Steel Dynamics (STLD) Stock Overview
Operates as a steel producer and metal recycler in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 4/6 |
STLD Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 49 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Steel Dynamics, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$240.57 |
| 52 Week High | US$288.74 |
| 52 Week Low | US$119.89 |
| Beta | 1.54 |
| 1 Month Change | -1.28% |
| 3 Month Change | 6.08% |
| 1 Year Change | 89.68% |
| 3 Year Change | 134.73% |
| 5 Year Change | 272.11% |
| Change since IPO | 5,066.60% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jul 22
STLD: Tight Supply And Record Shipments Will Support Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted the Steel Dynamics fair value estimate by $55 to $310, reflecting updated views on sector pricing, tighter supply conditions, and company margins, even as some Street price targets on the stock have recently been trimmed or reset. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Steel Dynamics highlights a mixed but generally constructive backdrop, with several firms fine tuning price targets and earnings expectations ahead of upcoming quarters.Seeking Alpha • Jul 20
Steel Dynamics: Tariff-Driven Boom Gains Momentum In Q2
Summary Steel Dynamics, Inc. has surged 80% over the past year, driven by U.S. steel tariffs and robust pricing momentum. STLD’s aluminum plant ramp-up should drive a free cash flow inflection, with profitability expected next year as production scales. Strong cost control and a stellar balance sheet underpin a secure dividend and active share buybacks, with leverage at 1.2x. I maintain a Hold rating on STLD stock, seeing fair valuation at 12x 2027 EPS and preferring to add on pullbacks to $200-$210. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jul 08
STLD: Higher Steel Pricing Assumptions Will Confront Softer EPS Guidance
Steel Dynamics' updated analyst price target has increased to $221.33 from $169.10, as analysts factor in firmer assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and sector pricing reflected in recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Steel Dynamics shows a mix of optimism on long term steel demand and more cautious views on earnings execution and valuation.
Narrative Update • Jun 24
STLD: Higher Steel Prices And Tight Supply Will Support Future Earnings Power
The analyst price target for Steel Dynamics has been raised from $255.91 to $272.09, as analysts factor in updated views on steel pricing, demand trends, and modest adjustments to long term revenue growth, margins, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Steel Dynamics shows a mix of optimism on pricing power and demand, alongside caution tied to guidance, valuation, and the durability of higher steel prices.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 22
STLD: Tight Supply And Record Shipments Will Support Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted the Steel Dynamics fair value estimate by $55 to $310, reflecting updated views on sector pricing, tighter supply conditions, and company margins, even as some Street price targets on the stock have recently been trimmed or reset. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Steel Dynamics highlights a mixed but generally constructive backdrop, with several firms fine tuning price targets and earnings expectations ahead of upcoming quarters.Seeking Alpha • Jul 20
Steel Dynamics: Tariff-Driven Boom Gains Momentum In Q2
Summary Steel Dynamics, Inc. has surged 80% over the past year, driven by U.S. steel tariffs and robust pricing momentum. STLD’s aluminum plant ramp-up should drive a free cash flow inflection, with profitability expected next year as production scales. Strong cost control and a stellar balance sheet underpin a secure dividend and active share buybacks, with leverage at 1.2x. I maintain a Hold rating on STLD stock, seeing fair valuation at 12x 2027 EPS and preferring to add on pullbacks to $200-$210. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jul 08
STLD: Higher Steel Pricing Assumptions Will Confront Softer EPS Guidance
Steel Dynamics' updated analyst price target has increased to $221.33 from $169.10, as analysts factor in firmer assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and sector pricing reflected in recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Steel Dynamics shows a mix of optimism on long term steel demand and more cautious views on earnings execution and valuation.Narrative Update • Jun 24
STLD: Higher Steel Prices And Tight Supply Will Support Future Earnings Power
The analyst price target for Steel Dynamics has been raised from $255.91 to $272.09, as analysts factor in updated views on steel pricing, demand trends, and modest adjustments to long term revenue growth, margins, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Steel Dynamics shows a mix of optimism on pricing power and demand, alongside caution tied to guidance, valuation, and the durability of higher steel prices.Analysis Article • Jun 19
Steel Dynamics (STLD) Stock Could Be 2% Below Fair Value After Stronger Guidance
Steel Dynamics (STLD) has put fresh numbers around its outlook, issuing second quarter 2026 earnings guidance of US$3.51 to US$3.55 per diluted share while flagging stronger steel and aluminum profitability. See our latest analysis for Steel Dynamics. The new guidance comes after a sharp pullback, with Steel Dynamics’ share price down 7.49% over the last session and 11.62% over the past week, yet still showing a 52.43% 3 month share price return and a 1 year total shareholder return of...Narrative Update • Jun 06
STLD: Tariff Policy And Steel Pricing Cycles Will Shape Future Earnings Power
