Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Stock Overview
Operates casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 4/6 |
TXRH Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$167.86 |
| 52 Week High | US$197.00 |
| 52 Week Low | US$153.83 |
| Beta | 0.81 |
| 1 Month Change | -5.68% |
| 3 Month Change | -1.80% |
| 1 Year Change | -12.97% |
| 3 Year Change | 52.64% |
| 5 Year Change | 83.03% |
| Change since IPO | 1,394.75% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • 22h
Texas Roadhouse: Optimistic Signs Abound, But Valuation Figures Leave Me Cautious
Summary Texas Roadhouse has surpassed Olive Garden to become the largest U.S. casual dining chain, with 2024 U.S. sales rising 14.7% to $5.5 billion. TXRH's Q1 2026 earnings highlight robust 7.1% same-store sales growth and 4.5% traffic growth, outpacing industry trends amid macroeconomic headwinds. However, certain valuation metrics leave me cautious. Management's disciplined expansion strategy continues, with 26 new locations added and revenue exceeding $1.6 billion in the latest quarter. I see continued operational momentum and believe the best is yet to come for TXRH, but I believe a lot of the good news is already priced in. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 21
TXRH: Menu Pricing And Beef Costs Will Shape Margins And Traffic
Analysts have nudged the Texas Roadhouse fair value estimate higher to $196.04 from $193.60. They cite a series of upward price target revisions, updated earnings models that extend valuation views into 2027, and expectations that more favorable beef costs and incremental to go orders could support margins over time.Analysis Article • May 13
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH) Just Released Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Shareholders of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TXRH ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 16...Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • 22h
Texas Roadhouse: Optimistic Signs Abound, But Valuation Figures Leave Me Cautious
Summary Texas Roadhouse has surpassed Olive Garden to become the largest U.S. casual dining chain, with 2024 U.S. sales rising 14.7% to $5.5 billion. TXRH's Q1 2026 earnings highlight robust 7.1% same-store sales growth and 4.5% traffic growth, outpacing industry trends amid macroeconomic headwinds. However, certain valuation metrics leave me cautious. Management's disciplined expansion strategy continues, with 26 new locations added and revenue exceeding $1.6 billion in the latest quarter. I see continued operational momentum and believe the best is yet to come for TXRH, but I believe a lot of the good news is already priced in. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 21
TXRH: Menu Pricing And Beef Costs Will Shape Margins And Traffic
Analysts have nudged the Texas Roadhouse fair value estimate higher to $196.04 from $193.60. They cite a series of upward price target revisions, updated earnings models that extend valuation views into 2027, and expectations that more favorable beef costs and incremental to go orders could support margins over time.Analysis Article • May 13
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH) Just Released Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Shareholders of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TXRH ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 16...Narrative Update • May 04
TXRH: Menu Pricing And Easing Beef Costs Will Support Margins
Texas Roadhouse's fair value estimate has been trimmed by about $3 to $193.60 as analysts adjust price targets across the Street, generally reflecting more conservative assumptions around future P/E multiples, revenue growth, and costs following recent research updates that skew toward lower target prices despite some mixed upward revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a mix of optimism about Texas Roadhouse's execution and demand trends, alongside more cautious views on costs, margins, and valuation.Narrative Update • Apr 17
TXRH: Menu Pricing And Easing Beef Costs Will Support Future Earnings
The analyst price target for Texas Roadhouse has been reduced by about $20 to $196.84, as analysts factor in higher structural cost assumptions and slightly softer margin expectations, even as they acknowledge firm same-store sales trends and menu pricing support. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Texas Roadhouse reflects a mix of optimism about the brand and same store sales trends, alongside more cautious views on margins and valuation after the latest Q4 results.Narrative Update • Feb 18
TXRH: Beef Cost Pressures And Sector Headwinds Will Shape Earnings Trajectory
Texas Roadhouse's analyst price target edges higher by less than $1 as analysts point to slightly stronger modeled revenue growth, a modestly higher profit margin, a lower discount rate, and a roughly flat future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Texas Roadhouse reflects a mix of optimism on the company specific story and caution around the broader restaurant sector, with several firms updating their targets and views as they refresh multi year outlooks.Narrative Update • Feb 04
