent volatility subjecting such financing to margin call risks, recent price declines for AGNC only make it fairly valued. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 16
Tariff-Free Income With 17% Yield: AGNC
Summary Sometimes, you need to take a break, but you should never turn off your income stream. Dive into a foxhole of income security while the bombshells of the news go off around you. AGNC buys up no-risk assets and leverages them for income production. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 17
AGNC Investment: Yield Curve Inverted, Time To Sell
Summary Since my last buy rating on AGNC Investment Corp. stock, a few new developments have turned its risk/return curve unfavorable. The top development is that the yield curve has become inverted in the past month. Mortgage delinquency rates have also continued to increase in the meantime. Finally, AGNC is currently trading at a sizable valuation premium thanks to the recent price appreciation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 19
AGNC Investment: Attractive Investment Setup
Summary AGNC Investment offers a nearly 14% yield, backed by agency mortgage-backed securities, providing steady monthly income. The REIT's portfolio, mainly 30-year fixed mortgages, generated $2.9B in interest income in FY 2024, showing favorable net interest income trends. Falling federal fund rates are expected to improve AGNC's net interest spreads and re-pricing potential, despite recent inflation concerns. AGNC's valuation at a 1.15X price-to-book ratio indicates a premium, but the REIT is poised for fundamental improvements as interest rates are set to decline. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Feb 02
Fed's Accommodative Policy Will Improve Predictability Of Agency MBS Returns
Stable interest rates and balanced supply-demand outlook for Agency MBS could enhance AGNC's revenue and earnings by improving return predictability and maintaining attractive yields.Seeking Alpha • Jan 31
AGNC's Financial Performance Remains Stable
Summary AGNC'stock price increase signals better times ahead, despite a $0.41 loss in tangible net book value. AGNC sold $511 million in common stock, boosting book value, with leverage at 7.2 and $6.1 billion in cash for asset purchases. Stable or lower interest rates and a balanced supply demand outlook for agency MBS create attractive return opportunities, despite volatile markets and potential risks. Management's focus on mortgage spreads, stable interest rate volatility, and strategic leverage increase suggest higher earnings and dividends in the future. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 11
AGNC Investment: Now Is The Time To Be Greedy (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Lately, I have been cautioning investors about AGNC’s payout sustainability and high P/TBV ratio amidst bullish Wall Street sentiment. New developments since my last writing have either reduced or removed my concerns. The valuation has largely reverted to the mean in terms of its P/TBV ratio. The long-short yield spread has turned positive, and I see good odds for it to remain so in the near future. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 05
Deck The Halls With Dividends: AGNC
Summary It's easy to pronounce "cash" – it's also easy to collect massive yields that others misunderstand. Stop listening to people who misunderstand the basics of mREIT returns. Start collecting the income you so desperately need for your retirement! Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 15
AGNC Investment Corp.: A Top 15% Yielder To Buy For 2025 (Rating Upgrade)
Summary The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut is set to benefit AGNC Investment, enhancing profitability and potentially increasing its valuation multiplier due to lower interest costs. AGNC Investment's interest income grew 28% Y/Y in Q3, while interest expenses rose 27%. Lower financing costs imply improving spread potential. AGNC's book value, previously hit by rising rates, could normalize and reprice upwards, making it a promising investment as the Fed cuts rates. Risks include potential Fed reluctance to lower rates due to inflation or stronger-than-expected economic growth, but AGNC's 15% yield and low price-to-book ratio remain attractive. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 02
Collect 15% Yields From Your Neighbors: AGNC
Summary You can collect income from millions of homeowners across the U.S. without ever leaving your home. Passive income means fewer stressors and more enjoyment. What is the true American dream? Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 24
AGNC: The Investment Time Has Arrived
Summary AGNC Investment's Q3 earnings highlight a favorable investment environment with wider mortgage spreads, declining interest-rate volatility, and an accommodative Fed policy, boosting investor optimism. Management's strategic shift to treasury-based hedges over interest rate swaps aims to lower future risk, despite a temporary drop in dollar roll earnings. AGNC's increased cash position and stable market conditions set the stage for significant capital growth, leveraging lower Fed rates and higher MBS returns. The company maintains a lucrative dividend policy based on long-term economic returns, positioning AGNC for growth rather than yield in the coming years. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| AGNC | US Mortgage REITs | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -4.8% | -4.7% | -0.3% |
| 1Y | 12.6% | -3.5% | 24.0% |
Return vs Industry: AGNC exceeded the US Mortgage REITs industry which returned -3.5% over the past year.
Return vs Market: AGNC underperformed the US Market which returned 24% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| AGNC volatility | |
|---|---|
| AGNC Average Weekly Movement | 3.4% |
| Mortgage REITs Industry Average Movement | 3.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: AGNC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: AGNC's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 54 | Peter Federico | agnc.com |
AGNC Investment Corp. provides private capital to housing market in the United States. It invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes.
AGNC Investment Corp. Fundamentals Summary
| AGNC fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$11.87b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$1.30b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.61b |
9.1x
P/E Ratio7.4x
P/S RatioIs AGNC overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| AGNC income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.61b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$0 |
| Gross Profit | US$1.61b |
| Other Expenses | US$303.00m |
| Earnings | US$1.30b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 1.13 |
| Gross Margin | 100.00% |
| Net Profit Margin | 81.12% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 722.9% |
How did AGNC perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
13.9%
Current Dividend Yield118%
Payout RatioDoes AGNC pay a reliable dividends?
See AGNC dividend history and benchmarks| AGNC Investment dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | May 29 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | Jun 09 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 12 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 23 days |
Does AGNC pay a reliable dividends?
See AGNC dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/17 10:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
AGNC Investment Corp. is covered by 28 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mark DeVries | Barclays |
| Terry Ma | Barclays |
| Derek Hewett | BofA Global Research |