Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.

NYSE:BCSF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$795.9m

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Valuation

Is BCSF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of BCSF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: BCSF ($12.27) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($19.69)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: BCSF is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BCSF?

Key metric: As BCSF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BCSF. This is calculated by dividing BCSF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BCSF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.8x
EarningsUS$73.60m
Market CapUS$795.94m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BCSF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

Insufficient data to calculate this valuation analysis check
The above table shows the PE ratio for BCSF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Averagen/a
BCSF Bain Capital Specialty Finance
10.8x7.11%US$795.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate BCSF's Price-To-Earnings Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BCSF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

22 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LCLN Lincoln International
4.1xn/aUS$2.51b
GAM General American Investors Company
4.5xn/aUS$1.49b
ASA ASA Gold and Precious Metals
1.5xn/aUS$1.00b
CSHR CoinShares
4.3xn/aUS$496.81m
BCSF 10.8xIndustry Avg. 39.6xNo. of Companies67PE020406080100+
22 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BCSF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (39.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BCSF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BCSF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.8x
Fair PE Ratio10.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BCSF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BCSF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$12.27
US$13.83
+12.74%
6.14%US$15.00US$13.00n/a3
Jun ’27US$13.33
US$13.83
+3.78%
6.14%US$15.00US$13.00n/a3
May ’27US$13.94
US$13.67
-1.96%
6.90%US$15.00US$13.00n/a3
Apr ’27US$12.30
US$13.67
+11.11%
6.90%US$15.00US$13.00n/a3
Mar ’27US$12.91
US$14.83
+14.90%
5.73%US$16.00US$14.00n/a3
Feb ’27US$13.17
US$14.83
+12.63%
5.73%US$16.00US$14.00n/a3
Jan ’27US$13.91
US$15.17
+9.03%
4.11%US$16.00US$14.50n/a3
Dec ’26US$14.22
US$15.17
+6.66%
4.11%US$16.00US$14.50n/a3
Nov ’26US$14.07
US$16.17
+14.90%
3.86%US$17.00US$15.50n/a3
Oct ’26US$14.00
US$16.17
+15.48%
3.86%US$17.00US$15.50n/a3
Sep ’26US$15.82
US$16.17
+2.19%
3.86%US$17.00US$15.50n/a3
Aug ’26US$14.72
US$16.17
+9.83%
3.86%US$17.00US$15.50n/a3
Jul ’26US$14.95
US$16.17
+8.14%
3.86%US$17.00US$15.50n/a3
Jun ’26US$15.72
US$16.17
+2.84%
3.86%US$17.00US$15.50US$13.333
May ’26US$15.01
US$16.67
+11.04%
2.83%US$17.00US$16.00US$13.943
Apr ’26US$16.67
US$18.00
+7.98%
4.54%US$19.00US$17.00US$12.303
Mar ’26US$19.07
US$17.17
-9.98%
3.63%US$18.00US$16.50US$12.913
Feb ’26US$18.17
US$17.17
-5.52%
3.63%US$18.00US$16.50US$13.173
Jan ’26US$17.52
US$16.83
-3.92%
1.40%US$17.00US$16.50US$13.913
Dec ’25US$17.12
US$16.83
-1.67%
1.40%US$17.00US$16.50US$14.223
Nov ’25US$16.64
US$16.67
+0.16%
2.83%US$17.00US$16.00US$14.073
Oct ’25US$16.41
US$16.67
+1.56%
2.83%US$17.00US$16.00US$14.003
Sep ’25US$17.11
US$16.67
-2.59%
2.83%US$17.00US$16.00US$15.823
Aug ’25US$16.75
US$17.17
+2.49%
3.63%US$18.00US$16.50US$14.723
Jul ’25US$16.32
US$16.83
+3.15%
1.40%US$17.00US$16.50US$14.953
Jun ’25US$16.79
US$16.83
+0.26%
1.40%US$17.00US$16.50US$15.723
US$13.83
Fair Value
11.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/28 01:34
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/26 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Derek HewettBofA Global Research
Mitchel PennBrean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery)
Arren CyganovichCitigroup Inc