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Hologic Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 0/6
Hologic's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -29.6%, while the Medical Equipment industry saw earnings growing at 10.3% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 7.3% per year. Hologic's return on equity is 10.4%, and it has net margins of 13.2%.
Key information
-29.63%
Earnings growth rate
-26.94%
EPS growth rate
| Medical Equipment Industry Growth | 8.90% |
| Revenue growth rate | -7.29% |
| Return on equity | 10.37% |
| Net Margin | 13.18% |
| Last Earnings Update | 27 Dec 2025 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 10
HOLX: Pending 79 Cash Buyout And Hold Stance Will Guide Near-Term Trading
Analysts now view Hologic’s value as effectively unchanged, with a refreshed price framework still centered around $76.67 per share as they factor in the pending $79 per share cash acquisition and recent downgrades to Hold related to the transaction’s expected early February close. Analyst Commentary Recent research focuses heavily on the pending all cash acquisition at up to $79 per share and how that affects the risk and reward for current shareholders.Narrative Update • Mar 26
HOLX: Pending 79 Cash Buyout And Hold Ratings Will Shape Near-Term Outcomes
Analysts now see Hologic's fair value edging to about $76.67 per share, with only minor tweaks to growth, margin and P/E inputs. They are also reflecting increased caution around the pending up to $79 per share cash acquisition by Blackstone and TPG, which has led to a shift in ratings to Hold.Narrative Update • Mar 12
HOLX: Pending 79 Cash Buyout And Hold Stance Will Guide Near-Term Outcomes
Analysts have kept their average price target for Hologic broadly unchanged at about $76.60, noting only minor tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions as they factor in the pending $79 per share acquisition by Blackstone and TPG and recent rating changes to Hold. Analyst Commentary Recent research has shifted Hologic to more of a wait and see idea, as the pending buyout at up to $79 per share becomes the main anchor for valuation and expected outcomes.Narrative Update • Feb 26
HOLX: Pending 79 Cash Buyout And Hold Rating Will Define Event Path
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Hologic to $79.00 per share, reflecting updated assumptions regarding a future P/E multiple and the pending $79 per share acquisition by funds managed by Blackstone and TPG. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates have shifted toward a more neutral stance on Hologic, with the pending acquisition at $79 per share now the main reference point for valuation rather than long term growth assumptions.Narrative Update • Feb 11
HOLX: Buyout Terms And Neutral Ratings Will Shape Event-Driven Returns Through 2026
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Hologic to US$76.60 from about US$76.92, citing recent downgrades to Hold and Neutral, as the pending US$79 per share buyout by Blackstone and TPG narrows the expected upside. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Hologic largely reflect the pending all cash acquisition at US$79 per share, with several firms moving to more neutral stances as the share price tracks closer to the agreed takeout level.Narrative Update • Jan 26
HOLX: Buyout Terms And Neutral Ratings Will Frame Returns Through 2026
Narrative Update The analyst fair value estimate for Hologic has edged up by about $0.50 per share as analysts align their targets more closely with the pending private equity acquisition price of up to $79. They are also updating assumptions around the discount rate, modest revenue growth, and future P/E.Narrative Update • Jan 12
HOLX: Buyout Deal Terms And Rating Downgrades Will Guide Trading Through 2026
Our updated analyst price target for Hologic edges down slightly to about $76.42 per share. This reflects that analysts now anchor their views more tightly to the proposed Blackstone and TPG takeout value of up to $79 per share and the recent wave of rating downgrades to Neutral or Hold around that deal.Narrative Update • Dec 18
HOLX: Buyout Terms And Neutral Ratings Will Shape Trading Through 2026
We trim our Hologic price target slightly to approximately $76.50, as analysts coalesce around the proposed Blackstone and TPG takeout valuation of up to $79.00 per share and see limited upside beyond the agreed acquisition terms. Analyst Commentary Street research following the announced takeout has converged around the proposed valuation, with most firms adjusting ratings and targets to reflect a view that the deal price largely caps near term upside.Narrative Update • Dec 04
HOLX: Buyout Deal And Neutral Ratings Will Define Shares Through 2026
