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Constellation Brands, Inc.NYSE:STZ Stock Report

Market Cap US$25.7b
Share Price
US$149.50
US$177.55
15.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-18.9%
7D1.3%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Constellation Brands, Inc.

NYSE:STZ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$25.7b

Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Overview

Produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. More details

STZ fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends5/6

STZ Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 169 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Constellation Brands, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Constellation Brands
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$149.50
52 Week HighUS$186.40
52 Week LowUS$126.45
Beta0.42
1 Month Change-4.17%
3 Month Change-6.60%
1 Year Change-18.94%
3 Year Change-35.80%
5 Year Change-37.64%
Change since IPO7,814.71%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 17

STZ: Improving Beer Trends And Depletions Will Support Recovery Into 2026

Analysts have raised the consolidated price target on Constellation Brands by a mid single digit dollar amount, citing a series of upward target revisions from multiple firms and supportive commentary on beer trends, depletions, and valuation inputs such as the projected future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a cluster of price target moves and rating changes on Constellation Brands, giving you a mix of optimistic and cautious signals to weigh.
Seeking Alpha May 16

Constellation Brands: Consumer Weakness Creates A Buying Opportunity

Summary Constellation Brands remains a Buy, supported by solid cash flow, strong brands, and a valuation that offers a margin of safety amid macro headwinds. FY26 free cash flow reached $1.79B, with FY27 guidance implying $1.6–$1.7B FCF and comparable EPS of $11.20–$11.90, reflecting ongoing consumer pressure. STZ's premium portfolio and disciplined capital allocation, including a 2.93% dividend yield and robust buybacks, should help deliver solid returns in an eventual consumer recovery. Risks include inflationary pressures, refinancing at higher rates, and reliance on Mexican imports, but intrinsic value suggests market conservatism. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 17

STZ: Improving Beer Trends And Depletions Will Support Recovery Into 2026

Analysts have raised the consolidated price target on Constellation Brands by a mid single digit dollar amount, citing a series of upward target revisions from multiple firms and supportive commentary on beer trends, depletions, and valuation inputs such as the projected future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a cluster of price target moves and rating changes on Constellation Brands, giving you a mix of optimistic and cautious signals to weigh.
Seeking Alpha May 16

Constellation Brands: Consumer Weakness Creates A Buying Opportunity

Summary Constellation Brands remains a Buy, supported by solid cash flow, strong brands, and a valuation that offers a margin of safety amid macro headwinds. FY26 free cash flow reached $1.79B, with FY27 guidance implying $1.6–$1.7B FCF and comparable EPS of $11.20–$11.90, reflecting ongoing consumer pressure. STZ's premium portfolio and disciplined capital allocation, including a 2.93% dividend yield and robust buybacks, should help deliver solid returns in an eventual consumer recovery. Risks include inflationary pressures, refinancing at higher rates, and reliance on Mexican imports, but intrinsic value suggests market conservatism. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update May 02

STZ: Improving Beer Trends And Leadership Transition Will Support Recovery Into 2026

The analyst price target for Constellation Brands has been raised by about $6 to $177.55, with analysts pointing to stronger modeled revenue growth, a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple, and recent waves of target hikes and upgrades across major firms as key drivers of the shift. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Constellation Brands shows a cluster of price target moves and rating changes, giving you a clear look at where analysts are focused right now.
Narrative Update Apr 17

STZ: Beer Depletion Stability And Q3 Execution Will Drive Rerating Confidence

The analyst price target for Constellation Brands has shifted slightly to $219, as analysts factor in updated assumptions for modestly higher revenue growth, a lower profit margin, and a somewhat higher future P/E multiple following a series of recent price target increases and upgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a clear tilt toward a more constructive view on Constellation Brands, with a cluster of price target revisions and rating changes pointing to improved confidence in the company’s execution and long term earnings power.
Narrative Update Apr 01

STZ: Stabilizing Beer Trends And Cautious Guidance Will Support Recovery Into 2026

