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NRG Energy, Inc.NYSE:NRG Stock Report

Market Cap US$32.9b
Share Price
US$153.37
US$202.12
24.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y31.5%
7D-4.0%
Portfolio Value
View

NRG Energy, Inc.

NYSE:NRG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$32.9b

NRG Energy (NRG) Stock Overview

Operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. More details

NRG fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends4/6

NRG Community Fair Values

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NRG Energy, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for NRG Energy
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$153.37
52 Week HighUS$189.96
52 Week LowUS$114.00
Beta1.34
1 Month Change0.45%
3 Month Change2.86%
1 Year Change31.49%
3 Year Change390.31%
5 Year Change341.23%
Change since IPO1,493.45%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

NRG: LS Power Capacity Shift Will Drive Future Margin Repricing

NRG Energy's updated analyst price target shifts modestly, reflecting mixed Street research that includes recent target cuts and raises as analysts reassess the impact of the LS Power acquisition, updated margin assumptions, and revised forward P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NRG Energy points to a split view, but with a clear cluster of bullish analysts who are leaning into the LS Power acquisition and its impact on capacity, margin mix, and valuation frameworks.

NRG: LS Power Acquisition And Margin Expansion Will Drive Future Repricing

NRG Energy's updated analyst price target has edged lower to $282.26 from $312.69, as analysts factor in assumptions of slower revenue growth along with higher expected profit margins and a richer future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around NRG Energy points to a mix of views, but several high profile firms highlight potential upside tied to execution on recent acquisitions and expectations for stronger profitability.

NRG: Future Cash Returns From LS Power Assets And Dividends Will Matter

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for NRG Energy slightly lower to about $202 per share. This reflects updated views on more moderate revenue growth, a somewhat higher profit margin, and a richer future P/E, driven in part by recent research citing the impact of LS Power acquisitions and a more balanced retail and wholesale mix.

NRG: LS Power Deal Will Likely Overstate Long Term Earnings Upside

Narrative Update: NRG Energy The updated analyst price target for NRG Energy has shifted from about $145 to about $113 as analysts factor in the LS Power acquisition, which they say doubles generation capacity, reshapes the retail and wholesale mix, and adds potential benefits to key financial metrics. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around NRG Energy focuses on the LS Power asset acquisition, with several firms updating coverage and targets as they incorporate this deal into their models.

NRG: Future Cash Returns From Gas Assets And Dividends Will Matter

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for NRG Energy higher to $153, reflecting updated assumptions that pair a slightly higher fair value estimate with modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around NRG Energy shows a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets moving in both directions and ratings holding steady in the middle of the range.

NRG Energy: Positioned To Monetize The AI Power Boom

Feb 19

NRG: Future Earnings Power From LS Power Assets May Reprice Shares

Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for NRG Energy to about $313, even as recent price target tweaks from firms like Jefferies, Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley reflect ongoing debate over growth, margins and an updated future P/E near 24x. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around NRG Energy highlights a mix of caution and optimism, with several bullish analysts focusing on where execution and valuation may still offer room for upside relative to their fair value work and updated P/E assumptions.

NRG: Future Earnings Power And Policy Tailwinds May Reprice Shares

Analysts have lifted their price targets on NRG Energy, with one recent move of US$1 and another of US$4, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that contribute to a higher overall valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Recent research has leaned positive on NRG Energy, with bullish analysts revisiting their models and adjusting fair value assumptions.

NRG: Data Center Pipelines And Buybacks Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for NRG Energy to about $201.96 from $201.58 and increased their price target to $145, reflecting updated views on long term profit margins and future P/E assumptions across regulated and diversified utilities and IPPs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around NRG Energy highlights a mix of optimism and caution as analysts update their views across the broader Regulated and Diversified Utilities and IPP group. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are comfortable reaffirming a neutral stance while still lifting their price targets to US$145, which signals confidence that updated P/E assumptions and margin expectations support a higher fair value anchor for the stock.

NRG: Expanding Data Center Power Deals Will Drive Future Free Cash Flow Upside

Analysts have modestly trimmed their blended fair value estimate for NRG Energy to approximately $201.58 from about $208.14 per share, citing improving revenue growth expectations, slightly lower projected profit margins, and a recalibration of valuation multiples amid rising price targets across the independent power producer peer group. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a broadly constructive stance on NRG Energy, with multiple price target increases and a new positive initiation reinforcing confidence in the company’s valuation and cash flow outlook.

