Gladstone Capital Corporation

NasdaqGS:GLAD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$435.6m

Gladstone Capital Valuation

Is GLAD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of GLAD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: GLAD ($19.02) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($32.39)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: GLAD is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GLAD?

Key metric: As GLAD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GLAD. This is calculated by dividing GLAD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GLAD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12x
EarningsUS$35.67m
Market CapUS$435.59m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GLAD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

Insufficient data to calculate this valuation analysis check
The above table shows the PE ratio for GLAD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Averagen/a
GLAD Gladstone Capital
12x9.19%US$435.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate GLAD's Price-To-Earnings Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GLAD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

20 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ASA ASA Gold and Precious Metals
1.9xn/aUS$1.19b
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
CRRC.F Cohn Robbins Holdings
4.3xn/aUS$283.01m
SSSS SuRo Capital
3.3x-116.79%US$218.54m
GLAD 12.0xIndustry Avg. 23.1xNo. of Companies68PE020406080100+
20 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GLAD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (22.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GLAD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GLAD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12x
Fair PE Ratio11.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GLAD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GLAD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$19.02
US$21.75
+14.35%
1.99%US$22.00US$21.00n/a4
Jan ’27US$20.66
US$22.20
+7.45%
3.37%US$23.00US$21.00n/a5
Dec ’26US$20.87
US$22.20
+6.37%
3.37%US$23.00US$21.00n/a5
Nov ’26US$19.38
US$26.80
+38.29%
8.64%US$31.00US$24.00n/a5
Oct ’26US$21.59
US$26.80
+24.13%
8.64%US$31.00US$24.00n/a5
Sep ’26US$26.42
US$26.80
+1.44%
8.64%US$31.00US$24.00n/a5
Aug ’26US$27.27
US$26.40
-3.19%
9.76%US$31.00US$24.00n/a5
Jul ’26US$27.05
US$26.40
-2.40%
9.76%US$31.00US$24.00n/a5
Jun ’26US$26.69
US$26.25
-1.63%
10.90%US$31.00US$24.00n/a4
May ’26US$24.89
US$26.25
+5.46%
10.90%US$31.00US$24.00n/a4
Apr ’26US$27.61
US$25.75
-6.74%
11.77%US$31.00US$24.00n/a4
Mar ’26US$28.88
US$25.75
-10.84%
11.77%US$31.00US$24.00n/a4
Feb ’26US$29.77
US$25.13
-15.60%
14.10%US$31.00US$21.50US$20.614
Jan ’26US$28.44
US$24.38
-14.29%
9.55%US$28.00US$21.50US$20.664
Dec ’25US$27.89
US$24.38
-12.60%
9.55%US$28.00US$21.50US$20.874
Nov ’25US$24.15
US$23.63
-2.17%
11.53%US$28.00US$20.50US$19.384
Oct ’25US$23.97
US$23.83
-0.57%
13.08%US$28.00US$20.50US$21.593
Sep ’25US$22.73
US$23.83
+4.85%
13.08%US$28.00US$20.50US$26.423
Aug ’25US$23.74
US$23.33
-1.71%
14.57%US$28.00US$20.00US$27.273
Jul ’25US$23.43
US$22.00
-6.10%
7.42%US$24.00US$20.00US$27.053
Jun ’25US$22.40
US$22.00
-1.79%
7.42%US$24.00US$20.00US$26.693
May ’25US$21.77
US$22.00
+1.06%
7.42%US$24.00US$20.00US$24.893
Apr ’25US$21.14
US$22.00
+4.07%
7.42%US$24.00US$20.00US$27.613
Mar ’25US$20.30
US$22.00
+8.37%
7.42%US$24.00US$20.00US$28.883
Feb ’25US$21.08
US$21.00
-0.38%
10.29%US$24.00US$19.00US$29.773
US$21.75
Fair Value
12.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/06 07:45
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/06 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Gladstone Capital Corporation is covered by 13 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John RowanBrean Capital (formerly Janney Montgomery)
Sean-Paul AdamsB. Riley Securities, Inc.
David ChiaveriniCantor Fitzgerald & Co.