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Mobico Group PlcLSE:MCG Stock Report

Market Cap UK£134.9m
Share Price
UK£0.22
UK£0.25
11.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-30.6%
7D3.7%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Mobico Group Plc

LSE:MCG Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£134.9m

MCG Community Fair Values

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Mobico Group Plc Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Mobico Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUK£0.22
52 Week HighUK£0.41
52 Week LowUK£0.17
Beta1.32
1 Month Change-4.58%
3 Month Change-16.41%
1 Year Change-30.63%
3 Year Change-80.23%
5 Year Change-92.52%
Change since IPO-87.08%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 15

MCG: 2026 Profit Guidance And CEO Transition Will Support Bullish Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Mobico Group, with one recent move cutting the target by £0.05. This change reflects updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings power.
Narrative Update May 01

MCG: 2026 Profit Guidance And Leadership Transition Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Narrative update on the price target The consensus analyst price target for Mobico Group has been trimmed by £0.05, as analysts factor in more modest assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have reacted to the recent developments by trimming price targets, including a £0.05 reduction that reflects more cautious assumptions around revenue, margins and future P/E levels.
Narrative Update Apr 16

MCG: Refreshed Profit Outlook Will Support Future Rebound Potential

Narrative Update on Mobico Group The analyst price target for Mobico Group has been reduced by £0.05, with analysts pointing to updated expectations around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent research such as the target cut reported by RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary The recent price target reduction of £0.05 reflects updated assumptions on revenue, margins and P/E, rather than a sudden shift in overall stance on Mobico Group.
Narrative Update Apr 02

MCG: Revised Margin Outlook Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lowered their price target on Mobico Group by £0.05 to a new fair value estimate of £0.37, reflecting revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent research, including the latest cut from RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the revised £0.37 fair value as still leaving room for upside if execution on revenue and margin targets meets internal plans.

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 15

MCG: 2026 Profit Guidance And CEO Transition Will Support Bullish Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Mobico Group, with one recent move cutting the target by £0.05. This change reflects updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings power.
Narrative Update May 01

MCG: 2026 Profit Guidance And Leadership Transition Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Narrative update on the price target The consensus analyst price target for Mobico Group has been trimmed by £0.05, as analysts factor in more modest assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have reacted to the recent developments by trimming price targets, including a £0.05 reduction that reflects more cautious assumptions around revenue, margins and future P/E levels.
Narrative Update Apr 16

MCG: Refreshed Profit Outlook Will Support Future Rebound Potential

Narrative Update on Mobico Group The analyst price target for Mobico Group has been reduced by £0.05, with analysts pointing to updated expectations around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent research such as the target cut reported by RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary The recent price target reduction of £0.05 reflects updated assumptions on revenue, margins and P/E, rather than a sudden shift in overall stance on Mobico Group.
Narrative Update Apr 02

MCG: Revised Margin Outlook Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lowered their price target on Mobico Group by £0.05 to a new fair value estimate of £0.37, reflecting revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent research, including the latest cut from RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the revised £0.37 fair value as still leaving room for upside if execution on revenue and margin targets meets internal plans.
Narrative Update Mar 19

MCG: 2026 Profit Guidance Will Support Improved Outlook For Undervalued Shares

Analysts have raised their price target on Mobico Group from £0.23 to £0.25, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that they believe better reflect the company’s current outlook. What's in the News Mobico Group issued earnings guidance for 2026, with an operating profit range of €195 million to €210 million.
Narrative Update Mar 05

MCG: Updated Margin Outlook And P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Mobico Group from £0.37 to £0.36 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Adjusted slightly from £0.37 to £0.36 per share.
Narrative Update Feb 19

MCG: Higher Margin Outlook Will Support Future Rebound Potential

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Mobico Group from about £1.13 to around £0.68, citing a higher discount rate, softer revenue growth assumptions, a higher profit margin outlook, and a lower future P/E multiple in their updated models. What's in the News Mobico Group plans to appoint KPMG LLP as its new auditor, with the change scheduled to take effect from November 26, 2025 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 05

MCG: Softer Revenue Outlook And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential

The latest analyst price target for Mobico Group has been revised, with analysts pointing to slightly softer revenue growth assumptions and a marginally higher profit margin outlook as key drivers of the updated valuation. What's in the News Mobico Group appointed KPMG LLP as its new auditor, with the change scheduled to take effect on November 26, 2025 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 21

MCG: Fair Outlook Balances Softer Revenue, Higher Margins And Audit Shift

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Mobico Group to £0.23 from £0.30. They cite softer revenue expectations, a slightly higher discount rate, improved profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple as the main drivers of this change.
Narrative Update Jan 07