NRG: Power Price Optimism Will Likely Overstate Long Term Data Center Upside

The updated analyst price target for NRG Energy has increased to $145, up from a prior fair value of about $106. Analysts attribute this change to stronger expected profitability, improved cash flow visibility from rising power and capacity prices, and growing upside from data center driven demand and portfolio optionality.

NRG: Expanding Data Center Power Deals Will Drive Future Earnings Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for NRG Energy, citing improving cash flow visibility for thermal independent power producers, supportive power and capacity pricing, and growing upside from potential data center power deals and M&A activity. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NRG Energy remains broadly constructive, with several firms lifting price targets and highlighting improving fundamentals across the independent power producer landscape.

NRG: Expanding Data Center Agreements Will Drive Long-Term Earnings Upside

NRG Energy’s analyst price target has increased modestly, rising from $207.23 to $208.14. Analysts cite improving profitability, stronger expected revenue growth, and positive outlooks for independent power producers due to favorable utility sector trends.

NRG: Future Data Center Demand Will Drive Significant Upside Potential

NRG Energy's analyst price target has increased from $194.77 to $207.23. Analysts cite rising cash flows, stronger data center demand, and a favorable industry outlook as key drivers for the upward revision.

Future Positioning Will Rely On Energy Transition And Data Center Demand

Analysts have increased their price target for NRG Energy, raising the estimate by nearly $3 to $194.77. They cite resilient cash flows, strong execution, and rising profitability, despite slightly lower revenue growth expectations.

Electrification And Digital Integration Will Shape Future Position

Analysts have raised their price target for NRG Energy from $176.95 to $191.95 per share, citing stronger revenue growth forecasts, as well as heightened expectations for datacenter power deals and continued sector momentum. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are raising price targets for NRG Energy, citing accelerating cash flows for thermal independent power producers.

Electrification And Digital Integration Will Shape Future Position

Analysts have raised NRG Energy’s price target to $176.95, citing attractive relative valuation, strong operational execution, and expected tailwinds from rising AI-driven power demand and hyperscaler contracts. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight NRG’s attractive valuation relative to peers, noting its portfolio offers significant optionality despite not having the highest-quality assets or business mix.

Is NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) A Risky Investment?

Jul 18
Is NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) A Risky Investment?

At US$152, Is NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Jun 23
At US$152, Is NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Results: NRG Energy, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

May 15
Results: NRG Energy, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

NRG Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:NRG) Shares Leap 40% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

May 04
NRG Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:NRG) Shares Leap 40% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

NRG Energy: Attractively Priced As Demand Ratchets Up

Mar 11

NRG Energy: Soaring Consumer Demand Sees Its Upside Potential

Jan 14

NRG Energy: Electrifying Growth, But Overvalued

Dec 18

NRG Energy: I'm Buying The Growth In Texas And Beyond

Nov 09

Shareholder Returns

NRGUS Electric UtilitiesUS Market
7D-4.0%0.8%0.8%
1Y31.5%20.3%27.8%

Return vs Industry: NRG exceeded the US Electric Utilities industry which returned 20.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: NRG exceeded the US Market which returned 27.8% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is NRG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
NRG volatility
NRG Average Weekly Movement7.2%
Electric Utilities Industry Average Movement3.1%
Market Average Movement7.1%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: NRG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: NRG's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
198916,702Rob Gaudettewww.nrg.com

NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. It operates through the Texas, East, West/Other, Vivint Smart Home, and Corporate Activities segments. The company offers retail electricity, energy management, demand response and virtual power plant programs, carbon offsets, smart home security, and automation services.

NRG Energy, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do NRG Energy's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
NRG fundamental statistics
Market capUS$32.85b
Earnings (TTM)US$797.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$30.71b
41.2x
P/E Ratio
1.1x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
NRG income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$30.71b
Cost of RevenueUS$24.76b
Gross ProfitUS$5.95b
Other ExpensesUS$5.16b
EarningsUS$797.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

May 06, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)3.72
Gross Margin19.38%
Net Profit Margin2.60%
Debt/Equity Ratio977.0%

How did NRG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.2%
Current Dividend Yield
44%
Payout Ratio

Does NRG pay a reliable dividends?

See NRG dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy NRG by to receive an upcoming dividend?
NRG Energy dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateMay 01 2026
Dividend Pay DateMay 15 2026
Days until Ex dividend2 days
Days until Dividend pay date12 days

Does NRG pay a reliable dividends?

See NRG dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/03 04:35
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NRG Energy, Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel FordBarclays
Nicholas CampanellaBarclays
James ThalackerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research