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Updated 1d ago
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Altria Group, Inc.NYSE:MO Stock Report

Market Cap US$114.9b
Updated 1d ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y3.5%
7D0.1%
1D0.3%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Altria Group, Inc.

NYSE:MO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$114.9b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Altria Group (MO) Stock Overview

Through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells smokeable and oral tobacco products in the United States. More details

MO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends6/6

Rewards

Trading at 52.3% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 4.33% per year

Pays a high and reliable dividend of 6.15%

Risk Analysis

Has a high level of debt

Large one-off items impacting financial results


MO Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 431 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
2.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

Dividend Momentum And Regulatory Clarity Will Drive Further Gains Through 2025

2.1k
0
238
AN
AnalystLowTarget
16.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•2mo ago

Illicit E-Vapor Surge Will Jeopardize Smoke-Free Prospects

458
0
9
AN
AnalystHighTarget
2.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1y ago

Smoke-free Expansion Will Reshape US Nicotine Market Despite Risks

84
0
17

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
2.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

Dividend Momentum And Regulatory Clarity Will Drive Further Gains Through 2025

2.1k
0
238
AN
AnalystLowTarget
16.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•2mo ago

Illicit E-Vapor Surge Will Jeopardize Smoke-Free Prospects

458
0
9
AN
AnalystHighTarget
2.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1y ago

Smoke-free Expansion Will Reshape US Nicotine Market Despite Risks

84
0
17
View all narratives

Altria Group, Inc. Competitors

Philip Morris International

Symbol: NYSE:PM
Market cap: US$295.8b

Vector Group

Symbol: NYSE:VGR
Market cap: US$2.4b

Universal

Symbol: NYSE:UVV
Market cap: US$1.1b

Turning Point Brands

Symbol: NYSE:TPB
Market cap: US$1.4b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Altria Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$68.98
52 Week HighUS$77.06
52 Week LowUS$54.70
Beta0.49
1 Month Change7.15%
3 Month Change-4.11%
1 Year Change3.50%
3 Year Change58.47%
5 Year Change41.91%
Change since IPO29,495.88%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 08

Altria Group: My 6.4% Yielding Alternative To High Yield Bonds In This Macro Environment

Summary Altria Group remains a compelling income alternative, yielding 6.4% after its 57th consecutive annual dividend increase and robust Q2 2026 results. MO's pricing power, high margins (64.8% smokeable segment), and investment-grade balance sheet underpin reliable cash flow despite secular volume declines. MO's valuation is attractive at 12.13x forward earnings and 13x FCF, with dividend growth outpacing comparable high-yield bonds after tax. Risks include ongoing cigarette volume declines, regulatory threats, and intensifying competition in nicotine pouches, but MO's cash generation and capital return remain resilient. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 08

Altria Group: My 6.4% Yielding Alternative To High Yield Bonds In This Macro Environment

Summary Altria Group remains a compelling income alternative, yielding 6.4% after its 57th consecutive annual dividend increase and robust Q2 2026 results. MO's pricing power, high margins (64.8% smokeable segment), and investment-grade balance sheet underpin reliable cash flow despite secular volume declines. MO's valuation is attractive at 12.13x forward earnings and 13x FCF, with dividend growth outpacing comparable high-yield bonds after tax. Risks include ongoing cigarette volume declines, regulatory threats, and intensifying competition in nicotine pouches, but MO's cash generation and capital return remain resilient. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 29

MO: Smoke Free Shift And FDA Guidance Will Shape Future Returns

Altria Group's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $65.50 to about $70.36. This change reflects recent price target increases across several firms as analysts point to potential next-generation product growth following updated FDA guidance.
Analysis Article • Jun 17

Altria Group (MO) Stock Could Be 7.2% Overvalued After Share Price Dip And Insider Selling

Altria Group (MO) is back in focus after a 3.3% share price decline, sparked by commentary that the stock trades above estimated intrinsic value and paired with insider share sales over the past three months. See our latest analysis for Altria Group. Putting the recent 3.3% drop in context, Altria Group’s share price return is up 22.47% year to date and 7.77% over 90 days, while the 1 year total shareholder return is 27.06% and 5 year total shareholder return is 118.67%. This suggests...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 15

MO: Future Returns Will Hinge On FDA Nicotine Product Decisions

Altria Group's updated analyst price target has shifted modestly to $64. This reflects a series of upward revisions as analysts factor in potential next generation product growth following recent FDA guidance.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 01

