Alaska Air Group (ALK) Stock Overview
Through its subsidiaries, operates airlines. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 1/6 |
| Financial Health | 1/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
ALK Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 52 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Alaska Air Group, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$36.94 |
| 52 Week High | US$65.88 |
| 52 Week Low | US$33.03 |
| Beta | 1.25 |
| 1 Month Change | -18.63% |
| 3 Month Change | -33.16% |
| 1 Year Change | -31.15% |
| 3 Year Change | -17.03% |
| 5 Year Change | -45.73% |
| Change since IPO | 1,567.47% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 05
ALK: Fuel And Demand Resilience Will Support Margins And Fair Value Upside
Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Alaska Air Group by about $2.46 per share to $84.53. This reflects a series of mixed price target revisions, including several cuts tied to fuel cost concerns and more cautious assumptions for revenue growth, partially offset by improved profit margin expectations and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.Seeking Alpha • May 02
Challenges Surge For Alaska Airlines
Summary Alaska Airlines faces strategic headwinds, including challenging integration of Hawaiian Airlines, high fuel costs, and fierce competition from larger legacy carriers. ALK's cost advantage is eroding due to fuel price spikes and fleet complexity from the Hawaiian merger, threatening its historical efficiency. Expansion into international markets via Hawaiian and new 787s aims to offset Seattle competitor Delta's global strengths, but profitability and network synergy remain uncertain. Citi Research's double downgrade of ALK will pressure shares. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 21
ALK: Fuel Cost Uncertainty And 2025 Demand Outlook Will Shape Repricing
Analysts have lowered the Alaska Air Group fair value estimate by $1.50 to $41.00 as they recalibrate price targets in response to updated fuel cost assumptions, slightly softer margin expectations, and refreshed P/E inputs across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Alaska Air Group reflects a mixed backdrop, with several Bearish analysts trimming price targets and reassessing their assumptions on fuel, margins, and earnings power.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 05
ALK: Fuel And Demand Resilience Will Support Margins And Fair Value Upside
Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Alaska Air Group by about $2.46 per share to $84.53. This reflects a series of mixed price target revisions, including several cuts tied to fuel cost concerns and more cautious assumptions for revenue growth, partially offset by improved profit margin expectations and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.Seeking Alpha • May 02
Challenges Surge For Alaska Airlines
Summary Alaska Airlines faces strategic headwinds, including challenging integration of Hawaiian Airlines, high fuel costs, and fierce competition from larger legacy carriers. ALK's cost advantage is eroding due to fuel price spikes and fleet complexity from the Hawaiian merger, threatening its historical efficiency. Expansion into international markets via Hawaiian and new 787s aims to offset Seattle competitor Delta's global strengths, but profitability and network synergy remain uncertain. Citi Research's double downgrade of ALK will pressure shares. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 21
ALK: Fuel Cost Uncertainty And 2025 Demand Outlook Will Shape Repricing
Analysts have lowered the Alaska Air Group fair value estimate by $1.50 to $41.00 as they recalibrate price targets in response to updated fuel cost assumptions, slightly softer margin expectations, and refreshed P/E inputs across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Alaska Air Group reflects a mixed backdrop, with several Bearish analysts trimming price targets and reassessing their assumptions on fuel, margins, and earnings power.Narrative Update • Apr 07
ALK: Late 2025 Demand And Fuel Risk Reset Will Drive Repricing
Analysts have reset the fair value estimate for Alaska Air Group to $42.50 from $60.00 after updating assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Alaska Air Group, with several firms revisiting their price targets and assumptions.Narrative Update • Mar 23
ALK: Late 2025 Demand Momentum And Capacity Discipline Will Support Upside
The analyst price target for Alaska Air Group has been adjusted slightly higher, reflecting a fair value estimate change from $86.64 to $86.98, as analysts update their views on revenue growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions following mixed but generally constructive recent research commentary on the airline sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alaska Air Group reflects a mix of price target increases and reductions, with bullish analysts still highlighting potential upside tied to execution, demand trends, and the balance between costs and pricing.Narrative Update • Mar 09
ALK: Late 2025 Demand Momentum And 2026 Guidance Will Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Alaska Air Group by $9 to $54, reflecting higher assumed fuel costs and more cautious expectations for margin expansion, even as some research points to supportive demand and a relatively constructive setup into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Alaska Air Group reflects a mix of caution on costs and optimism on demand, with price targets moving in both directions as firms refresh their models for fuel and 2026 guidance.Narrative Update • Feb 23
ALK: Late 2025 Demand Momentum And 2026 Guidance Will Drive Upside
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Alaska Air Group has been revised higher by about $5.60, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions around demand trends, margin expectations, and a higher forward P/E multiple supported by recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alaska Air Group has leaned positive, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets into the high US$60s to US$70 range.Narrative Update • Feb 08
ALK: Late 2025 Demand And Q4 Guidance Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their blended price targets on Alaska Air Group into the high US$60s, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue and profit margins. These revisions are supported by improving demand expectations and an outlook that Q4 earnings and 2026 guidance could reset expectations versus current consensus.Narrative Update • Jan 25
ALK: Late 2025 Demand And Route Expansion Will Shape Bullish Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Alaska Air Group to US$60 from about US$51.37, citing expectations for stronger demand in late 2025, a constructive airline setup into 2026, and more supportive assumptions on revenue growth and future P/E, even with more conservative profit margin inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alaska Air Group has clustered around higher price targets in the US$65 to US$70 range, with several firms updating their views as part of Q4 earnings previews and broader airline sector outlooks.Narrative Update • Jan 11
ALK: Multi Year Route Expansion And Fuel Costs Will Shape Outlook
The Analyst Price Target for Alaska Air Group has been revised from US$49.00 to about US$51.37, as analysts point to recent target hikes and a more constructive multi year outlook supported by expectations around brand loyalty, diverse revenue streams, and updated earnings estimates into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alaska Air Group has centered on updated price targets and fresh earnings previews through 2026.
