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Deutsche Post AGXTRA:DHL Stock Report

Market Cap €56.9b
Share Price
€51.20
€49.75
2.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y30.5%
7D1.9%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Deutsche Post AG

XTRA:DHL Stock Report

Market Cap: €56.9b

Deutsche Post (DHL) Stock Overview

Operates as a mail and logistics company in Germany, rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. More details

DHL fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance4/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends5/6

DHL Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 169 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Deutsche Post AG Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Deutsche Post
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price€51.20
52 Week High€51.76
52 Week Low€36.99
Beta1.15
1 Month Change1.63%
3 Month Change9.52%
1 Year Change30.51%
3 Year Change20.47%
5 Year Change-10.44%
Change since IPO139.25%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 26

DHL: Self Help And Airfreight Conditions Will Support Fairly Valued Shares

The analyst price target for Deutsche Post has shifted higher from €48.28 to €49.75 as analysts incorporate updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, alongside recent target increases and rating upgrades for DHL Group, citing company self help measures and a supportive airfreight backdrop. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the upgraded ratings and higher price targets in the low to mid €50s as a sign that company specific execution, including self help initiatives, is being factored more into valuation.
Narrative Update May 10

DHL: Tighter Airfreight Conditions And Guidance Will Support Future Earnings Resilience

Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Deutsche Post to €58.00, citing a slightly higher discount rate, updated assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. This comes even as recent Street research shows a mix of higher price targets and a downgrade in rating.

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 26

DHL: Self Help And Airfreight Conditions Will Support Fairly Valued Shares

The analyst price target for Deutsche Post has shifted higher from €48.28 to €49.75 as analysts incorporate updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, alongside recent target increases and rating upgrades for DHL Group, citing company self help measures and a supportive airfreight backdrop. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the upgraded ratings and higher price targets in the low to mid €50s as a sign that company specific execution, including self help initiatives, is being factored more into valuation.
Narrative Update May 10

DHL: Tighter Airfreight Conditions And Guidance Will Support Future Earnings Resilience

Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Deutsche Post to €58.00, citing a slightly higher discount rate, updated assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. This comes even as recent Street research shows a mix of higher price targets and a downgrade in rating.
Narrative Update Apr 22

DHL: Airfreight Tailwinds And Capital Returns Will Support Fairly Valued Shares

Narrative Update: Deutsche Post (DHL Group) Analysts have lifted the price target for Deutsche Post by €2.48, with updates citing a higher fair value estimate, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth and margin assumptions, and Street research pointing to a more supportive airfreight environment and upgraded ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Deutsche Post focuses on how changes in airfreight conditions and updated price targets feed into expectations for valuation, growth and execution over the next few years.
Narrative Update Apr 08

DHL: Airfreight Support Will Later Expose Fragile Earnings Assumptions

Analysts have lifted their price targets on Deutsche Post, with recent moves such as a €1.50 increase at one major firm and a shift to an Overweight rating from another, citing a supportive airfreight supply and demand setup and potential upside to fiscal 2026 assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Deutsche Post, trading as DHL Group, reflect a mix of optimism around specific business drivers and caution around execution and growth risks.
Narrative Update Mar 24

DHL: Airfreight Tailwind Will Mask Fragile Earnings And Rich Pricing

Narrative Update on Deutsche Post (DHL Group) Analysts lifted the fair value estimate for Deutsche Post from €34.00 to €38.00, citing a more supportive airfreight supply and demand backdrop and potential upside to medium term earnings that has also fed through to a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a split view on DHL Group, with some analysts highlighting supportive airfreight conditions and others dialing back expectations and ratings.
Narrative Update Mar 10

DHL: Tighter Airfreight Conditions Will Support Future Earnings Resilience

Analysts have lifted their price target for Deutsche Post to €59.09 from €56.22, citing updated views on fair value, revenue growth, profit margins and P/E assumptions, as well as recent research highlighting potential benefits from tighter airfreight supply and demand conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research has sharpened the bullish case around Deutsche Post, with some price targets moving higher and pointing to what bullish analysts see as a more supportive backdrop for execution and earnings quality.
Narrative Update Feb 23

DHL: Cost Execution And Seasonal Trends Will Support Fairly Valued Shares

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post slightly higher from about €45.24 to roughly €45.79. This reflects updated views on discount rates, modest revenue growth assumptions, and a broadly steady profit margin outlook, informed in part by recent mixed research that includes cost execution improvements and peak season trends.
Narrative Update Feb 09

DHL: Cost Execution And Defensive Segments Will Steady Rerated Share Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post higher to €45.24 from €44.84, reflecting recent price target increases from several firms and a shift in focus toward cost execution, steadying peak season trends, and a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple despite mixed rating changes. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight better cost execution, which they see as supporting earnings resilience and justifying higher price targets such as €42.50 and €47.
Narrative Update Jan 25

DHL: Cost Discipline And Defensive Divisions Will Support Future Earnings Resilience

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post slightly lower to €56.22 from €56.65, reflecting a modest reset in price targets after mixed research moves that highlight better cost execution and seasonal improvement on one hand, and concerns about limited incremental upside after strong rerating on the other. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Deutsche Post, which operates as DHL Group, shows a split tape, with some firms trimming ratings after a strong rerating and others highlighting improving execution and seasonal trends.
Narrative Update Jan 09