MO: Future Returns Will Depend On FDA Vape Timing Despite Softer Volume Declines

Altria Group's fair value estimate has moved from $51.95 to $59.00, as analysts point to a modestly lower discount rate, slightly higher assumed revenue growth, a higher future P/E multiple, and a series of rising Street price targets tied to expectations for faster growth in next generation tobacco products following recent FDA guidance. Analyst Commentary Street research on Altria Group has leaned toward higher price targets, but the tone is not uniformly bullish.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 04

MO: Future Returns Will Depend On Illicit Trade Progress Despite Softer Volume Declines

Altria Group's updated analyst price target edges higher to about $51.95 from $51.79. This reflects analysts' use of a slightly lower discount rate, a modestly less sharp revenue growth decline, and a marginally higher future P/E assumption, even as profit margin expectations ease a bit.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 18

MO: Future Returns Will Depend On Illicit Trade Progress Not Volume Stabilization

Altria's updated fair value estimate edges down from $52.11 to $51.79 per share as analysts refine their price targets around moderating cigarette volume declines, improving trends in next generation products, and ongoing efforts to address illicit trade. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a mix of enthusiasm and caution on Altria Group, with several firms moving their price targets higher while still flagging meaningful execution and growth risks.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 04

MO: Illicit Trade Controls And Slower Volume Declines Will Shape Future Returns

Analyst price targets for Altria Group have moved higher, with several firms lifting their views by $4 to $8 per share as analysts point to moderating U.S. cigarette volume declines, potential stabilization in Altria's market share, and improvements in addressing illicit trade. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a mix of optimism and caution around Altria Group, with several firms adjusting price targets and reassessing how the cigarette and next generation product trends could affect valuation and execution risk.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 20

MO: Illicit Trade Controls And Volume Trends Will Shape Future Earnings Visibility

The updated analyst price target for Altria Group has been raised to $65.50 from $63.92. Analysts cite moderating U.S. cigarette volume declines, efforts to address illicit trade, and expectations for tobacco stocks as supporting factors behind the change.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 06

MO: Future Returns Will Hinge On Illicit Trade Efforts And Volume Pressures

Altria Group's updated fair value estimate has moved from $48.22 to $52.11 as analysts lift price targets into the $63 to $72 range, citing improving tobacco industry fundamentals, efforts to address illicit trade, and expectations for accelerating next generation product growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on Altria Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with higher price targets sitting alongside concerns about execution and growth in next generation products.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 20

MO: Illicit Trade Controls And Leadership Changes Will Shape Earnings Visibility

The updated Analyst Price Target for Altria Group edges higher to $63.92 from $63.83. Analysts note that gradual improvements in illicit trade controls and earnings visibility support a slightly richer valuation multiple, despite more conservative revenue growth assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 26

MO: Future Returns Will Hinge On Persistent Premium Share And Volume Pressures

Narrative Update: Altria Group (MO) Analysts are fine tuning their Altria outlook, with a modestly lower implied future P/E and slightly higher assumed revenue growth and profit margin supporting a price target reset that reflects recent rating changes and views that cigarette volume pressures may be stabilizing alongside mixed brand trends and earnings visibility. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Altria highlights a mix of optimism on earnings visibility and caution around brand mix, category share, and how much investors are willing to pay for the stock.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 12

MO: Future Returns Will Depend On Persistent Premium Brand And Share Pressures

Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Altria Group slightly higher to about $48.22, reflecting updated expectations for modest revenue growth, a small adjustment to the discount rate, and a similar forward P/E assumption. This view is underpinned by recent research that points to potentially stabilizing cigarette volumes and a "reasonable" current valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 14

MO: Future Returns Will Depend On Combustible Volume Pressures

Altria Group's updated analyst price target has been trimmed modestly to reflect a slightly lower fair value and higher discount rate, as analysts factor in mixed Q3 results with accelerated Marlboro volume declines and share losses in oral tobacco, partly offset by improving revenue trends and resilient profit margins. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have tempered their outlook on Altria following its latest quarterly update, trimming price targets to reflect softer growth expectations and execution risk in the core combustible and oral tobacco franchises.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 25

Dividend Momentum And Regulatory Clarity Will Drive Further Gains Through 2025

Altria Group's analyst price target has been raised by $8 to $72 per share. Analysts cite stronger dividend growth, improved regulatory outlook, and operational momentum as key drivers for this upward revision.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 10

