Burford Capital (BUR) Stock Overview
Provides legal finance products and services worldwide. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 1/6 |
| Dividends | 2/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
BUR Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Burford Capital Limited Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$4.35 |
| 52 Week High | US$13.10 |
| 52 Week Low | US$3.59 |
| Beta | 1.06 |
| 1 Month Change | -0.46% |
| 3 Month Change | -2.47% |
| 1 Year Change | -66.31% |
| 3 Year Change | -70.71% |
| 5 Year Change | -60.09% |
| Change since IPO | 101.06% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jul 09
BUR: Future Buybacks And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside
Analysts have reset their price target assumptions for Burford Capital, citing updated views on fair value of $16.00 versus $5.00, a lower discount rate, significant changes in projected revenue growth, a reduced profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E multiple to reflect the latest assessment of the business. What’s in the News for Burford Capital Burford Capital was dropped from the Russell 2000 Defensive Index, according to index constituent change disclosures.Seeking Alpha • Jul 07
Burford Capital: At A Lower Price, I Could Be Convinced
Summary Burford Capital has reversed $94 million in previously recognized revenue, reflecting past over-ambition in revenue recognition practices. Following the YPF court decision, BUR has 'kitchen-sinked' its accounts, clearing out controversial or aggressive revenue items for a cleaner slate. The YPF write-back is a major hit, but future value may arise from pursuing compensation through the ISDS system, though realization is years away. At $2–$3 per share, BUR offers a speculative 'lottery ticket' on the YPF outcome; at current $4+, the risk/reward is less compelling. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 25
BUR: Stable Assumptions And Ongoing Buybacks Will Support Future Price Upside
Analysts have kept their $8.67 average price target for Burford Capital broadly unchanged, citing stable assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E in their latest models. What’s in the News for Burford Capital Burford Capital reported that from January 1, 2026 to March 31, 2026, it repurchased 475,000 shares for £3.93 million, representing 0.22% of its shares, under its existing buyback programme.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 09
BUR: Future Buybacks And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside
Analysts have reset their price target assumptions for Burford Capital, citing updated views on fair value of $16.00 versus $5.00, a lower discount rate, significant changes in projected revenue growth, a reduced profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E multiple to reflect the latest assessment of the business. What’s in the News for Burford Capital Burford Capital was dropped from the Russell 2000 Defensive Index, according to index constituent change disclosures.Seeking Alpha • Jul 07
Burford Capital: At A Lower Price, I Could Be Convinced
Summary Burford Capital has reversed $94 million in previously recognized revenue, reflecting past over-ambition in revenue recognition practices. Following the YPF court decision, BUR has 'kitchen-sinked' its accounts, clearing out controversial or aggressive revenue items for a cleaner slate. The YPF write-back is a major hit, but future value may arise from pursuing compensation through the ISDS system, though realization is years away. At $2–$3 per share, BUR offers a speculative 'lottery ticket' on the YPF outcome; at current $4+, the risk/reward is less compelling. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jun 25
BUR: Stable Assumptions And Ongoing Buybacks Will Support Future Price Upside
Analysts have kept their $8.67 average price target for Burford Capital broadly unchanged, citing stable assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E in their latest models. What’s in the News for Burford Capital Burford Capital reported that from January 1, 2026 to March 31, 2026, it repurchased 475,000 shares for £3.93 million, representing 0.22% of its shares, under its existing buyback programme.Narrative Update • Jun 06
BUR: Revised Profitability Assumptions Will Support Future Share Price Upside
Analysts have modestly trimmed their fair value estimate for Burford Capital to $8.67 from $8.94, reflecting updated assumptions around a very large revenue growth outlook, a lower discount rate, a higher future P/E multiple, and a reduced profit margin. What's in the News Recent analyst updates highlight changes to fair value assumptions for Burford Capital, based on revised expectations for revenue growth, discount rates, future P/E multiples, and profit margins.Narrative Update • Apr 24
BUR: Steady Buyback Progress Will Support Future Share Price Upside
Analysts have kept their price target for Burford Capital broadly steady at around $8.94, reflecting relatively unchanged views on fair value, profitability, and valuation multiples, despite only minor tweaks to discount rate and margin assumptions. What's in the News Burford Capital reported on its ongoing share repurchase activity, focusing on the buyback program announced on June 5, 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 08
BUR: Lower Margin Outlook And Buyback Completion Will Support Future Share Gains
Analysts have revised their price target on Burford Capital from $16.77 to $8.94, as they now apply a lower future P/E multiple and factor in a slimmer profit margin outlook, while keeping revenue growth assumptions steady. What's in the News Burford Capital reported that from October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025, it repurchased 0 shares for £0 million under its ongoing buyback program.Narrative Update • Mar 25
BUR: Steady Buybacks And Stable Assumptions Will Support Future Share Gains
Analysts have modestly adjusted their Burford Capital price target to reflect updated assumptions around discount rates and long term profitability, while keeping their overall valuation view broadly steady at about $16.77 per share. What's in the News Burford Capital reported that from October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025, it repurchased 0 shares for £0 million under its ongoing buyback program.Narrative Update • Mar 08
