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Updated 1h ago
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United Airlines Holdings, Inc.NasdaqGS:UAL Stock Report

Market Cap US$34.6b
Updated 1h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y3.0%
7D-1.4%
1D3.1%
Portfolio Value
​
View

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGS:UAL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$34.6b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

United Airlines Holdings (UAL) Stock Overview

Through its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in the United States, Canada, Atlantic, the Pacific, and Latin America. More details

UAL fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 8.1% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 6.07% per year

Earnings grew by 5.6% over the past year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 44.4%

Risk Analysis

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Has a high level of debt


UAL Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 96 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
32.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

UAL: Higher Margins And Revenue Outlook Will Drive Outperformance Through 2027

877
0
71
AN
AnalystLowTarget
9.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Rising Climate Costs And Capital Burdens Will Restrict Operations

56
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
15.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1y ago

Rising Global Middle Class And Urbanization Will Fuel Premium Travel

47
0
3

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
32.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

UAL: Higher Margins And Revenue Outlook Will Drive Outperformance Through 2027

877
0
71
AN
AnalystLowTarget
9.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Rising Climate Costs And Capital Burdens Will Restrict Operations

56
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
15.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1y ago

Rising Global Middle Class And Urbanization Will Fuel Premium Travel

47
0
3
View all narratives

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Competitors

Delta Air Lines

Symbol: NYSE:DAL
Market cap: US$51.2b

Southwest Airlines

Symbol: NYSE:LUV
Market cap: US$18.9b

Copa Holdings

Symbol: NYSE:CPA
Market cap: US$5.3b

SkyWest

Symbol: NasdaqGS:SKYW
Market cap: US$3.7b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for United Airlines Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$109.82
52 Week HighUS$138.77
52 Week LowUS$84.64
Beta1.27
1 Month Change-12.23%
3 Month Change-4.93%
1 Year Change3.04%
3 Year Change140.31%
5 Year Change146.56%
Change since IPO154.51%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 11

UAL: Fuel Relief And Premium Demand Will Test Fairly Valued Margins

Analysts now estimate fair value for United Airlines Holdings at about $121.81 per share, up from roughly $111.92. This revision reflects a series of higher Street price targets that highlight potential margin expansion, lower fuel costs, and commercial initiatives around premium products and loyalty as key drivers in their updated models.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 11

UAL: Fuel Relief And Premium Demand Will Test Fairly Valued Margins

Analysts now estimate fair value for United Airlines Holdings at about $121.81 per share, up from roughly $111.92. This revision reflects a series of higher Street price targets that highlight potential margin expansion, lower fuel costs, and commercial initiatives around premium products and loyalty as key drivers in their updated models.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 28

UAL: Premium Demand And Easing Fuel Costs Will Support Margin Expansion

United Airlines Holdings now carries an updated analyst-derived fair value estimate of $162.15, up from $136.63, as analysts adjust price targets across the sector in response to recent Q2 results, easing fuel costs, and company initiatives that they expect to support margin expansion over time. Analyst Commentary Street research on United Airlines Holdings remains active, with a series of fresh price target changes clustering around the new fair value estimate.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 16

United Airlines: Q2 Earnings Confirm Premiumization Is Working

Summary United Airlines has delivered a 235% gain since my first bullish call in October 2023, driven by international travel recovery and premium revenue growth. UAL came to the Q2 earnings report with a strong track record of beating Wall Street estimates. On July 15, the company maintained this track record. On the upcoming earnings call, I will look for more clues as to how United is managing the fuel cost pressure. United has reached a point where the focus has clearly shifted to margin enhancement through premiumization. United is no longer an airline that focuses on volume growth. The recent strategic changes to United's business model do not seem to be accurately reflected in its valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 14

UAL: Fuel And Capacity Discipline Will Test Fairly Valued Earnings Outlook

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for United Airlines Holdings to $111.92 from $95.53, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, supported by recent price target increases from several research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on United Airlines Holdings sits against a backdrop of rising price targets across much of the airline sector, but it also flags several areas where expectations and execution could be tested.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 30