E-Vapor And Oral Tobacco Will Face Regulatory Setbacks

Altria Group's analyst price target has been raised by approximately $1, to $63.83, as analysts cite the company's continued dividend growth, improved profit margin outlook, and prospects for a higher valuation multiple due to favorable regulatory trends. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports highlight both the strengths and ongoing risks surrounding Altria Group, following notable price target increases and recognition of the company’s strategic initiatives.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 27

E-Vapor And Oral Tobacco Will Face Regulatory Setbacks

Analysts raised Altria Group’s price target to $62.88, citing its increased dividend, improving regulatory outlook, and sustained earnings through pricing power, while some concerns remain over structural industry headwinds and growth limitations. Analyst Commentary Altria’s recent dividend increase and consistent track record of annual dividend growth support confidence in its capital return program.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 07

E-Vapor And Oral Tobacco Will Face Regulatory Setbacks

Despite ongoing structural headwinds, a demanding valuation relative to peers, muted global nicotine growth prospects, and continued analyst preference for British American, the consensus analyst price target for Altria Group has been revised upward from $58.54 to $61.62. Analyst Commentary Structural headwinds impacting Altria's business outlook.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 30

Altria FQ1: Total Shareholder Yield Exceeds 10%

Summary The updates provided in MO’s FQ1 earnings report reflected some profit pressures and growth headwinds ahead. Sales of smokeable products declined significantly, as MO’s pricing power was not sufficient to completely offset the volume decrease. Oral tobacco products showed slight growth YoY, with the "on!" franchise seeing an 18% shipment volume increase. The attractive capital returns counterbalance the uncertainties well. The total shareholder yield is projected to surpass 10%, driven by generous dividends, consistent share buybacks, and active debt reduction efforts. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 13

Altria Group: Play Defense If You Expect Uncertain Times

Summary Altria Group is a resilient pick for uncertain times, with strong domestic production facilities and addictive products that ensure steady demand. Despite a 10% fall in traditional cigarette sales in 2024, Altria's non-cyclical, defensive nature and ~50% EBITDA margin provide a safety cushion. Altria's stock has a low Beta, indicating less volatility compared to the S&P 500, making it a stable investment during market downturns. Altria offers attractive valuation, high dividends (over 7% yield), and significant share repurchases, making it a compelling buy amidst market uncertainty. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 29

Altria: 9%+ Stock Price Appreciation Potential In 2025 On Top Of Dividends

Summary Altria's shareholder returns are attractive, with high and growing dividends and a great share buyback volume. Shareholder returns will be able to continue for the foreseeable future as Altria's underlying operations remain healthy. Altria could see a macroeconomic tailwind as the federal funds rate moves lower potentially allowing the company to see ~9% stock price appreciation in 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 09

Altria: Trump's Cannabis Pivot May Trigger An Investor Gold Rush

Summary Altria comprises over 20% of my dividend stock portfolio, and I am optimistic about its potential, even without cannabis reform. I believe Trump may enact federal cannabis reform due to political pragmatism and growing public support, especially among younger Republicans. Cannabis reform aligns with states' rights, appealing to conservatives, moderates, and libertarians, and could ensure continued Republican political dominance. Economically, cannabis reform is sensible, with the U.S. industry valued at $30 billion and the potential to create 420,000 jobs and double sales by 2028. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 07

Altria Q4: A 13% Equity Bond In Disguise

Summary Under the guidance provided in its Q4 earnings report, Altria Group, Inc.'s EBT (earnings before taxes) multiple is only 7.5x, translating a 13.3% EBT yield. This makes it comparable to an equity bond with 13% yield, given the resilience of its business model. But it gets even better as the coupons of bonds do not growth while I expect the earnings of MO to grow at a consistent rate of ~4% per annum. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 30

Altria: High Yield, Improving Growth

Summary Altria Group reported a double beat in Q4, driven by strong growth from its on! brand, showcasing its robust business model despite a declining smoker base. The tobacco giant's 8% dividend yield and low valuation make it an attractive investment, even with modest earnings growth projections. Altria's focus on price increases and margin growth has led to a 9% EPS increase in Q4, highlighting its ability to convert minor revenue gains into significant profit increases. With a solid dividend and potential for mid-single-digit EPS growth through 2028, Altria offers a reliable return, especially given its low volatility and recession resilience. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 21