Narrative Update • Dec 17
ALK: Technology Driven Merchandising Will Support Future Upside Despite Fuel Headwinds
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Alaska Air Group slightly lower to approximately $65.47 from about $65.71, reflecting modestly improved long term revenue growth and margin assumptions, offset by a lower valuation multiple and discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Alaska Air Group highlight a mixed but generally constructive outlook, with price target changes reflecting shifting views on earnings power, fuel cost exposure, and the broader airline demand backdrop.Narrative Update • Dec 03
ALK: Premium Seats And Loyalty Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly lifted their consolidated price target for Alaska Air Group to about $65. The move reflects updated estimates following recent quarterly results, shifting fuel cost assumptions, and growing conviction in the carrier's long term earnings power amid strengthening corporate demand and loyalty driven initiatives.Narrative Update • Nov 19
ALK: Premium Seat Expansion And Loyalty Program Growth Will Drive Future Strength
Alaska Air Group's analyst price target was revised slightly downward, from $67 to approximately $66.79, as analysts weighed recent earnings results, evolving sector dynamics, and the impact of higher costs on updated forecasts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlighted Alaska Air's potential for earnings growth.Narrative Update • Nov 01
ALK: Premium Seat Expansion And International Routes Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Alaska Air Group from $68.93 to $67.00. This reflects a cautious outlook, as recent Street research points to higher fuel costs, more challenging earnings forecasts, and ongoing industry headwinds, balanced by select optimism regarding corporate demand and strategic initiatives.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value
The analyst price target for Alaska Air Group was revised slightly downward by $1 to $68.93, as analysts cited factors such as higher jet fuel costs and recent earnings guidance for the adjustment. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary has reflected both optimism and caution regarding Alaska Air Group’s prospects, based on evolving market dynamics, company-specific developments, and updated earnings guidance.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Alaska Air Group, now projecting fair value at approximately $69.93 per share compared to the previous estimate of $71.36. They cite updated forecasts that balance ongoing cost headwinds with optimism for long-term growth and competitive positioning.Narrative Update • Sep 18
Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value
Analysts have raised their price target for Alaska Air Group to $71.36, citing strengthening corporate demand, competitive easing, and long-term earnings tailwinds that outweigh near-term cost headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite accelerating corporate demand and easing competitive pressures as key drivers of improved outlook and de-risked near-term performance.Narrative Update • Sep 03
Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value
Analysts have raised Alaska Air Group’s price target modestly—from $65.21 to $66.29—citing improving demand, a favorable competitive environment, and increased confidence in management’s disciplined handling of strategic changes. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improving demand trends and favorable competitive capacity developments, boosting confidence in Alaska Air’s forward earnings outlook.Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Alaska Air Group: Shares Plunge Due To Economic Uncertainty
Summary Alaska Air Group's Q1 2025 revenue surged 40.5% due to the Hawaiian Holdings merger, but earnings per share fell short of expectations, causing an 8.1% after-hours stock drop. Despite revenue growth, profitability worsened due to increased operating costs and integration expenses, leading to a larger loss per share compared to the previous year. Management withdrew 2025 guidance due to economic uncertainties but remains optimistic about achieving $400 million in cost synergies from the merger. Given economic concerns and integration challenges, I recommend maintaining a 'hold' rating on Alaska Air Group despite its relatively low valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 11
Alaska Air Group: A High-Flying Bargain
Summary Despite pandemic lows, Alaska Air rebounded strongly, demonstrating resilience and operational excellence, with stock prices recovering and showing no signs of slowing down. Q4 2024 results highlight significant revenue growth, profitability rebound, and effective cost management, positioning Alaska Air as one of the best-run carriers in the industry. Valuation metrics indicate Alaska Air stock is undervalued compared to the broader sector, presenting an attractive opportunity for value investors with potential for substantial upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 28
Alaska Airlines: Solid Q4 But A Hold For Now
Summary Alaska Air Group posted strong Q4 results, with revenue up 38.4% YoY and EPS beating expectations, despite higher operating expenses and debt from Hawaiian Airlines acquisition. The Hawaiian Airlines purchase offers growth opportunities but presents integration challenges and potential cost concerns, including fleet upgrades and competitive international markets. Alaska Air Group trades in-line with peers; recent share price surge makes it less appealing compared to alternatives like United Airlines. Despite a positive industry outlook, integration challenges and no discount to peers lead to a "hold" rating for Alaska Air Group. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Jan 26
Acquisition Of Hawaiian Airlines Will Unlock Significant Synergies And Expand Global Reach