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics to $255.91 from $227.61 after a series of higher price targets across the Street, reflecting updated views on steel pricing, expected revenue growth, profit margins, and future price-to-earnings assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research on Steel Dynamics has been active, with a mix of bullish and more cautious views feeding into the updated fair value estimate.New Narrative • May 07
Aluminum Sheet Deficit And Utilization Dependence Will Pressure Future Margins And Earnings
Catalysts About Steel Dynamics Steel Dynamics is a North American metals producer with operations in steel, metals recycling, fabrication and a growing flat rolled aluminum business. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • May 06
STLD: Tariff Policy And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Future Earnings Power
The updated fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics rises by about $35 to $227.61, as analysts factor in Street research that points to higher expected profit margins and a lower assumed future P/E, even as revenue growth assumptions and the discount rate are adjusted. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics has focused heavily on valuation, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while at least one bearish analyst has shifted to a more neutral stance.Analysis Article • Apr 23
Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets
It's been a pretty great week for Steel Dynamics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:STLD ) shareholders, with its shares surging 17% to...New Narrative • Apr 23
Aluminum Platform And Recycling Integration Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings Power
Catalysts About Steel Dynamics Steel Dynamics produces steel, recycles metals, and is ramping a flat rolled aluminum business across North America. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Apr 20
STLD: Tariff Policy And Valuation Assumptions Will Shape Earnings Outlook
Analysts have raised the price target on Steel Dynamics by about $4, citing updated views on fair value, profitability and future P/E assumptions supported by recent research from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics has focused on refining fair value estimates, with several major firms updating price targets and ratings in close succession.Narrative Update • Apr 06
STLD: Tariff Policy And 2026 Outlook Will Shape Earnings And Capacity Use
Analysts trimmed their price target on Steel Dynamics by about $5 to reflect updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a lower profit margin and a higher future P/E, while recent Street research highlights mixed rating changes and refreshed 2026 outlooks for U.S. carbon steel equities. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Steel Dynamics offers a mix of optimism and caution, with analysts updating ratings and price targets as they refresh multi year views on U.S. carbon steel equities and factor in tariff and capacity trends.Narrative Update • Mar 22
STLD: Tariff Support And 2026 Outlook Will Drive Capacity Expansion And BlueScope Pursuit
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics by about $1.45 to $193.46, as they factor in slightly lower margin assumptions and refreshed price targets that now reflect updated 2026 outlooks for U.S. steel mills. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics reflects a split view, with some firms lifting price targets on the back of refreshed 2026 assumptions and others taking a more cautious stance on rating and upside potential.Narrative Update • Mar 07
STLD: Tariff Policy And 2026 Outlook Will Guide Capacity And BlueScope Bid
Narrative update The updated analyst price target for Steel Dynamics of about $195, up from roughly $193, reflects refreshed 2026 outlooks in recent research. Analysts point to firm steel pricing supported by tariffs, capacity driven share gains for domestic mills, and mixed to positive expectations for sector profitability.Narrative Update • Feb 20
STLD: Tariff Policy And 2026 Outlook Will Shape Capacity And Acquisition Path
Analysts have adjusted their views on Steel Dynamics, setting a refreshed analyst price target in the high $180s to low $190s range. This reflects updated 2026 outlooks that highlight expectations for firm steel pricing, ongoing tariff support, and a mixed but generally constructive profitability setup for U.S. mills.Narrative Update • Feb 06
STLD: Tariff Support And 2026 Outlook Will Balance Capacity And Acquisition Risks
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Steel Dynamics shifts slightly higher to about US$193 from about US$191, as analysts factor in refreshed 2026 outlooks that point to resilient steel pricing, incremental capacity driven market share gains for domestic mills, and mixed but generally supportive expectations for sector profitability despite a challenging macro backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture for Steel Dynamics, with several firms lifting price targets while one high profile downgrade highlights growing valuation and execution questions into 2026.Narrative Update • Jan 22
STLD: Tariff Support And 2026 Sheet Mill Outlook Will Guide Balanced Returns
The analyst price target for Steel Dynamics has increased from US$183.08 to US$191.28 as analysts factor in refreshed 2026 outlooks that assume firm U.S. steel pricing, incremental profitability improvement for sheet mills, and updated models following recent earnings and sector tariff expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Steel Dynamics point to a more mixed stance, with several firms lifting their price targets while some temper their ratings as they reassess 2026 assumptions and nearer term demand trends.Narrative Update • Jan 06
STLD: Tariff Policy And Demand Rebound Will Shape Balanced Return Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics to about $183 per share from roughly $181, noting updated price targets from US$165 to US$185 and refreshed models that factor in a mixed demand backdrop across North America, China, the U.S. and Europe. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Steel Dynamics reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms updating price targets and ratings as they incorporate new macro views and refreshed models.Narrative Update • Dec 17