Altria: A Must-Have If You Want Passive Income Right Away

Summary Altria is one of the best companies to build a high passive income right away. But growth is the weak point. Philip Morris is the company to beat at the moment, but NJOY and on! could gain new market share in the coming quarters. Since I expect a slowdown in tech stock valuations, it may be a convenient time to add companies with stable cash flows. Altria is one of them. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 13

Altria: A High-Yielding Dividend Gem To Buy Now

Summary Since my prior article, Altria's total returns have meaningfully outpaced the S&P 500 index. The company topped analysts' expectations in the third quarter. Altria could be on the cusp of an upgrade in its credit rating to BBB+ from S&P. Shares of the consumer staple could be trading at an 18% discount to fair value. Altria could be positioned for a 57% cumulative total return through 2027. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 05

Altria Group: HTS Portfolio May Be A Missing Piece In The Puzzle (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Altria's success depends on its HTS market entry via the Horizon JV with Japan Tobacco, leveraging Marlboro's brand strength to capture market share in the space underdeveloped in the US. Other smoke-free initiatives (on!, NJOY) also hold upside potential, but their financial impact hasn't been material yet. I believe HTS portfolio is a missing piece in the puzzle. Altria's current valuation is attractive, and as smoke-free initiatives, especially HTS, gain traction, multiples could be higher. Altria is a 'buy' for patient investors who believe in the market launch of HTS products, but it faces risks from market conditions and competition from established brands like IQOS. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 19

Strategically Building A $100,000 Dividend Portfolio, With Altria As Your Core Holding

Summary Making Altria the largest position of your dividend portfolio could help you to increase its potential for generating dividend income and reducing volatility. This is due to Altria’s Dividend Yield [FWD] of 7.46% and its low 24M Beta Factor of 0.16. In this article, I will demonstrate how you could build a $100,000 dividend portfolio across 2 ETFs and 10 dividend paying companies, while holding Altria as the largest portfolio position. This portfolio offers a reduced risk level, as indicated by a decreased portfolio volatility and a lowered company- and sector-specific concentration risk. The portfolio further integrates dividend income and dividend growth, reflected in its Weighted Average Dividend Yield [TTM] of 4.22% and 5-Year Weighted Average Dividend Growth Rate [CAGR] of 8.91%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 12

Altria Is Better Than Philip Morris Per The 10xEBT Rule

Summary This article explains why I like MO better than PM, following the so-called rule of 10xEBT (earnings before taxes). MO features a lower EBT multiple (only about 8.1x of its FWD EBT) than PM (about 15x). Thus, under Buffett’s 10x Pretax Rule, MO offers a much more compelling pretax earnings yield (over 12% vs. PM's 6.4%). In the meantime, I also see higher growth prospects from MO with its higher return on capital employed. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

MOUS TobaccoUS Market
7D0.1%-2.1%-1.0%
1Y3.5%-28.8%14.1%

Return vs Industry: MO exceeded the US Tobacco industry which returned -28.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MO underperformed the US Market which returned 14.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is MO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MO volatility
MO Average Weekly Movement4.4%
Tobacco Industry Average Movement8.8%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: MO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: MO's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
18225,900Sal Mancusowww.altria.com

Altria Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells smokeable and oral tobacco products in the United States. It offers cigarettes primarily under the Marlboro brand; large cigars and pipe tobacco under the Black & Mild brand; moist smokeless tobacco and oral tobacco products under the Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, and Husky brands; oral nicotine pouches under the on! brand; and e-vapor products under the NJOY ACE brand.

Altria Group, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Altria Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
MO fundamental statistics
Market capUS$114.86b
Earnings (TTM)US$7.95b
Revenue (TTM)US$20.44b
14.5x
P/E Ratio
5.6x
P/S Ratio

Is MO overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
MO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$20.44b
Cost of RevenueUS$2.66b
Gross ProfitUS$17.79b
Other ExpensesUS$9.84b
EarningsUS$7.95b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Oct 29, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)4.76
Gross Margin87.01%
Net Profit Margin38.90%
Debt/Equity Ratio-938.8%

How did MO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

6.1%
Current Dividend Yield
89%
Payout Ratio

Does MO pay a reliable dividends?

See MO dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy MO by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Altria Group dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateSep 15 2026
Dividend Pay DateOct 09 2026
Days until Ex dividend3 days
Days until Dividend pay date27 days

Does MO pay a reliable dividends?

See MO dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 04:08
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Altria Group, Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Michael BrancaBarclays
Pallav MittalBarclays

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