Integration with Hawaiian Airlines and network expansion are key strategies to boost revenue and earnings growth through synergies and international market reach.Seeking Alpha • Jan 17
Alaska Airlines Maps A Stronger Future
Summary Alaska Airlines' merger with Hawaiian Airlines completed in September 2024 and aims to enhance connectivity and optimize operations with a near term initial negative impacts on earnings. Alaska's 2025 strategy includes expanding international routes using Hawaiian's widebody aircraft, focusing on Seattle to Asia routes, and improving revenue management systems. The company builds on its earlier plans to minimize its earnings seasonality and reduce its fuel costs. With strong historical performance and strategic initiatives, ALK is likely to meet or exceed 2024 Q4 guidance and achieve robust earnings in 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 10
Alaska Airlines Stock Surges 15% On Bullish Outlook
Summary Alaska Airlines' strategic update boosts investor confidence, with the stock rising 14% as the company revises Q4 and FY 2025 guidance upwards. The Accelerate plan aims to regrow margins to 11-13% by 2027, leveraging synergies from the Hawaiian Airlines acquisition and premium cabin retrofits. Multi-year price target for Alaska Airlines is $80.87, indicating 32% upside, factoring in 2026 earnings and expected EBITDA growth of 15% annually. Margin recovery initiatives are crucial to offset elevated costs and achieve pre-pandemic margin levels, presenting significant upside potential for investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 12
Alaska Air Group: Post-Hawaiian Perils
Summary Alaska Air Group overpaid for Hawaiian Holdings, acquiring a financially troubled airline with a history of losses since 2020. ALK's valuation is high at 6.7x EV/EBITDAR; integrating Hawaiian's poor performance could compress this multiple, implying a 40% downside to $30/share. Risks to shorting ALK include Alaska's strong historical performance and potential macroeconomic tailwinds, such as favorable regulatory environments and lower fuel costs. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 26
Alaska Air Group: What Is The Stock Worth After Hawaiian Airlines Takeover?
Summary Alaska Air Group, Inc. acquired Hawaiian Airlines for $1 billion in cash and assumed $0.9 billion in debt, expanding its fleet and route network significantly. The combined fleet now includes Boeing and Airbus aircraft, adding complexity but also new capabilities, especially for long-haul routes and cargo operations. The acquisition enhances Alaska Air's connectivity, adding new Asia Pacific destinations and making Hawaii a major hub, second only to Seattle. The stock price target for Alaska Air has been raised to $51.82, with significant upside potential by 2025-2026, contingent on achieving synergies and improving market conditions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 19
The World Opens To Alaska Airlines With Its Merger Approval
Summary Alaska Airlines completed its acquisition of Hawaiian Airlines and expects to integrate operations while maintaining the Hawaiian brand and ensuring significant operations in Hawaii. The merger is expected to generate $250 million in synergies, with integration costs estimated at twice that amount, enhancing Alaska Air's network and operational efficiency. ALK aims to avoid past merger mistakes by leveraging Hawaiian's assets and expanding its international presence, particularly in Asia and the South Pacific. The merger positions Alaska as a strong mid-tier airline, benefiting from favorable macroeconomic conditions, including lower fuel prices and increased consumer spending. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| ALK | US Airlines | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -9.5% | -5.4% | -0.9% |
| 1Y | -31.1% | 22.1% | 24.4% |
Return vs Industry: ALK underperformed the US Airlines industry which returned 22.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ALK underperformed the US Market which returned 24.4% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| ALK volatility | |
|---|---|
| ALK Average Weekly Movement | 8.5% |
| Airlines Industry Average Movement | 8.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: ALK has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: ALK's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1932 | 31,465 | Ben Minicucci | www.alaskaair.com |
Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates airlines. It operates through three segments: Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The company offers scheduled air transportation services on Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo in the United States, and in parts of Canada, Mexico, Costa Rica, Belize, Guatemala, and the Bahamas; and for passengers across a shorter distance network within the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| ALK fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$4.12b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$73.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$14.40b |
56.4x
P/E Ratio0.3x
P/S RatioIs ALK overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| ALK income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$14.40b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$11.43b |
| Gross Profit | US$2.97b |
| Other Expenses | US$2.90b |
| Earnings | US$73.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.66 |
| Gross Margin | 20.62% |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.51% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 142.6% |
How did ALK perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/17 01:31 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Alaska Air Group, Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Garrett Chase | Barclays |
| Brandon Oglenski | Barclays |
| Brandon Oglenski | Barclays |