Centene (CNC) Stock Overview
Operates as a managed care company that provides programs and services to under-insured families, and commercial organizations in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
CNC Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Centene
31.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
La tesis es que el castigo fue exagerado y los márgenes pueden recuperarse en 2026.
View narrativeGE
Published 10 Jul 2025
Centene Corporation Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$65.11 |
| 52 Week High | US$69.63 |
| 52 Week Low | US$31.63 |
| Beta | 1.11 |
| 1 Month Change | 0.63% |
| 3 Month Change | 6.70% |
| 1 Year Change | 104.94% |
| 3 Year Change | -5.20% |
| 5 Year Change | 3.65% |
| Change since IPO | 4,442.55% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 09
Centene: Profitability Recovery Is Not Fully Priced In
Summary Centene Corporation earns a buy rating as profitability recovery outpaces membership growth concerns, with Q2 HBR improving from 93% to 89.6%. CNC's Q2 adjusted EPS reached $2.51 and operating cash flow was $3.6 billion, supporting an increased 2026 revenue forecast of $193.5-197.5 billion. Marketplace membership declined, but Commercial HBR improved sharply to 79.2%, highlighting a shift toward higher-margin members and better pricing discipline. At 13.72x FY1 forward non-GAAP P/E, CNC trades at a discount to peers, with further multiple compression possible if profitability trends persist. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Sep 08
CNC: Medicaid Margin Recovery And Buybacks Will Support Future Earnings
Analysts have lifted the Centene fair value estimate from $80 to $85. This reflects updated expectations for margin improvement, a slightly higher discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple supported by recent research that points to Medicaid margin recovery, healthier Marketplace and Medicare Advantage profitability, and ongoing share buybacks.
Narrative Update • Aug 25
CNC: Medicaid Margin Recovery And Cost Actions Will Drive Balanced Future Earnings Profile
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Centene from $63.78 to $71.67, reflecting updated views that margin recovery in Medicaid, Marketplace and Medicare Advantage, along with cleaner balance sheet metrics, support a higher long term earnings profile and justify a tighter future P/E assumption of 14.05x versus 14.84x previously. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centene points to a mix of optimism around margin repair and earnings quality, alongside ongoing questions about Medicaid exposure and policy risk.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 09
Centene: Profitability Recovery Is Not Fully Priced In
Summary Centene Corporation earns a buy rating as profitability recovery outpaces membership growth concerns, with Q2 HBR improving from 93% to 89.6%. CNC's Q2 adjusted EPS reached $2.51 and operating cash flow was $3.6 billion, supporting an increased 2026 revenue forecast of $193.5-197.5 billion. Marketplace membership declined, but Commercial HBR improved sharply to 79.2%, highlighting a shift toward higher-margin members and better pricing discipline. At 13.72x FY1 forward non-GAAP P/E, CNC trades at a discount to peers, with further multiple compression possible if profitability trends persist. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Sep 08
CNC: Medicaid Margin Recovery And Buybacks Will Support Future Earnings
Analysts have lifted the Centene fair value estimate from $80 to $85. This reflects updated expectations for margin improvement, a slightly higher discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple supported by recent research that points to Medicaid margin recovery, healthier Marketplace and Medicare Advantage profitability, and ongoing share buybacks.Narrative Update • Aug 25
CNC: Medicaid Margin Recovery And Cost Actions Will Drive Balanced Future Earnings Profile
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Centene from $63.78 to $71.67, reflecting updated views that margin recovery in Medicaid, Marketplace and Medicare Advantage, along with cleaner balance sheet metrics, support a higher long term earnings profile and justify a tighter future P/E assumption of 14.05x versus 14.84x previously. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centene points to a mix of optimism around margin repair and earnings quality, alongside ongoing questions about Medicaid exposure and policy risk.