Analysts have made a modest upward revision to the implied value for Constellation Brands, with the anchor price target edging from about $171 to $172 as they weigh mixed target moves across the Street, steadier beer trends, Q3 results that were better than feared, and views of the stock as a controversial recovery story that still has investor interest. Analyst Commentary Street research on Constellation Brands has been mixed, with several firms tweaking price targets around recent Q3 results and reassessing how much of a recovery is already reflected in the shares.
Narrative Update Mar 18

STZ: Beer Depletion Stability And Q3 Execution Will Support Recovery Thesis

Analyst price targets for Constellation Brands have remained within a relatively tight range, with recent revisions clustering between $148 and $197 as analysts cite better than expected Q3 results, stable beer depletions, and cautious optimism from management about demand trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a generally constructive tone around Constellation Brands, with several bullish analysts adjusting price targets higher following the fiscal Q3 report.
Narrative Update Mar 04

STZ: Stable Beer Depletions And Reiterated 2026 Outlook Will Cap Upside

Analysts have nudged their average price targets on Constellation Brands higher, with moves such as Barclays lifting its target to $148, Citi to $155, Wells Fargo to $165, and Bernstein to $197. They cited better than expected Q3 results, stable beer depletions, and the company reiterating fiscal 2026 guidance as key supports for their updated views.
Narrative Update Feb 17

STZ: Stabilizing Beer Depletions And Cautious Guidance Will Support Recovery Into 2026

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Constellation Brands higher into a roughly $148 to $197 range, citing Q3 results that were ahead of expectations, more stable beer depletions, and management's cautious optimism as key supports for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster in a relatively tight price target range but reflect a mix of optimism on execution and caution on how much of the recent Q3 performance flows through to future results.
Narrative Update Feb 03

STZ: Q3 Beer Depletion Stability Will Support Recovery Thesis Going Forward

Narrative Update: Constellation Brands (Price Target and Analyst Rationale) The updated analyst price target for Constellation Brands has moved from about US$238 to US$220. This reflects a more cautious stance as analysts factor in modestly lower revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, and mixed but generally steady Q3 commentary across recent research notes.
Narrative Update Jan 20

STZ: Stabilizing Beer Trends And Cautious Guidance Will Shape Recovery Into 2026

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Constellation Brands slightly lower to about US$171 from roughly US$171 previously. This reflects a mixed set of updated price targets that factor in Q3 results, modest tweaks to future P/E assumptions and small adjustments to expected revenue growth and margins.
Narrative Update Jan 06

STZ: Softer Revenue Outlook And Seasonal Beer Focus Will Restrain Upside

Analysts have reduced their price target on Constellation Brands slightly to reflect somewhat softer revenue growth expectations. This is partly offset by a modest improvement in projected profit margin and a lower future P/E assumption.
Narrative Update Dec 14

STZ: Lowered Guidance And Q2 Update Will Pressure Near-Term Upside

Analysts have lowered their price target on Constellation Brands by $30, to $175 from $205, citing already-reduced guidance and near-term headwinds. They expect top line trends to improve on easier comparisons into 2026.
Narrative Update Nov 30

STZ: Easing Headwinds And New Capacity Will Support Recovery Into 2026

Constellation Brands’ analyst price target has been cut from approximately $172 to $171. This revision reflects tempered revenue growth expectations and recent company guidance reductions, as analysts cite softer beer demand, inventory rebalancing, and increased margin pressures as factors behind the downgrade.
Narrative Update Nov 16

STZ: Demand Stabilization And Distribution Expansion Will Drive Positive Momentum Ahead

Constellation Brands' analyst price target was revised lower by $0.52 to $172.09. Analysts point to reduced profit outlooks and persistent softness in beer demand as key drivers behind the adjustment.
Narrative Update Nov 02

STZ: Beer Demand Will Recover As Distribution Initiatives Gain Traction

Analysts have reduced their average price target for Constellation Brands by a significant margin. They cite recent guidance cuts, weaker beer sales, and ongoing demand uncertainty.
Narrative Update Oct 18

Wine And Spirits Restructuring And Veracruz Brewery Expansion Will Succeed

Analysts have lowered their price targets for Constellation Brands by several dollars. Consensus fair value has fallen from $176.09 to $172.61, citing cautious near-term demand trends and recent guidance reductions from the company.
Analysis Article Oct 14

