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Updated 1m ago
GGP logo

Greatland Resources LimitedASX:GGP Stock Report

Market Cap AU$7.4b
Updated 1m ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y72.9%
7D2.4%
1D5.5%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Greatland Resources Limited

ASX:GGP Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$7.4b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Greatland Resources (GGP) Stock Overview

Operates as a gold and copper mining company. More details

GGP fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance6/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 52.8% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings grew by 155.7% over the past year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 21.3%

Risk Analysis

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 2.6% per year for the next 3 years

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months


GGP Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 35 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
16.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

Havieron Timing And Capital Intensity Will Shape Future Earnings Profile

160
0
6
AN
AnalystHighTarget
33.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

Multi Decade Telfer Hub And Tungsten Optionality Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings

59
0
2
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Fairly Valued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•24d ago

Telfer Hub And Havieron Delays Will Pressure Margins And Future Cash Generation

49
0
0

Top Community Narratives

GGP logo
Greatland Resources
29.2% undervalued intrinsic discount

A High-Leverage Bet on Gold and Execution

View narrative
RE
redrum9128
Published 22 Feb
Read Narrative

Top Community Narratives

GGP logo
Greatland Resources
29.2% undervalued intrinsic discount

A High-Leverage Bet on Gold and Execution

View narrative
RE
redrum9128
Published 22 Feb
Read Narrative

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
16.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

Havieron Timing And Capital Intensity Will Shape Future Earnings Profile

160
0
6
AN
AnalystHighTarget
33.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

Multi Decade Telfer Hub And Tungsten Optionality Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings

59
0
2
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Fairly Valued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•24d ago

Telfer Hub And Havieron Delays Will Pressure Margins And Future Cash Generation

49
0
0
View all narratives

Greatland Resources Limited Competitors

Genesis Minerals

Symbol: ASX:GMD
Market cap: AU$8.9b

Vault Minerals

Symbol: ASX:VAU
Market cap: AU$6.6b

Westgold Resources

Symbol: ASX:WGX
Market cap: AU$5.2b

Capricorn Metals

Symbol: ASX:CMM
Market cap: AU$6.9b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Greatland Resources
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$11.05
52 Week HighAU$15.43
52 Week LowAU$6.46
Beta0
1 Month Change-18.09%
3 Month Change-19.17%
1 Year Change72.93%
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO51.37%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 26

GGP: Lower Street Expectations Will Restrain Returns Despite Strong Reserve Support

Analysts have adjusted their outlook on Greatland Resources, trimming the price target while updating assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E to reflect the latest A$750 target cited in recent Street research. What's in the News for Greatland Resources Greatland Resources issued production guidance for fiscal 2027, with expected gold output in a range of 260 koz to 300 koz.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 26

GGP: Lower Street Expectations Will Restrain Returns Despite Strong Reserve Support

Analysts have adjusted their outlook on Greatland Resources, trimming the price target while updating assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E to reflect the latest A$750 target cited in recent Street research. What's in the News for Greatland Resources Greatland Resources issued production guidance for fiscal 2027, with expected gold output in a range of 260 koz to 300 koz.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 12

GGP: Future Cash Strength And Project Progress Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Greatland Resources to A$13.25 from A$14.43, as they now apply a slightly higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, even though their assumptions for revenue growth and profit margin are somewhat stronger. What’s in the News for Greatland Resources Greatland Resources reported strong operating and financial performance for the June 2026 quarter, with cash of A$1.29b and full year 2026 production and costs ahead of company guidance.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 29

GGP: Ore Reserve Uplift And Approvals Will Support Multi Year Output

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Greatland Resources from A$17.70 to A$16.50, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What’s in the News for Greatland Resources Greatland Resources issued production guidance for fiscal 2027 and expects gold production in a range of 260 koz to 300 koz.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 14

GGP: Higher P/E Expectations Will Pressure Returns Despite Strong Reserve Position

Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target for Greatland Resources to A$8.76 from A$9.44, citing slightly higher required returns, softer revenue growth assumptions, lower profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple in their updated models. What's in the News for Greatland Resources Greatland Resources reported FY26 gold production of 328,986 ounces, supported by June quarter output of 79,099 ounces of gold and 3,573 tonnes of copper, according to preliminary operating results.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 30

GGP: Ore Reserve Uplift And Funding Progress Will Underpin Multi Year Output

Analysts now view Greatland Resources as fairly valued at A$17.70 per share, down from the previous A$19.00. This reflects updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent upgrades in Street research.
User avatar
New Narrative • May 28

Telfer Hub And Havieron Delays Will Pressure Margins And Future Cash Generation

Catalysts About Greatland Resources Greatland Resources is a gold and base metals producer and developer with operations centered on the Telfer mining hub and the Havieron growth project, alongside the O'Callaghans tungsten deposit. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
New Narrative • May 13

Multi Decade Telfer Hub And Tungsten Optionality Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings

Catalysts About Greatland Resources Greatland Resources is a gold and copper producer with additional exposure to tungsten through its 100% owned O'Callaghans deposit in the Telfer region of Western Australia. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
New Narrative • Apr 28

Havieron Timing And Capital Intensity Will Shape Future Earnings Profile

Catalysts About Greatland Resources Greatland Resources is a gold and base metals producer focused on the Telfer operation and the Havieron development project, with additional exposure to tungsten through the O'Callaghans deposit. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

Shareholder Returns

GGPAU Metals and MiningAU Market
7D2.4%-0.07%0.003%
1Y72.9%35.3%-2.0%

Return vs Industry: GGP exceeded the Australian Metals and Mining industry which returned 35.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GGP exceeded the Australian Market which returned -2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GGP's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GGP volatility
GGP Average Weekly Movement7.6%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement11.0%
Market Average Movement9.4%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market16.6%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market3.9%

Stable Share Price: GGP has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: GGP's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2023560Shaun Daywww.greatland.com.au

Greatland Resources Limited operates as a gold and copper mining company. The company’s flagship project is Havieron Project, a gold-copper deposit located in Western Australia. Greatland Resources Limited was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Greatland Resources Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Greatland Resources's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GGP fundamental statistics
Market capAU$7.43b
Earnings (TTM)AU$862.30m
Revenue (TTM)AU$2.26b
8.6x
P/E Ratio
3.3x
P/S Ratio

Is GGP overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GGP income statement (TTM)
RevenueAU$2.26b
Cost of RevenueAU$1.01b
Gross ProfitAU$1.25b
Other ExpensesAU$389.79m
EarningsAU$862.30m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.28
Gross Margin55.42%
Net Profit Margin38.17%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did GGP perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/20 05:40
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/18 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2026/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Greatland Resources Limited is covered by 20 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel MorganBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Kate McCutcheonBofA Global Research
Alexander BedwanyCanaccord Genuity

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