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Updated 5h ago
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Rocket Lab CorporationNasdaqGS:RKLB Stock Report

Market Cap US$37.7b
Updated 5h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y27.9%
7D-2.9%
1D-1.8%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Rocket Lab Corporation

NasdaqGS:RKLB Stock Report

Market Cap: US$37.7b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Rocket Lab (RKLB) Stock Overview

A space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions in the United States, Canada, Japan, and internationally. More details

RKLB fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 47.5% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 64.44% per year

Risk Analysis

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the US market


RKLB Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 1259 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
45.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

Analysts Boost Rocket Lab Price Target as Neutron Progress and New Deals Drive Optimism

7.2k
0
392
AN
AnalystLowTarget
8.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•8d ago

Escalating Capital Intensity And Rising Competition Will Limit Long Term Earnings Potential

555
0
13
AN
AnalystHighTarget
58.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Reusable Neutron And Vertical Integration Will Unlock Secular Opportunities

1.2k
0
76

Top Community Narratives

CL
ClaudeAnalysis
27.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
ClaudeAnalysis
•4mo ago

Defense Backlog And Vertical Integration Will Drive Rocket Lab Toward $85 Despite Neutron Execution Risk

1.1k
0
91
WI
27.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Will_01
•6mo ago

Rocket Lab - Stock Narrative

338
0
10
AL
281.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
AlexLovell
•9mo ago

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

9.2k
1
78

Top Community Narratives

Top Analyst Narratives

CL
ClaudeAnalysis
27.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
ClaudeAnalysis
•4mo ago

Defense Backlog And Vertical Integration Will Drive Rocket Lab Toward $85 Despite Neutron Execution Risk

1.1k
0
91
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
45.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

Analysts Boost Rocket Lab Price Target as Neutron Progress and New Deals Drive Optimism

7.2k
0
392
WI
27.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Will_01
•6mo ago

Rocket Lab - Stock Narrative

338
0
10
AN
AnalystLowTarget
8.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•8d ago

Escalating Capital Intensity And Rising Competition Will Limit Long Term Earnings Potential

555
0
13
AL
281.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
AlexLovell
•9mo ago

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

9.2k
1
78
AN
AnalystHighTarget
58.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Reusable Neutron And Vertical Integration Will Unlock Secular Opportunities

1.2k
0
76
View all narratives

Rocket Lab Corporation Competitors

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Market cap: US$19.0b

L3Harris Technologies

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Market cap: US$46.6b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Rocket Lab
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$61.96
52 Week HighUS$151.00
52 Week LowUS$37.57
Beta2.61
1 Month Change-22.56%
3 Month Change-39.49%
1 Year Change27.94%
3 Year Change1,077.95%
5 Year Change289.93%
Change since IPOn/a

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 04

Rocket Lab's Crash Is Your Second Chance

Summary Q2 revenue reached $234 million, backlog climbed to $2.36 billion, and Space Systems generated 81% of revenue, reinforcing Rocket Lab’s infrastructure transition. Neutron targets $50 million to $55 million in pricing without meaningful discounts, making launch cadence more important than simply reaching orbit. Iridium adds over $870 million of recurring revenue, but the $8 billion acquisition introduces leverage, integration, and additional dilution risks. RKLB has fallen 36% since my previous analysis and nearly 60% from its highs despite materially stronger operating fundamentals. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

RKLB: Defense Wins And Iridium Integration Will Shape Vertically Integrated Platform

Rocket Lab's analyst price target has been revised slightly lower in this update, reflecting a modest trim in fair value to $67.71 as analysts balance richer sector valuations with expectations for stronger revenue growth, marginally better profit margins, and a lower assumed discount rate supported by recent research highlighting vertically integrated launch capability, growing national security contracts, and the planned Iridium acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rocket Lab points to a mixed but generally constructive tone.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 04

Rocket Lab's Crash Is Your Second Chance

Summary Q2 revenue reached $234 million, backlog climbed to $2.36 billion, and Space Systems generated 81% of revenue, reinforcing Rocket Lab’s infrastructure transition. Neutron targets $50 million to $55 million in pricing without meaningful discounts, making launch cadence more important than simply reaching orbit. Iridium adds over $870 million of recurring revenue, but the $8 billion acquisition introduces leverage, integration, and additional dilution risks. RKLB has fallen 36% since my previous analysis and nearly 60% from its highs despite materially stronger operating fundamentals. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

RKLB: Defense Wins And Iridium Integration Will Shape Vertically Integrated Platform

Rocket Lab's analyst price target has been revised slightly lower in this update, reflecting a modest trim in fair value to $67.71 as analysts balance richer sector valuations with expectations for stronger revenue growth, marginally better profit margins, and a lower assumed discount rate supported by recent research highlighting vertically integrated launch capability, growing national security contracts, and the planned Iridium acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rocket Lab points to a mixed but generally constructive tone.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 18

RKLB: Defense Contract Execution Will Test Vertically Integrated Platform Narrative

