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Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.NYSE:LW Stock Report

Market Cap US$6.5b
Updated 1h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-15.2%
7D-4.1%
1D1.1%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:LW Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.5b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) Stock Overview

Engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. More details

LW fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends5/6

Rewards

Trading at 65.7% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 14.69% per year

Pays a reliable dividend of 3.18%

Risk Analysis

Large one-off items impacting financial results

Has a high level of debt


LW Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 40 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
13.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•8d ago

LW: Continued Volume Recovery And Margin Stability Will Support Balanced Performance

901
0
22
AN
AnalystHighTarget
23.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

Rising Middle Class And Urbanization Will Drive Frozen Food Demand

63
0
1
AN
AnalystLowTarget
8.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•23d ago

Rising Regulations And Shifting Diets Will Undermine Profitability

49
0
0

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
13.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•8d ago

LW: Continued Volume Recovery And Margin Stability Will Support Balanced Performance

901
0
22
AN
AnalystHighTarget
23.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

Rising Middle Class And Urbanization Will Drive Frozen Food Demand

63
0
1
AN
AnalystLowTarget
8.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•23d ago

Rising Regulations And Shifting Diets Will Undermine Profitability

49
0
0
View all narratives

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. Competitors

Campbell's

Symbol: NasdaqGS:CPB
Market cap: US$6.2b

Pilgrim's Pride

Symbol: NasdaqGS:PPC
Market cap: US$7.1b

Smithfield Foods

Symbol: NasdaqGS:SFD
Market cap: US$8.1b

Seaboard

Symbol: NYSEAM:SEB
Market cap: US$4.1b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Lamb Weston Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$47.85
52 Week HighUS$67.07
52 Week LowUS$37.62
Beta0.46
1 Month Change-9.90%
3 Month Change5.44%
1 Year Change-15.19%
3 Year Change-51.95%
5 Year Change-22.28%
Change since IPO40.74%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

LW: North America Turnaround And FY27 Outlook Will Shape Balanced View

Lamb Weston Holdings' updated analyst fair value estimate has moved from $47.92 to $55.25, with analysts pointing to stronger than expected Q4 results, a solid FY27 outlook, cost savings progress, and improving North America execution as support for higher price targets in the $52 to $57 range. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lamb Weston highlights a mixed but generally constructive tone, with multiple firms recalibrating price targets higher following the latest Q4 report and FY27 outlook.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 31

Lamb Weston Isn't Tasty Enough For An Upgrade

Summary Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. remains a Hold due to ongoing margin pressure, competitive challenges, and muted organic growth. Revenue growth in 2026 was aided by acquisitions and an extra operating week, while underlying demand and pricing remain weak. Cost-cutting initiatives like 'Focus to Win' exceeded milestones, but EMEA headwinds and facility closures weigh on segment profitability. LW 2027 guidance calls for flat to modest revenue growth and stable EBITDA, with valuation appearing fair relative to peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 19

LW: Future Returns Will Hinge On North America Turnaround And Margin Recovery

Lamb Weston Holdings' updated analyst price target has shifted from $40 to $52, reflecting analyst views that recent Q4 upside, cost savings, and progress in the North America turnaround support a higher valuation multiple and more confident long term profit expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Lamb Weston Holdings point to a more constructive tone on the Q4 delivery and the North America turnaround, but they also highlight several areas where analysts remain cautious.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

LW: North America Turnaround And FY27 Outlook Will Shape Balanced View

Lamb Weston Holdings' updated analyst fair value estimate has moved from $47.92 to $55.25, with analysts pointing to stronger than expected Q4 results, a solid FY27 outlook, cost savings progress, and improving North America execution as support for higher price targets in the $52 to $57 range. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lamb Weston highlights a mixed but generally constructive tone, with multiple firms recalibrating price targets higher following the latest Q4 report and FY27 outlook.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 31

Lamb Weston Isn't Tasty Enough For An Upgrade

Summary Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. remains a Hold due to ongoing margin pressure, competitive challenges, and muted organic growth. Revenue growth in 2026 was aided by acquisitions and an extra operating week, while underlying demand and pricing remain weak. Cost-cutting initiatives like 'Focus to Win' exceeded milestones, but EMEA headwinds and facility closures weigh on segment profitability. LW 2027 guidance calls for flat to modest revenue growth and stable EBITDA, with valuation appearing fair relative to peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 19

LW: Future Returns Will Hinge On North America Turnaround And Margin Recovery

Lamb Weston Holdings' updated analyst price target has shifted from $40 to $52, reflecting analyst views that recent Q4 upside, cost savings, and progress in the North America turnaround support a higher valuation multiple and more confident long term profit expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Lamb Weston Holdings point to a more constructive tone on the Q4 delivery and the North America turnaround, but they also highlight several areas where analysts remain cautious.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 05

LW: North America Execution And Cost Actions Will Support Recovery

Analysts lifted their fair value estimate for Lamb Weston Holdings by about $1.91 to $62.60. They cited stronger Q4 execution in North America, cost savings efforts, and FY27 guidance that they view as supportive of profit growth.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 22

