Unusual Machines (UMAC) Stock Overview
Engages in the commercial drone industry. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 1/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
UMAC Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$1.58
FV
962.0% overvalued intrinsic discount47
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Unusual Machines, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$16.78 |
| 52 Week High | US$23.38 |
| 52 Week Low | US$4.81 |
| Beta | 14.28 |
| 1 Month Change | 14.54% |
| 3 Month Change | 26.07% |
| 1 Year Change | 230.97% |
| 3 Year Change | n/a |
| 5 Year Change | n/a |
| Change since IPO | 453.80% |
Recent News & Updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 20
UMAC: Drone Dominance Program And Supercycle Tailwinds Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Unusual Machines higher from $24.20 to about $25.33, citing stronger Q1 revenue, higher Street expectations, and potential demand from U.S. drone programs reflected in recent $22 and $25 price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more optimistic stance on Unusual Machines, with bullish analysts framing the company as a potential beneficiary of U.S. drone programs and regulatory shifts that favor non China-sourced components.
Narrative Update • Apr 30
UMAC: Index Inclusion And Recent Equity Raise Will Support Future Upside
Analysts are maintaining their $20.00 price target for Unusual Machines, citing updated assumptions that now reflect slightly higher projected revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin, and a higher future P/E of 169.50x, which together keep their fair value view broadly unchanged. What's in the News Unusual Machines completed a follow on equity offering of approximately $150.0m, issuing 8,823,529 common shares at $17 per share with a $1.19 discount per security (company event filing).Narrative Update • Apr 16
UMAC: Equity Raise And New Alliance Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have maintained their $20.00 price target on Unusual Machines, citing slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key factors shaping their current view. What's in the News Unusual Machines completed a follow on equity offering of approximately $150.0 million, issuing 8,823,529 common shares at $17 per share with a $1.19 per share discount to the offering price (Follow on Equity Offerings).Narrative Update • Apr 02
UMAC: XTI Partnership And Drone Market Access Will Support Future Upside
Analysts now cite updated assumptions on a fair value of $24.20, revenue growth of about 135%, profit margins near 8.26%, a discount rate near 8.29% and a future P/E near 120x as key reasons for adjusting their view on Unusual Machines. What's in the News The U.S. Department of Commerce withdrew plans to restrict Chinese-made drones, a move that keeps Unusual Machines in a U.S. market that still includes Chinese competitors alongside AeroVironment and Ondas (Reuters).Narrative Update • Mar 19
UMAC: Partnership And Policy Shifts Will Shape Future Drone Industry Positioning
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Unusual Machines from $15.00 to $20.00, citing updated assumptions regarding revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News The U.S. Department of Commerce has withdrawn plans to place restrictions on Chinese-made drones, a move that affects U.S. drone companies including Unusual Machines, AeroVironment and Ondas (Reuters).
Narrative Update • Mar 04
UMAC: Defense Order And XTI Partnership Will Support Stronger Long-Term Performance
Analysts maintained their $25.00 price target for Unusual Machines, noting that updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E generally offset each other in their valuation analysis. What's in the News The U.S. Department of Commerce withdrew plans to restrict Chinese-made drones, a move that keeps existing market access in place for U.S. drone companies including Unusual Machines (Reuters).Narrative Update • Feb 18
UMAC: Defense Order And XTI Partnership Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their $19.20 price target for Unusual Machines, citing only minor adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, long term profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions, rather than any material change in their view of the company. What's in the News The U.S. Department of Commerce withdrew plans to restrict Chinese made drones, which affects the competitive setting for U.S. listed drone companies including Unusual Machines, AeroVironment and Ondas (Reuters).Narrative Update • Feb 04
UMAC: Drone Partnership And New Defense Order Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Unusual Machines steady at $19.20 while making only minor tweaks to assumptions, such as a slightly lower discount rate and a marginally higher future P/E, reflecting updated views on risk and long term profitability without changing the overall price target. What's in the News The U.S. Department of Commerce has withdrawn plans to place restrictions on Chinese made drones, with Unusual Machines mentioned alongside other U.S. drone companies as part of the publicly traded peer group (Reuters).Narrative Update • Jan 20
UMAC: Pentagon Contract And Drone Partnership Set To Support Balanced Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Unusual Machines slightly higher to $19.20 from $19.00, reflecting small adjustments to their fair value estimate, discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions, and expected future P/E. What's in the News The U.S. Department of Commerce has withdrawn plans to place restrictions on Chinese-made drones, which affects the broader U.S. drone space that includes Unusual Machines, AeroVironment, and Ondas (Reuters).Narrative Update • Jan 06
UMAC: Pentagon Award And Facility Expansion Will Support Stronger Long-Term Performance
Analysts have nudged their price target on Unusual Machines higher to reflect a fair value of $25.00, citing only small adjustments to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and assumed future P/E that modestly refine their outlook. What's in the News Unusual Machines secured its biggest-ever contract from the U.S. Department of Defense to make 3,500 drone motors and other drone parts, with the army indicating plans to order an additional 20,000 components in 2026 (Financial Times).Narrative Update • Dec 15
