TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.

NYSE:MITT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$250.7m

TPG Mortgage Investment Trust Valuation

Is MITT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of MITT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: MITT ($7.9) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value ($6.94)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: MITT is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MITT?

Key metric: As MITT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MITT. This is calculated by dividing MITT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MITT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.1x
EarningsUS$27.43m
Market CapUS$250.71m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MITT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MITT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7x
REFI Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance
7x1.60%US$250.0m
NREF NexPoint Real Estate Finance
3.5x-55.48%US$320.2m
SEVN Seven Hills Realty Trust
12.6x19.18%US$191.6m
AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage REIT
5.1x-12.00%US$222.2m
MITT TPG Mortgage Investment Trust
9.1x17.83%US$250.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MITT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the peer average (7x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MITT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Mortgage REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
MITT 9.1xIndustry Avg. 9.0xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MITT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the US Mortgage REITs industry average (9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MITT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MITT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.1x
Fair PE Ratio10.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MITT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MITT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.90
US$9.50
+20.25%
5.52%US$10.25US$9.00n/a5
Apr ’27US$7.26
US$9.50
+30.85%
5.52%US$10.25US$9.00n/a5
Mar ’27US$8.09
US$9.75
+20.52%
7.55%US$11.00US$9.00n/a6
Feb ’27US$8.60
US$9.40
+9.30%
6.85%US$10.25US$8.50n/a5
Jan ’27US$8.52
US$9.00
+5.63%
6.09%US$10.00US$8.50n/a5
Dec ’26US$8.34
US$8.70
+4.32%
2.82%US$9.00US$8.50n/a5
Nov ’26US$7.14
US$8.60
+20.45%
2.33%US$9.00US$8.50n/a5
Oct ’26US$7.37
US$8.50
+15.33%
3.72%US$9.00US$8.00n/a5
Sep ’26US$7.56
US$8.45
+11.77%
2.90%US$8.75US$8.00n/a5
Aug ’26US$6.97
US$8.45
+21.23%
2.90%US$8.75US$8.00n/a5
Jul ’26US$7.67
US$8.35
+8.87%
4.48%US$9.00US$8.00n/a5
Jun ’26US$6.96
US$8.35
+19.97%
4.48%US$9.00US$8.00n/a5
May ’26US$6.53
US$8.25
+26.34%
9.77%US$9.50US$7.00n/a5
Apr ’26US$7.30
US$8.55
+17.12%
5.96%US$9.50US$8.00US$7.265
Mar ’26US$7.57
US$8.35
+10.30%
4.48%US$9.00US$8.00US$8.095
Feb ’26US$6.87
US$8.35
+21.54%
4.48%US$9.00US$8.00US$8.605
Jan ’26US$6.65
US$8.45
+27.07%
3.92%US$9.00US$8.00US$8.525
Dec ’25US$6.83
US$8.45
+23.72%
3.92%US$9.00US$8.00US$8.345
Nov ’25US$7.19
US$8.45
+17.52%
3.92%US$9.00US$8.00US$7.145
Oct ’25US$7.37
US$8.45
+14.65%
3.92%US$9.00US$8.00US$7.375
Sep ’25US$7.44
US$8.30
+11.56%
6.14%US$9.00US$7.50US$7.565
Aug ’25US$7.60
US$8.00
+5.26%
8.84%US$9.00US$7.00US$6.975
Jul ’25US$6.56
US$7.50
+14.33%
4.71%US$8.00US$7.00US$7.674
Jun ’25US$6.82
US$7.50
+9.97%
4.71%US$8.00US$7.00US$6.964
May ’25US$5.68
US$7.25
+27.64%
5.97%US$8.00US$7.00US$6.534
Apr ’25US$6.06
US$7.33
+21.01%
6.43%US$8.00US$7.00US$7.303
US$9.5
Fair Value
16.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/15 15:42
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/15 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kenneth BruceBofA Global Research
Eric HagenBTIG
Trevor CranstonCitizens JMP Securities, LLC