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Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.NasdaqGS:KDP Stock Report

Market Cap US$39.0b
Share Price
US$28.78
US$33.25
13.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-12.8%
7D-1.1%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

NasdaqGS:KDP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$39.0b

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock Overview

Owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. More details

KDP fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends3/6

KDP Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 53 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Keurig Dr Pepper
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$28.78
52 Week HighUS$35.94
52 Week LowUS$24.88
Beta0.42
1 Month Change8.85%
3 Month Change-2.57%
1 Year Change-12.81%
3 Year Change-8.78%
5 Year Change-21.47%
Change since IPO29.70%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 15

KDP: 2026 Guidance And Renewed Partnerships Will Support Further Upside

Analysts lifted their average price targets on Keurig Dr Pepper by low single digit dollar increments, with recent moves such as Barclays raising its target to $32 from $30 and Deutsche Bank to $34 from $32. These changes reflect updated views on the company’s earnings profile and valuation assumptions.
Narrative Update Apr 27

KDP: Renewed Partnerships And 2026 Outlook Will Support Upside Repricing

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Keurig Dr Pepper to $33.25 from $35.29, reflecting modestly softer assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as recent Street price target changes show a mix of upward and downward revisions across firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Keurig Dr Pepper shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and a few reaffirming more neutral stances on the shares.
Seeking Alpha Apr 23

Keurig Dr Pepper: A Beverage Portfolio Worthy Of Entry (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Keurig Dr Pepper reported good overall Q1 results. The company's refreshment beverage portfolio remains strong. Coffee results were still weak in Q1, but moderation in coffee prices aids the forward outlook. KDP's acquisition of JDE Peet's bolsters the company's position in the market. KDP stock is undervalued compared to peers, and a DCF valuation estimates the stock to have 46% upside to $41.5. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 15

KDP: 2026 Guidance And Renewed Partnerships Will Support Further Upside

Analysts lifted their average price targets on Keurig Dr Pepper by low single digit dollar increments, with recent moves such as Barclays raising its target to $32 from $30 and Deutsche Bank to $34 from $32. These changes reflect updated views on the company’s earnings profile and valuation assumptions.
Narrative Update Apr 27

KDP: Renewed Partnerships And 2026 Outlook Will Support Upside Repricing

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Keurig Dr Pepper to $33.25 from $35.29, reflecting modestly softer assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as recent Street price target changes show a mix of upward and downward revisions across firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Keurig Dr Pepper shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and a few reaffirming more neutral stances on the shares.
Seeking Alpha Apr 23

Keurig Dr Pepper: A Beverage Portfolio Worthy Of Entry (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Keurig Dr Pepper reported good overall Q1 results. The company's refreshment beverage portfolio remains strong. Coffee results were still weak in Q1, but moderation in coffee prices aids the forward outlook. KDP's acquisition of JDE Peet's bolsters the company's position in the market. KDP stock is undervalued compared to peers, and a DCF valuation estimates the stock to have 46% upside to $41.5. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 04

KDP: 2026 Product Lineup And JDEP Integration Will Support Upside Repricing

Analysts have lowered the blended fair value estimate for Keurig Dr Pepper by about $0.43 per share to $35.29. This reflects updated price targets that incorporate modest adjustments to growth, profitability assumptions, and future P/E expectations following recent target changes from firms including Deutsche Bank, Barclays, and Wells Fargo.
Narrative Update Mar 20

KDP: 2026 Product Pipeline And JDEP Integration Will Support Upside Repricing

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Keurig Dr Pepper slightly higher to $35.71, supported by recent price target increases to $32, $34 and $40 as firms highlight updated estimates and relative value in the staples sector. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Keurig Dr Pepper cluster around a tighter valuation range, with price targets now referenced at $32, $34 and $40.
Narrative Update Mar 06

KDP: New Beverage Launches And 2026 Outlook Will Support Margins

The analyst fair value estimate for Keurig Dr Pepper has been increased by about $1 to $35.57, reflecting higher price targets across the Street, including moves to $32, $34, and $40, as analysts factor in updated growth and earnings assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Keurig Dr Pepper centers on price target revisions and how current execution lines up with those valuation views.
Narrative Update Feb 20

KDP: New Beverage Expansion And Premium Coffee Line Will Support Margins

Analysts have kept their average price target for Keurig Dr Pepper broadly steady around $34, reflecting higher modeled revenue growth of about 12% and a lower profit margin assumption of roughly 15%, which together feed into a slightly adjusted future P/E outlook near 16x. Analyst Commentary Recent research around the broader market has focused more on recalibrating expectations than on Keurig Dr Pepper specifically, but the themes still help frame how analysts are thinking about valuation, execution, and growth risk for consumer names like KDP.
Analysis Article Feb 07

Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.23

The board of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. ( NASDAQ:KDP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.23 per share on the...
Narrative Update Feb 06

KDP: Coffee Tariff Relief And Premium Offer Launch Will Support Margins

Narrative Update on Keurig Dr Pepper Analysts have held their price target for Keurig Dr Pepper steady at about US$34.43 per share, citing unchanged fair value assumptions alongside supportive tariff relief on coffee imports that helps underpin margin and P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage has focused on tariff policy and its implications for Keurig Dr Pepper's input costs, margins, and valuation support rather than on company specific forecasts.
Narrative Update Jan 22

KDP: Tariff Exemption Will Support Margins And Future Coffee Profitability

Narrative Update on Keurig Dr Pepper Analysts have nudged their price target for Keurig Dr Pepper higher by about $0.30 per share, citing slightly improved long term profit margin and P/E assumptions following the recent tariff exemption on coffee imports. Analyst Commentary Analysts covering Keurig Dr Pepper are updating their views primarily around the tariff exemption on coffee imports, and what that could mean for long term profitability, growth execution, and valuation assumptions.
Narrative Update Jan 07

KDP: Tariff Relief And JDE Peet Deal Backing Will Drive Upside

Analysts have trimmed their Keurig Dr Pepper price target by about $0.60 to reflect slightly lower fair value and profit margin assumptions, even as they factor in tariff relief on coffee imports and modestly higher revenue growth and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Analysts looking at Keurig Dr Pepper are updating their views around tariffs, growth, and valuation, which feeds directly into the recent price target adjustment.
Narrative Update Dec 15

KDP: JDE Peet Integration And Tariff Relief Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their price targets on Keurig Dr Pepper, with several cuts bringing estimates down into the mid to high $20s from the mid to high $30s. They cite weaker near term topline expectations, elevated deal risk around the JDE Peet merger, and increased uncertainty from ongoing asset reshuffling, despite modestly unchanged long term fundamentals in the model.
Analysis Article Dec 13

Keurig Dr Pepper's (NASDAQ:KDP) Dividend Will Be $0.23

The board of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. ( NASDAQ:KDP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.23 per share on the...
Narrative Update Nov 29

KDP: Merger Execution And Tariff Exemption Will Drive Long-Term Value

Analysts have lowered their average price target for Keurig Dr Pepper from approximately $35.44 to $34.73 per share. They cite concerns over the recent merger reception, near-term uncertainty, and ongoing revisions to earnings expectations.
Narrative Update Nov 14

KDP: Execution of $18 Billion Merger Will Drive Shareholder Value Over Time

Keurig Dr Pepper's analyst price target has significantly decreased in recent updates. Targets now range from $24 to $38, as analysts cite concerns about merger-related uncertainty, deal risks, and near-term complexities impacting future growth prospects.
Narrative Update Oct 31

KDP: Execution Following JDE Peet’s Acquisition Will Drive Potential Upside

The fair value estimate for Keurig Dr Pepper has increased to $35.44 from $34.06. Analysts acknowledge improving profit margins, even with slower revenue growth and ongoing uncertainty surrounding the JDE Peet's acquisition.
Narrative Update Oct 17

Iconic Beverage Brands And Energy Integration Will Secure Future Success

Keurig Dr Pepper's analyst price target decreased modestly, dropping from $34.44 to $34.06. Analysts cite increased deal risk and uncertainty associated with recent strategic moves and market responses.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Iconic Beverage Brands And Energy Integration Will Secure Future Success

Keurig Dr Pepper’s analyst price targets have been broadly reduced. The average fair value estimate has declined from $36.83 to $34.44, as analysts cite heightened deal risk, valuation concerns, and uncertainty surrounding the company’s recent JDE Peet’s transaction.
Analysis Article Sep 23

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (NASDAQ:KDP) Shares Slammed 26% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

The Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. ( NASDAQ:KDP ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...
Analysis Article Sep 21

Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.23

The board of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. ( NASDAQ:KDP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 10th of October...
Narrative Update Sep 18

Iconic Beverage Brands And Energy Integration Will Secure Future Success

The modest reduction in Keurig Dr Pepper's analyst price target to $36.83 reflects increased concerns over execution risks and margin dilution related to the JDE Peet’s acquisition and planned spin-off, partly offset by some optimism regarding long-term growth prospects and current valuation. Analyst Commentary Mixed market reaction and price target adjustments largely reflect concerns over the complexity and high risk of the JDE Peet's acquisition and planned spin-off, including the company’s increased debt load and deal-related margin dilution.
Narrative Update Aug 27

