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Updated 1m ago
CME logo

CME Group Inc.NasdaqGS:CME Stock Report

Market Cap US$99.2b
Updated 1m ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y5.5%
7D0.2%
1D1.8%
Portfolio Value
​
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CME Group Inc.

NasdaqGS:CME Stock Report

Market Cap: US$99.2b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

CME Group (CME) Stock Overview

Operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. More details

CME fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance4/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Price-To-Earnings ratio (23.3x) is below the Capital Markets industry average (39.6x)

Earnings have grown 12% per year over the past 5 years

Risk Analysis

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Dividend of 4.11% is not well covered by free cash flows


CME Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 105 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
2.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

EMEA And APAC Expansion Combined With Rising Retail Demand Will Shape Future Trading

735
0
48

Top Analyst Narratives

CME logo
CME Group
2.2% undervalued intrinsic discount

EMEA And APAC Expansion Combined With Rising Retail Demand Will Shape Future Trading

View narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AnalystConsensusTarget
Updated 28 Jul
Read Narrative
View all narratives

CME Group Inc. Competitors

Intercontinental Exchange

Symbol: NYSE:ICE
Market cap: US$87.3b

S&P Global

Symbol: NYSE:SPGI
Market cap: US$119.5b

Moody's

Symbol: NYSE:MCO
Market cap: US$81.2b

Nasdaq

Symbol: NasdaqGS:NDAQ
Market cap: US$52.3b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for CME Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$276.01
52 Week HighUS$329.16
52 Week LowUS$218.31
Beta0.27
1 Month Change0.37%
3 Month Change12.57%
1 Year Change5.54%
3 Year Change36.83%
5 Year Change39.39%
Change since IPO3,116.90%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 16

Looking For The Ultimate Tollbooth For 24-Hour Trading: CME Group Deep Dive

Summary CME Group stands as the world's largest derivatives marketplace, benefiting from high recurring institutional volumes and exceptional operating margins. CME trades at a premium (EV/EBITDA 21.5x vs. peer average 16.2x), justified by low debt, strong pricing power, and resilient bear-market performance. The company’s earnings are partly driven by client collateral investment income and a 27% stake in S&P Dow Jones Indices, contributing 26% of total earnings. With shares near fair value (~$253 target vs. $277 price), I see CME as a strong long-term candidate but would initiate with a modest 1%-2% position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 16

Looking For The Ultimate Tollbooth For 24-Hour Trading: CME Group Deep Dive

Summary CME Group stands as the world's largest derivatives marketplace, benefiting from high recurring institutional volumes and exceptional operating margins. CME trades at a premium (EV/EBITDA 21.5x vs. peer average 16.2x), justified by low debt, strong pricing power, and resilient bear-market performance. The company’s earnings are partly driven by client collateral investment income and a 27% stake in S&P Dow Jones Indices, contributing 26% of total earnings. With shares near fair value (~$253 target vs. $277 price), I see CME as a strong long-term candidate but would initiate with a modest 1%-2% position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 28

CME: Perpetual Futures Dispute And New Contracts Will Shape Earnings Profile

The analyst fair value estimate for CME Group has been trimmed by about $6.64 to $282.36, as analysts balance slightly higher projected revenue growth with lower profit margin assumptions and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple following a mix of recent target cuts and increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CME Group shows a split view, with some firms lifting price targets and ratings while others trim expectations and flag competitive threats.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 09

CME: Crypto Perpetual Futures Dispute Will Reshape Long Term Earnings Power

The analyst price target for CME Group has been trimmed by about $14 to reflect slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and lower future P/E multiples that many analysts link to competitive concerns around perpetual futures, despite broadly constructive views on the core franchise. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CME Group highlights a split view, with some analysts seeing attractive upside after the share pullback and others focusing on competitive threats and pricing pressure.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 24

CME: Crypto Perpetual Futures Dispute Will Shape Future Earnings Power

The analyst price target for CME Group has shifted slightly lower, with fair value moving from about $306.47 to $302.60 as analysts weigh ongoing concerns around perpetual futures and potential multiple compression against views that recent share weakness and structural demand drivers still support an attractive long term setup. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CME Group shows a split between bullish analysts who see the recent pullback and product portfolio as supportive for long term value, and more cautious voices focused on competitive threats from perpetual futures and the potential impact on valuation multiples.
Analysis Article • Jun 18

CME Group (CME) Stock Could Be 18% Undervalued After CEO Succession News

CME Group (CME) stock is in focus after the company confirmed a leadership transition that will see long time Chairman and CEO Terry Duffy move to Executive Chairman while President and CFO Lynne Fitzpatrick becomes CEO in 2027. See our latest analysis for CME Group. The leadership announcement landed against a weaker backdrop for CME Group stock, with the share price down 3.46% over the past day and 17.23% over the past 30 days, while the 5 year total shareholder return of 45.07% still...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 05

CME: Crypto And AI Futures Expansion Will Shape Future Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for CME Group to about $306.47. This reflects concerns that revenue momentum could soften as geopolitical volatility eases and that fresh competition in bitcoin perpetual futures may weigh on exchange valuations, even as several firms still see the competitive risk as manageable.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 15

CME: Mixed Street Views And New Markets Will Shape Future Earnings Power

Narrative Update on CME Group The analyst price target for CME Group has been trimmed by about $2, reflecting updated views on slightly softer revenue growth and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. At the same time, some analysts highlight areas of support such as commodities volumes as well as agriculture and prediction markets.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 27

CME: Volatile Street Views And New Futures Will Shape Trading Mix

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for CME Group down to $308.20 from $311.67, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth assumptions and a higher discount rate, partly balanced by a higher projected profit margin and a modestly lower future P/E, in line with the mix of recent price target trims and increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CME Group has been active on both sides, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings in different directions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 11