The analyst price target for Hologic has inched higher by approximately $0.33 to $76.50, as analysts factor in slightly stronger long term growth and margin assumptions while anchoring valuation to the proposed Blackstone and TPG takeout price near $79 per share. Analyst Commentary Analyst reaction to the proposed Blackstone and TPG acquisition has been mixed, with most firms converging around price targets in the mid to high $70s and resetting ratings to more neutral stances as upside becomes more constrained by the agreed takeout price.Narrative Update • Nov 20
HOLX: Acquisition Agreement With Blackstone and TPG Will Shape Stock Outlook Through 2026
Hologic’s analyst price target has increased modestly from $75.08 to $76.17 per share. Analysts view the proposed $79 per share acquisition by Blackstone and TPG as providing a fair valuation and setting a near-term ceiling for the stock.Narrative Update • Nov 05
HOLX: Downgrades And Buyout Agreement Will Shift Near-Term Share Performance
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Hologic from approximately $73.54 to $75.08. They cite the recently announced acquisition by Blackstone and TPG as supportive of current valuation levels, given the company's operating challenges and outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Raise Hologic Targets Amid Strong Results and Positive Acquisition Momentum
Hologic's analyst price target has increased by $1.11, as analysts cite improving financial performance and the impact of the recent acquisition agreement as key factors that support the higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts increased their price targets, pointing to Hologic's improved financial results and raised full-year guidance amid strong recent revenue and EPS performance.Narrative Update • Sep 28
Preventive Healthcare And Advanced Diagnostics Will Shape Future Markets
Despite strong quarterly outperformance, higher 2025 guidance, and increased buyout speculation, Hologic's consensus analyst price target was modestly reduced from $73.87 to $72.43 as fiscal 2025 estimates were recalibrated to reflect current demand trends and tariff expectations. Analyst Commentary Strong revenue and EPS outperformance in the recent quarter, with management raising full-year 2025 guidance.Analysis Article • Sep 13
Returns At Hologic (NASDAQ:HOLX) Appear To Be Weighed Down
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Narrative Update • Sep 05
Preventive Healthcare And Advanced Diagnostics Will Shape Future Markets
Despite strong Q3 results, raised FY25 guidance, and increased investor interest from buyout speculation, Hologic’s consensus price target remains unchanged at $73.87 as estimates are now better aligned with actual demand and tariff risks. Analyst Commentary Raised FY25 guidance and Q3 results substantially beat revenue and EPS expectations, demonstrating robust operational performance.Analysis Article • Aug 04
Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Hologic, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HOLX) Third-Quarter Report
Investors in Hologic, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HOLX ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.2% to close at US$67.16 following the...Analysis Article • Jul 19
Is Hologic, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOLX) Trading At A 38% Discount?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Hologic fair value estimate is US$103 Hologic is estimated to...Analysis Article • Jul 01
The Price Is Right For Hologic, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOLX)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.1x Hologic, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HOLX ) may be sending bearish signals at the...Analysis Article • Jun 13
Is Hologic (NASDAQ:HOLX) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Seeking Alpha • May 06
Hologic: Soft Performance, But Cheap Enough
Summary Hologic, Inc.'s appeal has increased due to reduced debt, serial buybacks, and modest valuations, despite recent negative organic growth and pricey acquisitions. The company has shown solid long-term growth, reducing leverage significantly and buying back shares, but recent performance has been soft with flattish sales and earnings. Despite a slight cut in earnings guidance and soft organic growth, Hologic's shares now trade at attractive multiples with very manageable leverage. While cautious due to recent underperformance and expensive acquisitions, I remain upbeat on HOLX stock and plan to add to my long position. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 17
Hologic: Reasonably, But Not Compellingly Valued
Summary Hologic, Inc. is down approximately 20% from recent highs despite strong quarterly results. The company continues to grow organically and via a series of 'bolt-on' acquisitions. Management also recently added significantly to the company's stock buyback authorization. An updated analysis around Hologic, Inc. follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 28