TXRH: Tariff Relief And Balanced Execution Will Support Earnings In A Tough Sector
The analyst price target for Texas Roadhouse has been adjusted modestly higher to reflect a fair value move of about US$3 per share, as analysts factor in updated sector views, a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple of 27.23x, a new discount rate of 8.53%, and refreshed expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Texas Roadhouse shows a mix of optimism about the company’s execution and unit economics, alongside caution about sector headwinds, valuation, and cost inflation.Narrative Update • Jan 21
TXRH: Tariff Relief And Traffic Resilience Will Support Earnings In A Tough Sector
Analysts now peg fair value for Texas Roadhouse at about $193.69, up roughly $2.41 from the prior $191.28. This reflects a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple alongside tempered views on revenue growth, profit margins, and discount rate after a mix of recent target hikes and trims across the Street.Narrative Update • Jan 07
TXRH: Beef Tariff Cuts And Traffic Strength Will Support Future Earnings
Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to our Texas Roadhouse fair value estimate to $191.28, reflecting fine tuned assumptions on long term growth and margins, alongside a mix of higher and lower recent Street price targets in response to ongoing cost pressures and sector wide concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Texas Roadhouse reflects a mix of optimism around the company specific execution and caution around broader restaurant sector pressures.Narrative Update • Dec 22
TXRH: Beef Cost Relief And Traffic Resilience Will Support Future Earnings
Analysts have nudged their Texas Roadhouse price target slightly higher, with our fair value estimate rising to $190.48 from $189.16, as they balance resilient traffic trends and solid execution against margin pressure from elevated beef and broader commodity costs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but generally constructive view on Texas Roadhouse, with price targets adjusting around evolving expectations for traffic resilience, commodity inflation, and valuation risk.Narrative Update • Dec 08
TXRH: Beef Cost Relief Will Support Margins And Future Earnings Power
Analysts modestly lifted their Texas Roadhouse fair value estimate to approximately $189.20 per share, balancing sustained traffic strength and solid same store sales with ongoing margin pressure from elevated beef and broader commodity inflation, as reflected in the latest round of mixed price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a constructive but more nuanced stance on Texas Roadhouse, with modest target cuts clustered around near term margin uncertainty, offset by confidence in the brand's traffic resilience and long term growth algorithm.Narrative Update • Nov 24
TXRH: Sales Momentum And Commodity Costs Will Influence Margins In A Balanced Outlook
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Texas Roadhouse to $189.08 from $196.16, citing persistent commodity inflation and some margin pressures, even though sales performance remains strong. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research on Texas Roadhouse presents a nuanced picture, highlighting both the company’s strengths and the ongoing challenges facing its valuation and growth prospects.Analysis Article • Nov 12
Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH) After Its Third-Quarter Report
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TXRH ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...Narrative Update • Nov 07
TXRH: Same-Store Sales Momentum Will Drive Shares Despite Margin Pressure
The analyst price target for Texas Roadhouse has shifted modestly as a result of adjustments for recent sales momentum and profit margin pressures. Analysts cite solid same-store sales but note concerns over elevated input costs as key factors.Narrative Update • Oct 24
Solid Traffic And Menu Adjustments Will Offset Rising Costs Ahead
Analysts have slightly revised their price target for Texas Roadhouse, increasing it by $5 to $210. They cite ongoing solid traffic and generally stable demand.Narrative Update • Oct 09
New Outlets And Digital Integration Will Enrich Dining Experience
Texas Roadhouse's average analyst price target has been revised slightly downward to approximately $196.71 from $199.17. Analysts point to resilient traffic but note ongoing concerns about profit margins and cost management.Narrative Update • Sep 11
New Outlets And Digital Integration Will Enrich Dining Experience
Analysts modestly raised their price target for Texas Roadhouse to $199.17, citing strong traffic, resilient demand among higher-income consumers, and disciplined growth, though margin pressures from rising beef costs remain a concern. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets on Texas Roadhouse due to solid traffic levels and a positive industry demand backdrop, especially among middle and upper income consumer cohorts.Analysis Article • Jul 31
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TXRH) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.6x Texas Roadhouse, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TXRH ) may be sending very bearish...Analysis Article • Jul 15