We Like The Quality Of Constellation Brands' (NYSE:STZ) Earnings

Constellation Brands, Inc.'s ( NYSE:STZ ) solid earnings announcement recently didn't do much to the stock price. We...
Narrative Update Oct 04

Wine And Spirits Restructuring And Veracruz Brewery Expansion Will Succeed

Constellation Brands’ analyst price target has been reduced by approximately $3.70 to $176. Analysts cite lowered FY26 guidance, driven by weaker beer demand and ongoing inventory challenges.
Narrative Update Sep 19

Wine And Spirits Restructuring And Veracruz Brewery Expansion Will Succeed

Analysts have cut Constellation Brands’ price target from $183.00 to $179.78, citing sharp guidance reductions for FY26 amid persistent U.S. beer category headwinds, weaker demand (notably in higher-end segments and among Hispanic consumers), margin and inventory pressures, and concerns over management credibility following abrupt outlook changes. Analyst Commentary Significant guidance cuts for FY26, especially on beer sales, driven by weak demand, distributor inventory rebalancing, and underperformance in higher-end beer segments.
Narrative Update Sep 04

Wine And Spirits Restructuring And Veracruz Brewery Expansion Will Succeed

Constellation Brands’ price target remains unchanged at $187.52 as sharply reduced FY26 guidance, ongoing demand headwinds, and margin concerns drive analyst caution despite a discounted valuation and stable long-term outlook. Analyst Commentary Constellation Brands' sharply reduced FY26 guidance, including significant downward revisions to beer volumes and EBIT, has raised concerns about demand visibility, inventory destocking, and management's credibility in communication and planning.
Analysis Article Jul 24

Pinning Down Constellation Brands, Inc.'s (NYSE:STZ) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

Constellation Brands, Inc.'s ( NYSE:STZ ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.1x may not look like an appealing...
Seeking Alpha Apr 06

Constellation Brands: Exploiting The Fear Of Tariffs To Buy It At A Discount

Summary Constellation Brands stock is undervalued due to tariff concerns, but its strong fundamentals and market dominance make it a compelling buy opportunity. Tariffs on Mexican imports have hurt STZ, but I believe they are temporary and will be lifted, boosting the stock price. Despite tariffs, STZ's revenue and profitability have grown steadily, supported by share buybacks and a solid dividend yield of 2.23%. The Mexican Peso's depreciation could offset some tariff impacts, making STZ's current low valuation an attractive entry point for investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 31

Constellation Brands: Lots Of Value, But Also Lots Of Uncertainty

Summary Constellation Brands faces uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs on Mexican imports, impacting 85% of revenue and potentially reducing EPS by $3.69 per share in fiscal 2026. Despite strong performance in the Beer Business, the Wine and Spirits segment struggles, with revenue down 14% and profit expected to decline by 17-19% in FY25. Financially robust with a favorable valuation, Constellation Brands offers a good dividend and share buyback program but faces long-term growth challenges tied to the Latino community. Given the current uncertainties and potential impact of tariffs, I rate Constellation Brands "On Hold". Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 03

Constellation Brands: Positioning For Alpha In A Mispriced Market - Follow The Smart Money

Summary Constellation Brands' Q3 FY25 earnings miss led to a 17% stock drop, creating a buying opportunity due to market overreaction. Improved free cash flow guidance and strong beer segment performance, especially with Modelo Especial and Pacifico, highlight financial strength. The stock is undervalued, trading at a significant discount to historical and sector averages, with strong cash flow and market leadership. Despite short-term challenges, Constellation Brands' dominant market position, pricing power, and Buffett's endorsement makes it a compelling long-term buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 24

Constellation Brands: Compelling Growth May Just Offset Tariff Risk

Summary Constellation Brands (STZ) is trading at its lowest valuation since 2020, partly due to potential U.S. tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China. Despite tariff risks, STZ's beer segment shows strong growth potential with significant investments in production capacity and favorable volume/pricing trends. The company's $3 billion in planned capex and capital return programs will benefit shareholders. STZ remains a high-margin, growing business likely to deliver solid long-term returns and dividend growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 16

