Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation

NYSE:ACRE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$263.2m

Ares Commercial Real Estate Valuation

Is ACRE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of ACRE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: Insufficient data to calculate ACRE's future cash flow value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: Insufficient data to calculate ACRE's future cash flow value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACRE?

Key metric: As ACRE is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ACRE. This is calculated by dividing ACRE's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ACRE's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.6x
SalesUS$72.68m
Market CapUS$263.20m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ACRE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ACRE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.9x
MITT TPG Mortgage Investment Trust
2.6x5.21%US$231.7m
NREF NexPoint Real Estate Finance
1.6x-41.87%US$292.9m
REFI Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance
4.4x2.41%US$240.7m
CHMI Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment
2.9x-28.79%US$95.0m
ACRE Ares Commercial Real Estate
3.6x-7.47%US$263.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ACRE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.6x) compared to the peer average (2.9x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ACRE's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Mortgage REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PS range
ACRE 3.6xIndustry Avg. 4.4xNo. of Companies6PS02.44.87.29.612+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ACRE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.6x) compared to the US Mortgage REITs industry average (4.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACRE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACRE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.6x
Fair PS Ratio1.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ACRE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACRE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.76
US$5.50
+15.55%
9.09%US$6.00US$5.00n/a4
Mar ’27US$5.02
US$5.50
+9.56%
9.09%US$6.00US$5.00n/a4
Feb ’27US$5.21
US$4.75
-8.83%
11.77%US$5.50US$4.00n/a4
Jan ’27US$4.78
US$4.75
-0.63%
11.77%US$5.50US$4.00n/a4
Dec ’26US$5.24
US$4.56
-12.93%
8.10%US$5.00US$4.00n/a4
Nov ’26US$4.46
US$4.31
-3.31%
4.81%US$4.50US$4.00n/a4
Oct ’26US$4.51
US$4.31
-4.38%
4.81%US$4.50US$4.00n/a4
Sep ’26US$4.72
US$4.31
-8.63%
4.81%US$4.50US$4.00n/a4
Aug ’26US$4.44
US$5.08
+14.30%
5.10%US$5.50US$4.80n/a4
Jul ’26US$4.80
US$5.00
+4.17%
7.07%US$5.50US$4.50n/a4
Jun ’26US$4.61
US$5.00
+8.46%
7.07%US$5.50US$4.50n/a4
May ’26US$4.08
US$4.69
+14.89%
13.79%US$5.50US$3.75n/a4
Apr ’26US$4.54
US$5.35
+17.84%
3.74%US$5.50US$5.00n/a5
Mar ’26US$4.89
US$5.75
+17.59%
11.00%US$7.00US$5.25US$5.025
Feb ’26US$5.66
US$6.40
+13.07%
7.65%US$7.00US$6.00US$5.215
Nov ’25US$6.33
US$6.80
+7.42%
3.60%US$7.00US$6.50US$4.465
Oct ’25US$6.80
US$6.90
+1.47%
2.90%US$7.00US$6.50US$4.515
Sep ’25US$7.06
US$7.00
-0.85%
4.52%US$7.50US$6.50US$4.725
Aug ’25US$7.61
US$7.00
-8.02%
4.52%US$7.50US$6.50US$4.445
Jul ’25US$6.53
US$7.00
+7.20%
4.52%US$7.50US$6.50US$4.805
Jun ’25US$6.96
US$7.20
+3.45%
7.08%US$8.00US$6.50US$4.615
May ’25US$6.93
US$7.50
+8.23%
5.96%US$8.00US$7.00US$4.085
Apr ’25US$7.25
US$7.70
+6.21%
5.19%US$8.00US$7.00US$4.545
Mar ’25US$7.76
US$9.00
+15.98%
16.10%US$11.00US$7.50US$4.895
US$5.5
Fair Value
13.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/29 10:42
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/27 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation is covered by 11 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Derek HewettBofA Global Research
Jessica Levi-RibnerB. Riley Securities, Inc.
William CatherwoodBTIG