South32 (S32) Stock Overview
Operates as a diversified metals and mining company. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 1/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
S32 Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
South32 Limited Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | AU$4.63 |
| 52 Week High | AU$4.95 |
| 52 Week Low | AU$2.52 |
| Beta | 0.67 |
| 1 Month Change | 11.84% |
| 3 Month Change | 2.89% |
| 1 Year Change | 53.31% |
| 3 Year Change | 19.02% |
| 5 Year Change | 56.95% |
| Change since IPO | 125.85% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 02
S32: Citi Upgrade And Hermosa Progress Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects
Analysts have lifted their South32 price target to A$3.00 from A$2.80, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how updated assumptions feed into South32's valuation, with the higher price targets pointing to a reassessment of fair value rather than a change in rating stance in some cases.Narrative Update • May 09
S32: Citi Upgrade And Hermosa Progress Will Support Future Upside
Analysts now see South32's fair value at about A$4.63 per share, down from roughly A$4.91. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E, despite recent Street research that has included an upgrade and a higher price target from Citi.Narrative Update • Apr 25
S32: Citi Upgrade And West Musgrave Option Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their A$ price target for South32 slightly, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, discount rate and future P/E after recent supportive research. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how revised assumptions for fair value, revenue trajectories, discount rate and future P/E feed into South32's updated price targets.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 02
S32: Citi Upgrade And Hermosa Progress Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects
Analysts have lifted their South32 price target to A$3.00 from A$2.80, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how updated assumptions feed into South32's valuation, with the higher price targets pointing to a reassessment of fair value rather than a change in rating stance in some cases.Narrative Update • May 09
S32: Citi Upgrade And Hermosa Progress Will Support Future Upside
Analysts now see South32's fair value at about A$4.63 per share, down from roughly A$4.91. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E, despite recent Street research that has included an upgrade and a higher price target from Citi.Narrative Update • Apr 25
S32: Citi Upgrade And West Musgrave Option Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their A$ price target for South32 slightly, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, discount rate and future P/E after recent supportive research. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how revised assumptions for fair value, revenue trajectories, discount rate and future P/E feed into South32's updated price targets.Narrative Update • Apr 09
S32: Recent Upgrades And West Musgrave Option Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price target for South32 to A$4.84 from A$4.78, citing slightly higher assumed profit margins and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. Together, these factors offset a more cautious revenue growth outlook and an updated discount rate.Narrative Update • Mar 26
S32: UBS Upgrade And West Musgrave Option Will Shape Bullish Outlook
South32's updated analyst price target has moved from A$4.69 to A$4.78, with analysts pointing to refreshed fair value estimates and slightly adjusted discount rate and P/E assumptions following recent target hikes and upgrades from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more refined view of South32, with target changes and an upgrade reflecting how analysts are reassessing valuation, execution risks and growth options rather than reacting to a single catalyst.Narrative Update • Mar 08
S32: UBS Upgrade And Mozal Power Shift Will Guide Balanced Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for South32 slightly higher to A$4.69 from A$4.67, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E following recent price target and rating changes at major brokers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a mix of optimism and caution around South32, with valuation adjustments and rating changes reflecting differing views on how the company may execute on its plans and how that might flow through to earnings and cash flow.Narrative Update • Feb 21
S32: UBS Upgrade And Mozal Power Move Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their A$ fair value estimate for South32 from about A$4.37 to roughly A$4.67, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, margins and future P/E after recent price target revisions and upgrades from the Street. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the recent upgrade and higher price target as support for the revised A$ fair value estimate, suggesting that current pricing assumptions for South32 may be too conservative relative to their outlook.Narrative Update • Feb 05
S32: UBS Upgrade And Mozal Power Transition Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their price target on South32 by about A$0.22, citing updated views on fair value, discount rate, expected revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent research, including the latest UBS upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research, including the latest UBS upgrade, highlights a mix of supportive and cautious views on South32's outlook and valuation.Narrative Update • Jan 22
S32: Mozal Power Uncertainty And Improved Margins Will Shape Steady Outlook
Analysts have lifted their price target on South32 to around A$4.15 from about A$3.50, pointing to updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key drivers of this change. What's in the News South32 plans to place the Mozal Aluminium operation on care and maintenance on or around 15 March 2026 after not securing a new electricity supply agreement beyond the expiry of the current deal in March 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 07
