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Updated 2h ago
MRP logo

Millrose Properties, Inc.NYSE:MRP Stock Report

Market Cap US$4.9b
Updated 2h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-14.3%
7D-7.3%
1D0.3%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Millrose Properties, Inc.

NYSE:MRP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.9b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Millrose Properties (MRP) Stock Overview

Millrose Properties, Inc. is the premier permanent capital solution for residential homebuilders and developers. More details

MRP fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Trading at 60.3% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 6.27% per year

Earnings grew by 890.7% over the past year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 25.2%

Risk Analysis

Has a high level of debt

Dividend of 10.37% is not well covered by earnings


MRP Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 28 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
20.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•8d ago

Long-Term Housing Undersupply And AI Underwriting Will Support Strong Future Performance

120
0
13

Top Analyst Narratives

MRP logo
Millrose Properties
20.1% undervalued intrinsic discount

Long-Term Housing Undersupply And AI Underwriting Will Support Strong Future Performance

View narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AnalystConsensusTarget
Updated 3 Sep
Read Narrative
View all narratives

Millrose Properties, Inc. Competitors

OUTFRONT Media

Symbol: NYSE:OUT
Market cap: US$5.0b

EPR Properties

Symbol: NYSE:EPR
Market cap: US$4.5b

Four Corners Property Trust

Symbol: NYSE:FCPT
Market cap: US$2.6b

Gaming and Leisure Properties

Symbol: NasdaqGS:GLPI
Market cap: US$12.3b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Millrose Properties
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$29.69
52 Week HighUS$35.45
52 Week LowUS$26.30
Beta0
1 Month Change-0.24%
3 Month Change1.92%
1 Year Change-14.29%
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO35.32%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 09

Millrose Properties: New Builder Capital Earns 210 Basis Points More

Summary Millrose's non-Lennar invested capital earns 10.6%, compared with 8.5% on the legacy Lennar portfolio. At $30.78, the shares trade near 0.87 times June book value and offer a 10.0% annualized dividend yield. The $0.77 quarterly dividend consumed all second-quarter AFFO, leaving little room for credit losses, higher interest expense, or slower redeployment. I rate MRP a Buy with a $35 target, roughly one times book value and 11.5 times first-half annualized AFFO. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

MRP: Higher Discount Rate Will Support Defensive Index Inclusion Appeal

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Millrose Properties to about $37, citing updates to fair value assumptions, a higher discount rate near 8.25%, more moderate revenue growth expectations close to 7%, and a revised future P/E of roughly 13.6x. What's in the News Millrose Properties, Inc.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 09

Millrose Properties: New Builder Capital Earns 210 Basis Points More

Summary Millrose's non-Lennar invested capital earns 10.6%, compared with 8.5% on the legacy Lennar portfolio. At $30.78, the shares trade near 0.87 times June book value and offer a 10.0% annualized dividend yield. The $0.77 quarterly dividend consumed all second-quarter AFFO, leaving little room for credit losses, higher interest expense, or slower redeployment. I rate MRP a Buy with a $35 target, roughly one times book value and 11.5 times first-half annualized AFFO. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

MRP: Higher Discount Rate Will Support Defensive Index Inclusion Appeal

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Millrose Properties to about $37, citing updates to fair value assumptions, a higher discount rate near 8.25%, more moderate revenue growth expectations close to 7%, and a revised future P/E of roughly 13.6x. What's in the News Millrose Properties, Inc.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 20

Millrose Properties Is A Compelling Opportunity As Its Business Ramps

Summary Millrose Properties shares surged 10% following its first quarterly dividend announcement and anticipated earnings run-rate, making it an attractive investment. MRP, spun out from Lennar, holds attractive land assets, offering a 10.8% yield and targeting a 7% ROE, with potential for improvement. Despite current discounts due to Lennar's stake and market pressures, MRP's diverse portfolio and strategic deals with other builders promise stable cash flows. With a fair value target of $28, MRP offers 25% upside, including dividends, making it a compelling buy in the housing sector. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

MRPUS Specialized REITsUS Market
7D-7.3%-2.4%-2.2%
1Y-14.3%-0.4%13.1%

Return vs Industry: MRP underperformed the US Specialized REITs industry which returned -0.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MRP underperformed the US Market which returned 13.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is MRP's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MRP volatility
MRP Average Weekly Movement3.6%
Specialized REITs Industry Average Movement3.2%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: MRP has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: MRP's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
n/an/aDarren Lewis Richmanmillroseproperties.com

Millrose Properties, Inc. is the premier permanent capital solution for residential homebuilders and developers. The company specializes in the acquisition, financing and development of residential land through long-term, capital-efficient structures. The company also provides homebuilders with a predictable, just-in-time supply of finished homesites – the scarcest and mission-critical resource in the homebuilding industry.

Millrose Properties, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Millrose Properties's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
MRP fundamental statistics
Market capUS$4.91b
Earnings (TTM)US$476.06m
Revenue (TTM)US$760.54m
10.4x
P/E Ratio
6.5x
P/S Ratio

Is MRP overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
MRP income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$760.54m
Cost of RevenueUS$111.75m
Gross ProfitUS$648.79m
Other ExpensesUS$172.73m
EarningsUS$476.06m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)2.87
Gross Margin85.31%
Net Profit Margin62.60%
Debt/Equity Ratio42.6%

How did MRP perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

10.4%
Current Dividend Yield
102%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 21:46
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Millrose Properties, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ryan GilbertBTIG
Nicholas JosephCitigroup Inc
Aaron HechtCitizens JMP Securities, LLC

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