Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.

NYSE:CFR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$10.3b

Cullen/Frost Bankers Valuation

Is CFR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CFR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: CFR ($164.23) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($237.83)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: CFR is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CFR?

Key metric: As CFR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CFR. This is calculated by dividing CFR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CFR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.7x
EarningsUS$654.87m
Market CapUS$10.31b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CFR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CFR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.9x
ZION Zions Bancorporation National Association
8.7x-8.08%US$10.1b
WTFC Wintrust Financial
12.6x6.74%US$10.7b
BPOP Popular
11.3x4.08%US$11.0b
CBSH Commerce Bancshares
14.7x5.19%US$8.5b
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers
15.7x1.02%US$10.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CFR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the peer average (11.9x).


Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CFR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
OCNB Oconomowoc Bancshares
0.7xn/aUS$10.72m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
CFR 15.7xIndustry Avg. 11.9xNo. of Companies120PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CFR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the US Banks industry average (11.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CFR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CFR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.7x
Fair PE Ratio12.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CFR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CFR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$164.23
US$159.00
-3.18%
6.45%US$169.00US$139.00n/a14
Jul ’27US$155.75
US$153.57
-1.40%
6.59%US$168.00US$135.00n/a14
Jun ’27US$132.79
US$150.53
+13.36%
7.79%US$165.00US$130.00n/a15
May ’27US$140.36
US$148.93
+6.11%
8.50%US$164.00US$125.00n/a15
Apr ’27US$138.65
US$145.93
+5.25%
11.34%US$163.00US$100.00n/a15
Mar ’27US$138.22
US$144.87
+4.81%
10.06%US$163.00US$110.00n/a15
Feb ’27US$137.82
US$142.73
+3.57%
10.06%US$163.00US$110.00n/a15
Jan ’27US$126.63
US$138.27
+9.19%
10.74%US$165.00US$105.00n/a15
Dec ’26US$124.68
US$137.60
+10.36%
11.23%US$165.00US$100.00n/a15
Nov ’26US$123.14
US$137.47
+11.63%
11.35%US$165.00US$100.00n/a15
Oct ’26US$125.78
US$136.73
+8.71%
10.82%US$154.00US$100.00n/a15
Sep ’26US$129.03
US$134.31
+4.09%
11.39%US$154.00US$100.00n/a13
Aug ’26US$124.20
US$134.69
+8.45%
10.57%US$154.00US$110.00n/a13
Jul ’26US$132.51
US$129.67
-2.15%
11.38%US$145.00US$105.00US$155.7512
Jun ’26US$126.98
US$129.42
+1.92%
11.35%US$145.00US$105.00US$132.7912
May ’26US$120.34
US$133.36
+10.82%
11.71%US$164.00US$103.00US$140.3611
Apr ’26US$123.70
US$135.42
+9.47%
10.16%US$164.00US$114.00US$138.6512
Mar ’26US$137.03
US$140.18
+2.30%
9.99%US$164.00US$114.00US$138.2211
Feb ’26US$139.40
US$137.45
-1.40%
11.65%US$164.00US$106.00US$137.8211
Jan ’26US$134.25
US$133.25
-0.74%
10.13%US$149.00US$106.00US$126.6312
Dec ’25US$140.62
US$128.42
-8.68%
9.59%US$149.00US$106.00US$124.6812
Nov ’25US$125.98
US$125.54
-0.35%
9.93%US$149.00US$106.00US$123.1413
Oct ’25US$107.98
US$124.00
+14.84%
8.10%US$140.00US$104.00US$125.7813
Sep ’25US$112.23
US$124.00
+10.49%
7.72%US$140.00US$107.00US$129.0314
Aug ’25US$112.64
US$123.36
+9.51%
8.14%US$140.00US$107.00US$124.2014
Jul ’25US$100.74
US$116.36
+15.50%
8.72%US$132.00US$93.00US$132.5114
US$159
Fair Value
3.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/26 01:32
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/24 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. is covered by 33 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jared David ShawBarclays
Matthew KeatingBarclays
Peter WinterBMO Capital Markets Equity Research