S32: Mozal Suspension And Cannington Sale Prospects Will Shape Steady Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for South32 slightly higher to A$3.50 from about A$3.48, reflecting updated views on the company’s fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News South32 plans to place the Mozal Aluminium operation in Mozambique on care and maintenance on or around 15 March 2026, as it has not secured a new electricity supply agreement beyond the expiry of the current deal in March 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 15
S32: Cannington Sale Prospects Will Shape Outlook Amid Steady Earnings Expectations
Narrative Update on South32 The analyst price target for South32 has been raised from $3.38 to $3.48 as analysts factor in slightly stronger long term revenue growth and higher future valuation multiples. This is partially offset by modestly lower profit margin expectations and a marginally higher discount rate.Narrative Update • Nov 29
S32: Outlook Will Balance Cannington Sale Process And Consistent Earnings Performance
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for South32, raising the estimated fair value from $3.32 to $3.38 per share. This adjustment reflects updated discount rate assumptions.Narrative Update • Nov 15
S32: Outlook Will Reflect Mine Sale Talks And Stable Operations Into 2026
South32’s analyst price target has been modestly raised from $3.30 to $3.32, as analysts cite improved revenue growth forecasts. This increase is partially offset by a slightly higher discount rate and a marginally lower profit margin outlook.Narrative Update • Nov 01
S32: Upcoming Asset Sale And Production Outlook Will Affect Future Returns
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for South32, raising the fair value estimate from $3.26 to $3.30. They cite updated views on discount rates as well as the outlook for growth and profitability.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Base Metals Expansion Will Unlock Opportunities In Decarbonization
Analysts have raised their price target for South32 from $3.11 to $3.26. This change reflects improved expectations based on higher forecast revenue growth and profit margins.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Base Metals Expansion Will Unlock Opportunities In Decarbonization
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for South32, increasing it from $3.05 to $3.11 per share. They cited slightly improved revenue growth expectations, along with minor adjustments to forecast discount rates and profit margins.Analysis Article • Sep 04
Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good South32's (ASX:S32) Earnings Are
Even though South32 Limited ( ASX:S32 ) posted strong earnings, investors appeared to be underwhelmed. Our analysis...Narrative Update • Aug 27
Worsley Approvals And GEMCO Restart Will Strengthen Mining Operations
A significant reduction in expected revenue growth and a sharp rise in the future P/E multiple have driven a slight downward revision in South32’s consensus analyst price target, now at A$3.27. What's in the News South32 has signaled significant uncertainty over securing sufficient and affordable electricity for the Mozal Aluminium smelter beyond March 2026, triggering halted investment, pot relining stoppage, and contractor stand-downs; Mozal is likely to be placed on care and maintenance once the current agreement expires.
New Narrative • Apr 25
Worsley Approvals And GEMCO Restart Will Strengthen Mining Operations
The Worsley Mine Project and GEMCO restart promise future revenue growth and improved operating margins, backed by recent approvals and phased mining activities.Shareholder Returns
| S32 | AU Metals and Mining | AU Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -3.7% | -3.2% | -1.2% |
| 1Y | 53.3% | 52.7% | 0.8% |
Return vs Industry: S32 matched the Australian Metals and Mining industry which returned 52.7% over the past year.
Return vs Market: S32 exceeded the Australian Market which returned 0.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| S32 volatility | |
|---|---|
| S32 Average Weekly Movement | 6.4% |
| Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement | 12.2% |
| Market Average Movement | 10.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in AU Market | 17.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in AU Market | 4.1% |
Stable Share Price: S32 has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.
Volatility Over Time: S32's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 8,892 | Graham Kerr | www.south32.net |
South32 Limited operates as a diversified metals and mining company. The company operates through Worsley Alumina, Brazil Alumina, Brazil Aluminium, Hillside Aluminium, Mozal Aluminium, Sierra Gorda, Cannington, Hermosa, Australia Manganese, and South Africa Manganese segments. It has a portfolio of assets producing bauxite, alumina, aluminum, copper, silver, lead, zinc, and manganese products.
South32 Limited Fundamentals Summary
| S32 fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | AU$20.73b |
| Earnings (TTM) | AU$551.76m |
| Revenue (TTM) | AU$8.27b |
37.6x
P/E Ratio2.5x
P/S RatioIs S32 overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| S32 income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$5.91b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$2.69b |
| Gross Profit | US$3.22b |
| Other Expenses | US$2.82b |
| Earnings | US$394.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
Jul 20, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.088 |
| Gross Margin | 54.47% |
| Net Profit Margin | 6.67% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 10.3% |
How did S32 perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
1.8%
Current Dividend Yield74%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/05 04:36 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/05 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
South32 Limited is covered by 37 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ayan Ghosh | Avior Capital Markets |
| Izak Rossouw | Barclays |
| Amos Fletcher | Barclays |