CME: Volatility And New Contracts Will Shape Rare Earths And Crypto Volumes

The updated analyst price target for CME Group has moved higher by about $5 to $311.67. This change reflects analysts' use of a slightly lower discount rate, a modestly higher assumed revenue growth rate, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple, even as they factor in a small trim to projected profit margins.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 26

CME: Volatility And New Contracts Will Shape Rare Earths And Volume Mix

Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to the CME Group fair value estimate to about $307 from roughly $305, reflecting slightly revised assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E following a mix of recent rating changes and price target tweaks across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CME Group reflects a mixed but generally balanced backdrop, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets in different directions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 11

CME: Volatility And New Contracts Will Shape Rare Earths And Clearing Outlook

Our analyst price target for CME Group has moved modestly higher to $305.21 from $299.29, as analysts factor in slightly stronger modeled revenue growth and profitability. This is partially offset by a more conservative future P/E assumption and mixed views on volume drivers across product lines.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 25

CME: Volatility And New Contracts Will Shape Futures And Clearing Outlook

The analyst price target for CME Group edges higher to $232, with recent updates reflecting analysts' focus on firmer commodities volumes, as well as a more expense conscious outlook in their refreshed earnings models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CME Group reflects a mix of optimism on volumes and earnings power, alongside caution on valuation and the cost base.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 10

CME: Volatility And Prediction Markets Will Guide Futures And Clearing Expansion Outlook

The updated analyst price target for CME Group edges higher to about US$297 from roughly US$290, reflecting analysts' use of a slightly lower discount rate, a modestly higher assumed revenue growth rate, and a similar future P/E multiple despite a slightly lower profit margin input. Analyst Commentary Street research on CME Group in recent sessions centers on a cluster of revised price targets and at least one rating change, with several bullish analysts lifting their targets by varying dollar amounts and one major bank fine tuning its view in both directions over a short time frame.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 27

CME: Volatility And Prediction Markets Will Shape Futures Activity Outlook

The analyst price target for CME Group is now US$290.40, a move of about US$2 from the prior US$288.33, as analysts factor in slightly different assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following mixed recent research that includes both a modest target cut and an upgrade linked to a tilt toward volatility. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CME Group reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with one firm trimming its price target slightly and another upgrading the stock on what it sees as a better setup for volatility related trading activity.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 12

CME: Fee Moat And Prediction Markets Will Shape Futures Activity Outlook

Narrative Update: CME Group CME Group's fair value estimate has edged up by about $1 to roughly $288 per share, as analysts cite the company's strong futures and options moat, a higher price target range of up to $314, and interest in its role within prediction markets as key supports for the updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has been generally constructive on CME Group, with several bullish analysts adjusting their price targets higher and highlighting the company's futures and options franchise as a key support for valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 27

CME: Fee Resilience And Prediction Markets Will Balance Lower Volatility Risks

Analysts have nudged their average price target on CME Group modestly higher, to approximately $287 from about $286, citing the company’s resilient fee-based revenue mix, strong competitive moat in futures and options, and supportive demand signals from prediction market partnerships despite some conflicting views on near term volume volatility. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed but generally constructive view on CME Group, with upward moves in price targets tempered by concerns around volume sensitivity and valuation risk if volatility normalizes.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 13

CME: Fee Resilience And New Prediction Markets Will Help Navigate Volatility

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for CME Group by about $1 to roughly $286 per share, citing the company’s resilient clearing and transaction fee driven revenue base, modestly higher long term growth expectations, and a reinforced competitive moat highlighted in recent target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on CME Group reflects a wide range of views on valuation and execution, with recent target changes clustering around expectations for resilient fee income but diverging on the sustainability of growth and the impact of lower volatility.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 16

CME: Revenue Resilience And New Ventures Will Balance Volatility Risks Ahead

The average analyst price target for CME Group was raised by approximately $3 to $285, as analysts point to the firm's resilient revenue streams and strong market position amid continued macroeconomic uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity reflects a mix of optimism and caution regarding CME Group's performance and outlook, particularly as the firm navigates shifting macroeconomic and market conditions.

Shareholder Returns

CMEUS Capital MarketsUS Market
7D0.2%-2.5%-0.2%
1Y5.5%-2.3%12.1%

Return vs Industry: CME exceeded the US Capital Markets industry which returned -2.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CME underperformed the US Market which returned 12.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CME's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CME volatility
CME Average Weekly Movement3.8%
Capital Markets Industry Average Movement3.3%
Market Average Movement6.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: CME has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CME's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
18983,875Terry Duffywww.cmegroup.com

CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, and foreign exchange; and agricultural, energy, and metals commodities, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. The company provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges.

CME Group Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do CME Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CME fundamental statistics
Market capUS$99.25b
Earnings (TTM)US$4.27b
Revenue (TTM)US$6.76b
23.3x
P/E Ratio
14.7x
P/S Ratio

Is CME overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CME income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$6.76b
Cost of RevenueUS$0
Gross ProfitUS$6.76b
Other ExpensesUS$2.49b
EarningsUS$4.27b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Oct 21, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)11.86
Gross Margin100.00%
Net Profit Margin63.12%
Debt/Equity Ratio12.9%

How did CME perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

4.1%
Current Dividend Yield
43%
Payout Ratio

Does CME pay a reliable dividends?

See CME dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy CME by to receive an upcoming dividend?
CME Group dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateSep 09 2026
Dividend Pay DateSep 25 2026
Days until Ex dividend11 days
Days until Dividend pay date5 days

Does CME pay a reliable dividends?

See CME dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/20 06:37
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/18 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

CME Group Inc. is covered by 33 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephen BiggarArgus Research Company
Roger FreemanBarclays
"Benjamin BudishBarclays

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