LW: North America Turnaround And Cost Savings Will Shape Balanced Outlook

The analyst price target for Lamb Weston Holdings has been revised higher to $54 from $46 as analysts weigh ongoing international and mix headwinds against improving North America execution, a slightly higher assumed future P/E, and modest tweaks to fair value, profit margin, and growth inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Lamb Weston Holdings highlights a mix of optimism and caution, with valuation grounded in current headwinds around international operations and product mix, alongside improving execution in North America where most segment profit is generated.
Analysis Article • Jun 17

Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) Stock Could Be 2.7% Undervalued After Lawsuit And Plant Closure

Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) stock has been in focus after a federal judge allowed a groundwater contamination class-action lawsuit to proceed, while the company also moves to close a Netherlands production facility. See our latest analysis for Lamb Weston Holdings. At a share price of $45.09, Lamb Weston Holdings has seen its 90-day share price return rise 8.76% and its year-to-date share price return reach 6.62%. However, its 1-year total shareholder return declined 13.91% and its 3-year total...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 15

LW: Future Returns Will Depend On Uncertain Margin Recovery Timing

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Lamb Weston in recent research, while a new $46 Equal Weight initiation highlights that weak restaurant traffic and excess international capacity are partly reflected in the stock. Potential upside is tied to better North American execution, moderating capital spending, stronger free cash flow, and ongoing activist involvement.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 01

LW: Future Outlook Will Balance Activist Cost Push And Earnings Pressure

Analysts have adjusted their views on Lamb Weston Holdings, with a new consensus price target of $46. Research points to ongoing near term pressure from restaurant traffic and global capacity, as well as potential support from improving North American execution, moderating capital spending, rising free cash flow, and activist involvement.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 14

LW: Activist Cost Cuts And Index Shift Will Support Undervalued Shares

The analyst price target for Lamb Weston Holdings has been reduced by approximately $8 to $46.36, as analysts factor in updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation multiples following a series of price target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Lamb Weston Holdings reflects a clear reset in expectations, with multiple firms lowering price targets and flagging both execution risks and valuation considerations.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 29

LW: Activist Cost Push And Execution On Guidance Will Drive Recovery

The analyst price target for Lamb Weston Holdings has been reduced by approximately $7, reflecting lower modeled fair value and more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples cited across recent research reports. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Lamb Weston Holdings has centered on reduced price targets, with analysts updating models to reflect more cautious assumptions on earnings power, competitive intensity, and valuation multiples.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 14

LW: Future Outlook Will Weigh Activist Cost Push Against Competitive Earnings Pressure

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Lamb Weston Holdings to $40.00 from $46.00, citing a wave of reduced Street price targets and concerns around earnings pressure and global competitive headwinds, while updated assumptions reflect mixed shifts in growth, margins and expected P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Lamb Weston points to a clear tilt toward caution, with a cluster of lowered price targets and more guarded narratives around earnings and competitive positioning.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 31

LW: Activist Pressure And Focus To Win Program Will Support Recovery

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Lamb Weston Holdings by $6, reflecting updated views on heavier second half earnings pressure; increased competition from India and China exports; a lower fair value estimate of $67.95; modestly higher discount rates; slightly softer revenue growth assumptions; and a reduced future P/E multiple, partly offset by a small uplift in projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on Lamb Weston Holdings points to a more cautious tone on near term earnings, but also highlights areas where analysts still see room for execution and valuation support.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 17

LW: Activist Cost Push And Resets Will Support Undervalued Shares

Narrative Update Overview Analysts have reduced their price target on Lamb Weston Holdings by $4, lowering it to $49 from $53. They cite expectations for greater earnings pressure in the second half of the year and increased competition from export markets in India and China.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 02

LW: New CFO, Plant Consolidation And Buybacks Will Support Undervalued Shares

Analysts kept their price target for Lamb Weston Holdings steady around $55, reflecting largely unchanged assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. This indicates that recent updates have not materially shifted their view of the stock's valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 16

LW: Focus To Win Moves And Buybacks Will Support Fairly Valued Shares

Analysts have made a small adjustment to their price target on Lamb Weston Holdings, reflecting updated views on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, while still anchoring fair value at about $54.64 per share. What's in the News Lamb Weston appointed James D.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 02

LW: Focus To Win Plan Will Support Renewed Share Price Uptrend

Analysts have reduced their price target on Lamb Weston Holdings from US$66.00 to about US$54.64, citing updated assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that indicate a more measured outlook for the stock. What's in the News Lamb Weston plans to close its Munro, Argentina plant and consolidate Latin America production at its newer facility in Mar del Plata, Argentina, with about 100 employees at Munro set to receive severance packages in line with local requirements (company announcement).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 19

LW: Latin America Consolidation And Focus To Win Will Drive Recovery

Analysts have nudged their price target on Lamb Weston Holdings lower to US$72.53 from US$76.82, linking the revision to more measured assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Lamb Weston plans to close its Munro, Argentina plant and consolidate Latin America production at its newer Mar del Plata facility.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 05