Constellation Brands: Berkshire Hathaway Defies Tariff Concerns With A Stake

Summary Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway acquired a $1.24 billion stake in alcoholic beverage producer Constellation Brands, likely valuing the company's long and stable earnings growth track record. Despite the strong history, Constellation's earnings have major risks as the U.S. spirit industry is struggling and Trump's potential tariff on Mexico would have major implications on Constellation. Overall, earnings should still stay stable with Constellation's extremely high margins, and I estimate a $178 fair value - as the stock has fallen, the concerns are likely priced in. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 13

Constellation Brands Falls 17%, Looks Like A Bargain

Summary Constellation Brands faces challenges including tariffs, declining wine and spirits sales, and a shift towards healthier lifestyles, impacting overall revenue and growth projections. Despite these headwinds, the company’s beer brands remain strong, with management focusing on cost savings, share buybacks, and potential price increases to mitigate risks. Management’s guidance for fiscal 2025 and 2026 suggests moderate growth, but tariff uncertainties and economic pressures on lower-end consumers pose significant risks. Given the current valuation and potential for long-term growth, Constellation Brands is a cautious buy, with the caveat of possible tariff impacts and market volatility. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 19

Constellation Brands: A Valuation Analysis Amid Industry Headwinds

Summary Constellation Brands shows mixed performance; strong beer segment growth contrasts with declining wine and spirits sales, affecting overall financial results. Rising input costs, shifting consumer preferences, and potential regulatory headwinds pose significant risks to STZ's future performance and profitability. Despite challenges, STZ's disciplined capital allocation, including dividend growth and share buybacks, underscores management's effective use of free cash flow. Future share price analysis suggests STZ stock is undervalued by 44-47%, but near-term upside is limited; rating shares a HOLD with potential for future re-rating to BUY. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 08

Constellation Brands: Reflecting Both The Weakness And Potential In Beverages

Summary My primary investments in the past year have been in the beverage and alcohol sector, including Diageo, LVMH, Carlsberg, and Heineken. Despite the sector's current slump due to duties, taxes, and geopolitical instability, I believe these companies are undervalued with significant upside potential. I hold a different view from the market, seeing superb valuations and underestimated upside in these companies. Today, I will update my stance on Constellation Brands, highlighting its diverse portfolio in beer, wine, and spirits. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

STZUS BeverageUS Market
7D1.3%0.2%1.1%
1Y-18.9%10.7%28.7%

Return vs Industry: STZ underperformed the US Beverage industry which returned 10.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: STZ underperformed the US Market which returned 28.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is STZ's price volatile compared to industry and market?
STZ volatility
STZ Average Weekly Movement4.4%
Beverage Industry Average Movement5.7%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: STZ has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: STZ's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19459,400Nick Finkwww.cbrands.com

Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. It offers beer under the Corona Extra, Corona Familiar, Corona Sunbrew, Corona Light, Corona Non-Alcoholic, Corona Premier, Modelo Especial, Modelo Chelada, Modelo Negra, Modelo Spiked Aguas Frescas, Modelo Oro, Modelo Noche Especial, Victoria, Vicky Chamoy, and Pacifico brand names. The company also offers wine under the Sea Smoke, Schrader Cellars, Kim Crawford, Mount Veeder, Ruffino, My Favorite Neighbor, Robert Mondavi Winery, and The Prisoner Wine Company brand names; and spirits under the Casa Noble, High West, Mi CAMPO, and Nelson’s Green Brier brand names.

Constellation Brands, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Constellation Brands's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
STZ fundamental statistics
Market capUS$25.74b
Earnings (TTM)US$1.69b
Revenue (TTM)US$9.14b
15.3x
P/E Ratio
2.8x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
STZ income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$9.14b
Cost of RevenueUS$4.42b
Gross ProfitUS$4.72b
Other ExpensesUS$3.03b
EarningsUS$1.69b

Last Reported Earnings

Feb 28, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)9.80
Gross Margin51.65%
Net Profit Margin18.46%
Debt/Equity Ratio125.9%

How did STZ perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.8%
Current Dividend Yield
42%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/25 08:58
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2026/02/28
Annual Earnings2026/02/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Constellation Brands, Inc. is covered by 43 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Lauren LiebermanBarclays
Lauren LiebermanBarclays