DHL: Cost Execution And Peak Season Recovery Will Support Earnings Quality

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post to €56.65 from €55.18, reflecting updated views on cost execution, sequential peak season trends, and revised revenue growth, margin, and future P/E assumptions following recent research moves on DHL Group. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on DHL Group points to a more balanced but still constructive stance on Deutsche Post, with several bullish analysts highlighting improved execution and refined expectations around earnings quality and valuation.
Analysis Article Jan 05

Deutsche Post's (ETR:DHL) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
Narrative Update Dec 26

DHL: Cost Execution And Defensive Segments Will Support Balanced Near-Term Outlook

The analyst price target for Deutsche Post has edged higher to EUR 44.84 from EUR 44.66, as analysts point to improving cost execution, sequentially better peak season trends and resilient earnings from more defensive segments, even as some see limited incremental upside after the recent rerating. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Deutsche Post highlight a mixed but generally constructive view, with price targets edging higher and ratings converging towards a more balanced stance after a period of strong share price performance.
Narrative Update Dec 12

DHL: Cost Discipline And Defensive Segments Will Support Balanced Earnings Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post DHL Group slightly higher to EUR 44.66 from EUR 43.81. This reflects a modest rerating as they point to improving cost execution, resilient defensive segments and early signs of peak season strength despite cautious views on incremental upside.
Analysis Article Dec 10

Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DHL) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.5x Deutsche Post AG ( ETR:DHL ) may be sending bullish signals at the...
Narrative Update Nov 27

DHL: Operational Efficiencies And Balance Sheet Strength Will Support Earnings Resilience

Deutsche Post’s analyst fair value target increased modestly from €43.25 to €43.81, as analysts cited improved cost efficiency and incremental earnings resilience in recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have increased fair value targets for Deutsche Post, with several raising their estimates due to demonstrated progress in cost control and execution.
Analysis Article Nov 27

Are Investors Undervaluing Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DHL) By 47%?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Deutsche Post fair value estimate is €85.04 Deutsche Post's...
Analysis Article Nov 14

Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Deutsche Post (ETR:DHL)

The market for Deutsche Post AG's ( ETR:DHL ) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week...
Narrative Update Nov 12

DHL: Revenue Gains And Margin Outlook Will Balance Competitive Risks Ahead

Deutsche Post's analyst price target has slightly increased to €43.25, with analysts citing strengthened revenue growth expectations and a modest improvement in profit margin outlook, even as some peer price targets have been reduced. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity regarding Deutsche Post reflects a mix of positive expectations and caution, influencing the latest price targets and recommendations.
Narrative Update Sep 23

E-commerce And Global Trade Trends Will Unlock Future Market Potential

Deutsche Post's consensus price target was modestly reduced to €42.82 as analysts grew more cautious on near-term earnings and shipping volatility, particularly after soft Q2 trends, though longer-term confidence remains from some bullish voices. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have lowered price targets due to concerns that DHL Group will struggle to achieve its fiscal 2025 outlook.
Analysis Article Aug 24

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Deutsche Post AG's (ETR:DHL) Earnings Yet

When close to half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Jun 25

Is There Now An Opportunity In Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DHL)?

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Deutsche Post AG ( ETR:DHL ). The company's stock saw a...
Analysis Article Jun 12

Is Deutsche Post (ETR:DHL) A Risky Investment?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
User avatar
New Narrative Nov 07

E-commerce Expansion And Innovative Strategies Propel Growth Amidst Global Challenges

Deutsche Post anticipates growth in e-commerce and parcel segments, driven by last-mile delivery volume increases and effective yield management strategies.

Shareholder Returns

DHLDE LogisticsDE Market
7D1.9%2.9%-0.8%
1Y30.5%13.8%2.3%

Return vs Industry: DHL exceeded the German Logistics industry which returned 13.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: DHL exceeded the German Market which returned 2.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is DHL's price volatile compared to industry and market?
DHL volatility
DHL Average Weekly Movement5.1%
Logistics Industry Average Movement5.1%
Market Average Movement6.1%
10% most volatile stocks in DE Market13.2%
10% least volatile stocks in DE Market2.7%

Stable Share Price: DHL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the German market.

Volatility Over Time: DHL's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1995579,479Tobias Meyergroup.dhl.com

Deutsche Post AG operates as a mail and logistics company in Germany, rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through five segments: Express; Global Forwarding, Freight; Supply Chain; eCommerce; and Post & Parcel Germany. The Express segment offers time-definite courier and express services to business and private customers.

Deutsche Post AG Fundamentals Summary

How do Deutsche Post's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
DHL fundamental statistics
Market cap€56.89b
Earnings (TTM)€3.53b
Revenue (TTM)€83.04b
16.1x
P/E Ratio
0.7x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
DHL income statement (TTM)
Revenue€83.04b
Cost of Revenue€68.49b
Gross Profit€14.55b
Other Expenses€11.03b
Earnings€3.53b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Aug 05, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)3.17
Gross Margin17.52%
Net Profit Margin4.25%
Debt/Equity Ratio121.8%

How did DHL perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.7%
Current Dividend Yield
61%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/01 10:20
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Deutsche Post AG is covered by 40 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Arancha PiñeiroBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Marco LimiteBarclays
David FintzenBarclays