Iconic Beverage Brands And Energy Integration Will Secure Future Success

Analysts remain divided on Keurig Dr Pepper’s acquisition of JDE Peet’s, with concerns over valuation, margin dilution, and leverage partially offset by optimism around strategic global diversification and near-term business outperformance, resulting in a modest reduction of the consensus price target from $38.60 to $37.89. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts raised concerns over Keurig Dr Pepper's acquisition of JDE Peet’s, noting a "rich" valuation, margin dilution, and elevated debt burden, casting doubt on deleveraging prospects and optimal post-separation capital structure.
Seeking Alpha Apr 29

Keurig Dr Pepper: 3 Major Concerns That Force Me To Downgrade To Hold

Summary I downgrade Keurig Dr Pepper to a hold rating due to margin pressure, coffee trend reversal, and tariff-related uncertainties. KDP posted $3.64 billion in net sales, driven by strong performance in the US Refreshment Beverages segment, despite margin contraction. Innovation in products like Dr Pepper Blackberry and 7UP Tropical is driving demand, but US Coffee's decline and gross margin pressure are concerns. Near-term risks around coffee volumes, margins, and execution issues overshadow the potential for multiple expansion, prompting a neutral stance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 02

Keurig Dr Pepper: Momentum Cooling Again, Just Hold For Now

Summary Keurig Dr Pepper shows robust revenue growth and decent margins, driven by strategic acquisitions and efficient cash conversion, making it a strong contender in the non-alcoholic beverage market. Despite high goodwill impairment, KDP's profitability, liquidity, and cash flow efficiency support its expansion and borrowing capacity, ensuring financial stability. KDP stock appears slightly overpriced with a 5% downside risk; technical indicators suggest waiting for a price dip before taking a position. KDP remains a solid investment with steady revenue growth and stable margins, but investors should wait for a potential dip before buying. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 16

Keurig Dr Pepper: Trying To Win The Beverage Wars In 2025

Summary Keurig Dr Pepper stock gets a buy rating as it tries to win the beverage wars in 2025 through acquisitions, new flavors, and a strong profit margin. With the acquisition of GHOST energy drinks, the firm is expanding in that niche. Along with a proven 5-year dividend growth CAGR, they have a strong profit margin and cashflow to sustain the dividend further. Debt risk is low compared to similar peers, and S&P affirmed the company's investment-grade BBB rating in spring 2024. The risk of higher coffee prices in 2025 could pose downside, as well as negative consumer response to new flavors launched. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 04

Keurig Dr Pepper: Soft Performance Looks Tasty

Summary Keurig Dr Pepper's shares have been range-bound despite solid growth, with recent M&A activity and buybacks increasing debt but also potential appeal. The company has strong sales and margins, driven by its diverse beverage portfolio, with significant growth potential in the US and international markets. Valuations are attractive at 17-18 times adjusted earnings, with a 2.8% dividend yield, as higher debt warrants some caution. Reduced JAB ownership alleviates overhang, opening doors for M&A speculation; I recommend a small allocation of around $30, adding on dips. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

KDPUS BeverageUS Market
7D-1.1%0.8%-0.8%
1Y-12.8%10.5%27.1%

Return vs Industry: KDP underperformed the US Beverage industry which returned 9.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: KDP underperformed the US Market which returned 26.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is KDP's price volatile compared to industry and market?
KDP volatility
KDP Average Weekly Movement3.9%
Beverage Industry Average Movement5.7%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: KDP has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: KDP's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
198130,600Tim Coferwww.keurigdrpepper.com

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S.

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Keurig Dr Pepper's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
KDP fundamental statistics
Market capUS$39.03b
Earnings (TTM)US$1.83b
Revenue (TTM)US$16.94b
21.4x
P/E Ratio
2.3x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
KDP income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$16.94b
Cost of RevenueUS$7.83b
Gross ProfitUS$9.11b
Other ExpensesUS$7.28b
EarningsUS$1.83b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.35
Gross Margin53.78%
Net Profit Margin10.81%
Debt/Equity Ratio80.4%

How did KDP perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.2%
Current Dividend Yield
68%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/21 07:32
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/21 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is covered by 39 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Lauren LiebermanBarclays
Lauren LiebermanBarclays
Kenneth ZaslowBMO Capital Markets Equity Research