Rocket Lab's updated analyst price target has moved higher to $70.66 from $66.70, as analysts point to expanding national security contracts, the planned Iridium acquisition, and progress on the Neutron launch vehicle as key supports for the revised valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rocket Lab shows a broadly constructive view, with several firms lifting price targets and highlighting contract wins, backlog growth, and the planned Iridium acquisition.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 04

RKLB: Iridium Integration And Defense Contracts Will Test Vertically Integrated Platform Narrative

Analysts have nudged their Rocket Lab fair value estimate higher to roughly $66.70 from about $64.40. This reflects updated price targets that reference the Iridium acquisition, new hypersonics launch awards, and a series of recent rating upgrades.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 21

RKLB: Iridium Acquisition Will Support Vertically Integrated Space Services Upside

The Rocket Lab analyst price target has been updated from $103.91 to $114.33. Analysts believe the planned Iridium acquisition, higher assumed revenue growth, and an expanded vertically integrated space services platform support a higher fair value, despite a slightly lower profit margin outlook and a very large forward P/E multiple.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 07

RKLB: Iridium Deal Execution Risk Will Test Vertically Integrated Space Platform Narrative

Rocket Lab's updated analyst price target has moved higher from about $47 to roughly $64, as analysts highlight the planned Iridium acquisition as a key driver for a more vertically integrated space services platform and for refined launch pricing expectations. Analyst Commentary Street research around Rocket Lab has been intensely focused on the proposed Iridium acquisition, with many analysts framing it as a key step toward a more complete space services platform that couples launch, spacecraft manufacturing, and communications services under one roof.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 23

RKLB: Expanding National Security Backlog Will Drive Future Earnings Power

Rocket Lab's updated analyst price target of $150, supported by research pointing to higher modeled revenue growth alongside more cautious profit margin and P/E assumptions, reflects a recalibration of expectations as analysts weigh the company's position in a tight launch market against its path toward profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Rocket Lab highlights a cluster of bullish analysts who are refining their views on the stock, with several changes to ratings and price targets that speak directly to expectations for execution, growth, and valuation discipline.
Analysis Article • Jun 16

Rocket Lab (RKLB) Stock Could Be 28.5% Overvalued After Its Strong Run

Recent Price Moves Put Rocket Lab Stock in Focus Rocket Lab (RKLB) stock has swung sharply, with a gain over the past 3 months and a large 1-year total return, even as the share price declined over the past month. See our latest analysis for Rocket Lab. At a share price of $109.25, Rocket Lab has seen short term share price momentum fade with a 30 day share price return of down 12.44%, even as longer term total shareholder returns have been very strong. If you are looking beyond Rocket Lab...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 08

RKLB: National Security Space Backlog Will Drive Future Earnings Power

Rocket Lab's analyst price target has shifted from $105.00 to about $149.03 as analysts point to industry launch under supply, an expanding backlog, infrastructure advantages, and a core business that is closer to profitability. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have been steadily lifting their fair value estimates for Rocket Lab, pointing to a mix of execution in the launch business, an expanding backlog, and progress toward a more profitable core operation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 25

RKLB: Future Space Systems Backlog Delivery Risks May Restrain Elevated Expectations

Rocket Lab’s updated fair value estimate has shifted from about $87 to roughly $104, as analysts point to a series of higher price targets and new Buy ratings that emphasize the stock’s role as a scaled Western launch and space systems platform, as well as views that its potential share of the broader space economy is still being underappreciated. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Rocket Lab has centered on its role as a scaled Western launch and space systems platform, with several analysts updating ratings and price targets following earnings, backlog commentary, and sector-wide space coverage launches.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 01

RKLB: National Security Payload Backlog Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Rocket Lab's updated analyst price target of $105.00, down from $119.85, reflects analysts' higher revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower long term margin expectations, a modestly higher discount rate, and reduced future P/E multiples following a wave of recent target hikes and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a cluster of bullish analysts lifting price targets and, in some cases, ratings for Rocket Lab, reflecting growing confidence in the company’s execution and long term growth potential.
User avatar
New Narrative • Apr 29

Defense Backlog And Vertical Integration Will Drive Rocket Lab Toward $85 Despite Neutron Execution Risk

Key Takeaways Rocket Lab is mid-transformation from a small-launch specialist into a vertically integrated space and defense prime, with Space Systems now ~67% of revenue and growing fastest. A $1.85B backlog (+73% YoY) anchored by the $816M SDA Tranche 3 award provides multi-year revenue visibility that the current trailing P/S of ~72x doesn't yet fully reflect.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 16

RKLB: Future Launch Cadence And Backlog Execution Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Rocket Lab by about $3 to reflect more conservative profit margin and revenue growth inputs, even as recent upgrades and higher price targets across the Street point to continued interest in the stock. Analyst Commentary Street research in recent weeks has focused on how Rocket Lab executes on launch cadence, integrates acquisitions, and scales space systems, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as expectations reset.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 01