UAL: Premium Demand And Asset Purchases Will Balance Fuel And Execution Risks

United Airlines Holdings' analyst price target has been revised higher from $132.08 to $136.63 as analysts factor in updated fair value estimates, slightly adjusted revenue growth and margin assumptions, and modestly higher future P/E expectations following a series of upward target moves from major research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on United Airlines Holdings point to a wide range of price targets, with several fresh revisions higher.
Analysis Article • Jun 18

United Airlines Holdings (UAL) Stock Could Be 12.3% Undervalued After Strait Of Hormuz Deal

The peace framework between the U.S. and Iran, which will reopen the Strait of Hormuz, has quickly become a key story for United Airlines Holdings (UAL) stock as investors reassess fuel costs and international demand. See our latest analysis for United Airlines Holdings. United Airlines Holdings shares have been volatile, but the recent peace framework and easing fuel concerns coincide with a 7 day share price return of 12.7% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 55.9%, hinting that...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 16

UAL: Premium Demand And Asset Purchases Will Counter Fuel And Execution Risks

United Airlines Holdings' analyst price target is updated to $132.08, with analysts pointing to recent upward revisions from firms such as Morgan Stanley and UBS as they refresh models on earnings power and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Airlines Holdings shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms updating their models and price targets as they reassess earnings power and valuation multiples.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 02

UAL: Premium Demand And Fleet Expansion Will Counter Fuel Headwinds

The analyst price target for United Airlines Holdings has inched higher to $132.08 from $129.83 as analysts incorporate recent target increases from firms that are focusing on potential earnings growth and revised sector assumptions on fuel and revenue. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Airlines Holdings reflects a mix of optimism on earnings potential and caution around fuel costs and sector wide risks, which feeds directly into the updated price targets.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 15

UAL: Fuel Cost Headwinds Will Be Offset By Premium Demand

Analysts have revised United Airlines Holdings' price targets in a mixed but generally lower range of $4 to $23, largely reflecting updated fuel cost assumptions and expectations for only modest changes in revenue growth and margins in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Airlines points to a split view, with price targets adjusted both higher and lower as analysts rework models around fuel costs, demand trends and capacity growth.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 30

UAL: Premium Demand And Route Expansion Will Offset Higher Fuel Costs

United Airlines Holdings' analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower to about $129.83, with analysts broadly tying changes in their outlooks to higher fuel cost assumptions that are being only partly offset by steady demand expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around United Airlines Holdings centers on how higher fuel cost assumptions and shifting guidance affect valuation, with analysts split between focusing on earnings pressure and resilience in demand and revenue.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 16

UAL: Premium Demand And Capacity Discipline Will Offset Higher Fuel Costs

Narrative Update on United Airlines Holdings The analyst price target for United Airlines Holdings has been adjusted slightly lower to about $130 from around $133, as analysts factor in higher jet fuel costs, potential guidance cuts, and ongoing regulatory and macro uncertainties. These factors are partly balanced by solid demand trends and continued interest in premium carriers.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 01

UAL: Premium Demand And Capacity Cuts Will Support Future Upside

United Airlines Holdings' updated analyst price target has been trimmed by about $3 to roughly $133, as analysts factor in higher fuel costs and slightly lower profit margin expectations, partly offset by firm demand trends and modestly higher assumed revenue growth and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around United Airlines Holdings has become more mixed, with several bullish analysts still assigning targets north of US$140 while a growing group of cautious analysts trim targets into the US$110 to US$135 range on fuel and margin concerns.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 18

UAL: Q1 Demand Strength And Premium Travel Resilience Will Drive Upside

The updated analyst price target for United Airlines Holdings reflects a modest trim to $135.52 from $138.60, as analysts factor in higher fuel cost assumptions and slightly lower profit margins, while still pointing to resilient demand and revenue trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Airlines Holdings highlights a mix of optimism on demand and revenue trends alongside caution around fuel costs, margins, and guidance risk.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 04

UAL: Q1 Demand Strength And 90 Day Catalyst Watch Will Drive Upside

United Airlines Holdings' analyst price target has been trimmed slightly, with analysts citing higher fuel cost assumptions that modestly weigh on fair value, even as demand trends and earnings tracking remain supportive in the near term. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Airlines Holdings highlights a mix of optimism on demand and earnings power, alongside caution around fuel costs and the broader airline cycle.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 18