Hologic: Continued Room Amidst Bolt-On M&A Efforts
Summary Hologic, Inc.'s focus on women's health and strategic M&A, despite pandemic headwinds, positions it for continued growth with a projected $4 billion revenue in 2024. Trading at 20 times earnings, Hologic's quality and growth potential justify its valuation, with shares having risen 10% since May. The company maintains solid organic growth, reducing net debt and executing strategic acquisitions like Endomagnetics and Gynesonics, enhancing its market position. With pandemic-related diagnostics sales declining, Hologic's consistent earnings and strategic moves make it a compelling investment, despite shares not being cheap. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 27
Hologic Has A Lot Of Fine Qualities, But A Discount Valuation Isn't Among Them
Summary Hologic has been outperforming peers but underperforming the broader medical device sector, with shares up about 5% since my last analysis. Fiscal Q3 results showed consistent beats in Diagnostics, Breast Health, and Surgical segments, but Skeletal Health faced setbacks due to supplier issues. Management has continued to optimize the pandemic-driven surge in Panther placements, with the BV CV/TV panel growing to the second-largest panel in the company's portfolio. Hologic has been a share gainer in molecular diagnostics and is active in M&A, but long-term 5% to 7% revenue growth targets may be too challenging. Long-term revenue growth around 5%, near-term EBITDA margins in the low-30%s, and long-term FCF growth of around 6% support today's valuation and single-digit returns, but Hologic doesn't stand out as undervalued. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Hologic makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 25 | 4,127 | 544 | 995 | 248 |
| 27 Sep 25 | 4,101 | 566 | 994 | 248 |
| 28 Jun 25 | 4,039 | 557 | 1,056 | 251 |
| 29 Mar 25 | 4,027 | 557 | 1,045 | 253 |
| 28 Dec 24 | 4,039 | 744 | 1,016 | 266 |
| 28 Sep 24 | 4,030 | 790 | 995 | 273 |
| 29 Jun 24 | 3,988 | 702 | 985 | 278 |
| 30 Mar 24 | 3,961 | 467 | 985 | 287 |
| 30 Dec 23 | 3,969 | 515 | 984 | 286 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 4,030 | 456 | 988 | 294 |
| 01 Jul 23 | 4,038 | 484 | 1,012 | 297 |
| 01 Apr 23 | 4,057 | 753 | 1,016 | 290 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 4,466 | 990 | 1,045 | 285 |
| 24 Sep 22 | 4,863 | 1,302 | 1,038 | 283 |
| 25 Jun 22 | 5,226 | 1,512 | 1,076 | 284 |
| 26 Mar 22 | 5,392 | 1,552 | 1,092 | 288 |
| 25 Dec 21 | 5,494 | 1,716 | 1,040 | 290 |
| 25 Sep 21 | 5,632 | 1,872 | 994 | 276 |
| 26 Jun 21 | 5,663 | 2,038 | 921 | 257 |
| 27 Mar 21 | 5,317 | 1,907 | 870 | 243 |
| 26 Dec 20 | 4,536 | 1,384 | 827 | 221 |
| 26 Sep 20 | 3,776 | 1,115 | 840 | 223 |
| 27 Jun 20 | 3,295 | 497 | 845 | 226 |
| 28 Mar 20 | 3,325 | 453 | 859 | 232 |
| 28 Dec 19 | 3,387 | 84 | 895 | 240 |
| 28 Sep 19 | 3,367 | -204 | 897 | 232 |
| 29 Jun 19 | 3,315 | -30 | 878 | 225 |
| 30 Mar 19 | 3,287 | -11 | 882 | 218 |
| 29 Dec 18 | 3,258 | -419 | 883 | 217 |
| 29 Sep 18 | 3,218 | -111 | 915 | 219 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 3,207 | -79 | 866 | 227 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 3,189 | -132 | 853 | 235 |
| 30 Dec 17 | 3,116 | 1,076 | 838 | 233 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 3,059 | 756 | 819 | 233 |
| 01 Jul 17 | 2,983 | 765 | 764 | 235 |
| 01 Apr 17 | 2,894 | 790 | 721 | 231 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 2,872 | 332 | 686 | 235 |
| 24 Sep 16 | 2,833 | 331 | 676 | 232 |
| 25 Jun 16 | 2,809 | 264 | 671 | 223 |
| 26 Mar 16 | 2,785 | 208 | 667 | 221 |
| 26 Dec 15 | 2,747 | 187 | 647 | 215 |
| 26 Sep 15 | 2,705 | 132 | 624 | 215 |
| 27 Jun 15 | 2,641 | 135 | 610 | 213 |
Quality Earnings: HOLX has a large one-off loss of $343.6M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 27th December, 2025.
Growing Profit Margin: HOLX's current net profit margins (13.2%) are lower than last year (18.4%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: HOLX's earnings have declined by 29.6% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: HOLX's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: HOLX had negative earnings growth (-27%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Medical Equipment industry average (6.8%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: HOLX's Return on Equity (10.4%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/04/06 20:28 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/04/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/27 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/09/27 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Hologic, Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Toung | Argus Research Company |
| Charles Butler | Barclays |
| Charley Jones | Barrington Research Associates, Inc. |