Narrative Update • Aug 11
CNC: Medicaid Margin Recovery Delays Will Eventually Undercut Optimistic Post Q2 Repricing
Analyst models for Centene have reset higher, with the internal fair value estimate moving from about $43.26 to $56.35 as analysts factor in Q2 results, improved Medicaid recovery, and updated P/E assumptions that are broadly reflected in the series of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Centene over the past several months has leaned constructive, with many firms lifting price targets following Q1 and Q2 updates, adjustments to P/E assumptions, and ongoing debate around Medicaid and exchange margins.Narrative Update • Jul 28
CNC: Medicaid Margin Recovery Optimism Will Eventually Prove Overstated Despite Recent Upgrades
Centene's fair value estimate has been updated from $40.00 to about $43.26, as analysts lift price targets across the sector, citing constructive Q2 set ups, improving Medicare Advantage and exchange trends, and a more stable policy backdrop that supports moderate adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centene points to a broadly constructive tone, with many firms lifting price targets and highlighting improving trends in Medicare Advantage and exchange businesses.Narrative Update • Jul 14
CNC: Medicaid Margin Recovery And Cost Actions Will Shape Balanced Earnings Outlook
Centene's analyst price target has been revised higher, with fair value moving from about $61.83 to $63.78 as analysts highlight more supportive exchange trends, early signs of Medicaid margin recovery, and sector wide adjustments that reflect a steadier policy backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centene clusters around a more constructive view on earnings power, supported by exchange trends, Medicare Advantage performance, and early signs of Medicaid margin recovery, while still flagging several execution and policy risks that could affect valuation.Narrative Update • Jun 29
CNC: Medicaid Margin Recovery And Cost Actions Will Support Balanced Outlook
Centene's analyst fair value estimate has moved from about $54.94 to roughly $61.83 as analysts factor in Medicaid margin recovery, a more stable policy backdrop for managed care, and updated earnings models that reflect recent Q1 trends and revised sector price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centene clusters around two themes: improving confidence in Medicaid and Marketplace margins, and a debate over how much of that recovery is already reflected in the stock's valuation.Analysis Article • Jun 19
Centene (CNC) Stock Could Be 11% Overvalued After Employee Buyout Offer
Centene (CNC) stock is in focus after the company moved to offer voluntary buyouts to most employees, a cost reduction step tied to weaker health plan membership, especially in Affordable Care Act marketplace products. See our latest analysis for Centene. Despite the recent buyout announcement and a sharp pullback of nearly 4% on the day it was reported, Centene’s share price has a 90 day share price return of 77.38% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 10.64%. However, 3 and 5 year total...Narrative Update • Jun 15
CNC: Medicaid Margin Recovery And Stable Policy Backdrop Will Support Future Earnings
Centene's analyst fair value estimate has been updated from $60.51 to $80.00. This reflects a broad series of higher Street price targets as analysts highlight a more stable managed care policy backdrop, margin recovery potential, and evidence of muted medical cost trends and softer utilization across the sector.Narrative Update • Jun 01
CNC: Medicaid Margin Recovery Expectations Will Eventually Disappoint Current Optimism
Narrative Update Overview The analyst fair value estimate for Centene has moved from $32.00 to $40.00 as analysts factor in improving margin recovery expectations across government programs, steadier commercial trends, and a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple that aligns with a series of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centene has shifted toward a more constructive stance, with multiple firms lifting price targets and, in some cases, upgrading ratings.Narrative Update • May 16
CNC: Margin Recovery Efforts Will Offset Policy And Exchange Uncertainty
Centene's updated analyst price target moves from $43.47 to $54.94 as analysts factor in slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, a higher forward P/E multiple, and recent price target increases and upgrades across several research firms, balanced by some ongoing margin concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Centene show a mix of optimism on the earnings and margin recovery path alongside caution about Medicaid and exchange exposure.Narrative Update • Apr 29
CNC: Policy And Exchange Uncertainty Will Pressure Margins And Constrain Upside
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Centene to $43.47 from $44.18, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, margin potential, and a lower expected future P/E multiple, even as several recent price target revisions highlight ongoing debate around the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Centene, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they reassess the company after Q4 results, updated guidance, and regulatory developments.Narrative Update • Apr 15
CNC: Medicaid Margins In 2026 Will Underpin Future Earnings Power
Centene's updated analyst price targets show only a modest reduction in implied fair value to about $60.51, as analysts factor in slightly better revenue growth and margins while tempering expectations with lower assumed P/E multiples and continued concern about margin pressure and exchange and Medicaid visibility. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centene points to a mixed backdrop, but with a clear group of bullish analysts highlighting valuation support, execution on margins, and potential growth from policy and rate decisions.Narrative Update • Apr 01
CNC: Government Program Margins In 2026 Will Support Future Earnings Power