UAL: Q4 Setup And 90 Day Catalyst Watch Will Drive Upside

The updated analyst price target for United Airlines Holdings edges higher to about $139, with analysts pointing to a slightly lower discount rate and a modestly lower assumed future P/E multiple as they reassess the risk and valuation backdrop following a series of recent target hikes and a new 90 day catalyst watch. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Airlines Holdings has been active, with several firms updating their price targets and reassessing assumptions around earnings power, valuation multiples, and near term catalysts.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 03

UAL: Q4 Setup And 2026 Demand Momentum Will Drive Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for United Airlines Holdings to $138.77 from $125.26, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in light of a series of recent price target increases across the Street, along with one reduction. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Airlines Holdings has skewed positive, with a cluster of higher price targets and one reduction.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 20

UAL: 2026 Guidance Caution Will Challenge Recent Optimism On Demand

Analysts have lifted their price targets on United Airlines Holdings sharply into a US$129 to US$153 range, and our updated fair value estimate has shifted from US$72.78 to US$95.53 as they point to resilient demand indicators into 2026, supportive Q4 setup commentary, and expectations for constructive airline guidance relative to subdued consensus. Analyst Commentary Across the Street, research updates are pointing to a tighter cluster of higher price targets for United Airlines within the US$129 to US$153 range.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 06

UAL: Margin Execution And Operational Resets Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for United Airlines Holdings up slightly from about US$124.36 to roughly US$125.26. They cite a modestly higher long term revenue outlook, a small adjustment to discount rates, and updated assumptions for profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent price target increases across several research firms.
Analysis Article • Dec 23

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UAL) Surges 26% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UAL ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 14

UAL: Premium Demand And Margin Expansion Will Drive Upside Despite Flight Disruptions

The blended analyst price target for United Airlines Holdings has been raised from approximately $123 to $124 per share, as analysts factor in stronger anticipated revenue growth, slightly higher long term margins, and a modestly richer future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have broadly increased their price targets on United Airlines, signaling rising confidence in the company’s ability to execute on its growth and margin expansion plans over the next two years.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 29

UAL: Margin Expansion And Resilient Demand Will Overcome Near-Term Flight Disruptions

United Airlines Holdings' analyst price target has been modestly adjusted from $123.20 to $122.90. This reflects analysts' views that while the company continues pursuing margin expansion and earnings growth, recent sector dynamics and improving demand are being balanced with updated financial outlooks.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 15

UAL: Margin Expansion Initiatives Will Drive Performance Amid Air Travel Disruptions

United Airlines Holdings’ analyst price target has increased significantly, with recent updates raising it by as much as $41 to $156. Analysts cite robust earnings prospects, margin expansion initiatives, and stronger demand trends as key drivers for the upward revisions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 01

UAL: Higher Margins And Revenue Outlook Will Drive Outperformance Through 2027

United Airlines Holdings' analyst price target has risen from $121.45 to $123.20 as analysts cite ongoing margin expansion efforts and improved revenue growth projections as key drivers for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity for United Airlines Holdings has largely centered on price target increases, highlighting both optimistic and cautious perspectives regarding the company’s future prospects.
Analysis Article • Oct 18

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Just Recorded A 6.3% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

It's been a good week for United Airlines Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:UAL ) shareholders, because the company has just...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 18

Expanding International Demand And Premium Cabins Will Ensure Future Strength

The analyst price target for United Airlines Holdings increased from $115 to $121.45, as analysts cited improved margin outlooks and higher long-term earnings potential following recent industry and company updates. Analyst Commentary Following United Airlines Holdings' recent updates and industry shifts, analysts have weighed in with revised price targets and new perspectives on the company’s growth outlook.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 04

Expanding International Demand And Premium Cabins Will Ensure Future Strength

Analysts have increased their price target for United Airlines Holdings to $115 from $111.60. They cite improving demand, better fare trends, and enhanced industry profitability outlooks as key drivers for the higher valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 18