MCG: Saudi Contract Wins And Stable Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Mobico Group unchanged, with no revision to the price target. This reflects steady assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E for now.
Narrative Update Dec 15

MCG: Recalibrated Price Outlook Will Support Renewed Confidence In Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Mobico Group to 30 GBp from 35 GBp, reflecting more cautious assumptions on the near term risk reward while maintaining a neutral stance on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the maintained neutral rating and modestly reduced price target as a signal that the stock still offers reasonable value relative to its fundamentals, even as near term expectations are tempered.
Narrative Update Dec 01

MCG: New Contract Win And Margin Improvements Will Support Renewed Confidence

Analysts have reduced their price target for Mobico Group from £0.35 to £0.30. This reflects expectations of weaker revenue growth even though there have been slight improvements in profit margin forecasts.
Narrative Update Nov 17

MCG: Future Contract Win And Stable Financials Will Drive Renewed Confidence

Analysts have reduced their price target for Mobico Group from £0.35 to £0.30. They cited updated forecasts that reflect slightly higher discount rates and stable revenue growth expectations.
Narrative Update Nov 01

MCG: Cost Management Initiatives Will Drive Margin Improvement Amid Sector Volatility

Mobico Group's analyst price target has been reduced from £0.35 to £0.30, as analysts cite updated sector performance expectations to justify the decrease. Analyst Commentary Following the revised price target, analysts have provided insight into the factors influencing their outlook on Mobico Group.
Narrative Update Oct 18

ALSA And WeDriveU Will Improve Future Prospects

Narrative Update: Mobico Group Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have revised their price target for Mobico Group downward from 35 GBp to 30 GBp. This change reflects updated financial projections and sector performance expectations. Analyst Commentary As analysts update their views on Mobico Group, differing perspectives emerge regarding the company's valuation, growth potential, and execution risks.
Analysis Article Jun 27

These 4 Measures Indicate That Mobico Group (LON:MCG) Is Using Debt Extensively

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
User avatar
New Narrative May 10

ALSA And WeDriveU Will Improve Future Prospects

Strategic divestment and focus on growth areas like ALSA and WeDriveU aim to boost revenue and profitability through asset-light, diversified ventures.
Analysis Article Dec 01

Mobico Group Plc (LON:MCG) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Mobico Group Plc ( LON:MCG ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last...
Analysis Article Nov 08

Is Mobico Group (LON:MCG) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Aug 23

After Leaping 29% Mobico Group Plc (LON:MCG) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Mobico Group Plc ( LON:MCG ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...
Analysis Article Jun 26

Is Mobico Group (LON:MCG) Using Too Much Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
Analysis Article May 24

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Mobico Group Plc (LON:MCG)

It's not a stretch to say that Mobico Group Plc's ( LON:MCG ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x right now seems...
Analysis Article Dec 21

Mobico Group Plc's (LON:MCG) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.2x in the Transportation industry in the United Kingdom...
Analysis Article Nov 16

Here's Why Mobico Group (LON:MCG) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article May 27

National Express Group (LON:NEX) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...
Analysis Article Feb 09

National Express Group PLC (LON:NEX) Shares Could Be 47% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

How far off is National Express Group PLC ( LON:NEX ) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial data...
Analysis Article Dec 25

Is National Express Group (LON:NEX) A Risky Investment?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...

Shareholder Returns

MCGGB TransportationGB Market
7D3.7%2.4%-0.3%
1Y-30.6%10.7%18.4%

Return vs Industry: MCG underperformed the UK Transportation industry which returned 10.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MCG underperformed the UK Market which returned 18.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is MCG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MCG volatility
MCG Average Weekly Movement11.1%
Transportation Industry Average Movement4.9%
Market Average Movement5.7%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market11.8%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: MCG's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the UK market.

Volatility Over Time: MCG's weekly volatility (11%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of UK stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
199151,500Paco Camposwww.mobicogroup.com

Mobico Group Plc designs, mobilizes, and operates transport services worldwide. The company operates through UK, German Rail, ALSA, and North America segments. It owns and leases vehicles.

Mobico Group Plc Fundamentals Summary

How do Mobico Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
MCG fundamental statistics
Market capUK£134.89m
Earnings (TTM)-UK£117.20m
Revenue (TTM)UK£2.74b
0.0x
P/S Ratio
-1.2x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
MCG income statement (TTM)
RevenueUK£2.74b
Cost of RevenueUK£2.56b
Gross ProfitUK£176.30m
Other ExpensesUK£293.50m
Earnings-UK£117.20m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.19
Gross Margin6.44%
Net Profit Margin-4.28%
Debt/Equity Ratio-648.0%

How did MCG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/01 06:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mobico Group Plc is covered by 20 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David FintzenBarclays
Jack CummingsBerenberg
Owen ShirleyBerenberg