Centene's updated analyst price targets show a modest downward reset of about $4 across several firms to a range of roughly $32 to $49, with analysts citing recalibrated valuation multiples, ongoing Medicaid and exchange visibility questions, and mixed readthroughs from recent Q4 results and policy headlines. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on Centene, with some firms trimming targets and others lifting them, but the common thread is a focus on how Medicaid, exchange membership, and Q4 execution shape the risk and reward profile from here.Narrative Update • Mar 18
CNC: Government Managed Care Recovery In 2026 Will Support Future Earnings Power
Narrative Update Centene's implied fair value estimate has edged lower to about $60.89 from $62.81 as analysts recalibrated price targets. This reflects slightly softer growth and margin assumptions and a mix of recent target cuts and trims in valuation multiples across the group.Narrative Update • Mar 04
CNC: Medicaid And Exchange Uncertainty Will Pressure Margins Despite 2026 EPS Guidance
Analysts have nudged their average price targets for Centene higher into a $43 to $59 range, pointing to margin improvement efforts, potential earnings power across segments, and sector recovery themes, even as they flag ongoing uncertainty around Medicaid and exchange visibility. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centene shows a mix of optimism around margin potential and earnings power, alongside pointed concerns about execution risks in key government programs.Narrative Update • Feb 17
CNC: Policy Uncertainty And Margin Recovery Prospects Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their average price target on Centene by about $3 to roughly $44, citing updated views on fair value, slightly higher expected profit margins and P/E, and ongoing research that points to potential margin recovery in government managed care despite recent CMS related concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centene reflects a mix of optimism around long term earnings power in government managed care and caution around policy and utilization risks that could affect how quickly that potential is realized.Narrative Update • Feb 03
CNC: CMS Rate Pressure And Medicaid Uncertainty Will Restrain Future Earnings Recovery
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Centene into a US$43 to US$59 range, citing updated views on government managed care earnings potential and recently softer utilization trends, even as broader commentary highlights ongoing policy and Medicaid uncertainty for the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centene sits against a mixed backdrop for government managed care, with several firms highlighting both potential earnings recovery drivers and ongoing policy and contract risks.Narrative Update • Jan 20
CNC: Government Managed Care Policy Tailwinds Will Support Future Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Centene from about $54.65 to roughly $62.81, citing updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E following recent price target hikes and sector commentary around government managed care and the "Great Healthcare Plan." Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting a mix of policy tailwinds, product positioning, and company specific execution as reasons to revisit Centene's valuation. Recent research focuses on how government managed care, Medicare Advantage rate discussions, and the "Great Healthcare Plan" could influence earnings power and the multiple investors are willing to pay.Narrative Update • Jan 06
CNC: Marketplace Margin Recovery And Medicaid Pressures Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Centene to about US$41 from roughly US$40, reflecting a mix of higher price targets tied to recent earnings beats and margin recovery expectations in Marketplace and Medicaid, partially balanced by concerns around Medicaid trends and contract losses. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centene reflects a split view, with some analysts focusing on earnings power from margin recovery and others highlighting ongoing risks in Medicaid and selected contracts.Narrative Update • Dec 19
CNC: Medicaid Margin Pressures Will Likely Cap Earnings Recovery Ahead
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Centene to $32 from $24, citing improving margin visibility, stronger than expected Q3 results, and a more constructive long term earnings trajectory despite near term Medicaid and contract headwinds. Analyst Commentary Street research following Centene's Q3 earnings has been mixed, with several firms lifting price targets on the back of stronger profitability trends while others caution that EPS visibility remains constrained by Medicaid and Marketplace uncertainties.Narrative Update • Dec 05
CNC: Marketplace And Medicaid Margin Normalization Will Offset Policy And Contract Headwinds
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Centene to $39.94 from $39.41, citing improved profit margin visibility and expectations for continued EPS growth as Marketplace and Medicaid margins recover, despite lingering near-term Medicaid pressures. Analyst Commentary Street research on Centene has become more polarized, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets into the mid 40s on the back of Q3 outperformance and clearer earnings visibility, while a cohort of more cautious voices highlight lingering Medicaid and Star rating risks that could constrain valuation multiple expansion.Narrative Update • Nov 21
CNC: Margin Recovery In Medicaid And Marketplace Will Drive 2026 Earnings Upside
Centene's analyst price target has increased by $5.59 to $45.00, as analysts expect margin recovery in the Marketplace and Medicaid segments to drive accelerated earnings growth, despite ongoing near-term pressures. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage of Centene highlights a mix of positive and negative outlooks, with analyst views divided over the company’s near- and medium-term trajectory.Narrative Update • Nov 06
CNC: Medicaid Margin Stability And 26% ACA Premium Hike Will Shape 2026 Prospects
Centene’s analyst price target has been raised from $36 to approximately $39.76 per share. Analysts cite improving Medicaid profitability and stronger earnings guidance as key drivers for the upward revision.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Lift Centene Price Target on Margin Recovery but Warn of Lasting Sector Headwinds