Expanding International Demand And Premium Cabins Will Ensure Future Strength

Upward revisions to United Airlines’ long-term earnings forecasts, driven by industry consolidation and robust operational performance, have prompted analysts to raise the stock’s fair value target from $108.65 to $111.60. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts raised long-term earnings estimates for United Airlines above consensus for 2026 and 2027, reflecting stronger-than-expected industry profitability among major carriers.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

Expanding International Demand And Premium Cabins Will Ensure Future Strength

Given marginal movements in both the Future P/E ratio and Discount Rate, the consensus analyst price target for United Airlines Holdings saw a negligible increase from $107.55 to $108.65. What's in the News United Airlines experienced a system-wide technology issue caused by its Unimatic system, temporarily pausing departures; the issue was resolved and flights resumed, though residual delays were expected (WSJ).
Seeking Alpha • Mar 31

United Airlines: Irrational Turbulence

Summary United Airlines Holdings, Inc. has dropped significantly to $65 in a sudden shift in the stock price. Passenger demand faces short-term turbulence, including reduced government travel and macroeconomic issues, but these impacts are not materially significant to United's overall revenue. Delta Air Lines foresees robust future cash flows, with Delta projecting $10 billion in annual operating cash flow over the next 3-5 years. UAL stock is cheap now at only 5x 2025 EPS targets, with the potential for United Airlines to rebound to $150 if travel demand recovers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 23

United Airlines Faces A Tough Future

Summary United Airlines has seen significant post-COVID financial improvement, outperforming many market indices and becoming one of the best-performing airline stocks globally. UAL's strategic focus on international markets and retaining aircraft and pilots during covid has driven its rapid growth. Despite impressive international growth, UAL faces challenges in the domestic market, high labor costs, and an aging fleet requiring substantial future capex. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 13

United Airlines: A Strong Buy Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Summary United Airlines is rated a Strong Buy due to its bullish chart patterns and strong technical indicators ahead of its Q4 earnings report. Despite being overbought, United's stock shows potential for further growth, supported by strong earnings and positive market conditions. Key metrics to watch include revenue per seat mile (RASM) and cost per seat mile (CASM), with a focus on margin trends. United's share buyback program and attractive valuation at 8.5X forward earnings further bolster confidence in continued stock appreciation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 03

United Airlines: Why I Sold My Shares (Rating Downgrade)

Summary I initially rated United Airlines a Hold back in October, but after a 60% price surge and a P/E ratio of 10x, I decided to Sell. United's Q3'24 earnings showed strong profitability driven by lower aircraft fuel costs, but this tailwind is likely to fade in importance during FY'25. There is still upside to be captured if investors believe in FY'25 EPS estimate and the continuation of 10x P/E, but I'm cautious about it. I sold my United shares to lock in gains, as the airline industry is volatile and future upside is uncertain. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

UALUS AirlinesUS Market
7D-1.4%-1.5%-2.2%
1Y3.0%3.2%13.1%

Return vs Industry: UAL matched the US Airlines industry which returned 3.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: UAL underperformed the US Market which returned 13.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is UAL's price volatile compared to industry and market?
UAL volatility
UAL Average Weekly Movement5.7%
Airlines Industry Average Movement7.0%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: UAL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: UAL's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1968117,500J. Kirbywww.united.com

United Airlines Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in the United States, Canada, Atlantic, the Pacific, and Latin America. It transports people and cargo through its mainline and regional fleets. The company also offers ground handling, flight academy, frequent flyer award non-travel redemptions, and maintenance services for third parties.

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do United Airlines Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
UAL fundamental statistics
Market capUS$34.56b
Earnings (TTM)US$3.50b
Revenue (TTM)US$62.90b
10.2x
P/E Ratio
0.6x
P/S Ratio

Is UAL overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
UAL income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$62.90b
Cost of RevenueUS$42.89b
Gross ProfitUS$20.01b
Other ExpensesUS$16.52b
EarningsUS$3.50b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)10.77
Gross Margin31.82%
Net Profit Margin5.56%
Debt/Equity Ratio158.5%

How did UAL perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 21:52
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. is covered by 39 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
David FintzenBarclays

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