BUR: Lower Discount Rate And Richer P/E Will Support Future Share Gains
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Burford Capital to $16.77 from $18.21, reflecting updated views on discount rates, expected revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E of 15.41. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed from $18.21 to $16.77, a reduction of about 8% in the modeled estimate.Narrative Update • Feb 19
BUR: Index Inclusion And Interim Dividend Will Support Future Share Gains
Analysts have reduced their price target for Burford Capital from $18.90 to $18.21 as they balance slightly higher revenue growth assumptions and a lower discount rate with modestly softer profit margin and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: trimmed slightly from $18.90 to $18.21 per share.Narrative Update • Dec 10
BUR: Index Inclusion And Interim Dividend Will Support Long-Term Share Gains
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Burford Capital, citing slightly higher required returns and largely unchanged growth and profitability assumptions that support a refined fair value estimate of approximately $18.90 per share. What's in the News Burford Capital has completed the repurchase of 29,227 shares for approximately £0.38 million under its June 5, 2025 buyback program, representing about 0.01% of shares outstanding (company filing).Narrative Update • Nov 26
BUR: Index Inclusion And Stable Dividend Will Support Long-Term Share Gains
Narrative Update on Burford Capital Analysts have maintained Burford Capital's fair value estimate at $18.90. Incremental improvements in the discount rate and future profitability metrics were not significant enough to warrant a price target revision.Narrative Update • Nov 11
BUR: Profit Margin Expansion And Upcoming Dividend Will Drive Share Appeal
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Burford Capital from $18.70 to $18.90, citing improved profit margin expectations. This adjustment comes despite a minor uptick in the discount rate and steady revenue growth forecasts.Analysis Article • Oct 18
Burford Capital (NYSE:BUR) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.0625
Burford Capital Limited's ( NYSE:BUR ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.0625 per share on 4th of December...Narrative Update • Oct 16
Expanding Global Litigation Funding Will Unlock New Markets
Analysts have lowered their price target for Burford Capital from $19.70 to $18.70, citing a slightly higher discount rate and modest changes in future profit assumptions as key factors in their updated valuation. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for September 26, 2025, to consider an interim dividend of USD 6.25 cents per ordinary share for the year ending December 31, 2025 (Board Meeting).Analysis Article • Oct 02
Burford Capital (NYSE:BUR) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.0625
The board of Burford Capital Limited ( NYSE:BUR ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.0625 per share on the...Analysis Article • Jul 23
Even With A 26% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Burford Capital Limited's (NYSE:BUR) Performance Completely
Those holding Burford Capital Limited ( NYSE:BUR ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in...New Narrative • Jul 19
Litigation Finance Adoption And Global Diversification Will Unlock Potential
Growing acceptance of litigation finance and portfolio diversification positions the company for sustained revenue growth and margin expansion.Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Burford Capital: The IMF And Argentina
Summary Litigation finance, exemplified by Burford Capital, is a viable business model, but timing income claims is contentious and affects market perception. Burford's $16 billion award against Argentina significantly impacts its valuation, but the likelihood of payment remains uncertain. Argentina's new IMF deal suggests easier market access but doesn't guarantee the settlement payment, potentially lowering Burford's immediate value. Despite Burford's solid business foundation, the uncertainty around the Argentine settlement makes going long on the stock less advisable. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 03
Burford Capital: An Outstanding Litigation Finance Business With High Expected Value Returns
Summary Burford leads litigation finance with a 27% historical gross IRR, low loss rates, and significant insider ownership, making it a well-capitalized and sustainable business. Despite a share price decline in 2024, Burford's potential $6B payout from the YPF case could double its share value. Argentina's new president, Javier Milei, is implementing reforms and may resolve the YPF case, boosting Burford's prospects. Burford's ongoing high-value litigation finance business suggests the stock won't remain "dead money," with a potential step function increase in share price. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 03
Burford Capital: Business Update YPF And Ex-YPF
Summary Burford Capital, a leader in litigation finance, funds commercial litigation for a share of settlements and generates fees as the largest asset manager in this niche. Despite a share price drop in 2024, Burford's fundamentals are improving, especially with the $6.8bn YPF claim against Argentina, which accrues $1.64/share annually. Burford's core business boasts an 84% return on capital and a 26% unlevered IRR, with a loss rate under 10%, showcasing impressive performance. Year-to-date, Burford realized $380mn from concluded matters, with a 98% return on capital, reinforcing its economic moat and reliability as a litigation partner. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 14
Burford Capital: Solid Progress This Quarter
Summary Burford Capital's Q3 2024 results show strong realized gains and cash receipts, with capital provision income tripling year-over-year on a Burford-only basis. Net realized gains reached record annual levels, despite only nine months of data, while cumulative IRR slightly decreased to 26% due to COVID-19 delays. Asset management income remains weak, but management promises future improvement; new commitments and deployments are trending lower, though Q4 is expected to be stronger. YPF case update hints at potential settlement, with Argentine officials admitting wrongdoing; liquidity remains high at $550 million, with expenses decreasing as expected. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 22