Is Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH) Worth US$188 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Texas Roadhouse fair value estimate is US$141 Current share...Analysis Article • Jun 29
Do Texas Roadhouse's (NASDAQ:TXRH) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Seeking Alpha • Apr 30
Texas Roadhouse: Grilling Up Growth For Long-Term Success
Summary Texas Roadhouse stands out as a resilient, high-quality business in the US chain restaurant industry, with strong financial fundamentals and a proven business model. Profitability and financial performance metrics point to outperformance. TXRH's valuation appears expensive compared to peers, suggesting a hold rating until a more favorable entry point is available for better returns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 24
Texas Roadhouse: Growth And Margins Have Peaked For Now
Summary Texas Roadhouse has shown impressive growth and profitability, but its stock is currently rated 'Hold' due to limited growth prospects and peak margins. Q4 results were strong with record margins, but the 14-week quarter skewed the numbers, making future comparisons tougher. For 2025, EPS growth is estimated at 8%, with flat margins expected due to rising commodity and wage inflation. At $169 per share, the valuation is fair, but still holds multiple contraction risks; consider buying around $150. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 25
Texas Roadhouse: Chasing Here Would Be A Mistake
Summary Texas Roadhouse shares surged early 2024, but tougher comps and declining margins are pulling the stock to more reasonable levels. Next year is shaping up to be tough, with significant deceleration in unit expansion, comparable sales, and margin declines. The long-term growth trajectory of 7%-10% annual revenue growth and 9%-12% EPS growth is not enough to support a 'Buy' at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 27
Texas Roadhouse: When 'Screaming Value' Leads To A Likely Index Inclusion
Summary Texas Roadhouse's customer loyalty and satisfaction have driven its stock to double, outperforming the market despite industry concerns and temporary margin hits. The company's Q3 earnings report showed strong revenue growth, increased restaurant margins, and a significant rise in diluted EPS, signaling robust fundamentals. Texas Roadhouse's strategic focus on small, consistent price increases and acquiring franchised restaurants enhances long-term value for customers and shareholders. With a market cap over $12.5B and strong liquidity, Texas Roadhouse is poised for potential inclusion in the S&P 500, presenting a compelling buy opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| TXRH | US Hospitality | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.05% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| 1Y | -13.0% | -4.1% | 23.5% |
Return vs Industry: TXRH underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned -4.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: TXRH underperformed the US Market which returned 23.5% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| TXRH volatility | |
|---|---|
| TXRH Average Weekly Movement | 5.4% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: TXRH has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: TXRH's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1993 | 101,000 | Jerry Morgan | www.texasroadhouse.com |
Texas Roadhouse, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates through Texas Roadhouse, Bubba’s 33, and Others segments. The company’s restaurants offer seasoned and aged steaks, ribs, seafood, chicken, pork chops, pulled pork, and vegetable plates, as well as an assortment of hamburgers, salads, and sandwiches; and pizza, wings, and various appetizers and dinner entrées.
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| TXRH fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$11.03b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$415.33m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$6.06b |
26.6x
P/E Ratio1.8x
P/S RatioIs TXRH overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| TXRH income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$6.06b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$5.07b |
| Gross Profit | US$995.98m |
| Other Expenses | US$580.65m |
| Earnings | US$415.33m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 6.32 |
| Gross Margin | 16.43% |
| Net Profit Margin | 6.85% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 3.3% |
How did TXRH perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
1.8%
Current Dividend Yield44%
Payout RatioDoes TXRH pay a reliable dividends?
See TXRH dividend history and benchmarks| Texas Roadhouse dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | Jun 02 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | Jun 30 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 13 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 15 days |
Does TXRH pay a reliable dividends?
See TXRH dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/15 09:18 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is covered by 42 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Todd Brooks | Benchmark Company |