Centene's analyst fair value target has been increased from $34.63 to $36.00. Analysts highlight improving margin visibility and constructive EPS guidance updates as key factors supporting the upward revision.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Medicaid And Medicare Advantage Will Expand Health Care Access
Centene's analyst price target increased from $33.94 to $34.63, as analysts cited stable EPS guidance, anticipated Medicaid margin improvement, and a constructive outlook for Marketplace rates as supporting factors for the revision. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research on Centene reflects a full spectrum of perspectives, as experts weigh strong execution signals against ongoing uncertainties in the managed care and healthcare exchange landscape.Narrative Update • Sep 19
Medicaid And Medicare Advantage Will Expand Health Care Access
Centene's modest price target increase reflects mixed analyst sentiment, with optimism around reaffirmed FY25 EPS guidance and Medicaid margin improvements tempered by concerns over ongoing Medicaid and marketplace pressures, regulatory risks, and reduced long-term earnings visibility, resulting in a slight upward revision of fair value to $33.94. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite reaffirmation of FY25 adjusted EPS guidance and constructive commentary on Medicaid margin improvement, ACA Marketplace rate refiling, and Stars performance as supporting recent price target raises.Narrative Update • Sep 04
Medicaid And Medicare Advantage Will Expand Health Care Access
Centene’s analyst price target remains at $34.56 as ongoing macro and regulatory uncertainty, elevated Medicaid cost trends, and withdrawn 2025 EPS guidance have driven increased caution and reduced forward earnings visibility. Analyst Commentary Persistent macro uncertainty and regulatory volatility in the healthcare exchange (ACA Marketplace) and Medicaid markets are driving cautious outlooks, especially due to potential disenrollment, risk pool degradation, and rate/trend volatility stemming from legislative changes and the expiration of enhanced APTCs. Centene’s withdrawal of FY2025 EPS guidance, prompted by incorrect Marketplace risk-adjustment assumptions and elevated Medicaid cost trends, has resulted in significant downward revisions to earnings estimates for the next three years.Seeking Alpha • Mar 26
Centene: A Leader In Government-Sponsored Insurance And Its Prospects
Summary Centene's business transformation and strategic focus on core segments have led to increased operational marginality, despite losing 3.3 million Medicaid customers in 2024. I assign a "Buy" rating to Centene, with a fair valuation of $73 per share, indicating a 27% potential increase from the current price. The company’s competitive advantage lies in its focus on Medicaid and Medicare, but it faces risks from regulatory changes and strong competition. Centene's prospects are bolstered by demographic trends, Medicaid privatization, and ACA Marketplace demand, with expected improvements in cash flow and profitability. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 18
Centene Corporation Is Resilient And Will Thrive
Summary Centene Corporation is a buy opportunity under $60, with a strong valuation and momentum, despite market volatility and economic concerns. The company reported strong Q4 '24 results, with EPS of $0.80 and FY '24 EPS of $7.17, and management raised 2025 revenue guidance by $4 billion. Risks include potential Medicaid and Medicare enrollment cuts, program pullbacks, and cash flow concerns for the company, but we expect management to navigate these challenges. Insiders and hedge funds are investing, indicating confidence in Centene's resilience and growth potential, with a target price of around $72. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| CNC | US Healthcare | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -2.0% | -1.7% | -0.2% |
| 1Y | 104.9% | 16.9% | 11.9% |
Return vs Industry: CNC exceeded the US Healthcare industry which returned 16.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: CNC exceeded the US Market which returned 11.9% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| CNC volatility | |
|---|---|
| CNC Average Weekly Movement | 5.4% |
| Healthcare Industry Average Movement | 7.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.8% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.0% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
Stable Share Price: CNC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: CNC's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1984 | 61,100 | Sarah London | www.centene.com |
Centene Corporation operates as a managed care company that provides programs and services to under-insured families, and commercial organizations in the United States. It operates through four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Commercial, and Other. The Medicaid segment offers the temporary assistance for needy families; medicaid expansion; aged, blind, or disabled; and children's health insurance programs, as well as long-term services and supports; foster care; and medicare-medicaid plans.
Centene Corporation Fundamentals Summary
| CNC fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$33.15b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$5.10b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$180.30b |
0.2x
P/S Ratio-6.3x
P/E RatioIs CNC overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| CNC income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$180.30b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$159.72b |
| Gross Profit | US$20.58b |
| Other Expenses | US$25.68b |
| Earnings | -US$5.10b |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Oct 27, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -10.32 |
| Gross Margin | 11.41% |
| Net Profit Margin | -2.83% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 71.1% |
How did CNC perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/18 01:48 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Centene Corporation is covered by 34 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Hua Ha | Baird |
| Andrew Mok | Barclays |