RKLB: National Security Payload Backlog Will Drive Long Term Upside

The analyst price target for Rocket Lab edges higher to $119.85 from $119.10 as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher long term profit margin, and a marginally lower discount rate, while keeping future P/E expectations broadly similar. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Rocket Lab reflect a mix of enthusiasm and caution, with bullish analysts highlighting execution in launch and space systems, alongside new growth avenues from acquisitions and government programs, while more neutral and bearish voices focus on timing risks and the market already pricing in key growth drivers.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 18

RKLB: Space Systems Momentum And National Security Payloads Will Drive Long Term Upside

Rocket Lab's updated analyst price target of $119.10, up from $120.00, reflects a recalibration that factors in higher modeled revenue growth, a slightly lower profit margin, and recent analyst enthusiasm around space systems momentum, a growing launch cadence, and the Geost acquisition as a new payload offering for U.S. National Security Missions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a cluster of bullish analysts lifting their price targets on Rocket Lab after the latest quarterly update and the Geost acquisition.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 04

RKLB: Future Launch Cadence And Backlog Strength Will Offset Testing Setbacks

Narrative Update Our analyst price target for Rocket Lab moves higher to $89.88 from $83.96, reflecting Street research that points to improved margin expectations, a lower assumed future P/E multiple, and supportive commentary around launch execution, space systems backlog, and new payload opportunities such as the Geost acquisition and Golden Domes work. Analyst Commentary Street research around Rocket Lab has tilted more positive overall, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets and a smaller group of cautious voices flagging execution and growth expectations as areas to watch.
User avatar
New Narrative • Mar 04

Rocket Lab: A Growth Story Trading on the Future of Space Economy

Rocket Lab represents a company in transition. It is no longer simply a small-launch provider, yet it has not fully matured into a profitable aerospace contractor.
User avatar
New Narrative • Mar 02

Rocket Lab - Stock Narrative

Rocket Lab today is a niche company accelerating through development in the aerospace industry, financially stronger than its early stage reputation suggests, but still very much in an early, speculative phase, yet to see any profits. Based in the United States, they provide international launch services and space systems solutions, in the early phase of development and scaling with cutting edge technologies such as the Neutron rocket on the horizon..
User avatar
New Narrative • Feb 21

Rocket Lab (RKLB): A Rising Challenger in the Space Economy

Rocket Lab has rapidly evolved from a niche small-satellite launch provider into one of the most compelling end-to-end space companies in the market. With ambitions that stretch far beyond launching rockets, the company is positioning itself as a serious long-term competitor in the rapidly expanding space economy.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 18

RKLB: Future Launch Cadence Will Offset Neutron Testing Setbacks

Analysts recently lifted their Rocket Lab fair value estimate from $68.75 to $83.96, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, discount rates and long term P/E multiples following a mix of price target changes, rating moves and launch timing commentary across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture around Rocket Lab, with several bullish voices adjusting price targets upward while others question how much upside is already reflected in the shares.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 04

RKLB: Launch Execution And Space Systems Mix Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts have nudged their Rocket Lab price targets higher by about $20 to $60, citing a mix of higher targets from BofA, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Stifel, partially offset by a KeyBanc downgrade that argues much of the growth story is already well known. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Rocket Lab reflects a split view, with bullish analysts lifting targets and highlighting execution on both launch and space systems, while others flag timeline and valuation risks.

Shareholder Returns

RKLBUS Aerospace & DefenseUS Market
7D-2.9%-3.5%-2.2%
1Y27.9%8.1%13.1%

Return vs Industry: RKLB exceeded the US Aerospace & Defense industry which returned 8.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: RKLB exceeded the US Market which returned 13.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is RKLB's price volatile compared to industry and market?
RKLB volatility
RKLB Average Weekly Movement12.0%
Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement9.0%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: RKLB's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: RKLB's weekly volatility (12%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20062,600Peter Beckrocketlabcorp.com

Rocket Lab Corporation, a space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions in the United States, Canada, Japan, and internationally. The company operates through launch services and space systems segments. The company provides launch services, spacecraft design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, optical systems, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions and constellation management services, as well as designs and manufactures small and medium-class rockets and develops flight and ground software.

Rocket Lab Corporation Fundamentals Summary

How do Rocket Lab's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
RKLB fundamental statistics
Market capUS$37.74b
Earnings (TTM)-US$165.46m
Revenue (TTM)US$769.15m
48.2x
P/S Ratio
-224.1x
P/E Ratio

Is RKLB overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
RKLB income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$769.15m
Cost of RevenueUS$482.53m
Gross ProfitUS$286.62m
Other ExpensesUS$452.07m
Earnings-US$165.46m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.28
Gross Margin37.26%
Net Profit Margin-21.51%
Debt/Equity Ratio0.4%

How did RKLB perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/10 23:55
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/10 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Rocket Lab Corporation is covered by 29 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Peter ArmentBaird
Michael FilatovBerenberg
Ronald EpsteinBofA Global Research

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