Burford Capital: Serving Justice Pays Well
Summary Burford Capital offers a compelling investment with limited downside and substantial upside due to its strong track record and potential YPF-related payouts. The company bridges the gap between law firms and corporate clients by funding legal battles, monetizing legal claims, and generating high returns. Burford's impressive IRR of 27% and ROIC of 82% demonstrate its ability to create value for shareholders through successful litigation financing. Shares are a buy with price target of $18+. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 15
Burford Capital: Investors Are Getting Paid To Wait
Summary Given its niche investment category, funding mix, and irregular cash flow profile, Burford is one of the more misunderstood companies we have studied. Burford has been able to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns in legal finance. We believe this competitive advantage is slowly materializing as a greater portion of Burford's recent investments resulted favorably in settlement. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 01
Greenhaven Road Capital - Burford Capital: YPF Case Payout Is A '$6.2B Holding'
Summary Burford's largest “holding” is a judgement against Argentina related to the YPF case, for which Burford is in charge of pursuing the payout. If Burford were to collect the full $6.2B (not including post-judgement interest accruing at ~5% per year), this windfall would be worth $28 per share. While the YPF judgment is a massive asset for Burford, it is far from the only case that should start gaining more traction in the near term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 20
Will Argentina Pay Burford, And When?
Summary Burford Capital's stock appears undervalued after a big legal win in a case against Argentina. But, the stock's value remains dependent on receiving payment. The new Argentine President is hesitant to pay. Asset seizures have been hard to implement successfully against Argentina in the past, as NML's experience shows. Nonetheless, it appears that Burford will ultimately get paid at least some of what it is owed, and that may be sufficient to help the stock to rally materially. This is in part because a successful YPF outcome helps validate Burford's overall business model, and so has value beyond any specific proceeds Burford may receive. Still, any Argentine payment could be years away, so patience is needed. Fortunately, the business may perform well in the interim. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 09
Chris DeMuth Sure Likes Uranium And SHF Holdings + 3 Litigation Ideas
Summary Chris DeMuth Jr. discusses his position in uranium and his belief that nuclear energy will play a significant role in the future of energy production. He also updates us on SHF Holdings, a fintech company serving the cannabis industry, and predicts its growth potential in the coming years. 3 litigation ideas for the year: Liquidia, Roivant, and Burford Capital; potential outcomes and value propositions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 11
Burford Capital: A Cheap Moat With A Cherry On Top
Summary Burford is the global leader in litigation financing with over $7 billion in available funds, offering a strong business model and track record. The recent favorable ruling on the YPF case, awarding $16 billion in damages, adds a significant opportunity for Burford. The new president of Argentina, Javier Milei, may help increase the likelihood of a faster payment for the damages. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| BUR | US Diversified Financial | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0% | -0.9% | -1.0% |
| 1Y | -66.3% | -0.7% | 14.1% |
Return vs Industry: BUR underperformed the US Diversified Financial industry which returned -2.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: BUR underperformed the US Market which returned 13.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| BUR volatility | |
|---|---|
| BUR Average Weekly Movement | 5.5% |
| Diversified Financial Industry Average Movement | 5.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
Stable Share Price: BUR has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: BUR's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 172 | Christopher Bogart | www.burfordcapital.com |
Burford Capital Limited provides legal finance products and services worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Principal Finance, and Asset Management and Other Services. The Principal Finance segment provides capital against the underlying value of high-value single or multiple litigation and arbitration matters at any stage of the process from before filing to after a final judgment has been entered; and to a law firm that has agreed to take a case on a contingent fee or alternative fee basis, as well as directly to the client.
Burford Capital Limited Fundamentals Summary
| BUR fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$955.19m |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$1.69b |
| Revenue (TTM) | n/a |
-0.6x
P/S Ratio-0.6x
P/E RatioIs BUR overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| BUR income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | -US$1.51b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$14.65m |
| Gross Profit | -US$1.53b |
| Other Expenses | US$157.08m |
| Earnings | -US$1.69b |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -7.68 |
| Gross Margin | 100.97% |
| Net Profit Margin | 111.34% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 163.7% |
How did BUR perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
2.9%
Current Dividend Yield-0.8121%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/13 01:53 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Burford Capital Limited is covered by 11 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Robert Chantry | Berenberg |
| James Allen | Berenberg |
| Alexander Bowers | Berenberg |