STLD: Tariff Policy And Demand Rebound Will Drive Returns Ahead
Analysts have lifted their price target on Steel Dynamics by roughly $11 per share to about $181, citing refreshed models that balance a still challenging global demand backdrop with improving profitability and supportive U.S. and European demand trends. Analyst Commentary Street research on Steel Dynamics reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance, with recent revisions highlighting both upside potential and valuation constraints following the stock's strong run.Narrative Update • Dec 02
STLD: Demand Recovery And Tariff Risks Will Shape Performance Ahead
The consensus analyst price target for Steel Dynamics has increased by $2.50, as analysts cite resilient U.S. and European demand and recent updates to price forecasts despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates highlight a mix of optimism and caution regarding Steel Dynamics' outlook, with several notable price target adjustments and rating changes.Narrative Update • Nov 18
STLD: Challenging Demand And Trade Risks Will Define Near-Term Performance
Analysts have slightly increased their average price target for Steel Dynamics by $0.83 to $167.42. They cite updated models and recent earnings, while highlighting ongoing valuation considerations and a persistently challenging demand environment.Narrative Update • Nov 03
STLD: Domestic Tariffs And U.S. Market Exposure Will Shape Future Performance
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics from $153.83 to $166.58 per share. This change is due to upward price target revisions and model updates following recent earnings results and industry outlooks.Narrative Update • Oct 20
Domestic Reshoring And Low-carbon Investments Will Drive Long-term Metals Resilience
Analysts have raised their price target for Steel Dynamics from $151.50 to $153.83 per share, citing anticipated tariff benefits, resilient U.S. steel pricing, and an improved profit margin outlook as key factors supporting their updated valuation. Analyst Commentary Analyst perspectives on Steel Dynamics reflect a mix of optimism around near-term support and caution regarding the longer-term landscape for U.S. steel producers.Narrative Update • Oct 05
Domestic Reshoring And Low-carbon Investments Will Drive Long-term Metals Resilience
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Steel Dynamics from $149.58 to $151.50. This change is attributed to an improved domestic demand outlook, tariff benefits, and valuation premiums for U.S. mills.Analysis Article • Aug 16
Steel Dynamics, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
NasdaqGS:STLD 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Steel Dynamics's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Analysis Article • Aug 09
Is Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ:STLD) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Shareholder Returns
| STLD | US Metals and Mining | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 2.4% | 4.1% | -2.0% |
| 1Y | 89.7% | 49.9% | 15.1% |
Return vs Industry: STLD exceeded the US Metals and Mining industry which returned 49.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: STLD exceeded the US Market which returned 15.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| STLD volatility | |
|---|---|
| STLD Average Weekly Movement | 5.2% |
| Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement | 9.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: STLD has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: STLD's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1993 | 14,400 | Mark Millett | www.steeldynamics.com |
Steel Dynamics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a steel producer and metal recycler in the United States. It operates through four segments: Steel Operations, Metals Recycling Operations, Steel Fabrication Operations, and Aluminum Operations. The Steel Operations segment offers hot rolled, cold rolled, and coated steel products; parallel flange beams and channel sections, large unequal leg angles, and reinforcing steel bars, standard strength carbon, intermediate alloy hardness, and premium grade rail products; engineered special-bar-quality products, merchant-bar-quality products, and other engineered round steel bars; channels, angles, flats, merchant rounds, and reinforcing steel bars; and specialty shapes and light structural steel products.
Steel Dynamics, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| STLD fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$34.41b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$1.61b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$20.54b |
21.6x
P/E Ratio1.7x
P/S RatioIs STLD overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| STLD income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$20.54b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$17.53b |
| Gross Profit | US$3.01b |
| Other Expenses | US$1.40b |
| Earnings | US$1.61b |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 11.14 |
| Gross Margin | 14.65% |
| Net Profit Margin | 7.83% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 44.7% |
How did STLD perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
0.9%
Current Dividend Yield19%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/23 04:29 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/23 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Steel Dynamics, Inc. is covered by 33 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Gagliano | Barclays |
| Richard Garchitorena | Barclays |
| Katja Jancic | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |