Luckin Coffee (LKNC.Y) Stock Overview
Offers retail services of freshly brewed drinks, and pre-made food and beverage items in the People's Republic of China. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 6/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for LKNC.Y from our risk checks.
LKNC.Y Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Luckin Coffee Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$33.44 |
| 52 Week High | US$43.64 |
| 52 Week Low | US$30.00 |
| Beta | -0.27 |
| 1 Month Change | 2.89% |
| 3 Month Change | -10.68% |
| 1 Year Change | 2.89% |
| 3 Year Change | 65.22% |
| 5 Year Change | 406.67% |
| Change since IPO | 64.08% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Apr 24
LKNC.Y: Smart Roasting Network And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Upside
Analysts have made a modest adjustment to their $45.54 price target on Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly updated views on discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping their overall fair value estimate effectively unchanged. What's in the News Luckin Coffee began operating an advanced smart roasting center in Qingdao, Shandong Province, with a total investment of about RMB 3,000 million and annual roasting capacity of over 55,000 tons.Narrative Update • Apr 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship Expansion And Green Retail Concept Will Support Upside
Analysts have maintained their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, noting that updated model inputs, including a slightly higher discount rate and a revised future P/E assumption, offset one another in their valuation analysis. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store in Shenzhen, described as its first Origin Flagship location with a focus on Global Origins and a larger brand evolution theme (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 26
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Concept Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Together, these changes indicate a fine-tuning of their view rather than a major reset.Narrative Update • Mar 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about $45.54 from around $48.76 as they incorporate more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Luckin Coffee marked the opening of its 30,000th store, the first Origin Flagship in Shenzhen, highlighting its large-scale retail footprint across more than 300 cities in China and overseas markets including Singapore, Malaysia and the United States.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 24
LKNC.Y: Smart Roasting Network And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Upside
Analysts have made a modest adjustment to their $45.54 price target on Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly updated views on discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping their overall fair value estimate effectively unchanged. What's in the News Luckin Coffee began operating an advanced smart roasting center in Qingdao, Shandong Province, with a total investment of about RMB 3,000 million and annual roasting capacity of over 55,000 tons.Narrative Update • Apr 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship Expansion And Green Retail Concept Will Support Upside
Analysts have maintained their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, noting that updated model inputs, including a slightly higher discount rate and a revised future P/E assumption, offset one another in their valuation analysis. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store in Shenzhen, described as its first Origin Flagship location with a focus on Global Origins and a larger brand evolution theme (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 26
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Concept Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Together, these changes indicate a fine-tuning of their view rather than a major reset.Narrative Update • Mar 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about $45.54 from around $48.76 as they incorporate more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Luckin Coffee marked the opening of its 30,000th store, the first Origin Flagship in Shenzhen, highlighting its large-scale retail footprint across more than 300 cities in China and overseas markets including Singapore, Malaysia and the United States.Narrative Update • Feb 24
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on Luckin Coffee slightly higher to $48.76 from $48.60, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store, its first Origin Flagship, in Shenzhen, tying the launch to a Global Origins theme and highlighting a shift toward greater focus on professionalism, quality, and sustainable development.Narrative Update • Feb 09
LKNC.Y: Overweight Rating And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about US$48.60 from roughly US$50.10, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as fresh Street research highlights renewed interest in the stock within China's "bubble & brew" sector and cites a US$55 price target on new coverage. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the new US$55 price target as support for the view that Luckin Coffee still has upside potential relative to the revised fair value estimate of about US$48.60, pointing to room for the share price to converge toward their assumptions on earnings and P/E.Narrative Update • Jan 25
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Overweight Rating Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$50.10 from about US$49.83, citing recent positive Street research, including a new Overweight initiation, as support for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a fresh Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, adds more color around how the market is thinking about Luckin Coffee at current levels.Narrative Update • Jan 11
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Margin Strength Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$49.83 per share from roughly US$49.63, citing recent positive Street research, including a new US$55 target and Overweight initiation that support modestly stronger profit margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a new Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, gives more color on how analysts are thinking about Luckin Coffee's risk and reward profile.Narrative Update • Dec 14
LKNC.Y: Store Expansion And Digital Platform Will Drive Future Market Leadership
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly lower to $49.63 from about $49.95, reflecting modestly softer long term growth and margin assumptions, even as they continue to highlight the company as a preferred name within China's "bubble and brew" sector. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's positioning as a top pick within China's rapidly expanding "bubble and brew" category, supporting a premium valuation relative to slower growing domestic peers.Narrative Update • Nov 30
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Support Store Expansion Across China
The analyst consensus price target for Luckin Coffee has risen from $48.24 to $49.95, as analysts cite strong store growth and continued profitability in a rapidly expanding Chinese coffee market. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's consistent outperformance within China's rapidly growing coffee sector, noting that it is now the largest coffee chain in the country by store count.Narrative Update • Nov 16
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Drive Store Expansion Momentum In China
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee upward from $46.89 to $48.24. They cite strong growth prospects and continued optimism for China's expanding coffee market.Narrative Update • Sep 06
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
The consensus analyst price target for Luckin Coffee has increased modestly as a sharp decline in its future P/E ratio offset a slight reduction in revenue growth forecasts, lifting the fair value estimate from $45.61 to $46.89. What's in the News Luckin Coffee (LKNCY), now China's largest coffee chain, has opened its first store in New York City less than 200 feet from a Starbucks location, signaling its entry into the U.S. market (WSJ).Narrative Update • Aug 07
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
Luckin Coffee’s future P/E ratio has dropped sharply from 21.27x to 2.96x while its net profit margin remains stable at 9.4%, leading to the consensus analyst price target holding steady at $45.61. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Luckin Coffee The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, at $45.61.
New Narrative • Dec 03
Aggressive Store Expansion And Light Milk Tea Innovations Will Drive Revenue Growth And Profitability
Aggressive store expansion and new product lines are boosting market share, diversifying offerings, and enhancing customer engagement, driving revenue growth.Shareholder Returns
| LKNC.Y | US Hospitality | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -4.5% | -1.3% | 2.1% |
| 1Y | 2.9% | 1.1% | 30.6% |
Return vs Industry: LKNC.Y matched the US Hospitality industry which returned 3.4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: LKNC.Y underperformed the US Market which returned 31% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| LKNC.Y volatility | |
|---|---|
| LKNC.Y Average Weekly Movement | 7.2% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.9% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: LKNC.Y has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: LKNC.Y's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 75,078 | Jinyi Guo | investor.lkcoffee.com |
Luckin Coffee Inc. offers retail services of freshly brewed drinks, and pre-made food and beverage items in the People's Republic of China. It offers hot and iced freshly brewed coffee, such as Americano, Latte; specialty coffee products, such as the fruity americano; and tea products, such as the light milk tea series, as well as SOE coffee products, chinese tea-flavored coffee, and coconut milk latte; and pre-made food and beverage items, such as pastries, sandwiches, water, breads, and snacks. In addition, the company through Luckin Coffee Instant brand offers instant coffee, coffee concentrate, coffee beans, drip coffee bags, and coffee capsules and complementary coffee accessories, including thermal tumblers, mugs, pour-over kettles, as well as inspirational cups through mobile apps and e-commerce platforms.
Luckin Coffee Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| LKNC.Y fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$10.82b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$526.79m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$7.71b |
20.5x
P/E Ratio1.4x
P/S RatioIs LKNC.Y overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| LKNC.Y income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | CN¥52.42b |
| Cost of Revenue | CN¥20.06b |
| Gross Profit | CN¥32.36b |
| Other Expenses | CN¥28.77b |
| Earnings | CN¥3.58b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 11.09 |
| Gross Margin | 61.73% |
| Net Profit Margin | 6.84% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0% |
How did LKNC.Y perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 13:49 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Luckin Coffee Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mark Yuan | BNP Paribas |
| Boyi Shi | CGS International |
| null null | China International Capital Corporation Limited |