LW: Revised Outlook Will Emphasize Argentina Expansion And Capital Returns

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Lamb Weston Holdings from US$55.00 to US$46.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E, which together point to a more conservative outlook for the shares. What's in the News Lamb Weston Holdings reaffirmed earnings guidance for fiscal 2026, keeping net sales expectations in a range of US$6.35b to US$6.55b (company guidance).
Analysis Article • Dec 23

Take Care Before Jumping Onto Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LW) Even Though It's 26% Cheaper

The Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:LW ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...
Analysis Article • Dec 22

Lamb Weston Holdings' (NYSE:LW) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

The board of Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:LW ) has announced that the dividend on 27th of February will be...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 14

LW Recovery Momentum Will Be Driven By North American Volume Rebound

The analyst price target for Lamb Weston Holdings has edged higher by approximately $2 to the low $60s per share, as analysts point to stronger than expected North American volume growth, resilient gross margins, and early signs of recovering price and mix as supporting a modestly improved long term earnings outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have responded positively to Lamb Weston Holdings' latest quarter, lifting price targets into the low $60s range as operational execution shows signs of steady improvement.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 29

LW: Recovering Volume In North America Will Drive Renewed Uptrend

Analysts have raised their price targets for Lamb Weston Holdings, with the consensus moving up by $2 to $63 per share. They cite stronger-than-expected North American volume growth and improving gross margins as key drivers of renewed confidence in the company's recovery.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 14

LW: Volume Gains And Gross Margins Will Support Renewed Recovery Momentum

Analysts have lifted their price targets for Lamb Weston Holdings, with increases ranging from $2 to $3 per share. This is based on improving volume growth, gross margins, and signs of renewed commercial momentum, which are supporting a more optimistic outlook for the company's recovery.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 31

LW: Continued Volume Recovery And Margin Stability Will Support Balanced Performance

Analysts have modestly increased their price targets for Lamb Weston Holdings by $2 to $63. They cite improving volume growth in North America and stronger-than-expected margins as key drivers for greater confidence in the company's ongoing recovery.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 17

Modernizing Food Channels And Expanding QSR Markets Will Unlock Opportunity

Analysts have modestly raised their average price targets for Lamb Weston Holdings, reflecting increased confidence in the company's recovery momentum. There are also early signs of stronger volume and gross margin performance this fiscal year.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 03

Modernizing Food Channels And Expanding QSR Markets Will Unlock Opportunity

Analysts have increased their average price target for Lamb Weston Holdings from approximately $63.73 to $66.00. They cite improving volume growth in North America, stronger gross margins, and growing confidence in the company’s commercial recovery as key factors for the revision.
Analysis Article • Oct 02

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. Just Recorded A 5.2% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:LW ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 04

Modernizing Food Channels And Expanding QSR Markets Will Unlock Opportunity

Analysts have lowered their earnings expectations and applied discounted valuation multiples to Lamb Weston Holdings due to sluggish category growth, market share losses, and ongoing margin uncertainty, resulting in a consensus price target that remains steady at $63.55. Analyst Commentary Increased caution across the food producer sector due to slower center store category growth and ongoing market share losses.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 02

Lamb Weston: Painful Potatoes

Summary Lamb Weston shares have halved since mid-2023 due to declining margins and lower earnings multiples, all following high initial valuations. The company faces significant volatility and financial leverage, but current valuations appear more reasonable, offering a better long-term risk-reward proposition. Recent profit warnings and reduced guidance for 2025 highlight ongoing challenges, including market share losses and inflation pressures, leading to increased leverage. With Jana Partners' involvement and strategic changes, appeal is increasing, but I recommend waiting for entry points in the $40s, acknowledging inherent risks and volatility. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

LWUS FoodUS Market
7D-4.1%-1.2%-2.2%
1Y-15.2%-5.8%13.1%

Return vs Industry: LW underperformed the US Food industry which returned -5.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: LW underperformed the US Market which returned 13.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is LW's price volatile compared to industry and market?
LW volatility
LW Average Weekly Movement4.5%
Food Industry Average Movement5.2%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: LW has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: LW's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
195010,000Mike Smithwww.lambweston.com

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels. It also provides its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well as under retailers’ own brands.

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Lamb Weston Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
LW fundamental statistics
Market capUS$6.51b
Earnings (TTM)US$290.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$6.61b
22.7x
P/E Ratio
1.0x
P/S Ratio

Is LW overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
LW income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$6.61b
Cost of RevenueUS$5.25b
Gross ProfitUS$1.37b
Other ExpensesUS$1.08b
EarningsUS$290.00m

Last Reported Earnings

May 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Oct 06, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)2.11
Gross Margin20.68%
Net Profit Margin4.39%
Debt/Equity Ratio214.3%

How did LW perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.2%
Current Dividend Yield
72%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 21:54
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/05/31
Annual Earnings2026/05/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. is covered by 21 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew LazarBarclays
Adam MizrahiBerenberg
Alexia HowardBernstein

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