UMAC: Pentagon Contract Likely To Drive Stronger Long-Term Share Performance
Analysts have raised their price target on Unusual Machines from 20.00 dollars to 25.00 dollars, citing higher projected revenue growth despite a modest increase in the discount rate along with slightly lower expected profit margins and future valuation multiples. What's in the News Unusual Machines secured its largest ever Pentagon contract to supply 3,500 drone motors and other parts, with the U.S. Army indicating plans for an additional 20,000 components in 2026 (Financial Times) The contract highlights Unusual Machines' ties to prominent investors, including a previously disclosed $4M stake held by Donald Trump Jr., drawing additional political and media attention to the company (Financial Times) Unusual Machines leased a new 25,000 square foot facility in Orlando, Florida, expanding its vertically integrated manufacturing hub to improve coordination of inventory, production, and logistics for growing defense and commercial demand (Company announcement) The company entered a memorandum of understanding with Safe Pro Group to deploy AI powered image processing on its drones, enabling real time detection of explosive threats and advanced mapping capabilities in conflict and disaster zones (Safe Pro Group announcement) Unusual Machines was added to the S&P Global BMI Index, which may broaden its shareholder base as index tracking funds gain exposure to the stock (Index provider announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: Raised from 20 dollars to 25 dollars per share, an increase of 25 percent, driven by higher projected revenue growth.Narrative Update • Dec 01
UMAC: Pentagon Award Will Accelerate Demand for Domestic Drone Components
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Unusual Machines downward from $20.33 to $19.00, citing modest changes in financial projections as the rationale behind the adjustment. What's in the News Unusual Machines secured its largest-ever contract with the U.S. Department of Defense.Narrative Update • Nov 16
UMAC: Pentagon Contract Will Drive Demand for Compliant Domestic Drone Components
Analysts have raised their price target for Unusual Machines from $15 to $20.33. They cite the company's strong positioning to supply critical, NDAA-compliant drone components in the context of growing U.S. investment in domestic unmanned aircraft systems.Narrative Update • Oct 31
UMAC: Pentagon Contract Will Drive Domestic Drone Components Demand Forward
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Unusual Machines from $18.67 to $20.33, citing strengthening U.S. demand for compliant drone components and the company’s position to benefit from a shift toward a domestic supply chain. Analyst Commentary Recent street research highlights a growing consensus among market observers regarding Unusual Machines’ prospects, particularly as the U.S. accelerates efforts to secure a domestic supply chain for drone technology.Narrative Update • Oct 17
US Orders Will Unlock Demand For Drone Components
Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Unusual Machines from $20.33 to $18.67. They cite a reduction in forward price-to-earnings expectations and concerns about slightly lower profit margins, despite ongoing optimism regarding the company's position in a rapidly expanding U.S. drone market.Narrative Update • Oct 03
US Orders Will Unlock Demand For Drone Components
Analysts have raised their price target for Unusual Machines from $17 to approximately $20.33, citing stronger anticipated revenue growth and growing demand for domestic, NDAA-compliant drone components. This comes amid a major supply chain shift in the industry.New Narrative • Aug 24
US Orders Will Unlock Demand For Drone Components
Key Takeaways Growing government investment and policy changes in the U.S. drone sector will drive rising demand, with Unusual Machines well-placed to capitalize through new contracts and scaled domestic production. Focus on advanced manufacturing, acquisition opportunities, and higher-margin enterprise and government sales positions the company for sustainable margin expansion and long-term growth beyond core drone markets.Shareholder Returns
| UMAC | US Electronic | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 16.1% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| 1Y | 231.0% | 97.6% | 28.7% |
Return vs Industry: UMAC exceeded the US Electronic industry which returned 97.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: UMAC exceeded the US Market which returned 28.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| UMAC volatility | |
|---|---|
| UMAC Average Weekly Movement | 16.8% |
| Electronic Industry Average Movement | 9.2% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: UMAC's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: UMAC's weekly volatility (17%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 141 | Allan Evans | www.unusualmachines.com |
Unusual Machines, Inc. engages in the commercial drone industry. The company offers small drones and essential components. It distributes their products through B2B sale, e-commerce site, and retail channel.
Unusual Machines, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| UMAC fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$801.82m |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$5.64m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$17.25m |
46.5x
P/S Ratio-142.1x
P/E RatioIs UMAC overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| UMAC income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$17.25m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$11.19m |
| Gross Profit | US$6.06m |
| Other Expenses | US$11.71m |
| Earnings | -US$5.64m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.12 |
| Gross Margin | 35.15% |
| Net Profit Margin | -32.72% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0% |
How did UMAC perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/25 14:23 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Unusual Machines, Inc. is covered by 6 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Joshua Sullivan | JonesTrading Institutional Services, LLC |
| Barry Sine | Litchfield Hills Research, LLC |
| Matthew Galinko | Maxim Group |