AutoZone, Inc.

NYSE:AZO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$58.4b

AutoZone Valuation

Is AZO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of AZO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Fair Value: AZO ($3522.02) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($3273.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AZO is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AZO?

Key metric: As AZO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AZO. This is calculated by dividing AZO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AZO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.7x
EarningsUS$2.46b
Market CapUS$58.35b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AZO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AZO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.8x
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive
32.2x6.15%US$79.9b
CVNA Carvana
99.6x25.08%US$97.1b
PAG Penske Automotive Group
11.4x2.45%US$10.8b
AN AutoNation
11.8x8.89%US$7.8b
AZO AutoZone
23.7x8.27%US$58.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AZO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x) compared to the peer average (38.8x).


Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AZO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LUXE LuxExperience B.V
1.9x-101.29%US$1.11b
TLF Tandy Leather Factory
2.2xn/aUS$23.23m
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2.9xn/aUS$13.06m
SSOK Sunstock
0.1xn/aUS$77.75k
AZO 23.7xIndustry Avg. 20.7xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AZO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (20.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AZO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AZO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.7x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AZO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AZO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3,522.02
US$4,213.17
+19.62%
9.06%US$4,800.00US$3,000.00n/a23
Jan ’27US$3,391.50
US$4,331.35
+27.71%
8.41%US$4,800.00US$3,000.00n/a23
Dec ’26US$3,946.99
US$4,579.13
+16.02%
8.53%US$4,900.00US$3,000.00n/a23
Nov ’26US$3,674.43
US$4,569.77
+24.37%
9.27%US$4,900.00US$2,900.00n/a22
Oct ’26US$4,247.96
US$4,551.59
+7.15%
9.36%US$4,900.00US$2,900.00n/a22
Sep ’26US$4,198.53
US$4,156.95
-0.99%
8.89%US$4,850.00US$2,900.00n/a22
Aug ’26US$3,858.86
US$4,144.91
+7.41%
8.78%US$4,850.00US$2,900.00n/a23
Jul ’26US$3,718.59
US$4,079.96
+9.72%
10.80%US$4,850.00US$2,896.05n/a24
Jun ’26US$3,733.04
US$4,043.63
+8.32%
10.90%US$4,850.00US$2,896.05n/a24
May ’26US$3,732.92
US$3,791.59
+1.57%
8.26%US$4,192.00US$2,830.00n/a24
Apr ’26US$3,813.27
US$3,781.17
-0.84%
8.27%US$4,192.00US$2,830.00n/a24
Mar ’26US$3,493.01
US$3,604.12
+3.18%
9.04%US$3,950.00US$2,750.00n/a24
Feb ’26US$3,350.21
US$3,601.00
+7.49%
9.08%US$3,950.00US$2,750.00n/a24
Jan ’26US$3,202.00
US$3,574.50
+11.63%
9.69%US$3,950.00US$2,750.00US$3,391.5024
Dec ’25US$3,169.54
US$3,288.55
+3.75%
8.30%US$3,634.00US$2,600.00US$3,946.9924
Nov ’25US$2,981.19
US$3,288.13
+10.30%
8.30%US$3,634.00US$2,600.00US$3,674.4324
Oct ’25US$3,172.98
US$3,258.01
+2.68%
7.75%US$3,500.00US$2,550.00US$4,247.9623
Sep ’25US$3,181.48
US$3,221.36
+1.25%
8.27%US$3,787.00US$2,550.00US$4,198.5323
Aug ’25US$3,148.36
US$3,198.01
+1.58%
7.44%US$3,450.00US$2,550.00US$3,858.8623
Jul ’25US$2,832.79
US$3,194.75
+12.78%
7.39%US$3,450.00US$2,550.00US$3,718.5923
Jun ’25US$2,769.94
US$3,190.40
+15.18%
7.40%US$3,450.00US$2,550.00US$3,733.0423
May ’25US$2,946.81
US$3,268.59
+10.92%
8.31%US$3,600.00US$2,480.00US$3,732.9224
Apr ’25US$3,168.60
US$3,243.23
+2.36%
8.27%US$3,600.00US$2,480.00US$3,813.2724
Mar ’25US$3,035.99
US$3,169.59
+4.40%
8.40%US$3,556.00US$2,480.00US$3,493.0123
Feb ’25US$2,798.15
US$2,936.32
+4.94%
7.60%US$3,215.00US$2,120.00US$3,350.2124
Jan ’25US$2,585.61
US$2,912.63
+12.65%
7.89%US$3,215.00US$2,120.00US$3,202.0024
US$4.21k
Fair Value
16.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/20 14:14
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/16 00:00
Earnings2025/11/22
Annual Earnings2025/08/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

AutoZone, Inc. is covered by 46 analysts. 25 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Justin KleberBaird
Michael LasserBarclays