Aya Gold & Silver Inc.

TSX:AYA Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$3.1b

Aya Gold & Silver Valuation

Is AYA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of AYA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: AYA (CA$21.84) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (CA$5.01)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: AYA is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AYA?

Key metric: As AYA is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AYA. This is calculated by dividing AYA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AYA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio16.7x
SalesUS$136.12m
Market CapUS$2.27b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AYA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AYA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.7x
SVM Silvercorp Metals
6.5x33.74%CA$3.3b
EDR Endeavour Silver
6.3x22.53%CA$4.0b
GGD GoGold Resources
11.1x39.00%CA$1.3b
APM Andean Precious Metals
2.8x9.09%CA$1.2b
AYA Aya Gold & Silver
16.7x22.63%CA$3.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AYA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.7x) compared to the peer average (6.7x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AYA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

90 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TECK.B Teck Resources
3.1x3.49%US$24.25b
FM First Quantum Minerals
3.7x19.20%US$19.56b
EDV Endeavour Mining
3.3x10.10%US$13.86b
HBM Hudbay Minerals
3.7x8.57%US$8.22b
AYA 16.7xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies90PS01632486480+
90 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AYA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.7x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (7.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AYA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AYA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio16.7x
Fair PS Ratio4.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AYA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AYA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$21.84
CA$33.64
+54.05%
10.10%CA$39.16CA$28.85n/a10
Mar ’27CA$29.53
CA$33.80
+14.47%
10.18%CA$39.37CA$29.00n/a10
Feb ’27CA$22.10
CA$30.85
+39.62%
12.42%CA$38.61CA$24.92n/a10
Jan ’27CA$19.64
CA$24.79
+26.23%
17.07%CA$31.93CA$18.56n/a10
Dec ’26CA$19.24
CA$23.11
+20.09%
18.71%CA$32.99CA$16.96n/a11
Nov ’26CA$14.92
CA$22.16
+48.51%
19.06%CA$32.81CA$17.06n/a11
Oct ’26CA$17.11
CA$20.47
+19.63%
8.45%CA$22.98CA$17.70n/a11
Sep ’26CA$13.65
CA$19.53
+43.06%
13.77%CA$22.12CA$12.57n/a11
Aug ’26CA$12.05
CA$19.67
+63.26%
14.33%CA$22.17CA$12.53n/a10
Jul ’26CA$12.25
CA$19.22
+56.93%
13.78%CA$21.97CA$11.98n/a11
Jun ’26CA$11.80
CA$19.28
+63.42%
15.42%CA$22.75CA$11.05n/a11
May ’26CA$8.68
CA$19.27
+122.01%
16.68%CA$22.96CA$10.95n/a10
Apr ’26CA$11.05
CA$19.44
+75.97%
18.89%CA$23.03CA$9.95n/a9
Mar ’26CA$11.48
CA$20.87
+81.77%
17.01%CA$23.69CA$12.03CA$29.538
Feb ’26CA$11.68
CA$21.47
+83.78%
16.21%CA$24.47CA$13.01CA$22.108
Jan ’26CA$10.74
CA$22.25
+107.17%
13.80%CA$26.64CA$14.28CA$19.6410
Dec ’25CA$13.18
CA$22.01
+67.01%
13.88%CA$25.98CA$13.93CA$19.2410
Nov ’25CA$17.80
CA$23.18
+30.21%
9.20%CA$26.55CA$20.06CA$14.929
Oct ’25CA$17.95
CA$21.21
+18.17%
13.79%CA$25.85CA$17.34CA$17.119
Sep ’25CA$14.97
CA$20.77
+38.77%
14.14%CA$25.52CA$17.48CA$13.659
Aug ’25CA$15.14
CA$21.10
+39.35%
14.49%CA$26.08CA$17.44CA$12.059
Jul ’25CA$13.58
CA$19.56
+44.07%
12.29%CA$22.15CA$16.11CA$12.257
Jun ’25CA$15.01
CA$18.84
+25.53%
13.23%CA$22.05CA$16.03CA$11.807
May ’25CA$13.43
CA$17.92
+33.44%
10.24%CA$21.91CA$15.78CA$8.687
Apr ’25CA$10.97
CA$14.32
+30.52%
9.26%CA$17.05CA$12.50CA$11.057
Mar ’25CA$10.00
CA$14.71
+47.12%
10.32%CA$17.10CA$12.50CA$11.487
CA$33.64
Fair Value
35.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/15 06:34
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/13 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Aya Gold & Silver Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Bereket BerheBeacon Securities Limited
Kevin O'HalloranBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
null nullBMO Capital Markets Equity Research